Zwer23 NBA Picks

[Zwer23]

Wolves @ Blazers Under 209 @1,892
Predicted score: 98 - 107
Portland home in similar games:
109 - 91
112 - 97
105 - 101
110 - 103
112 - 94
Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Portland.
Bet Amount: 2Units

[NCAH]

Ka ching!

[Zwer23]

=== Grizzlies @ Pelicans Over 202 @1,892 ===
Predicted score: 105 - 103
Last matchup in NO:
MEM 113 - 104 NO
Pelicans L6 home:
105-103
114-105
111-112
116-99
115-99
114-99
Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 10-1 in Grizzlies last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-0 in Pelicans last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
=== Bet Amount: 1,5Units ===

[Zwer23]

Updated record before today:

Nuggets @ Pacers Over 208,5 @1,892 WIN +1,34 Units
Kings @ Grizzlies Under 206,5 @1,892 LOSS -1 Unit
Wolves @ Blazers Under 209 @1,892 WIN +1,78 Units

YTD: 11 - 8 - 1 +8,78 Units

[Zwer23]

=== Grizzlies @ Pelicans Over 202 @1,892 === WIN +1,34

YTD: 12 - 8 - 1 +10,12 Units

=== Heat @ Rockets U210 @1,892 ===
Predicted score: 97 - 98


Some Heat games away against similar teams
103 - 107 @ Bucks
106 - 87 @ Wizards
95 - 98 @ Nuggets
101 - 108 @Magic
99 - 81 @ Hornets


Rockets home vs. defensive low pace teams:
103 - 94 vs. Jazz
93 - 102 vs. Grizzlies
102 - 107 vs. Knicks
77 - 91 vs. Cavs
114 - 123 vs. Pistons


Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 5-1-1 in Heat last 7 Tuesday games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Heat last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.
Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 games following a ATS win.
Under is 14-6-1 in Heat last 21 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 7-3 in Rockets last 10 vs. NBA Southeast.


*** Bet Amount: 1Unit ***

[Zwer23]

=== Heat @ Rockets U210 @1,892 === LOSS -1Unit




YTD: 12 - 9 - 1 +9,12 Units




=== Magic @ Thunder U212 @1,909 ===
Predicted score: 92 - 104


Magic @ top teams:
107 - 92 @Spurs
113 - 94 @Celtics
98 - 81 @Hawks
104 - 79@Cavs
117 - 103 @Cavs


OKC home vs. similar:
112 - 94 vs. Grizzlies
99 - 74 vs. Heat
103 - 87 vs. Pistons
109 - 95 vs. Hornets


Under is 4-1 in Magic last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 8-2 in Magic last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Under is 7-0 in Thunder last 7 vs. NBA Southeast.
Under is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 home games.
Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Oklahoma City.


*** Bet Amount: 1,5 Units ***

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
=== Pelicans @ Spurs U207 @1,892 ===
Predicted score: 89 - 102


Pelicans away vs. best teams:
111 -95 @ Warriors
106 - 98 @ Hawks
110 - 103 @ Thunder
98 - 94 @ Bulls
101 - 101 OT @ Clippers


Spurs home vs. slimilar:
92 - 80 Trailblazers
88 - 83 Dallas
106 - 92 Pacers
101 - 95 Timberwolves
100 - 99 Knicks


Under is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 6-2 in Pelicans last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 13-3 in Spurs last 16 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.


*** Bet Amount: 1unit ***

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
Lakers @ Pelicans Over 209
Predicted score: 106 - 114


Sry guys, I don't have time for deeper analysis.


Bet Amount: 2Units

[Zwer23]

Zwer23 POD:
=== Spurs @ Mavs Under 197,5 @1,892 ===
Predicted score: 99 - 93


Last two matchups:
112 - 83 @ SA
88 - 83 @ SA


Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 8-1 in Mavericks last 9 Friday games.
Under is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.


*** Bet Amount: 3Units ***

[Zwer23]

=== Magic @ Thunder U212 @1,909 === LOSS -1,5 Units
=== Pelicans @ Spurs U207 @1,892 === PUSH
=== Lakers @ Pelicans Over 209 === LOSS -2Units
=== Spurs @ Mavs Under 197,5 @1,892 === LOSS -3Units




YTD: 12 - 12 - 2 +2,62 Units

[Zwer23]

Pistons @ Pacers Under 204 @1,892
Predicted score: 92 - 101


Last matchup in IND;
94 - 82


Pacers with average of 102,7 - 97,1 Home and Pistons with 97,8 - 100,8 on the road.


