Turning $10 into $8000 lolz

[Grivas_Digeni]

It can be any day. Honestly, I don't know that I'll have any final four plays for this thread. Definitely nothing in the Oklahoma Villanova game. I'm high on Syracuse and I already have a little money on them at +9.5, but I could see anything happen there.

It's hard for me to argue with someone who knows so much more and has done so well. The last and only time I've done this in LKid's thread was his huge bet on a Syracuse/Middle Tenn under 132 the other week. I liked the over. I lost.

But what about UNC being bigger, in a gym where jump shots won't fall? Is this going to be a major issue for Syracuse?

1) A buddy of mine says: in the Big Dance, always take the team that can make a 17 ft jumpshot. He's done well this season.

2) From what I've learnt from previews, making jump shots is going to be a challenge in that gym. It has been, historically.

My question to people who watch a lot of CBB and especially ACC experts is this:

Which of the Final Four teams is most jump shot reliant?

In other words, who is likely to be handicapped the worst by the legendary 'depth perception issues' in Houston? And also, wouldn't it make sense to avoid Syracuse because they are at such an obvious size/rebounding disadvantage vs UNC? One could argue the Orange will have a major problem catching up since jump shots probably will have a harder time falling for them... they won't fall for UNC either but they score more from the paint and therefore have other routes to get points in that football stadium.

[Jayvegas420]

Oklahoma is jump shooting reliant.
After all the crazy luck PS has gotten outta Syracuse, I wonder if he'll go with them one last time.
I know he doesn't like my Oklahoma but if Oklahoma advances, I would love to see buddy hield play Syracuse instead of the heels.

This is going to be a very exciting bet.

Good luck PS

[WalkingLuckCharm]

[frugalgambler]

Why should there be a bet on the FF games, those lines must be pretty tight.

[Jayvegas420]

They weren't last round.
Why this round?

9 seems right for Syracuse? No way.
That's your 2-3 point game

[POOLSIDE]

Oklahoma is jump shooting reliant.
After all the crazy luck PS has gotten outta Syracuse, I wonder if he'll go with them one last time.
I know he doesn't like my Oklahoma but if Oklahoma advances, I would love to see buddy hield play Syracuse instead of the heels.

This is going to be a very exciting bet.

Good luck PS

I don't like Oklahoma? Think you've got me confused. I love Buddy, and would be pretty excited if he ended up on my Lakers. However, I'm semi relying on teams to shoot a lower percentage from midrange and outside so I'm staying away from that game. Betting the Nova/Oklahoma game is literally a dart throw. That said, Oklahoma and Syracuse is my dream championship game. I want to see this game.

[Jayvegas420]

It can be any day. Honestly, I don't know that I'll have any final four plays for this thread. Definitely nothing in the Oklahoma Villanova game. I'm high on Syracuse and I already have a little money on them at +9.5, but I could see anything happen there.

I should have said "you didn't like the game".

We want the same final!

G L whatever you go with. This is an epic thread.

[POOLSIDE]

The bet on Syracuse basically says that unc isn't gonna run the Orange out of the building for the following reasons. They didn't do so in Chapel Hill less than a month ago. They're not just gonna all of a sudden have their way with the Syracuse zone. Most importantly, they'll shoot poorly from outside.

This last one is the key for me. Unc has been a very average outside shooting team all year. I know they've gotten hot recently, but I don't buy that at face value. It's an anomaly. We know what this team shoots from the outside, and it's not spectacular. Add in the the depth issues created by a basketball game being played in a football stadium, and you've got a perfect recipe for regression. Plus, unc has basically played perfect basketball the first four games of this tournament. They haven't been tested in the final minutes of a game. We know by now that almost no team breezes through the tournament like this. It just doesn't happen. They're not all of a sudden thaaaaat much better than the rest of the world.

Syracuse on the other hand? They've been tested, and big time. I don't need to get into that here. But we know that this team is capable of playing composed with their backs dangling over a cliff.

Another thing ink that's been bothering me is how so many people have been saying Syracuse hasn't played anyone to get this far. Umm, okay. And who the fcck has North Carolina played? Their first two games each are as follows. Syracuse played Dayton & Middle Tennessee State. Unc played Florida Gulf Coast and Providence. That's a wash if ever there was one. Next games Syracuse played Gonzaga and Virginia. Unc played Indiana and Notre Dame. Again, that's pretty much a wash. I could listen to an agrument that either one them had a slightly more difficult run, but that's debatable either way. However, I'm certainly not gonna entertain the opinion that unc's road was muuuuch tougher. It's simply not true.

I'll take the points here. I'm getting the better defense and the way better coach and nine and half points. Wtf, I might have talked myself into play number ten ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[wizcodlifa]

What about offensive rebounding tho poolside? Extra possessions for unc will kill cuse. Best o rebounding team in the country vs a 2-3 zone.... Cuse has to hit 3s to stay in it and that doesn't seem like its gonna happen because of the stadium... GOOD LUCK, be careful

[POOLSIDE]

What about offensive rebounding tho poolside? Extra possessions for unc will kill cuse. Best o rebounding team in the country vs a 2-3 zone.... Cuse has to hit 3s to stay in it and that doesn't seem like its gonna happen because of the stadium... GOOD LUCK, be careful

Totally fair point. Cuse does give up a lot of offensive rebounds due to the zone. Boeheim has a week to tweak his zone specifically for the Tar Heels. If Syracuse can limit these, and manage to get the majority of the 50/50 plays to go in their favor, I really like their chances on the moneyline.

