nba chase 12/13

**DustyDiamond** · 02-13-13, 06:10 PM

Good luck everyone tonight, we need a good night here

**Alwarrete** · 02-13-13, 08:40 PM

Bad luck we didnt follow today the Toront fade. It looks we could cover

**J.M. Disciple** · 02-13-13, 08:47 PM

ORL will be 4th quarter bet, 3rd quarter is almost over.... CHA Is also possible if they are down 10+

I did not create or post the rules to 4th quarter system. Again it was stifler who brought it into this thread. Seems pretty simple, if a team loses first 3 quarters and are down by more than 10, bet them in the 4th quarter to cover the live spread.

Got ORL at +30.

stifler said 10+ points, so i got CHA at +11. They are down exactly 10pts.

**Alwarrete** · 02-13-13, 09:23 PM

Indiana

Cavaliers

**John Deere** · 02-13-13, 09:24 PM

MAVS NOW

!!!!!!!!!!!!!

**dlunc3** · 02-13-13, 09:26 PM

i almost hedged the indy bet at half time.. glad i didnt let my vagina get in the way

nice win

**Grinder12000** · 02-13-13, 09:36 PM

TheLimit - erase some of your messages - you are full.

**thelimit0310** · 02-13-13, 09:38 PM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

TheLimit - erase some of your messages - you are full.

Should be fixed now

**dogs1972** · 02-13-13, 10:09 PM

Originally posted by John Deere

MAVS NOW

!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Shhhhhhhhhhh

**chewbaka** · 02-13-13, 10:18 PM

Originally posted by John Deere

MAVS NOW

!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Jinx!

**samrock67** · 02-13-13, 10:31 PM

tonight feels super good

**OFS** · 02-13-13, 10:39 PM

Originally posted by Alwarrete

Bad luck we didnt follow today the Toront fade. It looks we could cover

I did 👍

**Alwarrete** · 02-13-13, 10:55 PM

Originally posted by samrock67

tonight feels super good

So many days without a night like this. It feels really good

**John Deere** · 02-13-13, 10:58 PM

BOOOOOOOOOOM

**Riceboi** · 02-13-13, 11:02 PM

**John Deere** · 02-13-13, 11:04 PM

BEER Timeeeee !

**ColdBeerHere** · 02-13-13, 11:08 PM

Originally posted by John Deere

BEER Timeeeee !

You called ? OK, Cold beers all around boys....

**Grinder12000** · 02-13-13, 11:08 PM

I believe that was the BEST NIGHT OF THE YEAR!

**njb5572** · 02-13-13, 11:25 PM

Felt like we were due so I parlayed all the games but Minny.

**Grinder12000** · 02-13-13, 11:35 PM

Felt like we were due so I parlayed all the games but Minny.

Yea - that seemed wise! LOL after winning 4 out of 17 games it was a perfect time for a parley. :-)

**J.M. Disciple** · 02-14-13, 12:28 AM

Only the 4th quarter system goes like 0-3 today

Waiting on LAC 3rd quarter to end...

**knugen** · 02-14-13, 12:33 AM

Lovely night

**Askii** · 02-14-13, 02:36 AM

Atlast.

**noveggies** · 02-14-13, 03:40 AM

Heh, what a night. This thread cleared everything except the new Utah one, Wallco's managed to clear even though STL is a goddawful hockey team, and my little side-chase I've been working on managed to go 3-0 tonight despite being on the Houston U at 207 and that game having a 74-point first quarter. Thanks stiffler for assuring me that it would be impossible for the sac fade to fail tonight

**miczz14** · 02-14-13, 05:49 AM

stifler

**Stifler** · 02-14-13, 06:39 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

records:
S1: W 54 | L 3 (- 1,35 units)
S2: W 28 | L 2 (- 8,90 units)
S3: W 17 | L 0 (+17,00 units)
S4: W 41 | L 1 (+24,55 units)
additional:
-1,10 units Den fade
-3,41 units S4 Tor fade > closing line covers

pending:
- S2 Utah fade, B Bet on 23.02.2013

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

**Stifler** · 02-14-13, 06:42 AM

14.02.2013

no plays today

**samrock67** · 02-14-13, 08:17 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

no plays today

ironically, I'm ok with this. I need a breather. Still, Stifler =

**John Deere** · 02-14-13, 08:28 AM

Originally posted by samrock67

ironically, I'm ok with this. I need a breather. Still, Stifler =

Hahaha, same for me !

**Grinder12000** · 02-14-13, 09:18 AM

FUN WITH NUMBERS for the All Star Break.

I went back and added the final official Covers.com pointsspreads of every Chase game and there were only 2 differences. One was rather major which accounted for a 19.47 unit difference and one was a victory that should have been a push but they lost their next game so no harm done.

Also I was looking at the huge system losing streak which started January 30th and lasted 46 games.

Note - I was wrong we did lose 3 "D" games in a row which means 12 losses in a row which is a 1 in 6,693 chance using this systems averages.

In those 46 games we were

"A" games were 8-13
"B" games were 10-7
"C" games were 2-3
"D" games were 0-3

One oddity. The average pointspread loss in the 1st 218 games was -9.3 points, The average WIN was also by 9.3 points.

In the final 46 games the average loss was by . . . -9.3 points. Average win was by 9.0. weird

half point wins? we are 4-3. Buying a half point helps 1.1% of the time.

However - if you would have purchased 1/2 point on EVERY "A" game (as I tried to explain to you) you would have 13.18 more units in your bankroll. It would have cost you 6+ units but you would not have lost that extra "D" game. But I digress and will not speak of it again. ;-)

Correction - since we have only lost 7 "D" games you only lose that extra juice 7 times and would be +18.77 units buying a half point every "A" pick.

This is the official system chart with all extra games won or lost deleted and using covers.com closing lines.

+12.3 units

**J.M. Disciple** · 02-14-13, 05:53 PM

Anyone interested in discussing some props since there are no plays?

Lebron U45 (points+rebounds+assist)
Nash U13.5 (points)
E.Clark (under 20.5 points + rebounds)

I like a lot of the unders for the props. I have some more,but avoided most of them with higher juice.

**J.M. Disciple** · 02-14-13, 09:56 PM

okc 4th quarter.... bet.

**jimmy007oc** · 02-14-13, 10:16 PM

how??? 4Q bet is on the way... But wait till 8:30 in 4Q then bet on OKC. it's safer than bet from beginning of Q

**Grinder12000** · 02-14-13, 10:24 PM

TWITTER #StiflersChase sorry guys - I was not a big Twitter for a while! Back active again but still learning this . . . NEW TECHNOLOGY LOL

**dlunc3** · 02-14-13, 10:25 PM

Well, it was nice having ya around grinder... Gonna get yourself banned quick posting stuff like that unfortunately