CK/wangichu's Think Tank

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  • Razz_Donkey
    SBR MVP
    • 12-27-08
    • 1756

    #491
    Anyone here taking the Celtics series price at +290 before the game tonight? If they win they will regain home court and should create good hedging/freeroll opportunities... Thought I'd ask since many have been feeling the Celts for an upset tonight.
    Comment
    • danrman
      SBR MVP
      • 08-30-08
      • 2696

      #492
      and now for the 10th time in a row the team interviewed at the half covers the 2nd half line
      Comment
      • danrman
        SBR MVP
        • 08-30-08
        • 2696

        #493
        im on c's ml a little razz fo sho
        Comment
        • isiah121
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-04-08
          • 313

          #494
          CK, can you please explain why its best to fade a team with line movement of over 3 points? At some books I have seen the Orlando Magic & Boston Celtics line moved from 192 to 195 aready. Thanks bro.
          Comment
          • cocknocker
            Restricted User
            • 11-06-08
            • 8001

            #495
            Originally posted by FreeFall
            Why is that? Care to prove it to me?

            Thank you,

            FreeFall
            Nope. I will not. You should have tuned in before the playoffs to find out. There's a thread that I made with all of the tips on it. Got to do the homework and find it homes if it is that important to you. I already know what I know, and my personal record is even better than the record for the challenge by about 5 games on the plus side.
            Comment
            • cocknocker
              Restricted User
              • 11-06-08
              • 8001

              #496
              Originally posted by isiah121
              CK, can you please explain why its best to fade a team with line movement of over 3 points? At some books I have seen the Orlando Magic & Boston Celtics line moved from 192 to 195 aready. Thanks bro.

              isiah121,

              It just is what it is. I was told that by a vet a long time ago. So fade the movement. It worked with the Rockets today,the under in the game yesterday between Cleveland and Atlanta too.
              Comment
              • lakerboy
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-02-09
                • 94379

                #497
                Originally posted by cocknocker
                isiah121,

                It just is what it is. I was told that by a vet a long time ago. So fade the movement. It worked with the Rockets today,the under in the game yesterday between Cleveland and Atlanta too.
                ck you are a genius brother i always read your posts and then make my picks although i dont agree with all of your picks i like your heavy picks as i usually agree with you
                Comment
                • Razz_Donkey
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-27-08
                  • 1756

                  #498
                  A little info worth sharing for those looking to play the over/under: 1st quarter is set at 48 total points. Average for the series has been 43.3 for actual first quarter points scored, 47 being the most. Regular season was the exact same, averaging 43 and topping out at 47. Under 48 for the 1st looks like a good play.
                  Comment
                  • ebbearsfb1
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-07-08
                    • 18815

                    #499
                    just trying to make ck ur plays are boston + plus 8?
                    i can only get boston plus 7 boston 1st half plus 2.5 and the under 194 for the game ?
                    Comment
                    • esz04
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 10-13-08
                      • 117

                      #500
                      CK, do you have any feeling on the Celtics ML? I have a parlay open with the Celtics ML and Rockets ML. Trying to decide if I should hedge it
                      Comment
                      • ebbearsfb1
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-07-08
                        • 18815

                        #501
                        u might as well take the magic money line then... i mean if u lose that who cares cause the celtics rockets parlay must be huge
                        Comment
                        • peeiempee
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-21-09
                          • 2750

                          #502
                          Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                          u might as well take the magic money line then... i mean if u lose that who cares cause the celtics rockets parlay must be huge
                          Agreed
                          Comment
                          • oBaMa_MaNiA
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-20-09
                            • 1067

                            #503
                            Random stat, quite useless actually.

                            Boston are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS after a double digit loss.
                            Comment
                            • esz04
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 10-13-08
                              • 117

                              #504
                              Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                              u might as well take the magic money line then... i mean if u lose that who cares cause the celtics rockets parlay must be huge
                              Well, if I hedge it will pay a little over 2.5 to 1 instead of 10 to 1. I'm not on it for anything big (just .5 unit), just a matter if I want to be greedy and gamble. Would feel better about the celtics if the line wasn't moving the wrong way with the public favoring them.
                              Comment
                              • MarkHammond
                                Restricted User
                                • 12-12-08
                                • 247

                                #505
                                its back up to 5
                                Comment
                                • cocknocker
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-06-08
                                  • 8001

                                  #506
                                  Originally posted by esz04
                                  CK, do you have any feeling on the Celtics ML? I have a parlay open with the Celtics ML and Rockets ML. Trying to decide if I should hedge it

                                  Hell no. Don't hedge good money with bad money. Let it ride
                                  Comment
                                  • cocknocker
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-06-08
                                    • 8001

                                    #507
                                    Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                                    just trying to make ck ur plays are boston + plus 8?
                                    i can only get boston plus 7 boston 1st half plus 2.5 and the under 194 for the game ?
                                    Yeah I caught it at 5 and made it 8. I also took the Celtics+2.5 1st half and a non-challenge wager on the under 197.5 I also didn't tease the bets because if Ray Allen and company lay an egg, I only want to lose the game spread once. Orlando can smell the next round, and Boston doesn't want to go down 3-1. This will get testy
                                    Comment
                                    • RoagBettor
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-20-09
                                      • 8355

                                      #508
                                      Line just moved to -5.5
                                      Comment
                                      • Cassidy
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 01-19-09
                                        • 125

                                        #509
                                        CK when your buy -170 lines, you lay your usual HEAVY juice to win or to risk?
                                        Comment
                                        • SmackdownV
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-14-09
                                          • 5918

                                          #510
                                          Sorry I'm late everyone.....just had dinner with the Moms......

