Hey Goat:
ECF: BK>Mia
ECF: BK>Mia
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PLAY 50: SUNS/KNICKS OVER 198 -110 RISKING $110
The pace in this game will be very fast as the Suns will most definitely try to push the tempo to prevent NY from getting their D set, which is one of the best in the NBA in the halfcourt set. On the other yet, the Knicks have been on fire the past few games at home and that should continue against the Suns who imo are one of the worst defensive teams in basketball. However, this Suns team has a ton of firepower and a lot of scorers and willing passers. I think they should eclipse 90-95 and the Knicks should take care of the rest.
I actually like the Suns ATS as these types of players probably play well in the garden but two things are steering me off my pick.
1) It's a day game
2) Sando has a big play on the Knicks
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
lot of late money on the over. line at 199.5 nowCause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
I saw your post earlier about liking the Suns here and I must admit it made me nervous. You are giving me way too much respect, but thanks anyway. I saw some post the other day about Goat being SBR's #1 handicapper and I agree 100% I think we all struggle to comprehend the game at "floor level" like you are able to as is demonstrated in your match up analysis. Anyway I'm with you on the over mate, but unfortunately I jumped the gun and did not predict so much steam on the under, so hopefully a total of 201+ and we'll all be happy.
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very nice goat.....nba hasnt been so good to me yet.Comment -
PLAY 51: LAKERS TEAM TOTAL OVER 105.5 -110 (VS. ORLANDO MAGIC)
RISK $110 TO WIN $100
Mismatches all across the board today for the Lakers. Affalo has defended Bryant well in the past. Very strong post defender but Bryant's always been able to release over the top at any time. About a 2 inch difference there and Affalo a much shorter wingspan. Gasol always plays well against smaller PFs. Davis is only about 6'8 so Gasol should play a pretty efficient game inside and out. With the way the Lakers are playing now I don't see anyway teams are gonna hold them to less than 100 pts at home. Up and down Dantoni style which is smart because you want to maximize the talent on this team by allowing them to shoot as many shots as possible. Howard should play inspired against his former team at both ends. NFL fukked me today. Lost about 500.
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
On it.............
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Good luckComment -
Yep nfl did me win as well. ninerr became challenged and raven/settlers decided to go on a offensive binge second half. lets get the team total on the lakers!Comment -
PLAY 52: LAKERS/MAGIC OVER 98 -110 2ND HALF (TIED AT 52 AT THE HALF).
RISK $55 TO WIN $50
Lakers playing a terrible offensive game thus far. This game pace is insanely fast. Look for an extremely efficient 2nd half from the Lakers. I expect LA to score 60 points in the 2nd half by themselves. They are not playing well defensively either and Nelson has kind of exposed them in a few pick and roll scenarios. This Magic team is passing the ball well and if they can maintain the same selflessness in the 2nd half I don't see why they can't score 45 50 points.
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
Howard FTs are simply horribleComment -
Your thoughts on Laker's performance tonight? Will they be trading few pieces because they are playing terrible.. Will Nash be the guy they need or do you think it's time for a change in coach? Phil Jackson?Comment -
Nash is hurt?
He looks fine on those TV commercials
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Last year I sold my Kobe and Odom jersey's in disgust at the way the Lakers were playing. The only one I kept was my Artest jersey. That one is about 1 more bad game from getting 'ebayed' as well. I've already sledge-hammered my Lakers garden gnome this year. Sigh...Comment -
D'antoni was also tinkering with line ups tonight but I do think the offense will flow much better once Nash and Blake are back. The 3 point shooting from them two adds a lot of stability in itself. The most troubling thing about tonight's performance I think was the lack of defensive effort. In the final 6 minutes of the game, Orlando ran pure pick and roll and vucecic is getting open dunks... Insane.Comment -
I've lost money every time I bet on the Lakers. I bet against them on Friday and they played well. I bet on them today and they play poorly. I can't figure this team out.
Magic are woeful without Howard and I expected a complete blowout. I don't get it.Comment -
Lakers can't stop the pick and roll right now. Nash won't change that but when Nash comes back Lakers will be scoring 120 points a game.Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
As a Laker fan I am sickened how that 4th quarter transpired. Defense was lazy, the pick and roll defense was soft no one came over on those Vucevic dunks. What irritated me was Pau coming out early, Lakers were easily + points when he was on the floor. Why do you think D'Antoni is pulling Pau out there?Comment -
PLAY 53: BLAZERS +1.5 -108 RISK $324 to win $300
PLAY 54: BLAZERS -6 +232 RISK 50 TO WIN 116
heritage lines
Blazers coming off a game where they had 3 separate chances to win at the buzzer and finally hit an unreal shot by Batum to win the game. I think Aldridge was thinking about leaving but if they reel off some wins Blazers could be solid not great.
The Bobcats are simply outmatched here at nearly every position. Kemba may be able to keep up with LIllard on both ends, but Aldridge should have his way with Mullans, Haywood, or that one other guy whos name I can't pronounce on him. He will want to show up some scrubs. Gilchrest is going to see a lot of time from Batum who is an excellent all around defender unless you know how to post up which Gilchrest does not really. Mathews also should show Taylor the rookie a thing or two. Ben Gordan and Sessions are nice sparks off the bench. If you have a bench you can win road games always. Portland doesn't have a good bench but their guys are long athletic players that should make things tough for the bobcats smaller guards.
This is a starters game for Portland I think they will want to end this road trip on a good note. Port D is solid but you can beat them up inside the paint. Bobcats don't have a big team that does that. Without 20 from Mullans this team doesn't win. Gilchrest needs to score 15ish. Walker should play decent bt I don't think the other guys will be able to do much. Mathews and Battum are the keys to this game to shutting down the shooters Gilchrest, Taylor.
I don't see how you can leave Mullans in for long. Unless Aldridge just has an off night he should abuse him.Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
Agreed, I'm sure D'Antoni is still experimenting. He seems to be getting good minutes out of Jamison. I guess you can't really say much about LAL till Nash is back. Loving all the clowns in your Lakers win the west thread thinking otherwise. Chiming in each LA loss, hilarious.Comment -
Nash is a huge piece to this team. If he is not healthy the Lakers are not going to be very good. Duhon is not a good PG. I am a magic fan and I don't even know why Duhon is in the NBA.Comment -
added another hundred to port +1.5Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
can't believe the bobcats are the favorite here.. how in the hell that happened.. blazers is a good team.. looks like vegas got it wrong.. should be blazers -3..Comment -
Hey GM, with you on the Blazers game but I can't select Blazers -6 at pinnacle, the dropdown menu shows a range from +2 to -1 which
brings me to the question - What site(s) are you betting on?
Would like to split my BR after a few wins to register on several sites (been betting on betfair when the season began but they closed bets
to germans a few weeks ago) to get all those bets pinnacle doesn't offer.
What would you suggest? (since you are able to bet on spreads to as far as 6 in that game and Team Totals, etc)Comment -
Love Port Goat...gl allComment -
Vegas is looking at other factors like Portland will possibly be fatigued after all the recent road games compared to the bobcats having a three game losing streak(getting hungry for a win), having a better home record compared to portland's away games, and having a couple days of rest while having a "home court advantage"
That's why vegas is favoring the bobcats so far...Comment
