Wizzle's 2013 NBA Playoff Thread

[t-wizzle]

Nicely done Wiz. I was on Spurs 1H and then hopped on 2H. We got pretty damn lucky on that 1H push. Nice call on the ML man, game 2 should be a good one. Enjoy the winnings.

Oh and can we put the whole "rest" thing to rest now?

Seriously pal. Spurs looked ok to me. They weren't hitting their 3s like they normally do but they held their own. Ball movement looked pretty crisp to me and they played good transition defense.

Miami seems obvious in Game 2 but I don't know yet. We'll see.

[t-wizzle]

Funny how the line has only moved a half a point or a point but the ML has moved 70 cents. Game comes down to the wire.

[t-wizzle]

Heat Series +100 (15x)

Spurs 1H +4 -105 (6x)

[Aye J Mac]

ouch!! lebron james killed your half..

[t-wizzle]

Heat Live -4.5 -110 (14x)

[Gus Fring]

He takes Miami live -4.5 when they're up by 7 and the ball lmao. Unreal these frauds

[frugalgambler]

Ginobili should be playing in WNBA. He will fit right in with his brilliant ballhandling skills.

[t-wizzle]

Heat Series +100 (15x)

Spurs 1H +4 -105 (6x)

Heat Live -4.5 -110 (14x)

Should have won both bets. That's ok though Heat Series Price looking good.

[Seto]

Nice job on the live play. How do you see this thing playing out in Texas?

[t-wizzle]

Nice job on the live play. How do you see this thing playing out in Texas?

I've kind of felt all along that Heat would win Games 2 and 3. Spurs might get a game at home but not two that's for sure.

[Seto]

I've kind of felt all along that Heat would win Games 2 and 3. Spurs might get a game at home but not two that's for sure.

Yeah, I'm half-hoping the Heat just finish this thing in the next 3 but that may be asking for too much. I'll be happy if they go home up 3-2.

[phillybadboy]

He takes Miami live -4.5 when they're up by 7 and the ball lmao. Unreal these frauds

...

[BigDofBA]

I've kind of felt all along that Heat would win Games 2 and 3. Spurs might get a game at home but not two that's for sure.

Miami in 6. The Heat will win this thing at home and the Spurs will win at least one at home.

Heat win the next game, Spurs win game 4, Heat win games 5 and 6.

Are you pumped about the Open?

[t-wizzle]

Miami in 6. The Heat will win this thing at home and the Spurs will win at least one at home.

Heat win the next game, Spurs win game 4, Heat win games 5 and 6.

Are you pumped about the Open?

I'm bummed about the weather. Course is just too wet now and its supposed to rain the day I'm going.

[t-wizzle]

Game 3:

Heat +2.5 -110 (20x); ML +120 (10x)

[BigDofBA]

I'm bummed about the weather. Course is just too wet now and its supposed to rain the day I'm going.

Hopefully it won't be around 100 degrees and muggy as hell like it is here during major golf tournaments. Have fun.

[t-wizzle]

I can't imagine Miami losing this game but I don't like what I'm seeing with the line.

[Seto]

What don't you like?

[Speedy88]

What don't you like?

My guess is he doesn't like that it moved back to 2.5

[Seto]

My guess is he doesn't like that it moved back to 2.5

Thought that was it too initially but i checked and when he posted pinny was still at 2.

[Speedy88]

Thought that was it too initially but i checked and when he posted pinny was still at 2.

Yeah Pinny moved to 2.5 and the 1H line moved along with it to 1.5. Then full game line went back to 2 but the 1H line has stayed at 1.5. I'm thinking about betting this game in two parts, 1H and then 2H. Thinking about doing Spurs 1H and then go from there.

G/L on the plays seto and Wiz.

[Seto]

Gl as well man. I'm just on heat series, don't have anything else on this game.

[t-wizzle]

Thanks guys. The line hadn't moved to 2.5 when I posted that earlier but the 2 point line itself wasn't a good line for Miami really and I didn't like the way it was being juiced. Greek was holding the 2.5 line and juicing Miami which was also a bad sign.

I only took Miami so big because I don't see them falling behind in this series again but if I were simply betting this game on line reading I would have taken Spurs.

[t-wizzle]

This is what happens when you get away from your style and bet a game because you "can't see a team losing tonight."

Gotta trust the instincts when it comes to these games. Silly reasoning is no good.

[Speedy88]

I kinda think Heat are done. I think their goal will be to just steal one in SA and hope to win out at home, which may work.

[t-wizzle]

I kinda think Heat are done. I think their goal will be to just steal one in SA and hope to win out at home, which may work.

Might just get one in San Antonio. The Game 3 thing fukked me up here. Usually the most telling game with regards to who wins the series (something like 92%).

Fukk gotta trust my gut what was I thinking speedy?

[Gus Fring]

Game 3:

Heat +2.5 -110 (20x); ML +120 (10x)

Why?

[NetsSuckout]

Why?

Vegas just loves giving out $$

$300 cha-Ching


took another live under 186.5 $100

Why?

[Speedy88]

Might just get one in San Antonio. The Game 3 thing fukked me up here. Usually the most telling game with regards to who wins the series (something like 92%).

Fukk gotta trust my gut what was I thinking speedy?

Yeah I read that same stat about game 3's too. Heat were the one exception two years ago when they were tied 1-1 and won game 3 in Dallas and then never won again.

Yeah worst feeling ever is when you don't go with your gut and you lose. Regret is the worst thing in betting.

It's all good Wiz, you are up big, just get it back in game 4.

[amrit]

Wiz, Speedy, what are you guys playing game 4? Everyone is expecting a rebound game for Miami, but I think Spurs are going to win game 4 as well.

[t-wizzle]

I think Heat are the play... Probably a big play. Tough after that game though.

[BigDofBA]

I'm about done gambling until football season because I always take the summer off to get away from it and focus on enjoying other things in life...

With that said, Miami ML tomorrow as well Miami +112 for the series seem like good bets.

Tomorrow is almost do or die for Miami. If they lose tomorrow then I think the Spurs will probably finish it at home in 5. Likewise, if Miami wins tomorrow, then they still have a great shot at winning the series. Even if they go back home down 3-2, they could easily win two games at home.

How healthy is Parker? You have to expect the Heat to rebound after getting destroyed just like the Spurs did in game three. If they don't and lose so be it.

I don't like the Heat anyway and feel like all of these comparisons to MJ and all-time great teams is ridiculous. Lebron going 1-3 in the Finals would only further prove it since he pretty much assembled a team of all-stars and would still have failed.

With that said, Lebron can't play any worse and the Spurs can't shoot any better.

[t-wizzle]

Heat ML +102 (20x)

I'll be around tonight to discuss the game.

[amrit]

GL wiz, opposite side again.

[Seto]

gl man. i feel we sort of need this for the series bet.