| Official | Unofficial | Win/Loss | Units | Total Units | Line | Buy Line | Score | Pts Buy Needed? | |||
| 10/22/2018 | Washington | X | W Bet A | 1 | 1 | +5 | +8 | 125-124 | No | Haven't played 3 games yet | |
| 10/25/2018 | Portland | X | W Bet A | 1 | 2 | -3 | ML | 128-114 | No | ||
| 10/26/2018 | Golden State | X | W Bet A | 1 | 3 | -12 | -9 | 128-100 | No | ||
| 10/29/2018 | Sacramento | X | W Bet A | 1 | 4 | -8 | -11 | 123-113 | No | ||
| 11/2/2018 | Toronto | X | W Bet A | 1 | 5 | -11.5 | -8.5 | 107-98 | Yes | ||
| 11/2/2018 | Houston | X | W Bet A | 1 | 6 | -3.5 | 0.5 | 119-111 | No | Harden out | |
| 11/5/2018 | Boston | X | W Bet B | 1 | 7 | -9.5 | -6.5 | 116-109 | Yes | ||
| 11/6/2018 | Brooklyn | X | W Bet A | 1 | 8 | -2 | 1 | 104-82 | No | ||
| 11/6/2018 | Milwaukee | X | W Bet B | 1 | 9 | +6 | 9 | 134-111 | No | ||
| 11/11/2018 | Atlanta | X | W Bet A | 1 | 10 | +11.5 | +14.5 | 107-106 | No | ||
| 11/16/2018 | Utah | X | W Bet B | 1 | 11 | +0.5 | +3.5 | 98-86 | No | startd trip in conf | |
| 11/17/2018 | Clippers | X | W Bet A | 1 | 12 | -6 | -3 | 127-119 | No | ||
| 11/17/2018 | Lakers | X | W Bet B | 1 | 13 | -1.5 | +1.5 | 113-97 | No | ||
| 11/18/2018 | Portland | X | W Bet A | 1 | 14 | ||||||
| 11/19/2018 | Phoenix | X | 14 | worst road record |
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Updated record and notice of next few bets this month:
Official Unofficial Win/Loss Units Total Units Line Buy Line Score Pts Buy Needed? 10/22/2018 Washington X W Bet A 1 1 +5 +8 125-124 No Haven't played 3 games yet 10/25/2018 Portland X W Bet A 1 2 -3 ML 128-114 No 10/26/2018 Golden State X W Bet A 1 3 -12 -9 128-100 No 10/29/2018 Sacramento X W Bet A 1 4 -8 -11 123-113 No 11/2/2018 Toronto X W Bet A 1 5 -11.5 -8.5 107-98 Yes 11/2/2018 Houston X W Bet A 1 6 -3.5 0.5 119-111 No Harden out 11/5/2018 Boston X W Bet B 1 7 -9.5 -6.5 116-109 Yes 11/6/2018 Brooklyn X W Bet A 1 8 -2 1 104-82 No 11/6/2018 Milwaukee X W Bet B 1 9 +6 9 134-111 No 11/11/2018 Atlanta X W Bet A 1 10 +11.5 +14.5 107-106 No 11/16/2018 Utah X W Bet B 1 11 +0.5 +3.5 98-86 No startd trip in conf 11/17/2018 Clippers X W Bet A 1 12 -6 -3 127-119 No 11/17/2018 Lakers X W Bet B 1 13 -1.5 +1.5 113-97 No 11/18/2018 Portland X W Bet A 1 14 -1 +2 119-109 No 11/19/2018 Phoenix X W Bet A 1 15 +11 +14 114-119 No worst road record 11/21/2018 New Orleans 11/23/2018 Orlando 11/23/2018 Houston 11/23/2018 San Antonio 11/26/2018 Indiana 11/28/2018 Utah 11/29/2018 Golden State Comment -
Nice easy cover by Phoenix on the unofficial side last night. New Orleans is an official A bet for Wednesday. I think the rest of the month will all be official as well. May have lots to be thankful for!!Comment -
New Orleans official A bet tonight. +4 is the line. +7 at -170. Good luck.Comment -
And another one hits and ....
Happy holidays for those in the US. See you all on Friday when we have 3 games!Comment -
And Friday sees 3 games, all official:
Orlando {A} bet - This is a confirmed official betting series. Remember to buy up to 3 points on the spread at no worse than -170 odds.
