Zwer23 NBA Picks

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
## Jazz @ Grizzlies Over 191,5 @1,909 ##
Predicted score: 97 - 100
Over is 8-1 in Jazz last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.
Over is 13-3 in Grizzlies last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 8-2 in Grizzlies last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 11-3 in Grizzlies last 14 vs. Western Conference.
** Bet Amount: 6 Units **

[Zwer23]

## Rockets @ Bulls Under 215,5 @1,892 ##
Predicted Score: 103 - 104
I pick Under because Bulls home play on average 99,5 - 97,8, and even with teams that play fast and no defence, Bulls plays under 215 points in total, here are some games versus teams similar to Rockets:
95 - 103 vs. Blazers
109 - 104 vs. Wizards
100 - 114 vs. Wizards
101 - 92 vs. Celtics
98 - 94 vs. Pelicans
Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.
Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
** Bet Amount: 8Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
## Oklahoma @ Milwaukee Over 216,5 @1,935 ##
Predicted score: 113 - 105
Oklahome plays 110,4 - 106 o naverage on the road with 16 - 12 Overs, Bucks are 17 - 11 Over home with average of 101,4 - 101,2.
Bucks - Wizards 99 - 92
Bucks - Rockets 128 - 121
Bucks - Celtics 112 - 111
Bucks - Spurs 98 - 123
Bucks - Warriors 108 - 95 - big letdown game from GSW
OKC away @ similar to Bucks:
116 - 131 @ Kings
123 - 119 @ Pelicans
103 - 116 @ Mavs
123 - 126 @ Wolves
111 - 111 OT @ Knicks
116 - 106 @ Nets
Oklahoma City outraced Milwaukee 131-123 in the first meeting on Dec. 29 in very high scoring game and I expect something similar today..
Over is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 9-3 in Thunder last 12 road games.
Over is 6-0 in Bucks last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
** Bet Amount: 6Units **

[Zwer23]

BET #1.
## GS vs. ORL -13,5 @1,909 ##
Predicted score: 99 - 114
ORL road games @ best teams:
117 - 114 @ Thunder
107 - 92 @ Spurs
104 - 79 @ Cavs
103 - 101 @ Clippers
117 - 103 @ Cavs
GS home vs. similar to ORL and after loss:
123 - 110 vs. Rockets
127 - 107 vs. Mavs
111 - 101 vs. Hornets
116 - 98 vs. Lakers
128 - 103 vs. Suns
Warriors are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss.
Warriors are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 0 days rest.
Magic are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
** Bet Amount: 5Units **

[Zwer23]

BET #2.
## MIL @ CHI Under 213,5 @1,884 ##
Predicted score: 97 - 101
Main reason for this is that Bulls play 17 - 12 Under Home with average of 99,8 - 97,8, and here are few similar games:
108 - 100 vs. HOU
109 - 104 vs. WAS
100 - 114 vs. WAS
117 - 106 vs. MIL (55% FG)
108 - 81 vs. NYK
102 - 105 vs. BK
Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.
Under is 7-3 in Bucks last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 7-3 in Bulls last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
** Bet Amount: 3Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23 play of the day:
## Magic @ Lakers Under 213 @1,909 ##
Predicted score: 98 - 96
Last matchup: ORL 101 - 99 LAL
Magic @ sub.500 teams:
93 - 96 @ MIN
74 - 85 @ DEN
82 - 105 @ Nets
99 - 107 @ NY
77 - 83 @ Nets
115 - 124 @ PHI
Lakers home:
107 - 101 vs. Nets
119 - 115 vs. MIN
82 - 101 vs. CHA
95 - 91 vs. NO
113 - 95 vs. MIL
97 - 85 vs. DET
Magic played few high overs lately, but they play Under away against bad teams, plus they will be drained from last night brave game @ GSW.
Under is 5-1 in Magic last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 6-2 in Magic last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 7-1 in Lakers last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 8-2 in Lakers last 10 games following a straight up win.
** Bet Amount: 9Units **

[Zwer23]

6-7 last 13 picks

YTD 26-30-2 -1.343 Units

[Zwer23]

## CLE @ SAC under 218 @1,892 ##

Predicted score: 107 - 99




Cleveland plays 18 - 11 UNDER away with average of 98,3 - 94,4, also, Cavs lost last ghame, and in that situation, Cavs are 7 - 3 Under on the road with average of 95 - 95,3 points.




