Thatguy's NBA Plays

[That Guy]

19

2821031496 Basketball 11/10/2012 07:32:54 PM

Washington Wizards 8.00 Handicap Indiana Pacers -vs- Washington Wizards NBA @ 11/10/2012

0.93 M

1000.00 1000.00

930.00 0.00

Won HT 49 : 49 FT 89 : 85

BET WON Thanks

But I Took Boston / Mil under 190.

24

2821145696 Basketball 11/10/2012 09:26:47 PM

Under 190 Over/Under Milwaukee Bucks -vs- Boston Celtics NBA @ 11/10/2012

-0.85 M

1000.00 850.00

Running

Might be on the money with Boston UNDER - need some decent OT to save the OVER.
Celtics not showing up again (so far)

[clting08]

24

2821145696 Basketball 11/10/2012 09:26:47 PM

Under 190 Over/Under Milwaukee Bucks -vs- Boston Celtics NBA @ 11/10/2012

-0.85 M

1000.00 850.00

1000.00 0.00

Won HT 42 : 39 FT 92 : 96

Bet Won

[hawley]

24

2821145696 Basketball 11/10/2012 09:26:47 PM

Under 190 Over/Under Milwaukee Bucks -vs- Boston Celtics NBA @ 11/10/2012

-0.85 M

1000.00 850.00

1000.00 0.00

Won HT 42 : 39 FT 92 : 96

Bet Won

just quietly pal...Cashing a bet in someone else's thread when they are on the other side is weak.

[clting08]

just quietly pal...Cashing a bet in someone else's thread when they are on the other side is weak.

I am Not mean to show off or hurting anybody. When I saw His early pick I want to follow but odds starts to drop fast. So I took the orthe side. If not for his recommendation or pick I won't be tracking the movements of the lines. I post here to say thank you that I cash. I post earlier and I told Him I took the other side.. He also reposted and said that Celtics is not upto his expectation. Sorry I hurt anybody. My aim is just to make money.. Thanks Buddy..

[MrXYZ]

You should manage your money better, otherwise these $1k bets will bury you.

[clting08]

You should manage your money better, otherwise these $1k bets will bury you.

Thanks for your advice.. I try to limit my bets.. Thanks to this thread I have make 10K this 2 days on NBA Betting... Will try to slow down..
Thanks again...

[1sob]

nice job TG

[That Guy]

updated: NBA Regular Season 19-10-2 +6.95 units

Nov 10 2-2
Great to hit the Wizards +8 & Jazz / Suns UNDER. Trailblazers vs Spurs UNDER was tracking well but a hot 4th quarter ruined the play, while Boston's patchy scoring efforts returned. Was looking like a 2unit + day wasn't the case.. finished evens.
More plays tomorrow - will hit books early when totals open.

[That Guy]

NBA Regular Season 19-10-2 +6.95 units

Nov 11

Play #1
Heat -2 vs Grizzlies 1x 1.95
Sharps are all over the Grizzlies but Miami is playing at a completely different level at the moment. Miami will lift for this game and while the Grizzlies will push the pace we should see the Heat hit shots where needed. Don't mind playing a public / square bet where it looks good. Rolling 1x Heat -2. GL

Play #2
Hawks +6 vs Clippers 1x 1.95
Hawks have the talent to push the Clippers and +6 is a gift. We saw them beat OKC and get within 6pts of Miami - Clippers are not Miami and should be easier to chase down for the Hawks who have similar eff % stats.
Rolling Hawks +6 1x 1.95 for this one. GL

Play #3
Nets vs Magic UNDER 191.5 1x 1.95
Nets hit their highest team total this year when they played the Magic last time and won by a whopping 39points. Magic have been struggling to put points on any team and should help the UNDER. They won't be keen for a repeat and should look to strengthen up the defense and slow down the red hot Nets. Have this game at 186 and rolling 1x UNDER 191.5 at 1.95. GL

Play #4
Lakers vs Kings UNDER 192 1x 1.95
Lakers should be ready too fire and continue the dominance they held in their last game against the Warriors. Kings offense has one of the lowest ppg figures in the NBA and we'd need a massive turn around in pace to get this game OVER. Only danger is Lakers rack up a big team total.. but considering their pace / efficiency they would need a big break out for that to happen.
Have this game at 187 on the model and rolling for 1x UNDER 192. GL

[TC Woods]

Appreciate your hard work

[That Guy]

Adding:

Play #5
Kings team total UNDER 91.5
No Demarcus tonight should make it harder for the struggling Kings to wrack up points against the Lakers.
Hitting this at 1x UNDER 91.5 TT. GL

[clting08]

You should manage your money better, otherwise these $1k bets will bury you.

I took his advice and take a break today. Anyway Thanks TG for the exciting week...

[therealdealau]

Hey pal unlucky on the Hawks, I was also on this...disgusting 4th quarter...hopefully the Kings slow down for you (im on the Lakers) and the total hits. Keep grinding man, your total plays are awesome.

[qwe123]

Thank goodness both teams have slowed down. 15-11 in the 9th minute of Q3.

