Thatguy's NBA Plays

[TC Woods]

Nov 21

No time for writeup.. Jetlagged as all hell in NYC.

Play #1
Spurs -1.5 vs Celtics 1x 1.95

Play #2
Knicks -3 vs Mavs 1x 1.95


Play #3
Lakers vs Kings 1H over 103 1x 1.95

Play #4
Bobcats -2 vs Raptors 1x 1.95


Play #5
Pacers vs Hornets OVER 181 1x 1.95


GL

Jetlag sucks, I'm glad you took the time to post these. Like them all except those darn bobcats, not sure I can wager on those guys.

[Catchn_Picks]

Hey I am 1-0 betting CHAR this season...they blew out WASH at home...lol.

The winning money spent just like any other money.

[aussieH]

How is the states TG.

[That Guy]

updated: NBA Regular Season 40-34-2 +2.00 units

Apologies for the late update.. just keeping up with some serious jetlag at the moment.
Posting today's plays in 2mins.
Keeping it simple with just totals for the next few days.

[That Guy]

How is the states TG.

Not too bad!
Jetlag killing me.. but I think a big Thanksgiving lunch and some basketball tomorrow at a sports bar might do well

[That Guy]

NBA Regular Season 40-34-2 +2.00 units

23rd Nov
Rolling with the strongest value totals for today

Play #1
Cavs vs Magic OVER 182.5 1x 1.95
Cavs and Magic have both been scoring over 90ppg in their last few games against teams with a much slow pace. Cavs have the worst defense in the NBA and will need to shoot their way out of trouble. Have this total at 189 and rolling 1x OVER 182.5. GL

Play #2
Nuggets vs Warriors UNDER 201.5 1x 1.95
Getting a great number here. Both teams have been patchy and are not in the top 5 offensive sides based on ppg. They have been trending up over the last few weeks but have this total to finish more around 194. Based on "what if" max pace the model still have this at a low 199 - doesn't happen often where totals are higher then the 'max what if' value.
Rolling 1x UNDER 201.5 at 1.95. GL


Other totals seem to be spot on.. so these plays are probably it.. unless there is an angle on game day and/or totals move in the right direction. Good luck.

[therealdealau]

good luck mate, all the best and enjoy your trip! catching a game?

[That Guy]

Adding:
Play #3
Knicks team total OVER 100.5 1x 1.95
Rockets push the pace and Knicks should see plenty of paint. GL

[aussieH]

Good luck some interesting games today. Gonna kick back watch the cricket and the box scores

[hjrozay]

Sweep day TG. Well done man. You've been grinding away and got some great results. Thank you for your picks.

[MrXYZ]

Thanks TG. I tailed the Cavs/Magic total for an easy winner. A small profit but who cares!

Bet receipt number:O/1014619/0000170/D 1 Basketball - US NBA Matches Cleveland Cavaliers At Orlando Magic 24/11/2012 11:10 Total Points Scored Over @ 1.92 (182.5) Settled against market handicap Stake and Return Details Bet Placed on23/11/2012 Bet TypeOver/Under Number of lines1 Stake per line$20.50 ChannelSB Mobile Total stake$20.50 Free bets redeemed$0.00 Total amount paid$39.36 Returns$39.36

Print

[aussieH]

Clean sweep. Well done

[That Guy]

good luck mate, all the best and enjoy your trip! catching a game?

Cheers mate!
Checking out Spurs vs Raptors tomorrow - should be good

[That Guy]

updated: NBA Regular Season 43-34-2 +4.85 units

23rd Nov 3-0

Clean sweep for the day. Can't complain!
So far this whole 'not working and CAPPING in the USA' is working out. However, not quitting the day job just yet. Plenty of work to be done and looking to back it up with some solid plays today.
Totals are the specialty and will continue to play the weak lines. Today's plays with you soon.

[therealdealau]

Cheers mate!
Checking out Spurs vs Raptors tomorrow - should be good

awesome parker vs lowry should be a good show (love watching PGs)

[Catchn_Picks]

Congrats That Guy...great day

[bassytelfair]

Good job on those picks ! Do u have anything for tonight ?

