Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

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  • Sharp Snake
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-11-12
    • 550

    #1786
    Originally posted by wguan2
    Clearly you haven't gambled enough if you don't think a half point is a big difference. Go ask the guys who took Knicks -3 and the ones who managed to get Knicks -2.5
    he said the difference was a push. pretty clear to me.
    Comment
    • sando
      SBR MVP
      • 04-30-12
      • 3723

      #1787
      Stay focused. Long season. Keep grinding.

      1-2 Today in the NBA -2.15 Units

      NBA YTD 100-69-8 (+37.72 Units) 59.2%

      *Struggling to crack the 40 Unit mark. It's like a resistance level in technical analysis (financial markets).

      (NBA ATS/ML 75-51-5 YTD) 59.5%


      (NBA totals 26-20-3 YTD) 56.5%

      Unofficial NBA prop bets YTD 2-1


      All time SBR Picks

      Tennis 31-25-4
      (+17.16 Units)
      Rugby Union 7-7
      (+2.97 Units)
      Rugby Sevens 28
      -24-1 (+2.27 Units)
      MMA 3-0 (+20.23 Units)

      MLB 4-1 (+9.49 Units) *See spreadsheet

      **
      Above record based on picks posted at SBR forum.


      ________________________________________ ________________

      NBA


      ***Early Markets***


      Denver @ Minnesota
      Timberwolves -2 (-108 Sportsbet, IAS Bet) 2.5x
      *The -2 won't last. I'm expecting -3 minimum by game time. If you like this pick then get in as early as possible.

      Cleveland @ Indiana
      Cav's +8.5 (-110 Pinnacle) 2x
      *The Pacers are the worst offensive team in the NBA, so 8.5 points is actually a lot for them to cover when they struggle to score period. In their last 10 they are 6-4 and not once have they covered 8.5 points despite 3 of those wins coming over Washington, Sacramento and New Orleans. Cav's with Irving back are a better team than most people realise.

      SA @ Utah
      Jazz +3 (-107 Pinnacle) 1.5x
      *I have this game at Spurs -1 or even a pk em. Jazz are 8-1 at home with the only loss coming to a red hot Clippers team by 1 point. Jefferson is back and Favors practiced Tuesday (although he is a game time decision) so the Jazz basically have a full playing list for the game. Spurs do have lots of bigs however not many teams can handle the 1-2 punch down low of Milsap & Jefferson at home in Utah. (More to follow).

      *Public are pounding the Spurs ATM. Maybe hold off for a bit and pick up +3.5 or at the least better odds later.

      Atlanta @ Orlando
      Hawks -4 (-110 Pinnacle) 1.5x
      *Orlando has actually been better on the road than they have been at home in recent times, although it must be said they are playing suprisingly well in general lately and full credit must be given to rookie coach Jacque Vaughn for squeezing the absolute most out of his rather limited talent pool. Regardless they have clearly been playing above their median level and have a hot Atlanta team coming to town, who may be coming off a 9 point loss to the Heat, but they did hang with Lebron's boys for most of the match and traditionally the Heat has been their bogey team the last few years. Apart from that game the Hawks are 9-1 their last ten games, with their last 3 road games all being double digit wins. J-smoove is balling and was just named the ECF player of the week and I fail to see how big chunky Glen Davis and skinny Vucevic are going to be able to hang with the more highly skilled and agile pairing of Smith and Horford. Orlando coming back home from a long road trip and there has been a trend lately of teams struggling in their first games back home.

      GS @ Miami
      Warriors +8.5 (-107 Pinnacle) 1x
      *The quiet achievers in the NBA. The Warriors are 4 wins from 4 games on their current road trip and a healthy 7-3 ATS in their last 10. A healthy Andrew Bogut will create a formidable front court with David Lee when he returns. In the meantime I can see Lee getting whatever he wants today against Bosh and if Lebron guards him he will most definitely have to "put in work" which may affect him slightly on the other end. Battier is an excellent defender but young Barnes too quick and explosive to be troubled much. Chalmers also a solid and pesky defender but nobody stops Mr. Consistent (Curry) from getting his 20+ every single night. The Warriors are full of confidence ATM, very very important in a young team, they will believe they can win tonight, although all I'm looking for is them to keep it close, which I believe they will do.