Pistons Away:
102 - 95 @ BOS
111 - 107 @ TOR
103 - 101 @ MEM
94 - 99 @ BOS
94 - 82 @ IND


Pacers Home:
111 - 92 vs. ATL
89 - 91 vs. LAC
94 - 82 vs. DET
93 - 87 vs. ATL
107 - 81 vs. DAL
106 - 90 vs. TOR


Bet Amount: 4Units

[Zwer23]

Zwer23
Thunder @ Warriors Under233 @1,909
Predicted score: 106 - 114


I think this line is ridiculous, both teams play fast and great offence, but also great defence and GS could limit OKC under 110, I really dont think GS will score over 115 too.


Under is 7-3 in Thunder last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.


Last two matchups @GS:
117 - 91
114 - 109


Bet Amount: 5,5 Units

[Zwer23]

Pistons @ Pacers Under 204 @1,892 LOSS -4 Units
Thunder @ Warriors Under233 @1,909WIN +5 Units


YTD: 13 - 13 - 2 +3,62 Units

[Zwer23]

Zwer23 2 Picks:
Pick 1:
=== Kings @ Celtics Under 217 @1,892 ===
Predicted score: 101 - 112


Last matchup: 97 - 114 @ SAC


Under is 4-1-1 in Kings last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Under is 11-3 in Kings last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in Boston.
Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.


*** Bet Amount: 2Units ***


Pick 2:
=== Nuggets @ Knicks Under 202,5 @1,869 ===
Predicted score: 94 - 99


Last few NY games home:
89 - 97 vs. Celtics
102 - 84 vs. Suns
96 - 96 OT vs. Sixers
100 - 88 vs. Bucks
108 - 91 vs. Nets


Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 home games.
Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.


*** Bet Amount: 2Units ***

[Zwer23]

Kings @ Celtics Under 217 @1,892 LOSS -2Units
Nuggets @ Knicks Under 202,5 @1,869 WIN +1,74Units

YTD: 14 - 14 - 2 +3,36 Units



Pelicans @ Wolves Under 212,5 @1,892
Predicted score: 99 - 100


Pelicans are 18 - 6 Under on the road with 97,1 - 103,5 points
Wolves are 15 - 11 Under home with 98,7 - 102,8 points


Pelicans on the road vs. similar teams:
97 - 109 @ Kings
95 - 91 @ Lakers
98 - 105 @ Mavs
104 - 89 @ Magic
125 - 130 @ Nuggets
104 - 88 @ Suns




Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Under is 7-1 in Pelicans last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 5-0 in Timberwolves last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.


Bet Amount: 4 Units

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
Celtics @ Bucks Under209 @1,909

Last matchup: 83 - 99

Under is 13-3 in Celtics last 16 vs. NBA Central.
Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Milwaukee.

Bet Amount: 5,5 Units

[Zwer23]

Clippers @ Celtics Under 211 @1,952

Predicted score: 97 - 96



Clippers play 102 - 99,7 away and Celtics with 104,3 - 98,7 home.



Clippers Away vs. similar teams:

93 - 100 @ Heat

93 - 107 @ Magic

83 - 85 @ Hawks

89 - 91 @ Pacers

112 - 94 @ Raptors



Celtics home:

91 - 102 vs. Pacers

106 - 93 vs. Hawks

105 - 100 vs. Bulls

77 - 89 vs. Cavs

101 - 109 vs. Hawks

103 - 94 vs. Pacers

102 - 95 vs. Pistons



Under is 5-0 in Clippers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 7-1 in Clippers last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.

Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.



Bet Amount: 7 Units

[Zwer23]

Pelicans @ Wolves Under 212,5 @1,892 LOSS -4Units
Celtics @ Bucks Under209 @1,909 LOSS -5,5Units
Clippers @ Celtics Under 211 LOSS -7Units

YTD: 14 - 17 - 2 -13,14 Units

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
=== Spurs @ Clippers Under 206 ===
Spurs are 14 - 11 Under Away
Clippers are 15 - 8 Under Home
Under is 12-3-1 in Spurs last 16 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 7-1 in Clippers last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 10-2 in Clippers last 12 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 13-5 in Clippers last 18 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
*** Bet Amount. 4Units ***

[Zwer23]

