Wizzle's 2013 NBA Playoff Thread

**t-wizzle** · 06-16-13, 09:38 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

Yeah man, finals have been easy-greasy so far. I've been on point with every game except game 4 which I did manage to hedge out of at halftime.

Gm 6 should be interesting. I think SA's best chance of winning/covering will be gm6, not gm7. Way too early to tell though. That's how my mind works though, I'ma already thinking about game 6 before game 5 is even over.

I still think Heat will win the series. Heat probably cover Game 6.

**Speedy88** · 06-16-13, 09:47 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I still think Heat will win the series. Heat probably cover Game 6.

Agreed.

**BigDofBA** · 06-16-13, 10:50 PM

Miami covers game 6 and wins game 7 at home.

**Shifty107** · 06-16-13, 11:29 PM

Great day Wizz. Was ecstatic when I saw you on the spurs. Always glad when I am on the same side as you. I had them quite large but missed the better line that you got. I thought I would be cute and wait until the heat firmed up but read it wrong and the line went the other way.

Bet List - Running | 7 days | 4 weeks | By day | By week | By month

1	309866489 Basketball 6/16/2013 16:55	San Antonio Spurs Game - Money Line Miami Heat -vs- San Antonio Spurs NBA @ 6/17/2013 10:00	1.980 D	2,310.00	2,263.80	2,263.80	Won 101.171.127.253
2	309829453 Baseball 6/16/2013 13:15	New York Yankees Game - Money Line New York Yankees -vs- LAA Angels LIVE - MLB @ 6/17/2013 5:35	2.310 D	1,000.00	1,310.00	1,310.00	Won 49.176.68.157

Good luck with the rest of the playoffs mate.

**t-wizzle** · 06-17-13, 07:38 AM

Nice shifty. Thank you.

**t-wizzle** · 06-18-13, 05:14 PM

Heat -6.5 -107 (8x)

Spurs Team Total Under 92 -110 (2x)

**t-wizzle** · 06-18-13, 11:18 PM

Stinks to lose tonight but thank god for Ray Allen - keeping that Series bet alive.

**polishkielbasa10** · 06-20-13, 11:31 AM

We looking at Ref infused blowout by the Heat? I think if any coach can rally their troops, pop is the guy...I also think that statement from Ginobli was a joke...it was said on purpose to throw of the heat with a sense of confidence. But I really think the Refs are gonna have a HUGE impact in tonight game...in no way does Nike produce a Lebron shoe with that ridiculousness inside without knowing. This is a business, not a sport

**polishkielbasa10** · 06-20-13, 11:32 AM

what u got Twizz? as much as I cannot stand that LeFlop, I think lean Heat...too many obstacles for the spurs, esp the Ref crew

**amrit** · 06-20-13, 12:05 PM

These are the worst possible referees they could have put out. Danny Crawford, Scott Foster....tonight will be the first night Miami shoots way more FT's than SA book it. Miami -5.5 huge tonight

**Seto** · 06-20-13, 12:11 PM

Originally posted by amrit

These are the worst possible referees they could have put out. Danny Crawford, Scott Foster....tonight will be the first night Miami shoots way more FT's than SA book it. Miami -5.5 huge tonight

everyone has been waiting for the day the refs will bail out lebron and miami throughout the game but it hasn't really come all playoffs long. they didn't need any against the bucks or bulls and the refs have really let the teams play and called it fairly evenly vs indiana and san antonio.

everyone (not saying you're one of them) crying about the manu drive need to consider 2 things:

1) he probably travelled before anyway
2) that isn't enough to call a foul in game 6 of the NBA finals with 1 second left in a 1 point game against the home team, regardless of who that team is.

**t-wizzle** · 06-20-13, 12:15 PM

Referees have no effect on my play today fellas. I like Spurs but haven't made up my mind yet. Keep an eye on the line.

**amrit** · 06-20-13, 12:17 PM

I think Game 6 was called fairly, but Danny Crawford and Scott foster have been known to favor the Heat. Especially in a game 7 situation, look for the FT disparity to be large in favor of the Heat tonight. Tonight is the night Lrbron andd the heat get bailed out calls. Not saying they're going to need the calls, but let's see. The Spurs only chance of winning is if they're lights out from 3 like Game 3.

**amrit** · 06-20-13, 12:17 PM

Game 4*...wiz you like Spurs to cover, or potentially win as well?

**Seto** · 06-20-13, 12:22 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Referees have no effect on my play today fellas. I like Spurs but haven't made up my mind yet. Keep an eye on the line.

I'm worried about Heat series...

People saying the Spurs won't bounce back need to consider the Pacers/Heat and Warriors/Spurs series where a team blew game 1 in awful fashion then bounced back to win game 2. And those were young teams, you'd expect the experienced Spurs to bounce back as well.

Now while the mental side won't have any effect IMO, the physical side (minutes played by some of the Spurs players) could though.