      NBA Total's of the Day

      Memphis @ Phoenix
      Over 195 (-105 Pinnacle) 2x

      Chicago @ Philly
      Under 181 (-111 Pinnacle) 1x

      SA @ Utah
      Over 209 (-111 Pinnacle) 1x
      Last edited by sando; 12-12-12, 04:31 PM. Reason: Plays Added
      Comment
      • sbrhgary
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-28-12
        • 275

        #1788
        My book is already -3.
        Comment
        • Goat Milk
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-24-10
          • 25850

          #1789
          I like Denver money line. Twolves can't win if they're not red hot from 3. Love is clearly not himself and no one on that team can beat you off the dribble without roy and rubio.
          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
          Comment
          • tblues2005
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-30-06
            • 9235

            #1790
            Sando it hasn't been very nice so far. We will get them back tomorrow hopefully.
            Comment
            • Romerowned
              SBR High Roller
              • 03-20-12
              • 186

              #1791
              Looks like 5 dimes opened the Nuggets/Wolves game at -3.
              Comment
              • Catchn_Picks
                SBR MVP
                • 09-02-11
                • 2984

                #1792
                After that miracle cover with SA @ HOU in OT, I think the public may jump on SA and Utah players could get +3-4 tomorrow. I can't believe that Utah will be the public choice over a red hot SA. I'm watching the line closely.

                gl all.
                Comment
                • Bill_Hicks
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-30-12
                  • 1094

                  #1793
                  Wolves -2 (-129) at pinny. Glad I got this quick, thank Sando.
                  Comment
                  • sando
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-30-12
                    • 3723

                    #1794
                    Nuggets/Wolves

                    Bookmaker Denver (+2.5) Minnesota (-2.5) Last Updated
                    PartyBets (GI) -110 -110 Wed Dec 12 15:47
                    Pinnacle (Caribbean) +106 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:35
                    UniBet (UK) -103 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:30
                    PAF (FI) -103 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:35
                    BetRedKings (MT) -105 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:43
                    Bet-At-Home (MT) -118 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:34
                    Dafabet (PH) +104 -119 Wed Dec 12 15:37
                    12Bet (PH) +104 -119 Wed Dec 12 15:37
                    Bookmaker Denver (+2.0) Minnesota (-2.0) Last Updated
                    IASBet (NT) -109 -109 Wed Dec 12 15:33
                    Sportsbet (NT) -109 -109 Wed Dec 12 15:37
                    Paddy Power (UK) -110 -110 Wed Dec 12 15:45
                    Pinnacle (Caribbean) +115 -128 Wed Dec 12 15:35
                    Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-25-14, 03:23 PM.
                    Comment
                    • Romerowned
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 03-20-12
                      • 186

                      #1795
                      You still like the play with that much juice?
                      Comment
                      • Catchn_Picks
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-02-11
                        • 2984

                        #1796
                        We may be better off paying the juice for a money line play on MINN with reduced juice on 5D...anybody knows when 4D puts up reduced juice NBA lines?
                        Comment
                        • sbrhgary
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-28-12
                          • 275

                          #1797
                          Like the Utah pick, they are strong at home. I expect over too.
                          Last edited by sbrhgary; 12-12-12, 12:42 AM. Reason: Grammer
                          Comment
                          • usfunca
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 10-26-12
                            • 251

                            #1798
                            Tough one tonight. You'll crack 40 soon. Keep at it!
                            Comment
                            • OZnBa Fan
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 05-24-12
                              • 697

                              #1799
                              Can some 1 please explain to me all this -115 +110 numbers or wat Eva it is I'm from australia and just don't understand it
                              Comment
                              • sando
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-30-12
                                • 3723