Zwer23 bet no.2:
=== Jazz @ Wizards Over 195,5 ===
Predicted score: 98 - 102
Wizards home with average of 103,6 - 105,7
Jazz on the road 95,4 - 97,1
Last few Jazz on the road vs teams like Wizards:
100 - 96 @ Pelicans
110 - 110 OT @ Mavs
99 - 99 OT @ Knicks
103 - 94 @ Rockets
99 - 85 @ Blazers
114 - 106 @ Kings
Over is 3-0-1 in Jazz last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 10-3-1 in Wizards last 14 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
*** Bet Amount: 5Units ***

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:

== Dallas @ Orlando Under 205 @1,892 ==

Predicted score: 96 - 99




***Bet Amount: 5Units***




== Pacers v Oklahoma Under 215,5 @1,877 ==

Predicted score: 98 - 104




***Bet Amount: 5Units***

[Zwer23]

== Bucks @ Hawks Under 208 @1,892 ==

Predicted score: 96 - 105




Last matchup: 95 - 95 OT




Bucks are 16 - 14 under away with 95,6 - 103,9

Hawks 14 - 12 under hme with 103,6 - 98,2




Under is 7-1 in Bucks last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.

Under is 8-2 in Hawks last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.




**Bet Amount: 8 Units**




==Warriors @ Clippers Under 226 @1,892 ==

Predicted score: 112 - 109




Last two matchups:

117 - 124 Over 50% shooting and 55% 3pt

112 - 108




Under is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

Under is 14-5 in Clippers last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.




**Bet Amount: 3Units**

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:

== Pacers @ Heat ==

Predicted score: 96 - 98

Confidence: 83%




Last three matchups:

Heat 95 - 95 Pacers (OT)

Pacers 96 - 83 Heat

Pacers 90 - Heat 87




Heat vs. similar teams:

Heat - Clippers 93 - 100

Heat - Hawks 105 - 87

Heat - Mavs 106 - 82

Heat - Pistons 92 - 93

Heat - Knicks 90 - 98




Under is 6-2 in Heat last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 9-2 in Heat last 11 vs. NBA Central.

Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.




** Bet Amount: 13,5Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
== Pelicans @ Wizards Under 217,5 @1,892 ==
Predicted score: 102 - 105
Previous matchup:
Pelicans 107 - 105 Wizards
Pelicans are 19 - 8 UNDER Away with average of 98,2 - 104,2.
Under is 7-2 in Pelicans last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 9-1 in Wizards last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 5-2 in Wizards last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
** Bet Amount: 7Units **
________________________________________ ___________________________
== Magic @ Sixers Under208 @1,892 ==
Predicted score: 102 - 93
Previous matchups:
Sixers 97 - 105 Magic
Magic 87 - 96 Sixers
Under is 5-0 in Magic last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 11-5 in Magic last 16 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Under is 8-2 in 76ers last 10 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
** Bet Amount: 4Units **

[Zwer23]

== Nuggets @ Clippers Under 214 @1,877 ==
Predicted score: 94 - 105
Confidence: 93%
Previous matchups:
Nuggets 94 - 111 Clippers
Clippers 110 - 103 Nuggets
Nuggets 92 - 107 Clippers
Clippers 102 - 98 Nuggets
Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-0 in Clippers last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Under is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 6-0 in Clippers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
** Bet Amount: 10Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23 Play of the day:
## Rockets @ Blazers Under219 @1,892 ##
Predicted score: 105 - 106
Confidence: 75%
Last 3 matchups this season:
POR 116 - 103 HOU
HOU 79 - 96 POR
HOU 99 - 99 (OT) POR
** Bet Amount: 8Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:

## Blazers @ Bulls Under 211 @ 1,9 ##




Last matchup

POR 88 - 93 CHI




Bulls play average of 99,7 - 97,6 home with 15 - 12Under.

Blazers are 14 - 13Under away with 99,1 - 101,9.

I expect tough game with Bulls having problems on offense because Butler and Rose are out, Bulls only scored 88 last night @ Atlanta.




Under is 13-5 in Trail Blazers last 18 vs. NBA Central.

Under is 5-2 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 games following a ATS loss.




