Cavs to win the East -215

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  • fieryking
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-30-15
    • 114

    #1
    Cavs to win the East -215
    Cavs win the East -215

    $8400 to win $4000

    Is this not free money?

    Cavs should win the East 90-95% of the time.

    Anyone disagree?
  • rm18
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-20-05
    • 22291

    #2
    Hornets
    Comment
    • garygroundwork
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-12-12
      • 729

      #3
      Like it.
      Comment
      • pokerdevil
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-20-16
        • 433

        #4
        I dont like tying up funds for that long. Leaving that aside...

        The Cavs only won the #1 seed by 1 game last year; safe to say there is at least a 20% chance Toronto or Boston ekes out the #1 seed. But let's go ahead and grant the Cavs the #1 seed 100% of the time.

        If the Cavs are -5000 in Round 1, -675 in Round 2, and -400 in Round 3... you could just roll your winnings forward on each series and make the same -215, without tying up money for half a year. (I think this is a decent approximation of what their odds will be in each series.)

        And if they're somehow NOT the #1 seed, you'll be able to get better series prices than that, at least in the Conference Finals. Let's say -5000, -650, -250.
        Comment
        • DOM-Ganador
          SBR MVP
          • 05-30-12
          • 4479

          #5
          NOT only tying up all that $, but LBJ is 32 going on at least 35/36 if you count games/minutes etc. Olympics, etc.

          He has already played more minutes than dozens of HOF`ers.

          He has be supremely durable, but one late bad injury and that ticket is toilet paper.
          Comment
          • Seto
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-16-11
            • 12906

            #6
            -215? Isn't there far better numbers out there? You could easily make a case for it at -150 or better. Barring injury this is an easy play obviously.
            Comment
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