CK/wangichu's Think Tank

RoagBettor · 05-14-09, 09:37 AM

I think the under is the play on the Celtics/Magic game tonight, assuming the strategy is to pound the ball into Dwight Howard and not live or die by the 3.

sweetjones55 · 05-14-09, 03:25 PM

Wang, CK no comments on anything on the games today? Wang I know you like Orlando but you were leaning, you still taking them?

wangichu · 05-14-09, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Wang, CK no comments on anything on the games today? Wang I know you like Orlando but you were leaning, you still taking them?

i mean i'm waiting on CK's blessing for the challenge, and i may put more on them if he joins in, but i'm definitely riding the orlando train. That line movement has me sold for days. The sheep are lining up for the slaughter taking those 7 points.

kmarinouofm · 05-14-09, 03:55 PM

yeah the movement makes 0 sense ... the other night the movement supported the Magic as a pick (and i still think vegas wanted the magic to win that game) but boston pulled it out..

Magic get serious revenge tonight!!

Originally posted by wangichu

i mean i'm waiting on CK's blessing for the challenge, and i may put more on them if he joins in, but i'm definitely riding the orlando train. That line movement has me sold for days. The sheep are lining up for the slaughter taking those 7 points.

ram1502 · 05-14-09, 03:55 PM

Yeah I noticed that too wang. It looks like the money is still split pretty much 50/50 and the line has gone up a full point. That in itself, aside from the fact that I think the Magic will come out tonight with a lot more heart and determination and take care of the Celtics, made my decision for me. It's the Magic for me...bought it down to -6..

ram1502 · 05-14-09, 03:56 PM

Yeah I noticed that too wang. It looks like the money is still split pretty much 50/50 and the line has gone up a full point. That in itself, aside from the fact that I think the Magic will come out tonight with a lot more heart and determination and take care of the Celtics, made my decision for me. It's the Magic for me...bought it down to -6..

kmarinouofm · 05-14-09, 04:02 PM

yeah the movement makes 0 sense ... the other night the movement supported the Magic as a pick (and i still think vegas wanted the magic to win that game) but boston pulled it out..

Magic get serious revenge tonight!!

Originally posted by wangichu

i mean i'm waiting on CK's blessing for the challenge, and i may put more on them if he joins in, but i'm definitely riding the orlando train. That line movement has me sold for days. The sheep are lining up for the slaughter taking those 7 points.

sweetjones55 · 05-14-09, 04:06 PM

I feel like there is so much pressure on Dwight Howard. The mood in their lockroom can not be good after their star player just went after his own head coach. Boston on the other hand should be playing very loose today knowing that they still have another shot at home if they can't pull it off today.

cocknocker · 05-14-09, 04:12 PM

I'm looking at playing a total, wang. I will text you with it so be ready to post it when I do. BTW which one do you like the most? First half or game? I am torn bcause I have the Celtics for the series price. So for me, it's best to just chill on the sides. If Orlando is gonna get it done, this is the game to do it in. I'm just not comfortable with the number for this game. Orlando and the total should be teased. Orlando gets leads go on scoring lulls and give the lead up within one quarter of play. They get up by 20 and instead of feeding Dwight the ball they keep chucking up ill advised threes with 17 seconds left on the clock.

If you like them in the first half then I can sort of go along with that more. We've only got two picks left homes.

Here's what I like Houston/Lakers over 197. Houston ain't gonna go out without a fight and the threes will be raining!

So let's go with Orlando first half (Yours)
Lakers/Rockets over 197 (Mine)

cocknocker · 05-14-09, 04:17 PM

Okay I actually played it at over Lakers/Rockets 194 with a 3 point buy

SlicWilly3 · 05-14-09, 04:51 PM

What do you guys think about Houston 1st qtr +3 or Houston 1st half +5? I like both of those plays.... And then maybe LA for the 2nd half if Houston has the lead or its close at half?

SlicWilly3 · 05-14-09, 04:53 PM

Man I really like Orlando at Home tonight too....But that's a lot of points to be giving up? I may take it and buy it down to -5 1/2....hmmm, not as confident about the NBA tonight as I have been with MLB lately

wangichu · 05-14-09, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

I'm looking at playing a total, wang. I will text you with it so be ready to post it when I do. BTW which one do you like the most? First half or game? I am torn bcause I have the Celtics for the series price. So for me, it's best to just chill on the sides. If Orlando is gonna get it done, this is the game to do it in. I'm just not comfortable with the number for this game. Orlando and the total should be teased. Orlando gets leads go on scoring lulls and give the lead up within one quarter of play. They get up by 20 and instead of feeding Dwight the ball they keep chucking up ill advised threes with 17 seconds left on the clock.

If you like them in the first half then I can sort of go along with that more. We've only got two picks left homes.

Here's what I like Houston/Lakers over 197. Houston ain't gonna go out without a fight and the threes will be raining!

So let's go with Orlando first half (Yours)
Lakers/Rockets over 197 (Mine)

i can definitely jive with that, but i cannot get over the RLM on that game with all the sheep lining up excited about the free chicken dinner that they scored from orlando's late game collapse in game 5. There is no way in my mind that the books would add an extra point to that spread, knowing that boston was going to draw an ass of money, if they weren't fully confident that the magic learned their lesson last game and will be able to hold a lead at home. I'll be playing them hard throughout. You going to at least take them -4, figuring that the + money you got on boston is a solid hedge and could still hit even if the magic win?