** Bet Amount: 6Units **

[Zwer23]

6 - 6 Last 12 picks

YTD: 20 - 23 - 2 -5,59 Units

[Zwer23]

By Zwer23:
## Cavaliers @ Wizards Under 207,5 @1,9 ##
Predicted score: 101 - 96
Last 5 games Cleveland plays 104 - 97 on average,
Wizards are 101,6 - 98,4 on average, playing much better defense then earlier in season.
Under is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 13-6 in Cavaliers last 19 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- In their four victories since the All-Star break, the Wizards have allowed an average of 89.5 points on 40.1 percent shooting. They've given up 110.7 points per game in their 30 losses this season, worst among East teams.
'We just have to defend. Offense is not our problem," Wall said.
** Bet Amount: 6Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
Loss in Cle @ Was game
I have another game for today, lets get it back:


## Sixers @ Magic Under 215,5 @1,892 ##
Predicted score: 94 - 105
Last 3 matchups:
PHI 115 - 124 ORL
ORL 87 - 96 PHI
PHI 97 - 105 ORL
Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 13-4 in Magic last 17 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Orlando.
** Bet Amount: 8 Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:

## Nets @ Clippers Under 212 @1,884 ##

Predicted score: 95 - 103




For todays game, I picked Under on LaC - BK game, main reason is because Clippers are playing on average 104,5 - 98,2 Home with games like 81 - 87 vs. Nuggets, 102 - 108 vs. Wolves and 105 - 93 vs. Lakers. Nets play on average 96,7 - 103,8 on the road with results 112 - 100 @ Raptors, 114 - 86 @ Hawks and 91 - 79 @ Mavs, so I expect another game with total score under 212.




Under is 5-2 in Nets last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 12-2 in Clippers last 14 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.




** Bet Amount: 10Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23 POD:
Bet No.1:
## Bulls @ Heat under 201,5 @1,909 ##
Predicted score: 96 - 103
Last matchup:
CHI 84 - 89 MIA
Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 6-0 in Heat last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 10-2 in Heat last 12 vs. NBA Central.
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
** Bet Amount: 6Units **

[Zwer23]

Zwer23:
Bet No.2:
## Magic @ Mavericks Under 213,5 @1,892 ##
Predicted score: 98 - 103
Magic plays on average 97,6 - 101,2 Away
Mavs with 101,9 - 98,6 Home
Magic had a streach of games with very bad defence and high scoring games, but that was also on a spot against teams like Sixers which doesnt play defence at all and Warriors who just plays out of this planet basketball with pace @ 103 which is crazy high, also Magic played few OT games, so total looks higher for last 10 games then it should.
Mavs had similar amount of games against Thunder, Sixers, Nuggets and Wolves, all high pace no def teams.
Today I expect this to drop, and this teams to have "normal" game with total around 200-205 points.
Magic L5 away vs. similar:
101 - 101 @ Hawks - OT
113 - 94 @ Celtics
100 - 100 @ Grizzlies - OT
98 - 81 @ Hawks
115 - 89 @ Pistons
Mavs home vs. similar:
128 - 101 vs. Wolves
90 - 93 vs. Heat
89 - 89 vs Wolves - OT
98 - 98 vs. Celtics - OT
98 - 105 vs. Pelicans
Under is 6-1-1 in Magic last 8 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
** Bet Amount: 2Units **

[Zwer23]

Today:
## Jazz @ Raptors Over 193 @1,892 ##
Predicted score: 95 - 102
Jazz play 95,8 - 98 on average on the road, last few Jazz road games:
100 - 95
115 - 111
103 - 89
100 - 96
110 - 110 OT
Raptors with 103,9 - 96,7 home, last few games home:
99 - 97
114 - 105
98 - 85
111 - 107
103 - 93
Over is 7-1 in Jazz last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0-1 in Raptors last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.
Over is 21-5 in Raptors last 26 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
** Bet Amount: 10,5 Units **

[Zwer23]

## Suns @ Heat Under 209,5 @1,884 ##
Predicted score: 92 - 106
Suns are scoring really bad on the road, last 5 games:
126 - 92 O
124 - 84 U
91 - 78 U
102 - 84 U
115 - 93 U
Heat plays slow tempo home with average of 99,6 - 96,7
Last 5 vs. similar teams to Suns:
114 - 94 vs. Wizards
79 - 91 vs. Bucks
105 - 111 vs. Nets
106 - 82 vs. Mavs
96 - 91 vs. Sixers
- After blowing out the Bulls at home on Tuesday, this looks like a let down spot against a very bad team from the Western Conference. It could be difficult to get up for tonight's game.
Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
** Bet Amount: 8Units **