CK/wangichu's Think Tank

NBA Hero · 05-11-09, 09:50 AM

chuck,you've been out a long time. GL

RoagBettor · 05-11-09, 09:53 AM

Celtics line is out, opened at -3 and quickly went to -2.5.

Hmmm.....

chipper8888 · 05-11-09, 10:13 AM

just back from a 3 month trip overseas, hope everyone is well

Not to sure about this new format of hunting 16 pages of jiba jaba for the nights picks CK but hey its youre show

anyone tell me why we shouldnt take Dallas tonight ?

ASH0479 · 05-11-09, 10:17 AM

....

Hey CK....How can I get ahold of you?

BL · 05-11-09, 10:31 AM

Originally posted by cocknocker

wang,

I don't want to hear anymore of this Hawks shit out of you. I listed the Cavs-9.5 as a Challenge pick for us because it's gonna happen. Now dammit you'd better come on in...

Because both games are close out type games the overs are gonna look real good to me until further notice. I'm gonna sleep on the totals tonight.

I am reading for month here but yet not registered myself. Well, here i am..
I am with you on Cleveland. No doubt on Cleveland closing out today. Playing CLE -10 big. I am also with you seeing this game going OVER the total like Close out games often do.
But, the game at dallas will go UNDER the total of 210. Dallas and Denver - both wont laydown this one. To bet on Dallas or Denver is pure gambling if you ask me. But taking the UNDER looks quite fine. If Denver wants to get a shot on this they got to come out with stronger defense. Denver likes lowscoring on the road as well. The Over in the last game would have come even faster without that 1Q. This night the Under is the right pick -> all reasons for playing the under in game 3 are going to make sense tonight. BL

Smogs · 05-11-09, 12:41 PM

Just a little reminder that the last 2 matchups between Dallas and Denver went over, the first by 14, the second by an annoying 2. The thread about trends suggests this should now be an under call.

The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Dallas's last 23 games when playing at home against Denver - for a bit of value in the pick

Now off to the pub to watch Boro lose to Newcastle

sweetjones55 · 05-11-09, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Lakers-7 1st half game 5 is the muthaf*ckin' call of the week. They will respond to that blowout today BIGTIME.

What do you see the line movement doing on this one, any chance it goes to 6.5? Houston is a better 1st half team so I am thinking people might take the 7 with Houston.

cs11787 · 05-11-09, 02:21 PM

I love when Lakers get beat like they did because theres free money waiting to happen the next game!!!

Im gonna be hitting the team total over for the Lakers heavy also.

cocknocker · 05-11-09, 03:31 PM

Hang in there wang! I'm still watching the line before I make a call on that total. I'll know everything that I need to know in an hour or so. I think that if I wait it out I'll get an extra hook at the least.

What's up, non? Thanks for stopping by and checkin' in!

cocknocker · 05-11-09, 03:34 PM

Originally posted by wangichu

CK... what do you think about the cavs 1st half. The line i've got at betus is -6, well over half of the 9.5 game spread. My instincts tell me that the books are REALLY trying to scare money of the cavs at half.

I think that if the Hawks can make few shots it can be close. I am gonna hold off on that one. Whatever we play on this game has to be for the full game only to get the full value.

SmackdownV · 05-11-09, 03:35 PM

Ck all day.

Broncos9798 · 05-11-09, 03:54 PM

Ideal Situation

LETS GO NUGGETS LETS GO!

The ideal situation is that the Nuggets close out this series tonight, then Kobe Bryant breaks his leg in like a game 6 or 7 vs. Houston. Then all we will need is Lebron James to suffer a season ending injury and you will have the championship DENVER NUGGETS!

Small play Nuggets ML(Kinda Scared Mavs fire back tonight but also want to risk the beer money for the game)

GL ALL!

cocknocker · 05-11-09, 03:56 PM

Alright, wang has texted me and he is not comfortable with playing the Cavs. But I already have. So we decided to take that play off of our Challenge. Just know that this is how i played it

Cavs-6.5 when the line was 9.5 by buying 3 points (LT rule applied)

Idawg357 · 05-11-09, 04:10 PM

Originally posted by Razz_Donkey

Anyone here taking the Celtics series price at +290 before the game tonight? If they win they will regain home court and should create good hedging/freeroll opportunities... Thought I'd ask since many have been feeling the Celts for an upset tonight.

thax dudester got i

SmackdownV · 05-11-09, 04:14 PM

Cocknocker......

What about your over play on the Cavs? Is that still one you like at 183.5?

It's either competitive or a BLOWOUT.......either way....I feel Cavs get to high 90's.......only question is can the dirty birds score more than 60?

Let us know!

cocknocker · 05-11-09, 04:18 PM

We will be playing the Mavs/Nuggets over 211 Game 4 for the challenge. I am sold. I have seen all that I need to see out of this line.

I actually played the game this way

Mavs/Nuggets over 208 straight with a 3 point buy

and teased the game with 4 points this way

Mavs+2
Mavs/Nuggets over 207

SmackdownV · 05-11-09, 04:20 PM

As for the Denver game:

Said Dallas' coach, Rick Carlisle: "We're ready to play tonight, I have no doubt about that. "We've made progress each game and Game 3 was by far our best game on both ends of the court. We've got to play Mavericks basketball - we've got to get more stops and rebounds and get out in transition, because that's our game."

Mavs want to play fast tonight........so over is looking good to me............NO WAY the Nuggets have that kind of a first quarter again tonight.....they smell blood in the water and they a gonna eat some Mavs for dinner.

cocknocker · 05-11-09, 04:22 PM

Originally posted by SmackdownV

Cocknocker......

What about your over play on the Cavs? Is that still one you like at 183.5?

