I dont like tying up funds for that long. Leaving that aside...
The Cavs only won the #1 seed by 1 game last year; safe to say there is at least a 20% chance Toronto or Boston ekes out the #1 seed. But let's go ahead and grant the Cavs the #1 seed 100% of the time.
If the Cavs are -5000 in Round 1, -675 in Round 2, and -400 in Round 3... you could just roll your winnings forward on each series and make the same -215, without tying up money for half a year. (I think this is a decent approximation of what their odds will be in each series.)
And if they're somehow NOT the #1 seed, you'll be able to get better series prices than that, at least in the Conference Finals. Let's say -5000, -650, -250.
Comment
DOM-Ganador
SBR MVP
05-30-12
4479
#5
NOT only tying up all that $, but LBJ is 32 going on at least 35/36 if you count games/minutes etc. Olympics, etc.
He has already played more minutes than dozens of HOF`ers.
He has be supremely durable, but one late bad injury and that ticket is toilet paper.
Comment
Seto
SBR Posting Legend
12-16-11
12906
#6
-215? Isn't there far better numbers out there? You could easily make a case for it at -150 or better. Barring injury this is an easy play obviously.