Houston {A} bet - This is a confirmed official betting series. Remember to buy up to 3 points on the spread at no worse than -170 odds.
San Antonio {A} bet - This is a confirmed official betting series. Remember to buy up to 3 points on the spread at no worse than -170 odds.
Goodluck
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Hey all,
Saturday, 11/24:
Orlando {B} bet
Houston {B} betComment -
And bets for Monday:
Houston {C} bet - This is a confirmed official betting series. Remember to buy up to 3 points on the spread at no worse than -170 odds.
Indiana {A} bet - This is a confirmed official betting series as long as Domantas Sabonis ends up playing. Remember to buy up to 3 points on the spread at no worse than -170 odds.Comment -
Houston is -2.5. Rules say to play ML. If you do buy points, only buy 2 at -150. Makes no sense to buy 3 to get to +1/2 point. Games don’t end in a tie. Just FYI for any newbies.Comment -
Also Chris Paul has just been ruled out for the Rockets again tonight (also missed Saturday for supposed "rest") due to a leg injury. FYI. Line is already dropping now on the latest news.Comment -
Does it matter if paul plays and if we already played the money lineComment -
I can't believe Houston. no no no.Comment -
Son of a bitch. Closing line was HOU +1.5. So his "system" technically gets a win but anyone who put a move in more than an hour before tip off lost out. This is a lost C bet in my book.
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New here but been tailing...
I bought 4 points on Houston @ -178 but unfortunately that still only brought me to Houston +2. I didn't play the first game in the series but lost games 2 & 3.
I couldn't find the exact rules, but if the rules are that you buy 3 pts and the line is always -170 and you're trying to win 1 unit combined after an A, B or C win, then any series that losses will lose 15.79 units, so 16 series wins is effectively wiped out.
Game A -- risk 1.7 to win 1, Game B -- risk 4.59 to win 2.7 (net 1), Game C -- risk 9.5 to win 5.59 (net 1) = -15.79 if all bets lose.
I can't risk losing that much in a series, so I'm kind of playing the B & C bets at roughly equal amounts (C will be a little higher) to keep it to roughly a 5 - 7 unit loss if all 3 games lose.
Sorry to anybody who took to the big hit.
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I would be interested in hearing if anyone actually won this C bet???Comment -
I see that the final result was the Wizards won 135 - 131.
So even with Houston at +1.5, the bet result would have been 135 - 132.5, so it looks to me as though betting on Houston at the last minute would still have been a loss.
Therefore, I think that this is a lost C bet no matter how you look at it.
Someone please correct me if I am wrong!
The above is wrong as I forgot to include buying 3 points in my calculations!
Last edited by TwoCats; 11-27-18, 03:46 PM. Reason: I have been corrected by hiestroller! Thank you!Comment -
I must admit I did several things about this C bet - and none made me win, but I lost less!
1. I actually cashed in my earlier bet taking a loss up front when the line changed significantly.
2. I placed a much smaller wager due to "spider feelings" and so lost, together with the loss above a second "b bet" amount, and
3. Yes I missed out by one point from a push even with all of that.
I know I am going to follow and see what happens now, and assume Houston will make good soon, just not for me.
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These are the NBA system rules (with some of the Morrison B/S still included) from the Oct 2012 (with a few of my comments in red):
Here’s the NBA betting system in detail. As long as you strictly follow my betting guidelines below, you will be winning almost all of your NBA bets. (Only believe that if you want to!)
In a nutshell, you will be betting that one team is going to win at least one game against the spread in an 3-game away series where all three of their opposing teams are from the opposite conference. This is a bet that you will win more than 97% of the time. ( - maybe.)
Before I go into detail on how to make the bets, I will go over the money management system. There are only three bet values you should stick to: Bet A; Bet B; and Bet C.
Bet A = Your beginning bet. You can, for example, set your beginning bet at $100 (I suggest that you set your own figure lower than this) when you first start out.
Bet B = In case Bet A fails, you make bet B to make up for any loss you’ve suffered from Bet A, plus any profit you would have achieved from bet A. So, if your Bet A was $100, your Bet B can be $250.
