nba chase 12/13

[Grinder12000]

Since I bet a different amount on each system . . . my spreadsheet is in chaos LOL

Plus I had S2 (A Bet) Cle fade: Orlando -4.5 so I need to take care of that with -

S2 (B Bet) Cle fade:Mia -14.5

BRAIN HURT

[bigelv]

Does anybody know how to subscribe to a thread?

[groovybrandone]

top of the page near the paging
thread tools > subscribe

[licker9]

ok done...S1 teams listed only losing streaks:

overall: 294-9

A Bet: 156-147
B Bet: 83-64
C Bet: 39-25
D Bet: 16-9

Stifler, the reason why I asked you about the S2,S3, & S4 - A,B,C,D bets is because in System #1, you are losing on the A bet (yes very little, but still a loss).
The winning Percentage is under 52%, whereas B bets are 56.5% C bets are 60.9% and D bets are 64 %. Love the B C D bets as they just keep getting better.
I'm wondering if the A bet might hit at the same rate (or worse!) for one of the other systems?

[Vandyb3ar]

Since I bet a different amount on each system . . . my spreadsheet is in chaos LOL

Plus I had S2 (A Bet) Cle fade: Orlando -4.5 so I need to take care of that with -

S2 (B Bet) Cle fade:Mia -14.5

BRAIN HURT

Thanks Grinder! It's 5am here and I failed to pick up on the fact that I should be betting 2.31u because of the -4 push versus my -4.5 line. Just made me my 1u provided this series wins :3.

[Jea]

I'm a bit worried about the D bet in the Denver fade serie, because New Orleans come from a two OT games, have anyone thought about drop it?

[bigelv]

top of the page near the paging
thread tools > subscribe

Thanks

[Want2Win]

you either play a system or you don't

[Wallco99]

I have a question. Are there any other situations other than s3 team at home that we will be betting ON that team? If I am understanding this correctly, every play in this system is a fade except the s3 four game home stands? I have read the entire thread and haven't seen this info., and post #1 really doesn't explain anything. It just says "start the chase", but it doesn't tell you what the hell you are chasing.

[J.M. Disciple]

9 games very nice!!!

[Nino7]

I have a question. Are there any other situations other than s3 team at home that we will be betting ON that team? If I am understanding this correctly, every play in this system is a fade except the s3 four game home stands? I have read the entire thread and haven't seen this info., and post #1 really doesn't explain anything. It just says "start the chase", but it doesn't tell you what the hell your chasing.

S1: Whenever a team has a winning or losing streak of 3 games start the 4 game chase following that streak.

[Stifler]

I have a question. Are there any other situations other than s3 team at home that we will be betting ON that team? If I am understanding this correctly, every play in this system is a fade except the s3 four game home stands? I have read the entire thread and haven't seen this info., and post #1 really doesn't explain anything. It just says "start the chase", but it doesn't tell you what the hell you are chasing.

S1 and S2 - winning streaks is to play on that team

Talking about S3 every home trip of 4+ games is to play on that team. Every road trip of 4+ games is to fade that team on the road. All with the background to just play the listed teams.

[Wallco99]

I got you. I thought you were fading winning streaks as well, but now I see you are playing ON those teams. Thanks. The quote nino posted doesn't say that, it just says to start "a" chase. How is one to know whether you are fading or betting the winning streaks the way it is worded? Thanks for the reponses, I now understand.

[Untied]

For Denver fade; 2 of 3 losses in their losing streak, were to the Heat & Spurs.
Are opponents winning % considered when a system team has a losing streak?

[Stifler]

Stifler, the reason why I asked you about the S2,S3, & S4 - A,B,C,D bets is because in System #1, you are losing on the A bet (yes very little, but still a loss).
The winning Percentage is under 52%, whereas B bets are 56.5% C bets are 60.9% and D bets are 64 %. Love the B C D bets as they just keep getting better.
I'm wondering if the A bet might hit at the same rate (or worse!) for one of the other systems?

S1 overall: 620-13

A Bet: 339-294
B Bet: 163-131
C Bet: 86-45
D Bet: 32-13

S2 overall: 266-5

A Bet: 142-129
B Bet: 75-54
C Bet: 35-19
D Bet: 14-5

S3 overall: 139-2

A Bet: 82-59
B Bet: 37-22
C Bet: 12-10
D Bet: 8-2

S4 overall: 283-3

A Bet: 168-118
B Bet: 69-49
C Bet: 33-16
D Bet: 13-3

For Denver fade; 2 of 3 losses in their losing streak, were to the Heat & Spurs.
Are opponents winning % considered when a system team has a losing streak?

no

[Stifler]

updated.

24.11.2012

S1

(C Bet) Sac fade: Lakers -5,5 1,10u | Utah -9 2,31u | Utah -1,5 4,85u
(A Bet) Chic fade: Milwaukee -2,5 1,10u

S2

(A Bet) Cle fade: Miami -14,5 1,10u

S3

(A Bet) Atl: Atlanta +2 1,10u
(A Bet) GS: Golden State -2,5 1,10u

S4

(B Bet) Atl fade: Charlotte +3,5 1,10u | Clippers -2 2,31u
(B Bet) Dal fade: NY Knicks -2,5 1,10u | Lakers -1 2,31u
(A Bet) Mia fade: Cleveland +15 1,10u
(A Bet) Wash fade: Charlotte +4 1,10u

[Riceboi]

wow lots of plays tonight. gonna be a good day or bad day lol. Good Luck to all system players tonight.