                                #1800
                                Originally posted by OZnBa Fan
                                Can some 1 please explain to me all this -115 +110 numbers or wat Eva it is I'm from australia and just don't understand it

                                Link Not Working - Removed-)
                                Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-25-14, 03:23 PM.
                                Comment
                                • Tim Gerry Mander
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-14-12
                                  • 869

                                  #1801
                                  Sportsbet still has min-2 @ $1.92

                                  Tab has jazz+3.5 @ $1.90
                                  Comment
                                  • wizcodlifa
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-10-12
                                    • 921

                                    #1802
                                    SANDO i was wondering if you have a system or equation on how configure your spreads/ totals??
                                    Comment
                                    • sando
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-30-12
                                      • 3723

                                      #1803
                                      Originally posted by wizcodlifa
                                      SANDO i was wondering if you have a system or equation on how configure your spreads/ totals??
                                      I did a massive write up explaining exactly how I come up with my ATS picks only 3-4 days ago. It's probably 5-10 pages back?
                                      Comment
                                      • usfunca
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 10-26-12
                                        • 251

                                        #1804
                                        [QUOTE=sando;17095068]I did a massive write up explaining exactly how I come up with my ATS
                                        Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 08-08-14, 11:29 AM.
                                        Comment
                                        • ShotgunRua
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 09-12-12
                                          • 376

                                          #1805
                                          Cheers Sando, grabbed all these lines.
                                          Comment
                                          • Tim Gerry Mander
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-14-12
                                            • 869

                                            #1806
                                            Originally posted by sando
                                            Stay focused. Long season. Keep grinding.

                                            1-2 Today in the NBA -2.15 Units

                                            NBA YTD 100-69-8 (+37.72 Units) 59.2%

                                            *Struggling to crack the 40 Unit mark. It's like a resistance level in technical analysis (financial markets).

                                            (NBA ATS/ML 75-51-5 YTD) 59.5%


                                            (NBA totals 26-20-3 YTD) 56.5%

                                            Unofficial NBA prop bets YTD 2-1


                                            All time SBR Picks

                                            Tennis 31-25-4
                                            (+17.16 Units)
                                            Rugby Union 7-7
                                            (+2.97 Units)
                                            Rugby Sevens 28
                                            -24-1 (+2.27 Units)
                                            MMA 3-0 (+20.23 Units)

                                            MLB 4-1 (+9.49 Units) *See spreadsheet

                                            **
                                            Above record based on picks posted at SBR forum.


                                            ________________________________________ ________________
                                            Don't worry, it's just a Fibonacci retracement - it will crack soon.

                                            It took ages for the AUD to crack parity with the USD, but once it did, it hasn't looked back.
                                            Comment
                                            • Bbr
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-17-10
                                              • 3900

                                              #1807
                                              Sando. Bulls +3 has to be an easy pick tmrw. I dont see how the 76ers can manage the bulls' in the paint. Noah boozer and gibson will be very active on the offensive end. Noah and boozer will both post double-doubles.
                                              Comment
                                              • sando
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-30-12
                                                • 3723

                                                #1808
                                                Play Added. Will possibly add 1 more ATS and a total or two but need to sleep on them for a few hours and see how I feel about them later, so any new plays will be added in 6 hours from now.



                                                Originally posted by Bbr
                                                Sando. Bulls +3 has to be an easy pick tmrw. I dont see how the 76ers can manage the bulls' in the paint. Noah boozer and gibson will be very active on the offensive end. Noah and boozer will both post double-doubles.
                                                Thanks for the heads up Doc, I'll chew it over.
                                                Comment
                                                • tblues2005
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 07-30-06
                                                  • 9235

                                                  #1809
                                                  Thanks Sando for the heads up on a few more plays being released. Good luck today and I know yesterday wasn't such a good one but as long as you stay steady you will be alright.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dmitean
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 03-30-11
                                                    • 364

                                                    #1810
                                                    I'm not saying you're wrong by any means, but Pacers actually pretty decent at home lately. Since Vogel's changes on Pacers offense, in regular time (without OT), Pacers averaged no less than 97 points at home.
                                                    I think that Cleveland should cover the line here, but I believe that Cleveland TT Over is the better choice here.