EDIT: Crap... the 4th quarter started slowly too, but somehow there was a flurry in the end and the game ended on 192 points

At least the Kings team score under went through, but damn that sucks.

[That Guy]

updated: NBA Regular Season 21-13-2 +5.85 units

Nov 11 3-2

Disgusting foul with 0.7 secs left on the clock kills the Lakers UNDER. Just brutal.. why foul when you're winning by 13pts?!?!
Turned a lousy 1+ unit profit for the day into a LOSS in less then 1 second. Even if you got the larger total of 193 this would have been a push.
Argh. Hawks 4th quarter was also another forgetable moment that looked covered.

[That Guy]

Hey pal unlucky on the Hawks, I was also on this...disgusting 4th quarter...hopefully the Kings slow down for you (im on the Lakers) and the total hits. Keep grinding man, your total plays are awesome.

Cheers mate.. just one of those days. Variance the winner today
Adjusting plays moving forward to hit a max of 3-4 per day - focus on totals that look the strongest & hit earlier to beat the closer.

[hawley]

I am Not mean to show off or hurting anybody. When I saw His early pick I want to follow but odds starts to drop fast. So I took the orthe side. If not for his recommendation or pick I won't be tracking the movements of the lines. I post here to say thank you that I cash. I post earlier and I told Him I took the other side.. He also reposted and said that Celtics is not upto his expectation. Sorry I hurt anybody. My aim is just to make money.. Thanks Buddy..

No worries pal. maybe wasn't my place to say anyway.

GL.

[That Guy]

NBA Regular Season 21-13-2 +5.85 units

Nov 12

Alright.. time to smash the books!
All about beating the closer on good looking plays and solid bankroll control..

Play #1
Bucks vs 76ers UNDER 189 2x 1.95
Really like this number. This will be only the second play above 1x and the UNDER in this spot looks very good. Both sides have been patchy and average 94pts / 85pts per game. We'd both need teams to catch fire tonight for the OVER to hit and the stats are dead against it. 76ers are one of the slowest sides in the NBA are miss-matched against the Bucks. Model has this at 183 but the potential for lower is high. Rolling 2x UNDER 189 at 1.95. Opened at 189 and is falling at some books already. GL

Play #2
Blazers -2 vs Hawks 1x 1.95
Blazers have been less then spectacular but so have the Hawks. Portland should be hungrier for the win at home and with Batum & Aldridge on fire should snap the losing streak - both players hit 29 / 33 points against the Spurs last game. Last time they met the Blazers had it easy with a 20point win. They'll work harder for it this time around but look the goods over a tired Hawks team backing up against a lazy effort vs Clippers. Model has Blazers by 6. Locking this in at Blazers -2 while it stays at that number. GL


Looking at another potential play to lock in later....

[aussieH]

Bucks v 76ers avg score is 97 / 88 according to Espn site.

[That Guy]

Bucks v 76ers avg score is 97 / 88 according to Espn site.

There are a few weighted pre-season results in the model but will check that out. Cheers.
Still like the UNDER regardless.

[hjrozay]

TG what are your thoughts on the Celtics vs Chicago game?, i feel like these two teams favour defense and using the max on the clock before getting a shot up?, the U/O is @ 182.5 through my book.

[That Guy]

NBA Regular Season 21-13-2 +5.85 units

Nov 12

Alright.. time to smash the books!
All about beating the closer on good looking plays and solid bankroll control..

Play #1
Bucks vs 76ers UNDER 189 2x 1.95
Really like this number. This will be only the second play above 1x and the UNDER in this spot looks very good. Both sides have been patchy and average 94pts / 85pts per game. We'd both need teams to catch fire tonight for the OVER to hit and the stats are dead against it. 76ers are one of the slowest sides in the NBA are miss-matched against the Bucks. Model has this at 183 but the potential for lower is high. Rolling 2x UNDER 189 at 1.95. Opened at 189 and is falling at some books already. GL

Play #2
Blazers -2 vs Hawks 1x 1.95
Blazers have been less then spectacular but so have the Hawks. Portland should be hungrier for the win at home and with Batum & Aldridge on fire should snap the losing streak - both players hit 29 / 33 points against the Spurs last game. Last time they met the Blazers had it easy with a 20point win. They'll work harder for it this time around but look the goods over a tired Hawks team backing up against a lazy effort vs Clippers. Model has Blazers by 6. Locking this in at Blazers -2 while it stays at that number. GL

ADDED:

Play #3
Heat -5 vs Rockets 1x 1.95
Young Rockets team haven't matched up well against playoff-caliber teams - losing 2/3 and getting rolled by the Memphis team that just defeated Miami. Watch for Wade to have a much better game in his 2nd back from illness. We shouldn't see him shoot 3 from 15 like he did last night, he needs to step up with James battling a sore knee. Miami have way too much depth for the young Rockets and Chalmers will have a field day exposing Lin - just can't handle Heat D. Expecting a strong performance from the Heat who really need a win on the road. Model has game with Miami winning +8. Rolling Miami -5 1x 1.95. GL