Bet C = In case Bet B fails, you make bet C to make up for any loss you’ve suffered from Bet A plus Bet B, plus profit you would have achieved from bet A. So, if your Bet A plus Bet B was $350 (note my comment above), your Bet C can be $650.
There is no Bet D, or E, or anything thereafter. If you lose Bet C, you lose the bet.
However, do not be concerned, because losing a Bet C is something that will almost never happen. (Like I said, believe that if you want to!) I’ll talk more about that later.
Here’s the betting system:
1. Check the NBA schedule and mark down any series where one team will be playing at least 3 consecutive games on the road (away from home) versus a team on a different conference.
2. For the team that will be playing 3 or more consecutive games on the road with a different conference, make a bet A for the team on the road on its first day by buying 3 points.
3. If you lose bet A, make bet B on the next day for the same team, buying 3 points.
4. If you lose bet B, make bet C on the next day for the same team, buying 3 points.
One exception is to never bet on a team that is either the best or worst on the road. If your team has the worst road record in the league, then you should pass on that series due to the higher risks involved. On the other hand, if your team has the best road record in the league, then Vegas would often set the line too high, so it’s best to pass on that series as well.
Also, check up on the injuries before making a bet. If your team has its best player injured, then you should just pass on that series, regardless of any injuries there may be on the other team.
If you do not understand what buying points mean, let me explain:
Each game that you wager on will have a point spread. For example, in a Houston vs Dallas game, the spread may be +5 for Houston and -5 for Dallas. If you bet on Houston +5, it means that Houston can lose the game by 4 points to Dallas, and you will still win the bet. (Actually a true statement!) If you bet on Dallas -5, it means that Dallas must beat Houston by 6 points or more for you to win the wager. Now, if you buy 3 points for Houston, that would bring the spread to +8 instead of +5. This means that now you will still win the bet even if Houston loses to Dallas by 7 points. Similarly, if you buy 3 points for Dallas to bring the spread to -2, it would mean that they can now win by only 3 points or more and you will still win your wager.
Whenever you win a bet in any series, stop and move on to the next one.
Here’s an important betting exception to keep in mind: If your team is a favorite of -3 or greater (that means it is expected that your team will beat their opponent by a margin of at least 3 points), then you should make a wager on the Money Line (betting on the Money Line means that you’ll win the bet as long as your team wins the game. No point-buying is necessary). The reason why is because if your team is the favorite, and manages to win the game but at the same time fail to cover the spread, it dramatically increases the risk to continue betting on the same series.
Handling road trips that start in-conference
I recommend that you only start betting on a series if the team’s consecutive 3-game road trip begins immediately after their home game. This also means that if a team is on a 6-game road trip vs. 6 opponents from the opposing conference, then you should only wager on the first 3 games (assuming that they played a home game immediately before starting the road trip).
Now, an exception would be that if a team has been playing road game(s) within their own conference before they start 3 consecutive games vs. 3 opponents from the opposing conference, then you should only treat the 3-game series vs. the opposing conference as eligible for play ONLY if that team has lost ALL of its road games from the beginning of the road trip by more than 3 points against the spread.
V2.0 System Update
In order to maximize your NBA winnings, we will get a little less strict on the filter for our 3-game series.
The v1.0 system calls for one team to be on 3 consecutive road games against 3 teams of the opposite conference in order for a play to be eligible.
Now, you may be surprised to know that as long as there are at least 2 teams that are from the opposite conference out of the 3 consecutive road games, then it is enough to make the series to be profitable for play.
Basically, everything about the v2.0 system remains the same, except for the fact a series is eligible for play as long as at least 2 out of the 3 teams are from the opposite conference, rather than requiring that ALL 3 teams must be from the opposite conference.
V3.0 System Update
In order to maximize your NBA winnings, we will get less strict on the filter for our 3-game series.
The v2.0 system calls for one team to be on 3 consecutive road games against at least 2 teams of the opposite conference in order for a play to be eligible.
Now, you may be surprised to know that as long as a team is starting a 3-game road trip, it is profitable to play them regardless of what conference their opponent may be in.
Basically, you want to bet on all 3-game road trips with the v3.0 system, with the same betting mechanics as in the original system.
Basically, everything about the v3.0 system remains the same as the v2.0 system, except for the fact a series is eligible for play as long as it’s the start of a 3-game road trip, regardless of what conferences the opponents may be on.