I have 1.3k to win 1.5k on Heat series which is now heat ml, thinking of either hedging and winning 650 regardless, or putting 1.5k on Spurs+5.5 and hoping for a middle... But knowing myself, I probably won't do either.

**amrit** · 06-20-13, 12:28 PM

I don't wanna jynx you Seto, but I'd be feeling great in your position. I know it's obviously natural to be worried, but you're in an awesome position and there's no way I'd hedge that. BOL to you, I think you'll be fine.

**Seto** · 06-20-13, 12:34 PM

Originally posted by amrit

I don't wanna jynx you Seto, but I'd be feeling great in your position. I know it's obviously natural to be worried, but you're in an awesome position and there's no way I'd hedge that. BOL to you, I think you'll be fine.

I probably won't. I rarely hedge, always try to keep in mind to only hedge if I think the hedge bet is in itself a good bet.

Never hedged Warriors series vs Nuggets throughout (had about 750 to win 2.5k on it) even if the idea kept torturing me (u can imagine what I went through during the last few minutes of game 6 hah)

**amrit** · 06-20-13, 12:37 PM

Trust me I can, I had 2500 on GSW that game lol.

**t-wizzle** · 06-20-13, 01:28 PM

Seto I think a hedge may be in order here.

Personally I'm still trying to get a feel for this game. It hasn't come to me just yet. No need force a play right now we've still got 6+ hours.

I will say that I may make a big play simply because I'm up big and it's the final game.

**Seto** · 06-20-13, 01:59 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Seto I think a hedge may be in order here.

Personally I'm still trying to get a feel for this game. It hasn't come to me just yet. No need force a play right now we've still got 6+ hours.

I will say that I may make a big play simply because I'm up big and it's the final game.

Pinny loves the Spurs too, they were one of the first to move to 5.5 and they had ml +222 when most books had +230-240...

**2daBank** · 06-20-13, 02:18 PM

Wouldn't worry seto. Heat haters driving line, I think it great. Ur play is safe as can be. U got great price on a gm road team never wins. Mighty spurs 2-8 in road playoff elimination. And heat just the superior team. I'm sure book be thrilled if u hedged tho. Gl whatever u decide but u on the right side.

**Speedy88** · 06-20-13, 02:27 PM

Yeah tough call on today's game but taking the points seems like the right play here.

**2daBank** · 06-20-13, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

Yeah tough call on today's game but taking the points seems like the right play here.

Disagree. I mean spurs might cover but think more likely heat by 10+

**Seto** · 06-20-13, 03:11 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

Wouldn't worry seto. Heat haters driving line, I think it great. Ur play is safe as can be. U got great price on a gm road team never wins. Mighty spurs 2-8 in road playoff elimination. And heat just the superior team. I'm sure book be thrilled if u hedged tho. Gl whatever u decide but u on the right side.

You may be right. I definitely won't put a penny on the Spurs unless I think they're the right play regardless of having Heat series or not.

**polishkielbasa10** · 06-20-13, 07:47 PM

Which way u going Twizzz

**t-wizzle** · 06-20-13, 09:20 PM

I let the series bet ride out. I've kinda felt all along heat would win tonight but liked spurs to cover. Couldn't pull the trigger though.

**Seto** · 06-20-13, 09:21 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I let the series bet ride out. I've kinda felt all along heat would win tonight but liked spurs to cover. Couldn't pull the trigger though.

You have another chance with the closing line exactly available now.

**t-wizzle** · 06-20-13, 09:30 PM

Heat 2H -3.5 -102 (15x)

I changed my mind.

**Seto** · 06-20-13, 09:33 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Heat 2H -3.5 -102 (15x)

I changed my mind.

good luck. if that wins it probably means series bet will be a lot less of a sweat

did the ml line and move at pinny influence you at all or purely for basketball reasons?

gonna miss nba playoffs. even if we fukkin lose this we're both up huge.

**t-wizzle** · 06-20-13, 10:55 PM

Only fitting to end the playoffs with a monster win.

15x on tonight's 2H
15x on the series.

Enjoyed it fellas

**Seto** · 06-20-13, 11:00 PM

Great job bro.

Looking forward to next year, gonna have to grind through the summer with smaller bets on tennis and baseball

**Speedy88** · 06-20-13, 11:03 PM

Great job Wiz. Was on the wrong side here with the Spurs. Break time for me until NFL, enjoy the winnings bud.

**t-wizzle** · 06-20-13, 11:25 PM

Thanks seto and speedy.

I'm going to try to take a far less aggressive approach next regular season. I've had lots of success before in the nba regular season but this past year was tough for me. Playoffs yet again were an overwhelming success and it's going to suck not having them. I'd like to bet bases but I'm not sure I can stay committed to that grind.

Anyways until next year...

Final Thread Totals:

76-48-2 +251.61 Units

**t-wizzle** · 04-19-15, 08:17 PM

Apparently my old playoff threads are getting bumped tonight.