[That Guy]

Good job on those picks ! Do u have anything for tonight ?

sure do.. just re-checking some stats and will put up in 2secs

[That Guy]

NBA Regular Season 43-34-2 +4.85 units

24th Nov
Keen to keep the streak alive with some solid plays today.. let's do it!
Keeping write ups short today with not long till game time + using paid hotel internet (frustrating) .


Play #1
Heat vs Cavs OVER 196.5 1x 1.95
This looks the goods to hit the OVER - both sides give away lots of points (over 100ppg avg for Heat & Cavs). Loose defense and a shoot out should push this to over 200 according to the model. Heat after some rest will be keen to put in a big game after being forced to OT 2 days ago. Rolling 1x OVER at 1.95. GL

Play #2
Timberwolves vs Warriors UNDER 197 1x 1.95
Both these sides under performing when it comes to avg ppg this year. Seem to have trouble wracking up big scores and like to keep things tight. That continues tonight and we get a solid UNDER for this match up - avg ppg only 95 and 92 for these sides and Timberwolves pace is dead slow. Would make this a 2x play if Wolves were at home but have a feeling pace may pick up if the Warriors get on a roll. Still like the UNDER and rolling 1x 1.95. GL


That's it for today. Was eyeing off Lakers UNDER but D'Antoni speeding up the offense makes it risky as the Mavs will push the OVER as well. Also liked UTH / SAC UNDER but last night the pace picked up and there is nothing stopping it happening again. Although it's as close to a play as I'd ever get. Leaning UNDER big time on that game but not enough to pull the trigger.

[Catchn_Picks]

Thanks for posting from the hotel That Guy...BOL to everyone tailing

[hjrozay]

Good luck TG and all. Lets crush the books.

[sando]

GL today Mr. Gold, I'm with you on the Heat Over.

[clting08]

Heat Over looks good

[That Guy]

Heat Over looks good

BOOM!
1 down 1 to go

[1sob]

nice sweep That Guy !!!

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Solid tipping mate.

[Bazz27]

your back on fire TG. thanks mate from another fellow aussie

[That Guy]

updated: NBA Regular Season 45-34-2 +6.75 units

24th Nov 2-0

The streak continues... hopefully it's good for another day or two at least. Working on plays now. Back soon

[Catchn_Picks]

Get this man some butter because he is on a roll.

Another great night sir...bol

[That Guy]

NBA Regular Season 45-34-2 +6.75 units

25 Nov

Play #1
Knicks vs Pistons OVER 191 1x 1.95
Pistons avg ppg score has been lazy but most of it is dragged down by games against slow paced sides. Against fast paced sides the Pistons have kept up to an extent. Also get the feeling the Knicks want to make up for some crappy games and put on a big score. At home at The Garden this should be a fast paced game controlled by the Knicks. Model has it at 195 and rolling 1x OVER. GL

Play #2
Raptors vs Spurs UNDER 197 1x 1.90
Spurs defense has been solid and against teams with solid D the Raptors have struggled. Expect the total to get off to a fast pace and Spurs to slow things down in the 4th quarter and pull it right back. It's a close one - have the total at 194 but rolling to UNDER at 1.90. GL

[qwe123]

Great calls today TG, the Over was settled with 7 minutes left to play.

The Under was a perfect call but 2OT kills us very frustrating game.

[shimeon40]

What a tough tough way to lose your under SA/Tor...2 overtimes.

[elPkay]

194 after 1st OT. Man, I was already cashing my money lol
Still a good bet I'd chase again

[That Guy]

194 after 1st OT. Man, I was already cashing my money lol
Still a good bet I'd chase again

Yeah.. took OT x2 to finally hit the OVER and then Raptors started bricking shots.. argh!
Bad enough losing but frustrating when you're at the game and see it happen as well. Anyway.. just bad luck for that play and UNDER was the right call

[That Guy]

updated: NBA Regular Season 46-35-2 +6.65 units

25 Nov 1-1
Evens today.. Knicks OVER always looked like hitting and the Raptors UNDER was solid until OT hit and hit again.
Refining only the best looking totals plays has been a winning tactic and will continue to post only totals with strong leans.
No team or ML plays - leaving that to other cappers like Sando & Therealdealau to dominate.