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That was it - just be careful out there!Comment -
11/28/18: Utah is an official {A} bet.Comment -
Utah Wins {A} Bet.
11/29/18: Golden State UNofficial {A} bet.
12/03/18: Denver
12/03/18: OKC
12/07/18: Miami
12/07/18: SacramentoComment -
As predicted "The Champ" wrote saying Houston was a win, and explaining at length why the line to use was the +1.5, which actually never appeared at my book! BUT they even lost the next game as well.
Goodluck on Golden State tonight.Comment -
December games:
12/3/2018 Denver 12/3/2018 OKC 12/7/2018 Miami 12/7/2018 Sacramento 12/11/2018 Toronto 12/15/2018 Lakers 12/17/2018 Phoenix 12/27/2018 Boston 12/27/2018 Phila 12/29/2018 New York 12/30/2018 Minnesota Comment -
12/02/18:
OKC is an official bet for 12/3
Denver is unofficial since their road trip began in conference and they won.Comment -
JM
NBA system bets for Friday December 7:
Miami {A} bet - Note: This bet happens this Friday on December 7th. This is a confirmed official betting series.
Sacramento {A} bet - Note: Pau Gasol is their best player, but he has not played in a month. He's now out for long enough that the injury filter for him no longer applies. Their next best player is DeMar DeRozan, and he is playing. Therefore, this is a confirmed official bet.
Remember to buy 3 points at no worse than -170 odds. If the point spread is anywhere between +.5 to -4, then the more efficient bet is to take the money line.
Note that any game listed as {A} would be game 1 of a 3-game chase series. If the {A} bet fails, then please automatically go to the {B} bet by repeating the same wager on the same team on their next immediate game. Similarly, go to the final {C} bet if the {B} bet fails. It's very rare for a series to require going to the {C} bet, and even rarer for the {C} bet to fail.
The {C} bet has only officially lost 1 time in the last 5 seasons of baseball AND basketball, and only twice in the last 7 seasons in both sports. The Champ NBA and MLB betting systems have been back-tested AND forward tested for decades, and both systems have proven to be decidedly profitable over time. I can't personally recall the last we've suffered a losing season. It's the same betting systems that drove a major sportsbook (BetJoint) out of business.
All the best,
The Champ Team
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Champ sent a note yesterday saying there is no bet on Sacramento. No explanation provided. Assuming it's because they started their road trip in conference and won. This goes down as an unofficial bet in my world so I bet half a unit. Please make your own call. Good luck!Comment -
JMNBA system bets for Tuesday December 11:
Toronto {A} bet - Note: This is an unofficial betting series for 2 reasons. Reason #1: Toronto has the best road record in the NBA. Reason #2: Their best player Kawhi Leonard is unlikely to play.
Remember to buy 3 points at no worse than -170 odds. If the point spread is anywhere between 0 to -4, then the more efficient bet is to take the money line.
Note that any game listed as {A} would be game 1 of a 3-game chase series. If the {A} bet fails, then please automatically go to the {B} bet by repeating the same wager on the same team on their next immediate game. Similarly, go to the final {C} bet if the {B} bet fails. It's very rare for a series to require going to the {C} bet, and even rarer for the {C} bet to fail.
Officially, a series is always over once a team wins straight up. This means that if a team is a -5 favorite, it would be taken on the money line. It’s not very common for a team to be favored by more than 3 points on the road, but it does happen. If our team is a heavy favorite where the money line odds require too great of a risk to win a small amount, then there are 4 different ways to approach it. Pick 1 that works best for you: 1. Bet on the money line as normally instructed. 2. Bet on the money line, but appropriately lower the amount of your bet to compensate for the higher odds. 3. Bet on the point spread and buy 3 points, but do not continue wagering on the series if your team wins the game outright, but does not cover on the spread. 4. Skip the betting series altogether.
The {C} bet has only officially lost 1 time in the last 5 seasons of baseball AND basketball, and only twice in the last 7 seasons in both sports. The Champ NBA and MLB betting systems have been back-tested AND forward tested for decades, and both systems have proven to be decidedly profitable over time. I can't personally recall the last we've suffered a losing season. It's the same betting systems that drove a major sportsbook (BetJoint) out of business.
All the best,
The Champ Team
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