Wizzle's 2013 NBA Playoff Thread

[amrit]

gl man. i feel we sort of need this for the series bet.

100%. If Miami loses today this series isn't going back to Miami.

[Seto]

100%. If Miami loses today this series isn't going back to Miami.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1993_NBA_Finals

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1998_NBA_Finals

Even Jordan lost 2 closeout game 5's at home.

1998 even has a Bulls blowout in game 3, win in game 4 then loss in game 5.

But yeah, it's unlikely.

[t-wizzle]

gl man. i feel we sort of need this for the series bet.

For sure.

[DannyLawless]

Anyone touching the over/under? My guts telling me under but I hate sweatin' it out all game. Already have Miami +1 straight bet from earlier, maybe it's not even worth touching?

[t-wizzle]

Anyone touching the over/under? My guts telling me under but I hate sweatin' it out all game. Already have Miami +1 straight bet from earlier, maybe it's not even worth touching?

Total has been bet down 2.5 points.

[DannyLawless]

I'm showing 186, untouchable?

[t-wizzle]

I'm showing 186, untouchable?

I mean if anything I like the Under but totals are a waste of money and effort in my opinion.

[BigDofBA]

I'm showing 186, untouchable?

Just put whatever money you were going to put on the under on Miami.

If the Heat lose, this series is over. They got destroyed last game and they're a 1 point favorite after being +2.5. You can't overlook that.

[t-wizzle]

Just put whatever money you were going to put on the under on Miami.

If the Heat lose, this series is over. They got destroyed last game and they're a 1 point favorite after being +2.5. You can't overlook that.

The line was going to be less than it was in Game 3 regardless. That's just how it works. The Parker injury made it worse.

[BigDofBA]

The line was going to be less than it was in Game 3 regardless. That's just how it works.

Why?

[DannyLawless]

I already have a fair amount on the heat straight up and then have the under as my sort of hedge. Figure if the heat loose it'll at least go under and I'll still make out....hopefully. If the heat loose and it goes over I'll be stompin and cursin this ticket though

[Speedy88]

Havent made up my mind yet. I want to take Miami, but the only logic I can come up with for backing them are the typical horrible ones:

They are due
They cant lose 2 in a row
They gotta play better
Etc.

Hard to bet against SA. They ALWAYS show up. Lately it seems like Miami shows up a little over half of the time. Not sure I can lay money "expecting" a team to play better. Ive been "expecting" Bosh and Wade to show up since the Indy series.

Might just go with the value and take SA as a 1 pt dog at home.

[BigDofBA]

Havent made up my mind yet. I want to take Miami, but the only logic I can come up with for backing them are the typical horrible ones:

They are due
They cant lose 2 in a row
They gotta play better
Etc.

Hard to bet against SA. They ALWAYS show up. Lately it seems like Miami shows up a little over half of the time. Not sure I can lay money "expecting" a team to play better. Ive been "expecting" Bosh and Wade to show up since the Indy series.

Might just go with the value and take SA as a 1 pt dog at home.

Miami is the more desperate team. I felt like they were the play before the line even came out. Backing desperate teams coming off a blowout seems to work out a lot.

See the Spurs in game 3.

Of course, that doesn't mean the Heat are a lock but I think they are the play. They'll play better and the Spurs can't play much better than they did in game 3.

GL.

[t-wizzle]

Why?

Because that's how it works. Come on man you've been around here long enough you know what these lines do in the "must-win" type games.

[t-wizzle]

Spurs could be destined to win this thing but I expect a huge effort from Miami defensively tonight which means they will be all over San Antonio's shooters.

[BigDofBA]

Because that's how it works. Come on man you've been around here long enough you know what these lines do in the "must-win" type games.

I thought I already pointed all of that out but I think we agree on this game since we both like the Heat.

[Speedy88]

Miami is the more desperate team. I felt like they were the play before the line even came out. Backing desperate teams coming off a blowout seems to work out a lot.

See the Spurs in game 3.

Of course, that doesn't mean the Heat are a lock but I think they are the play. They'll play better and the Spurs can't play much better than they did in game 3.

GL.

Agreed, Heat will play more desperate. Two main differences we will see out of Miami tonight will be: Miami's defensive pressure, and LBJ being much more assertive. I don't think we will see LBJ as a facilitator, I think we will see the old LBJ from the Cleveland days where he is looking to score. Doubt we will see anything better out of Wade. Maybe Bosh.

[t-wizzle]

Adding:

Heat -1 -107 (5x)

[t-wizzle]

Way to respond tonight Miami. Series bet looks good now.

[StevenSuarez]

What an insane performance. 85 points and 29 boards for the Big Three, with ONE turnover between them.

[Speedy88]

Great call on Miami. Once I saw Wade show up in the first quarter it was pretty clear Miami was going to win.

Game 5 should be epic.

[Seto]

[t-wizzle]

Thanks guys. Cheers.

[Speedy88]

What are you thinking for today Wiz?

How was the US Open?

[BigBoi]

Miami is the play tonight.

[amolg24]

Spurs definitely the play tonight

[t-wizzle]

What are you thinking for today Wiz?

How was the US Open?

Open was great man. Really had an awesome time.

I'm leaning Spurs tonight.

[t-wizzle]

Spurs +1 -105 (6x); ML +103 (2x)

[t-wizzle]

Adding:

Spurs +1 -105 (6x); ML +103 (2x)

12x on the spread. 4x on the ML.

[Marooner]

Adding:

Spurs +1 -105 (6x); ML +103 (2x)

12x on the spread. 4x on the ML.

this is insane unless you are 100% sure that tony parker will play like he did in game 1... anyone recommending spurs without inside info on parkers health is crazy. if you have that inside info, then my hat is off to you and I want to be your friend.

[t-wizzle]

Spurs TT Over 94 -110 (4x)

[t-wizzle]

Heat have another run in them?

[Speedy88]

Motha Fukkn Spurs!

Another great night for us in the NBA.....assuming Spurs don't implode here.

[t-wizzle]

Motha Fukkn Spurs!

Another great night for us in the NBA.....assuming Spurs don't implode here.

We clean up in nba playoffs speedy. So damn predictable.

[Speedy88]

We clean up in nba playoffs speedy. So damn predictable.

Yeah man, finals have been easy-greasy so far. I've been on point with every game except game 4 which I did manage to hedge out of at halftime.

Gm 6 should be interesting. I think SA's best chance of winning/covering will be gm6, not gm7. Way too early to tell though. That's how my mind works though, I'ma already thinking about game 6 before game 5 is even over.