4-1 but I am back to square 1

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  • swingtrader
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-28-07
    • 382

    #1
    4-1 but I am back to square 1
    Since CHI decide to Sh*t the bed last night and blow a 14 point lead at home and then I still lose by one point, now I am starting over again. I will not post what I am betting on I will just post the lines as I think they should be. If the line is 3 points or more off then it's an automatic play. If it's 2 points off then it's a maybe play. I will buy 3 points if my fav is chalky or my dog is small.

    Here are today's lines as I see they should be:

    MIA pk
    SA -3
    OKC -1.5
    TOR -6
    CLE -6
    NO, depending on Peja and Tyson -9 to -12
    PHI -6

    I use pinnacle for the final line right before tip off. Last night I should have played POR or at least not done a parlay but with a small starting amount you have to be aggressive in the early stages. If I can't get on a roll then I will wait until $100-200 and just start betting $100 units. Comments are always welcome. GL tonight boyz
  • swingtrader
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-28-07
    • 382

    #2
    If you bet it

    1-0 since MIA was a pk and they set the line at DET -2

    Wade did very well.

    All the 230am games were pretty much dead on. I found no value. The later games may produce something. I like PHI but I think the line is moving toward them.
    Comment
    • cocknocker
      Restricted User
      • 11-06-08
      • 8001

      #3
      One of the least things that show how good a person is is their record. You have to know when to go big and when to play fun bets. i don't believe in playing things all the same. It's monetary suicide
      Comment
      • Tsoprano
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-14-08
        • 26374

        #4
        money management
        Comment
        • swingtrader
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-28-07
          • 382

          #5
          Originally posted by cocknocker
          One of the least things that show how good a person is is their record. You have to know when to go big and when to play fun bets. i don't believe in playing things all the same. It's monetary suicide

          I appreciate the input but I went with PHI and NO last night as well as MIA, bought a few points on each game and had them in a parlay. I am back up to $138. I know this is risky but I just want to give it a shot to see how it goes. The second half of the NBA season has been unreal with my picks. I am just going to post where I think the lines should be and play them if they are 3 points off and sometimes 2 or more points off. I will buy points as well even though I didn't need to last night. If I parlay I have to do what I can to make sure the most amount of odds are in my favor. Today's games I have:

          ATL -12
          CHI -4.5
          BOS -15
          MIA -10.5
          ORL -4.5
          DEN -1.5*** It seems they have the line way off here, maybe I am way off but damn it seems wayyy off.
          POR -6

          Remember you have to use Pinnacle for the final line. I like buying points especially if I do a parlay. GL in what you choose guys.
          Comment
          • NBA Hero
            SBR MVP
            • 12-05-08
            • 1886

            #6
            phoe is still without the brazilian blur. did you factor that out
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #7
              Interesting stuff swing trader, I would put plays in the sbr spreadsheet though for poster tracking.
              Comment
              • swingtrader
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-28-07
                • 382

                #8
                Originally posted by NBA Hero
                phoe is still without the brazilian blur. did you factor that out
                Ohh yeah losing Leandro only hurts PHO. Den should be favored in this game.
                Comment
                • swingtrader
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-28-07
                  • 382

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jjgold
                  Interesting stuff swing trader, I would put plays in the sbr spreadsheet though for poster tracking.
                  Thanks for the input JJ. What is this spreadsheet?
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #10
                    Click on the link on the top of this page called mysbr spreadsheet
                    Comment
                    • swingtrader
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-28-07
                      • 382

                      #11
                      Also if anyone gets injury news please post them. Injuries impact my lines greatly. If I had known Thornton was out yesterday it would have been a huge play on TOR but I didn't see until after the game started. I am also going to check the yahoo lineups before game time to verify my lines. Thanks for the input keep it coming.
                      Comment
                      • swingtrader
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-28-07
                        • 382

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        Click on the link on the top of this page called mysbr spreadsheet
                        OK I will try to post them there as well right before tip off. The only thing is I like to buy 2-3 points on some games so that won't reflect my true record.
                        Comment
                        • swingtrader
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-28-07
                          • 382

                          #13
                          Wow are people seeing the CHI line move? It's -7 and still getting hit. Is Jameson out? Or is Deng back? This doesn't make sense otherwise.
                          Comment
                          • swingtrader
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-28-07
                            • 382

                            #14
                            WAS +8 is a play. It's only 2 points but they have been hitting.
                            Comment
                            • cocknocker
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-06-08
                              • 8001

                              #15
                              Washington+8 is an intersting play. Good luck to you
                              Comment
                              • swingtrader
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-28-07
                                • 382

                                #16
                                Originally posted by cocknocker
                                Washington+8 is an intersting play. Good luck to you
                                TY brotha I bought 2 points mainly because I am a wuss
                                Comment
                                • swingtrader
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-28-07
                                  • 382

                                  #17
                                  All I can say is ANTAWN JAMESON!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • swingtrader
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 09-28-07
                                    • 382

                                    #18
                                    DEN +3.5 is a play, I will buy to 5.5 at least
                                    PHI +4 1st half

                                    WAS banged it already. There has been some dog covers already, I am a little scared for the rest.
                                    Comment
                                    • swingtrader
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 09-28-07
                                      • 382

                                      #19
                                      3-0 Bada bing. The nuggs play less then stellar but still get the cover. Why am I buying points? All covered without points. I know as soon as I don't that team will fail to cover by a point. Regardless I love the positive luck lately. Ride the train while it lasts!!!
                                      Comment
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