Here are some games away after loss:

99 - 113 @ Was

91 - 78 @ BK

91 - 77 @ HOU

101 -97 @ PHX

76 - 105 @ POR

84 - 99 @ MIA




- Under is 7-2 in Cavaliers last 9 games following a ATS loss.

- Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.




** Bet Amount: 7Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23 pick of the day:
## CLE @ LAL Under 209,5 @1,892 ##
Predicted score: 107 - 95
Lakers are 20 - 10 Under home, Cavs are 18 - 12 Under away.
Lakers won 2 in a row, and that happened only 3 times this season, after that Lakers lost 2 of 3, with results that are all under 209,5 points:
97 - 77
88 -109
102 - 106
Cavs are 5 - 1 Under away in B2B games with average 92,5 - 92 points:
91 - 77
93 - 87
76 - 105
84 - 99
105 - 108
106 - 76
Looking at this results, Cavs plays much slower in 2nd game of B2B and limits opponents to 92points, and Lakers are not the best team to go much over that average, so I expect another game like that with predicted score of 107 - 95.
Also, Lakers are 15 - 4 Under with 1 day rest home.
Under is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.
Under is 16-6 in Cavaliers last 22 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
** Bet Amount: 9Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23 2 picks for today:
BET1:
## Knicks @ Clippers Under203,5 @1,877 ##
Predicted score: 94 - 101

Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Knicks last 8 vs. Western Conference.

Under is 14-2 in Clippers last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Under is 14-3 in Clippers last 17 games following a straight up loss.

**Bet Amount: 6Units**
----------------------------------------------------------
BET2:
## Heat @ Bulls Under 202 @1,9 ##
Predicted score: 98 - 97

Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 13-4 in Bulls last 17 games following a ATS win.
Under is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 8-3 in Bulls last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.

** Bet Amount: 5,5Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:

## DAL vs IND Under204 @1,9 ##

Predicted score: 100 - 98




Pacers few games away @ teams like Dallas:

99 - 100 @ WAS

108 - 101 @ CHA

99 - 104 @ MIL

88 - 88 @ MIA

102 - 96 @ ATL

103 - 94 @ BOS




Dallas home vs. teams like Indiana:

96 - 102 vs DET

90 - 109 vs LAC

110 - 110 vs UTA

90 - 93 vs MIA

95 - 95 vs CLE




Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.

Under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 vs. NBA Central.

Under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.




**Bet Amount: 13 Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
## NO @ MIL Under 212,5 @1,9 ##
Predicted score: 97 - 103
**Bet Amount: 8Units **
## OKC @ SAS +8,5 @1,952 ##
Predicted score: 100 - 106
**Bet Amount; 8Units**

[Zwer23]

## Cleveland @ LA Clippers Under 207 @1,909 ##
Predicted score: 97 - 99

Cavs are playing Clippers tonight, who are one of the best teams in NBA, and by looking at stats, Cavs on the road against top 10 teams are 6 - 1 Under by average of 95,4 - 95,9 points, and here I expect tough game with good defence.
Looking at Clippers home, they average 104 - 98,2, and when they play best teams in NBA that goes to 104,5 - 104,3, but only two Overs against the Warriors, If you exclude them you get 99 - 98,8.

LAC - ATL 97 - 107
LAC - OKC 103 - 98
LAC - SAS 105 - 86
LAC - OKC 99 - 100
LAC - IND 91 - 103

TOR - CLE 99 - 97
OKC - CLE 92 - 115
SAS - CLE 99 - 95
GS - CLE 89 - 83
TOR - CLE 103 - 99

Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Under is 9-4 in Cavaliers last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 16-5 in Clippers last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 6-2 in Clippers last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.

** Bet Amount: 13Units **

[MikeyD323]

## Cleveland @ LA Clippers Under 207 @1,909 ##
Predicted score: 97 - 99

Cavs are playing Clippers tonight, who are one of the best teams in NBA, and by looking at stats, Cavs on the road against top 10 teams are 6 - 1 Under by average of 95,4 - 95,9 points, and here I expect tough game with good defence.
Looking at Clippers home, they average 104 - 98,2, and when they play best teams in NBA that goes to 104,5 - 104,3, but only two Overs against the Warriors, If you exclude them you get 99 - 98,8.