[Nino7]

what are the yellow dots under each team name made for on tv?

[Grinder12000]

Just an idea - for any of you that Twitter - how about using the hash tag (***) We can keep in touch and whine and brag.


Nino7 - timeouts left?? a warning to put down your beer?

[Nino7]

ok thx grinder

[Nino7]

im with you for the twitter thing let me know when you have it created

[Teamprofit101]

Just an idea - for any of you that Twitter - how about using the hash tag (***) We can keep in touch and whine and brag.


Nino7 - timeouts left?? a warning to put down your beer?

I don't use twitter much, did you already create that? i trying searching for (***) .....and i didn't find it

[Grinder12000]

NOT that I actually know how to use Twitter LOL I tweeted but not sure what happens next

Do you CREATE it or just use #StiflersChase in a sentence .

BTW - Rod Melotte is me

[skjjb4]

Thanks

[moneyseeker]

Another tough night ! Pending 2 D Bet ... ! BOL guys !

[J.M. Disciple]

Have a lot of B-C-D bets coming up, but only 1 heavy bet tomorrow. Den Fade... I see NOH at +10 right now, not sure if I should go ahead and place it or wait to see which way the line moves.


THoughts?

[Riceboi]

Have a lot of B-C-D bets coming up, but only 6 games tomorrow, so pretty much nothing besides A-bets tomorrow.

there is a D bet tomorrow, it will be the hornets (denver fade)

also since Denver won 3 games ATS, are they an A bet tomorrow as well?

so

bet on hornet <---D bet

bet on nuggets <---A bet

obviously we'll be rooting for the D bet haha

[Riceboi]

I'm a bit worried about the D bet in the Denver fade serie, because New Orleans come from a two OT games, have anyone thought about drop it?

New Orleans isn't on the S4 list at least.

[moneyseeker]

obviously we'll be rooting for the D bet haha[/QUOTE]
Sure we are Riceboi ! GL bro !

[msetai]

Have a lot of B-C-D bets coming up, but only 1 heavy bet tomorrow. Den Fade... I see NOH at +10 right now, not sure if I should go ahead and place it or wait to see which way the line moves.


THoughts?

I have it at +10.5 so yours may move in your favor

Sorry if this was asked already - the records posted on post #1 is that only regular season games or does that include the playoffs as well?

[Wallco99]

Too many two side bets in here. Need to find a way of skipping (A) on some. The way the last two days have gone, I don't know how anyone in their right mind could possibly say that a (D) bet matchup would only happen once every 10 years. I'm thinking every 10 days the way this is going. Hopefully not, but looking like so.

[Stifler]

I have it at +10.5 so yours may move in your favor

Sorry if this was asked already - the records posted on post #1 is that only regular season games or does that include the playoffs as well?

only regular season

Too many two side bets in here. Need to find a way of skipping (A) on some. The way the last two days have gone, I don't know how anyone in their right mind could possibly say that a (D) bet matchup would only happen once every 10 years. I'm thinking every 10 days the way this is going. Hopefully not, but looking like so.

are u serious? Just to make sure we are not talking about the possibility of 2 D bets facing each other, we are talking about that really happening. We had an average of like 15 D bets the seasons before out of smth like 230 games, means we will have D bets every 15-16 series. The probability of facing each other on D bets really isnt that high as u stated it, and even if it comes to that point im telling it once again u have 1 sure winner, u can also go 0-2 on D bets, its not like D bets are free plays.

[Stifler]

24.11.2012

S1

(C Bet) Sac fade: Lakers -5,5 1,10u | Utah -9 2,31u | Utah -1,5 4,85u
(A Bet) Chic fade: Milwaukee -2,5 1,10u

S2

(A Bet) Cle fade: Miami -14,5 1,10u

S3

(A Bet) Atl: Atlanta +2 1,10u
(A Bet) GS: Golden State -2,5 1,10u

S4

(B Bet) Atl fade: Charlotte +3,5 1,10u | Clippers -2 2,31u
(B Bet) Dal fade: NY Knicks -2,5 1,10u | Lakers -1 2,31u
(A Bet) Mia fade: Cleveland +15 1,10u
(A Bet) Wash fade: Charlotte +4 1,10u

records:
S1: W 9 | L 0 (+9,00 units)
S2: W 4 | L 0 (+4,00 units)
S3: W 4 | L 0 (+4,00 units)
S4: W 9 | L 0 (+9,00 units)

pending:
- S1 Den fade, D Bet on 25.11.2012
- S1 Sac fade, D Bet on 27.11.2012
- S1 Chic fade, B Bet on 26.11.2012
- S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 26.11.2012
- S4 Atl fade, C Bet on 28.11.2012

[Stifler]

25.11.2012

S1

(D Bet) Den fade: Memphis -7,5 1,10u | Minnesota +3,5 2,31u | GS +6,5 4,85u | New Orleans +10,5 10,19u
(A Bet) Den: Denver - waiting here

[kobe_brylle]

hi stifler good job on you system! just want to know the current bet status for this season for every system(S1S2S3S4) like this..

S1 overall: 620-13
A Bet: 339-294
B Bet: 163-131
C Bet: 86-45
D Bet: 32-13

thanks in advance! hopenthis
would be helpful for everyone tganks again!=)