                                          Took a HUGE 2 game parlay.....

                                          Boston ML
                                          Boston over 194............

                                          Who knows!
                                          Comment
                                          • Vreston
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-12-09
                                            • 1428

                                            #511
                                            Just booked Boston +5.5 @ 1.85 (-117) a few minutes ago. Live bet during the 2nd qtr.
                                            I fell asleep. Man it's hard for me to keep up with these games.
                                            Comment
                                            • Jobe2004
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 04-13-09
                                              • 101

                                              #512
                                              lol. NJ there on the half CK. it was a close 1...that goaltending sure helped out.

                                              BOL

                                              Originally posted by cocknocker
                                              Yeah I caught it at 5 and made it 8. I also took the Celtics+2.5 1st half and a non-challenge wager on the under 197.5 I also didn't tease the bets because if Ray Allen and company lay an egg, I only want to lose the game spread once. Orlando can smell the next round, and Boston doesn't want to go down 3-1. This will get testy
                                              Comment
                                              • cocknocker
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 11-06-08
                                                • 8001

                                                #513
                                                Originally posted by Cassidy
                                                CK when your buy -170 lines, you lay your usual HEAVY juice to win or to risk?
                                                To win. I don't like to pay for vig. When I go HEAVY with 3 points involved, I always go flat, but I put up enough consideration to make me feel good about the cut
                                                Comment
                                                • esz04
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 10-13-08
                                                  • 117

                                                  #514
                                                  Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                  Hell no. Don't hedge good money with bad money. Let it ride
                                                  Thank you CK and Big Baby for a big payday.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • CP Thrizzle
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-25-09
                                                    • 254

                                                    #515
                                                    WOW... That was nuts!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Abrcrom12
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 04-14-09
                                                      • 345

                                                      #516
                                                      BIG DAY!!!!


                                                      If you don't hang your balls out there and just do it, you'll never know what might have happened...
                                                      -- Valentino Rossi
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cocknocker
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                        • 8001

                                                        #517
                                                        wang,

                                                        I don't want to hear anymore of this Hawks shit out of you. I listed the Cavs-9.5 as a Challenge pick for us because it's gonna happen. Now dammit you'd better come on in...

                                                        Because both games are close out type games the overs are gonna look real good to me until further notice. I'm gonna sleep on the totals tonight.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cocknocker
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-06-08
                                                          • 8001

                                                          #518
                                                          Lakers-7 1st half game 5 is the muthaf*ckin' call of the week. They will respond to that blowout today BIGTIME.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RoagBettor
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-20-09
                                                            • 8355

                                                            #519
                                                            CK, are you betting it like a PC play?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • nonsense48
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-15-08
                                                              • 2927

                                                              #520
                                                              hey gang, hope all is well in your gaming world and this thing we all do for our enjoyment and a good payday. all is well and prosperous on this end. good luck and blessed be.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • nonsense48
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-15-08
                                                                • 2927

                                                                #521
                                                                Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                                Lakers-7 1st half game 5 is the muthaf*ckin' call of the week. They will respond to that blowout today BIGTIME.
                                                                agreed...HUGE
                                                                Comment
                                                                • melincrea
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 02-20-09
                                                                  • 276

                                                                  #522
                                                                  Originally posted by nonsense48
                                                                  agreed...HUGE
                                                                  Haven't seen you on here for a while.. welcome!

                                                                  BIG HEAVY OR SUPER HEAVY on Lakers -7 1st half ?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • wangichu
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-07-08
                                                                    • 946

                                                                    #523
                                                                    Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                                    wang,

                                                                    I don't want to hear anymore of this Hawks shit out of you. I listed the Cavs-9.5 as a Challenge pick for us because it's gonna happen. Now dammit you'd better come on in...

                                                                    Because both games are close out type games the overs are gonna look real good to me until further notice. I'm gonna sleep on the totals tonight.
                                                                    yeah alright... i got a little greedy looking for that hawks ML that made me so damn much money last year in the first round, but i should have known better seeing how lebron is playing... messed up thing is that i had the cover for most of the game, but with the cavs just being the better team, they ultimately overpowered the hawks... I'll get back to playing the cavs now with you though.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • wangichu
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-07-08
                                                                      • 946

                                                                      #524
                                                                      CK... what do you think about the cavs 1st half. The line i've got at betus is -6, well over half of the 9.5 game spread. My instincts tell me that the books are REALLY trying to scare money of the cavs at half.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Idawg357
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 03-17-09
                                                                        • 28

                                                                        #525
                                                                        Yo C is that. Cavs play heavy or BIG
                                                                        Comment
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