LAC - ATL 97 - 107
LAC - OKC 103 - 98
LAC - SAS 105 - 86
LAC - OKC 99 - 100
LAC - IND 91 - 103

TOR - CLE 99 - 97
OKC - CLE 92 - 115
SAS - CLE 99 - 95
GS - CLE 89 - 83
TOR - CLE 103 - 99

Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Under is 9-4 in Cavaliers last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 16-5 in Clippers last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 6-2 in Clippers last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.

** Bet Amount: 13Units **

This is at 209 now, any thoughts?

[iloseagain]

**Bet Amount: 13 Units **

lol...

[Zwer23]

lol...

Funny or NOT, I won!! XD

[Zwer23]

Zwer23;
We just had a win in CLE @ LAC game!!
I have another one for later tonight:


## Knicks @ Lakers Under 209 @1,952 ##
Predicted score: 100 - 102

Lakers are off 2 days rest and they had 3 games home with 2 days rest this season:
90 - 92 vs. Mavs
93 - 112 vs. Kings
113 - 95 vs. Bucks

Also, Lakers are 20 - 11 Under Home with average of 97,1 - 103,9.

Knicks away vs. bad teams:
94 - 110 @ DEN
103 - 95 @ MIN
98 - 109 @ BK
104 - 110 @ BK
97 - 99 @ SAC

Under is 8-1 in Knicks last 9 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 Sunday games.
Under is 8-1 in Lakers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Under is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.

**Bet Amount: 11,5Units**

[Zwer23]

## Denver @ Miami +8 @1,862 ##
Predicted score: 96 - 97
Denver is 19 - 12 ATS away with 98,7 - 101,2,
also, Miami plays 3rd game in 4 days and they played OT last game so I expect them to be tired, also, Wade probably wont play.
Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference.
** Bet Amount: 4Units **
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Portland @ Oklahoma Under 219,5 @1,909 ##
Predicted score: 99 - 108
Last matchup in Oklahoma:
106 - 90
Oklahoma is 22 - 13 Under home and last few games OKC played better defensivly so I expect another game around 205-210 points in total.
Under is 23-9-1 in Trail Blazers last 33 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 9-4 in Thunder last 13 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 vs. Western Conference.
** Bet Amount: 4Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:

## Indiana vs. Boston -2,5 @1,952 ##

Predicted score: 106 - 100

In last matchup, Celtics won 103 - 94, but Indiana had really bad game, here I expect revenge.
I also expect Indiana to get their grip and revenge terrible loss @ Atlanta 2 days ago where they lost with 104 - 75 and that was really embarrasing.
In two matchups in november Indiana won, 102 - 91 @ Boston and 100 - 98 home, so, overall, I think Indiana can grab this one by more then 2 points.
Pacers beat Spurs 99 - 91 in last home game and they are 19 - 11 home with average of 102,1 - 98,1 points.
Boston got bad news over the weekend when it was revealed that forward Jae Crowder would miss a couple of weeks with an ankle sprain, and they will miss him in this game.

Crowder is averaging 14.4 points but his absence will be most missed on the defensive end where Boston will have to find someone else to guard the likes of George.

Celtics are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.

**Bet Amount: 8,5 Units**

[Zwer23]

YTD 33 - 35 - 2 +24,99 Units

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
BET1:
## Atlanta @ Detroit Over 197,5 @1,952 ##
Predicted score: 101 - 105
Last two matchups:
ATL 107 - 100 DET
ATL 94 - 106 DET
Hawks play 100,9 - 99,2 away on average.
Pistons with 104,2 - 98,4 and 18 - 12 Over,
last few games home vs teams similar to Hawks:
123 - 103 vs. POR
114 - 101 vs. TOR
106 - 111 vs. NO
89 - 103 vs. TOR
106 - 114 vs. CLE
Over is 17-7 in Pistons last 24 home games.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.
Over is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
** Bet Amount: 2,5Units **

[Zwer23]