                                                    Overall, agree on all 4 plays (some more - some less). Hope you sweep tonight!!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Catchn_Picks
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-02-11
                                                      • 2984

                                                      #1811
                                                      Bet US just put up Utah +4.5 guys...so it may go up more...that is a terrific line.

                                                      Most books have Minn -3.4 right now...I did find one book that came back down to -3. Even tho Den is a public team right now, I think everyone knows that DEN has had a long road trip with B to B's.

                                                      Very few AT -4's or even 4.5's out there...looks like you are going to have to settle with -5...is Orlando really that bad?

                                                      I thought that we might see CLEV +8.5 or even 9 ...some 8.5's are still around...don't think we will find many +9's. Irving's return last night was big...he was amazing.

                                                      Look for Clev lines to start coming down quickly over the next week.

                                                      gl all
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Murray Rothbard
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-22-12
                                                        • 698

                                                        #1812
                                                        Originally posted by sando
                                                        Nuggets/Wolves

                                                        Bookmaker Denver (+2.5) Minnesota (-2.5) Last Updated
                                                        PartyBets (GI) -110 -110 Wed Dec 12 15:47
                                                        Pinnacle (Caribbean) +106 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:35
                                                        UniBet (UK) -103 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:30
                                                        PAF (FI) -103 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:35
                                                        BetRedKings (MT) -105 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:43
                                                        Bet-At-Home (MT) -118 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:34
                                                        Dafabet (PH) +104 -119 Wed Dec 12 15:37
                                                        12Bet (PH) +104 -119 Wed Dec 12 15:37
                                                        Bookmaker Denver (+2.0) Minnesota (-2.0) Last Updated
                                                        IASBet (NT) -109 -109 Wed Dec 12 15:33
                                                        Sportsbet (NT) -109 -109 Wed Dec 12 15:37
                                                        Paddy Power (UK) -110 -110 Wed Dec 12 15:45
                                                        Pinnacle (Caribbean) +115 -128 Wed Dec 12 15:35
                                                        Sando is this software you bought or a program you created?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • laca07
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 11-20-12
                                                          • 61

                                                          #1813
                                                          ^ sportspunter.com
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sando
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-30-12
                                                            • 3723

                                                            #1814
                                                            Total added. Contemplating another ATS pick on G/S.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sando
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-30-12
                                                              • 3723

                                                              #1815
                                                              NBA Card complete.

                                                              5 x ATS
                                                              3 x O/U

                                                              12.5 Units in play.

                                                              Good Luck everyone.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • grim259
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 11-04-12
                                                                • 187

                                                                #1816
                                                                So minn at -3.5 is a no go i take it? Hawks line mived roo dang it.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • tblues2005
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-30-06
                                                                  • 9235

                                                                  #1817
                                                                  I hope you do well tonight and we all are happy!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sando
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-30-12
                                                                    • 3723

                                                                    #1818
                                                                    Originally posted by grim259
                                                                    So minn at -3.5 is a no go i take it? Hawks line mived roo dang it.
                                                                    Buy the hook on both games, to get the Hawks back to -4 and Minny to -3 (-3 is still playable).
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Romerowned
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 03-20-12
                                                                      • 186

                                                                      #1819
                                                                      Good luck man...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sando
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-30-12
                                                                        • 3723

                                                                        #1820
                                                                        Wow. Just had a peek at Mr. Seaweed's card, guy normally puts out 1x play per day max, today he has 9 plays and on every play that collides we are against each other. Looks like it's us vs. Seaweed nation today boys.
                                                                        Comment
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