It's either competitive or a BLOWOUT.......either way....I feel Cavs get to high 90's.......only question is can the dirty birds score more than 60?

Let us know!

Hey man, I wish that I knew. The Dallas call is easy. 66% of the public is on the under and the line goes up. But the Cleveland line is going up and is matched by the movement of the public's laying 75% on the over. So the line is doing what it's supposed to be doing. If I make an over play on this one, it will be before 3:30, trust me on that! I'm still stewing on it.

melincrea · 05-11-09, 04:27 PM

I think your Cleveland -9.5 play was solid.. in my opinion,

.

-Cleveland has won all their playoff games this season by double-digits
-Cleveland has defeated Detroit 4-0; what would possibly stop them from doing the same to Atlanta?
-of the 4 games vs. Detroit, the last one was the win with the largest lead

Let's hope the trend continues. I am with you on this one. Sexymit, change your mind!

suckatmyjob · 05-11-09, 04:27 PM

best of luck to you guys i'm thinking cleveland's game will be under and the dallas game will be under

I dont know just sticking with the rules after 2 overs this going under and Dallas isnt going to throw in the towel yet

ATL vs CLE - if ATL wants to win they need to stop LEBRON and i'm sorry watching lebron live is so much better then on TV and I'm thinking if by 3rd quarter ATL is down alot we going to see them giving up and they just going to play with no defense

SmackdownV · 05-11-09, 04:34 PM

suckatmyjob....

Be careful on that Dallas under......Kenyon is Pissed....the entire Dallas team is pissed and the coach wants to run tonight.......Denver LOVES to run.

I am on the other side my man......This game goes in the 220 range tonight.

sweetjones55 · 05-11-09, 04:37 PM

What do you guy think about playing the Cavs 1st and 3rd quarter over 24? They have gone over 24 in every single 3rd quarter in this series and have gone over every 1st quarter with the exception of one where they scored 22. I think at the very worst I win one, lose one and there is a great chance I win both.

O, boy. CK and Wang disagreed and cancelled their cavs play... I think we all know what that means

SmackdownV · 05-11-09, 04:45 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

What do you guy think about playing the Cavs 1st and 3rd quarter over 24? They have gone over 24 in every single 3rd quarter in this series and have gone over every 1st quarter with the exception of one where they scored 22. I think at the very worst I win one, lose one and there is a great chance I win both.

O, boy. CK and Wang disagreed and cancelled their cavs play... I think we all know what that means

........................................ ........................................ .............

I think that means take the Dirty Birds.......but that's too risky....so I think that means take the over and do this...............

sweetjones55 · 05-11-09, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by SmackdownV

........................................ ........................................ .............

I think that means take the Dirty Birds.......but that's too risky....so I think that means take the over and do this...............

No, every time CK and Wang so far have cancelled their play they have regreted it. CK has been wanting to take the Cavs a few times in this series and they never put it in and they changed their denver play to dallas in game 2.

cocknocker · 05-11-09, 04:48 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

What do you guy think about playing the Cavs 1st and 3rd quarter over 24? They have gone over 24 in every single 3rd quarter in this series and have gone over every 1st quarter with the exception of one where they scored 22. I think at the very worst I win one, lose one and there is a great chance I win both.

O, boy. CK and Wang disagreed and cancelled their cavs play... I think we all know what that means

I still have Cleveland, it's just a renegade pick now, that's all

SmackdownV · 05-11-09, 04:50 PM

My question is:

Why in the hell is the Cavs over going so high so fast? Dirty Birds have pretty much sucked on offense the past two series????

Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm.........?????????? ??

wrongturn · 05-11-09, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by SmackdownV

My question is:

Why in the hell is the Cavs over going so high so fast? Dirty Birds have pretty much sucked on offense the past two series????

Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm.........?????????? ??

Maybe the coach told players to play street ball since it will be the last game for them to enjoy before go fishing?

BCaldwell32 · 05-11-09, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by Broncos9798

LETS GO NUGGETS LETS GO!

The ideal situation is that the Nuggets close out this series tonight, then Kobe Bryant breaks his leg in like a game 6 or 7 vs. Houston. Then all we will need is Lebron James to suffer a season ending injury and you will have the championship DENVER NUGGETS!

Small play Nuggets ML(Kinda Scared Mavs fire back tonight but also want to risk the beer money for the game)

GL ALL!

The way Denver is playing, they might not need the injuries to win the title, very dangerous team clicking on all cylinders!!

Smogs · 05-11-09, 05:22 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

We will be playing the Mavs/Nuggets over 211 Game 4 for the challenge. I am sold. I have seen all that I need to see out of this line.

Dammit, already played the under before i saw that CK was the other way. Now i am going against CK and Wang who are averaging 70%+ in this tourney

SmackdownV · 05-11-09, 05:31 PM

My picks for the first game:

ATL over 183.5
Dirty Buzzards +10.5

NBA....."National Bookie Association"

sweetjones55 · 05-11-09, 05:47 PM

There's RLM on the Cavs on my book (5dimes). Cavs are now -9.5

Dexter · 05-11-09, 05:52 PM

ck - where is wang? tournament starts in 8 minutes wang!

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicapping-contests/179605-wangchiu-vs-dexter-round-1-a.html

suckatmyjob · 05-11-09, 05:55 PM

i think first game ATL is over and 2nd game still under all well best of luck

cocknocker · 05-11-09, 06:04 PM

We had a text thing going today Dexter. We're cool. He hasn't come out all the way and said that he wants to take Dallas, but we'll see. It starting to look like it will be a play....I just hit him now to see what he wants to do...

MarkHammond · 05-11-09, 06:08 PM

dallas denver line down to 210