BET2:
## Dallas @ Cleveland Under 210 @1,892 ##
Predicted score: 93 - 102
Last matchup:
95 - 95 OT
DAL @ best teams:
112 - 97 @ ATL
127 - 107 @ GS
112 - 83 @ SAS
108 - 89 @ OKC
103 - 99 @ TOR
CLE Home:
120 - 103 vs. BOS
108 - 83 vs. WAS
100 - 96 vs. IND
114 - 103 vs. CHA
88 - 96 vs. DET
106 - 95 vs. CHI
Under is 7-3 in Cavaliers last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.
** Bet Amount: 2,5Units **

[Zwer23]

YTD 35 - 35 - 2 +29,6 Units

## Raptors @ Indiana Under 203,5 @1,925 ##
Predicted score: 95-98
Last matchup in Indiana:
106 - 90
Pacers are 102,1 - 98,1 Home, one of best defensive teams @ home.
Raptors are 100,6 - 97,8 away, also one of the best defensive teams on the road.
Looking at last matchup and few similar games, I expect sore under 200 points in total.
Raptors @ defensive teams:
114 - 101
89 - 103
104 - 97
94 - 108
90 - 90
Indiana vs. teams like Raptors:
103 - 98
102 - 111
96 - 96 OT
111 - 92
89 - 91
93 - 87
Under is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
** Bet Amount: 3Units **

[Zwer23]

ANOTHER WIN!!! 9 -1 Last 10!
YTD 36 - 35 - 2 +32,38 Units

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
## Minnesota @ Houston Under 224,5 ##
Predicted score: 101 - 112
Last Matchup: 107 - 104 in Houston
Minnesota last few games away:
96 - 99 @ OKC
108 - 103 @ CHA
128 - 101 @ DAL
110 - 112 @ NO
114 - 105 @ TOR
109 - 104 @ MEM
Houston games:
130 - 81 vs. MEM
100 - 95 vs. NO
122 - 123 vs. WAS
115 - 104 vs. DAL
102 - 98 vs. MIL
Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
** Bet Amount: 2Units **

[Zwer23]

## Cleveland @ Miami Under 208 ##
Predicted score: 99 - 96
Cleveland is 6 - 2 Under on the road in B2B games with average of 95 - 94,2 points.
Also, Cleveland is on a revenge game @ Miami after Miami served them loss in last matchup with 99 - 84 victory.
Matchup in Cleveland in October finised with 102 - 92 Cleveland victory, so both games went way under the total for Under, I expect similar for today.
Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 9-4 in Cavaliers last 13 games playing on 0 days rest.
Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
** Bet Amount: 3Units **

[Zwer23]

## Milwaukee ML vs. Utah @1,917 ##
Predicted score: 100 - 95
Bucks are 5-2 SU and ATS on 2 days rest home, Utah played last night and this is their 3rd game in 4 nights, they will be drained.
Also, Milwaukee holds 21 - 13 SU and 18 - 16 ATS record home, with 8 - 3 against teams under .400 on the road.
Utah is 11 - 23 SU and 14 - 19 ATS on the road, so we have a game of great home team against bad road team, for me, pick is easy!
Jazz are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Northwest.
*** Bet Amount: 4Units ***

[Zwer23]

## Orlando @ Boston Under 217 @1,892 ##
Predicted score: 98 - 108
3 matchups this season:
119 - 114
113 - 94
110 - 91
Last matchup was in that strech when Orlando played few crazy tempo no defence games, other two was way under the total for today, and I expect score somewhere around 206 points.
Orlando is missing Vucevic and that is a big minus for them on offense, Boston will be without Crowder and that is also a offensive and defensive minus.
Magic lost last game in Toronto 105 - 100 and went under todays total in 6 out of 7 games,
Celtics lost last game home to Thunder and today I will expect much better game from them.
In similar games, Boston had:
98 - 102 vs. HOU
116 - 96 vs. MEM
105- 104 vs. NYK
116 - 93 vs. POR
100 - 95 vs. UTA
Under is 5-0 in Magic last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
Under is 5-0 in Magic last 5 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.
Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games following a ATS win.
** Bet Amount: 2,5Units **

[Zwer23]