[WalkingLuckCharm]

Totally fair point. Cuse does give up a lot of offensive rebounds due to the zone. Boeheim has a week to tweak his zone specifically for the Tar Heels. If Syracuse can limit these, and manage to get the majority of the 50/50 plays to go in their favor, I really like their chances on the moneyline.

Ooft. Might sprinkle some on the ml then

Play 10: all in on ML no spread??

[PrinceD]

Any leans with Valpo/GW tonight?

[POOLSIDE]

Any leans with Valpo/GW tonight?

I'd take Valpo on the ml. I like it but don't love it.

[Broncos]

What about the over?

[POOLSIDE]

What about the over?

I'll almost certainly be betting the under in both games tomorrow. The last 19 Syracuse games have gone 16-3 under this total, if my quick math is accurate. Plus we can expect shooting percentages to drop tomorrow, due to the stadium as well as the moment.

[dfish]

Best of Luck Pool

[ATLIEN6]

i need some POOLSIDE magic bro, my BR is hurting

[Shark]

I'll almost certainly be betting the under in both games tomorrow. The last 19 Syracuse games have gone 16-3 under this total, if my quick math is accurate. Plus we can expect shooting percentages to drop tomorrow, due to the stadium as well as the moment.

Everyone is all over this depth perception angle. Even ESPN is talking about it. Any chance that turns out to be a non issue?

[POOLSIDE]

Everyone is all over this depth perception angle. Even ESPN is talking about it. Any chance that turns out to be a non issue?

Of course there is. But I hardly think it would have the opposite effect. All of a sudden everyone is shooting 70%? Doubt it.

I think the moment will get to some of these guys. I think unc has been shooting out of their minds lately and it's not sustainable. After four blowout wins, they look really really good right now and Vegas set the line high intentionally, knowing they'll get way more money on Carolina anyway.

[jab86]

I think Shark is spot-on. Even my mother is starting to buy into the "experts'" shooting concerns. It won't have the reverse effect, of course, but I think it's likely a non-issue. So everybody in the world thinks the games will be low-scoring. Sure there is some history, indicating the shooting % will drop in that building, but how big is the sample size and are all players subject and vulnerable to the same circumstances? Also, how many of those bricks are gonna be rebounded and put back in. Shooting % may not be indicative of points scored in this case. If these games do go under it will not be because of a shooting perception issue. As a side note, the last Cuse-UNC total was 145 at the Dean dome.....It is now set at 144.5 which doesn't suggest an expectation of a massive shooting drop off. I do think the line is way too high, being that both games were closer than 10 points this year.

[pacman100]

Well, the suspense is almost over. By now, I have a good feeling I know what the tenth bet will be..

[olamide]

Well, the suspense is almost over. By now, I have a good feeling I know what the tenth bet will be..

Syracuse +9.5

[POOLSIDE]

Well, the suspense is almost over. By now, I have a good feeling I know what the tenth bet will be..

Syracuse +9.5

Lol it sure is looking that way. I like the play and with college hoops winding down, I'm running out of valuable options.

[POOLSIDE]

Bet #10

Syracuse Orange +9.5 (-105)
$2000 to win $1904.76

[iloseagain]

love it man!!! GL!! I really like Cuse here too. 9.5 is a lot. I hope you cash brotha

[POOLSIDE]

love it man!!! GL!! I really like Cuse here too. 9.5 is a lot. I hope you cash brotha

Thanks! I sure hope I do too. I realize this is starting to look like a Syracuse fanboy thread, but I keep seeing value on them. I had them in the national championship game on my bracket, and that included beating Michigan State on the way. I still think they're undervalued due to the ten seed as well as the popular opinion that "they shouldn't have even made the tournament". I'd like to see this team play Monday night.

[WalkingLuckCharm]

Good luck man no way I won't be tailing

[IamsoBurnt]

Bet #10

Syracuse Orange +9.5 (-105)
$2000 to win $1904.76

LETS GET IT ...GO ORANGE...win lose or draw ..u r one sharp capper

[Manny0825]

God luck bro. Gonna add to my savings. Back to being a responsible student..lol

[lisalisa]

good luck, hope this hits....majority of my bankroll will be on this pick!
let's get it done!

[keel44]

You should be risking more than $2000 right?

[captrobey]

I like this too in my parlay

2 Team PARLAY $ 998.00 wagered to win $ 2,594.80 at 04/02/2016 13:01 Odds : 2.60 to 1 Via Website	PARLAY COMMITTED			$ 998.00
	04/02/2016 20:45 CB SYRACUSE to Win+9.5(-110) SYRACUSE vs NORTH CAROLINA NCAA Tournament @ Houston, TX
	04/02/2016 18:05 CB Point Total Over 144.5(-110) VILLANOVA vs OKLAHOMA

[CJ]

You should be risking more than $2000 right?

His book caps him at $2K... the troubles with winning, right?

[POOLSIDE]

You should be risking more than $2000 right?

Heritage max bet, but I'm cool with it. The original idea was to win ten in a row at -105 and that would get us to roughly 8k. Well, I won a few plus money bets and we'll be right around 8k even with the limitation. Plus if we lose, we're up almost four grand.

[Slipknot26]

Well , there's a First time for everything
I'm in , noticed this awesome thread but after you hit all these...FML
But riding shotgun today
Best of luck