Dexter · 05-14-09, 05:27 PM

yeah, i'm rolling with the magic in game 6 - then the celts in game 7.

SlicWilly3 · 05-14-09, 05:34 PM

Ended up rolling with a lot of prop bets for the 2 NBA games tonight, smaller amounts though, 50 bucks a pop:

Bost/Orlando

Orlando -1 1/2 (2nd qtr) -115
Boston +1 1/2 (4th qtr) -115
Orlando -12 1/2 (Game) +190

LA/Houston

Over 197 1/2 (Game) -110
Houston +3 (1st qtr) -115
Houston +5 (1st half) -110
Lakers -4 1/2 (Game) -200
Kobe Bryant to score more pts than Ron Artest (Kobe at -9 1/2 pts) Even $$$
Rumor is Ron Artest missed shoot around with a stomach virus, but will play in game??
Saw this in another thread in NBA section....

OperatorX · 05-14-09, 05:36 PM

I think the Magic might pull this one out and win the next 2.. Boston has to be getting pretty tired and I think that youth and energy will get the better of this matchup in the long run. However, its tough to count out experience.

repski · 05-14-09, 05:41 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Okay I actually played it at over Lakers/Rockets 194 with a 3 point buy

layin lots of vigorish lately CK..whats up??

cocknocker · 05-14-09, 06:25 PM

It's how to wager on playoffs, repski. I also took Orlando-3 wang on a teaser with them Lakers and Lakers over. That's a number that I can work with.

laxdjock · 05-14-09, 08:37 PM

Over 198, 1 unit
LAL -4.5 1H, 1 unit

GL ALL!

wangichu · 05-14-09, 08:53 PM

wow... i about had 10 heart attacks in that game. Midway through the second when the magic were down 8, i saw that i could live bet the magic moneyline at -145, so i hit it for everything that i would have won had they won the 1st quarter and 1st half, plus i took them at the half -5.5. Put my nuts on the line in that one, but boy did i come out lucky.

wrongturn · 05-14-09, 09:01 PM

Originally posted by wangichu

wow... i about had 10 heart attacks in that game. Midway through the second when the magic were down 8, i saw that i could live bet the magic moneyline at -145, so i hit it for everything that i would have won had they won the 1st quarter and 1st half, plus i took them at the half -5.5. Put my nuts on the line in that one, but boy did i come out lucky.

Congrats. The refs were on your side as well.

Dexter · 05-14-09, 09:24 PM

the greek is showing the celts at -2 in game 7. i had my projected line at 4.

jump on that now if you like boston. that line is an oddsmakers error that the sharps may correct very soon.

djpremier36 · 05-14-09, 09:42 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

the greek is showing the celts at -2 in game 7. i had my projected line at 4.

jump on that now if you like boston. that line is an oddsmakers error that the sharps may correct very soon.

Pinnacle opened up at -1 BOS and it has quickly jumped up to -1.5. Looks like the books trust ORL to keep it close and possibly win it on the road.

Slight lean towards the under at 188.

cocknocker · 05-14-09, 10:01 PM

2nd half Lakers/Rockets over 99 BIG

BET THE FARM · 05-14-09, 10:04 PM

CK, I am following I hope you right, I have had two horrible days in a row.

peeiempee · 05-14-09, 10:05 PM

Alrite gonna tail you too CK

jellobiafra · 05-14-09, 10:06 PM

Thanks CK. Be nice if it goes over 109.

cohen59 · 05-14-09, 10:18 PM

I bet it hard i hope the lakers show some heart in the second half and dont just roll over this is a chance for Kobe to define himself as Kobe!!

oBaMa_MaNiA · 05-14-09, 11:15 PM

Am I right to say we fade the winner of Orlando/Celtics and Lakers/Houston in the first game of the Conference playoffs, CK?

RoagBettor · 05-14-09, 11:18 PM

The over is dead and so are the Lakers. Geez, between MLB and the NBA I've given it all back the last 2 nights. Need to regroup.

melincrea · 05-14-09, 11:28 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

The over is dead and so are the Lakers. Geez, between MLB and the NBA I've given it all back the last 2 nights. Need to regroup.

My bankroll was at $2587 on May 2nd.. its now at $958... this is the most painful thing I have ever experienced... I'm thinking Boston -0.5 for $200 will be good tomorrow.

Hoping that cocknocker/wangichu can give me some insight on this (in regards to the amount of my bankroll, and if they would say if it's safe or not)

cnleaf · 05-14-09, 11:29 PM

Money management, man. If not, even a PC play cant save u.

RoagBettor · 05-14-09, 11:34 PM

Originally posted by cnleaf

Money management, man. If not, even a PC play cant save u.

Exactly. I'm only down 15% from my high of the week even though I've had 2 brutal days with mainly losses.

Let's get'em tomorrow!

BET THE FARM · 05-14-09, 11:43 PM

Originally posted by melincrea

My bankroll was at $2587 on May 2nd.. its now at $958... this is the most painful thing I have ever experienced... I'm thinking Boston -0.5 for $200 will be good tomorrow.

Hoping that cocknocker/wangichu can give me some insight on this (in regards to the amount of my bankroll, and if they would say if it's safe or not)

I am dealing with the same thing, I have literally lost like 15 in a row. I dont get this crap some times. FUK

oBaMa_MaNiA · 05-15-09, 12:03 AM

You guys should still be up at least 10 times your bankroll from the beginning of the playoffs if you made all the plays, irregardless of the last two days unless you've been slightly greedy!