## Memphis @ Phoenix Over 203,5 @1,877 ##
Predicted score: 104 - 105
Phoenix is 18 - 15 Over home with average score of 103,3 - 106,1, tonight they play Memphis, who is whitout their top players: Gasol, Conley, Randolph are all out, and they are all good defensive players.
Last 5 games whitout them, Memphis is 3 - 2 Over with average of 94,2 - 107,4.
Phonex is 4 - 1 Over in home division game with average of 115,2 - 109,8 points and 4 - 0 Over on 2days rest.
Over is 13-3 in Grizzlies last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over is 4-1-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Over is 7-1 in Suns last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.
Over is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games following a straight up win.
** Bet Amount: 2,5Units **

[Zwer23]

## Kings @ Timberwolves Under 223 @ 1,892 ##
Predicted score: 103 - 106
Kings are without Causins, and they score less then, they are 7 - 3 Under on that line with average points of 103 - 110.
Last 2 matchups this season:
99 - 95
91 - 101 (also Causins didn't play)
Under is 6-2 in Kings last 8 road games.
** Bet Amount : 2,5Units **

[Zwer23]

## Sixers @ Nuggets Over 211,5 @1,9 ##
Predicted score: 106 - 110
Main thing to say here is that bot teams play high tempo and no defence, last matchup in DEC finished 105 - 108.
Sixers last 5 games @teams like Denver:
131 - 114 @ Nets
116 - 108 @ Wizards
130 - 116 @ Magic
121 - 114 @ Pelicans
106 - 94 @ Wizards
Nuggets vs. under .300 teams:
4 - 1 Over with 117 - 113,4 avg.
116 - 98 vs. Suns
120 - 121 vs. Nets
117 - 107 vs. Lakers
107 - 111 vs. Lakers
125 - 130 vs. Pelicans
Over is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
** BetAmount: 2,5 Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
## Bet is on Clippers to win by -5 vs. Portland @1,926 ##
Predicted score: 98 - 106
Matchups this season:
POR 102 - 91 LAC (this was while Clippers had really bad start to season)
LAC 102 - 87 - POR
POR 98 - 109 LAC
So, we see, after that first game, Clippers took Portland serious and beat them two times with ease.
Lately, Clippers lost 7 of 10, with tough schedule, playing against GS, HOU, SAS, CLE, OKC, ATL and DAL... now, they are on streak of 3L, but I really think they will revenge all that tonight!
Clippers was twice in that situation with 3L this season, and they are 2-0 after that.
On the other side, Porland is 2 - 8 against over .600 teams away:
110 - 118 @ Spurs
94 - 128 @ Thunder
112 - 128 @ Warriors
115 - 117@ Raptors
109 - 116 @ Heat
90 - 106 @ Thunder ...
Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.
Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
Trail Blazers are 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
** Bet Amount: 5,5Units **

[Zwer23]

YTD: 38-41-2 +17,34

[Zwer23]

## Grizzlies @ Spurs Over 191 @1,877 ##
Predicted score: 90 - 105
Spurs play 105,9 - 90,5 on average home.
For Spurs, Leonard is out, that actually means less defence, and we know Spurs can score on the other side without him.
Spurs vs. bad teams:
104 - 94 vs. Kings
106 - 102 vs. Lakers
110 - 97 vs. Pelicans
107 - 92 vs. Magic
112 - 79 vs. Suns
101 - 95 vs. T'Wolves
Trends:
Over is 10-2 in Grizzlies last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.
Over is 13-5-1 in Spurs last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Over is 7-3-1 in Spurs last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.
** Bet Amount: 3Units **

[Zwer23]

## Nuggets @ Lakers Under 214 @1,892 ##
Predicted score: 102 - 103
Nuggets @ teams under .350
120 - 109 @ Lakers
115 - 98 @ Pelicans
108 - 105 @ Sixers
78 - 74 @ T'Wolves
104 - 105 @ Nets
Lakers L5 home vs. teams similar to Denver:
107 - 100 vs. Grizzlies
90 - 95 vs. Suns
98 - 106 vs. Kings
87 - 90 vs. Knicks
107 - 98 vs. Magic
Trends:
Under is 11-1 in Lakers last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 8-1 in Lakers last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
** Bet Amount: 3 Units **