Play #4
Thunder vs Pistons UNDER 196 1x 1.85
Saw this rise overnight on my book and looks a little too hot. Pistons are towards the bottom when it comes to avg ppg and although their pace is relatively high Thunder defense should keep it in check. Pistons should hit somewhere in the 80's for this matchup. Last time they met the total hit 199 but this time around the Pistons are in a bad stretch & shouldn't put up anywhere near enough points. Have this game at 189 and playing the UNDER 196 1x 1.85. GL

[That Guy]

TG what are your thoughts on the Celtics vs Chicago game?, i feel like these two teams favour defense and using the max on the clock before getting a shot up?, the U/O is @ 182.5 through my book.

Hey mate,
Lean towards the UNDER but laying off this match - Celtics way too hot / cold and never sure what you're going to get at the moment. With max effort from both sides this hits the UNDER, but thought that about Celtics when they played Philly and they go and hit a total of 206 when books had it at 176.. could be a similar story today.

[hjrozay]

Hey mate,
Lean towards the UNDER but laying off this match - Celtics way too hot / cold and never sure what you're going to get at the moment. With max effort from both sides this hits the UNDER, but thought that about Celtics when they played Philly and they go and hit a total of 206 when books had it at 176.. could be a similar story today.

I agree with you about the C's and their inconsistency, I think these teams match up well against each other and from a divisional stand point in the East i expect these two teams to be fired up some what to win and rely on their D.

But hey you've dropped your plays, i'll be following. Love the Thunder/Pistons under, i expect this to be a sore spot for the old Sonics. Pistons to be desperate for a win.

GL today appreciate your work, up early Aussie time capping games - love it.

[amarius87]

so based on what you say placing on under 96.6 for pistons seems reasonable?

[amarius87]

sorry line changed to 94.5?

[That Guy]

sorry line changed to 94.5?

Line seems good.. Would have pounded 96.5 if I saw it at my book.

[amarius87]

i know! i saw it earlier today then didnt have time to place the bet. i put it down on 94.5

[therealdealau]

good luck pal, i like the portland play and obviously the heat because im on it...lets have a big game wade!

[Catchn_Picks]

Great sign That Guy is that you beat the closing line by a bunch when you posted this morning. That is a real good read that you are seeing things before others do.

BOL

[amarius87]

bucks/sixers scoring at high pace

[That Guy]

Play #5
Nuggets vs Suns OVER 202 1x 1.95
No time for a write up. Saw this fall slightly at my book and hitting the OVER. Both fast paced teams hitting well below what they're capable. Looks good for OVER 1x. GL

[clting08]

2.50 min to go. Portland lead by 1..

[That Guy]

updated: NBA Regular Season 23-16-2 +3.75 units

Nov 12 2-3

Tough day. Totals 2-1 for the day which is postive but the leans for MIA and POR let us down.
Will be concentrating more on totals moving forward which is what the model is geared towards. Most sharp cappers on the wrong side of the books today as well...
Grind continues tomorrow

[clting08]

updated: NBA Regular Season 23-16-2 +3.75 units

Nov 12 2-3

Tough day. Totals 2-1 for the day which is postive but the leans for MIA and POR let us down.
Will be concentrating more on totals moving forward which is what the model is geared towards. Most sharp cappers on the wrong side of the books today as well...
Grind continues tomorrow

For Me 3:2 for the day. Make Small profit. I have scale down my bets.. Thanks Buddy

6	2825351930 Basketball 11/12/2012 10:50:32 AM	Portland Trail Blazers -2.00 Handicap Portland Trail Blazers -vs- Atlanta Hawks NBA @ 11/12/2012	0.86 M	250.00 250.00	-250.00 0.00	Lose HT 47 : 56 FT 87 : 95
7	2825353061 Basketball 11/12/2012 10:51:31 AM	Under 189 Over/Under Philadelphia 76ers -vs- Milwaukee Bucks NBA @ 11/12/2012	0.89 M	250.00 250.00	-250.00 0.00	Lose HT 50 : 62 FT 96 : 105
8	2825357132 Basketball 11/12/2012 10:56:06 AM	Boston Celtics 3.00 Handicap Chicago Bulls -vs- Boston Celtics NBA @ 11/12/2012	0.99 M	250.00 250.00	247.50 0.00	Won HT 46 : 58 FT 95 : 101
9	2825739701 Basketball 11/12/2012 08:27:01 PM	Detroit Pistons 3.50 First Half Hdp Detroit Pistons -vs- Oklahoma City Thunder NBA @ 11/12/2012	-0.95 M	200.00 190.00	200.00 0.00	Won HT 51 : 45 FT 90 : 92
10	2825739780 Basketball 11/12/2012 08:27:23 PM	Miami Heat -3.00 First Half Hdp Houston Rockets -vs- Miami Heat NBA @ 11/12/2012	0.98 M	200.00 200.00	196.00 0.00	Won HT 52 : 56 FT 110 : 113