POCONO--5mike5

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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 51865

    #106
    Originally posted by Optional
    LOL. I did say longshot and gut ;-))

    His record is actually pretty good, outside the win column.
    i like it...

    ive seen that gut of urs pick plenty of winners outside the favs...may take him too...

    i thnk its better race than usual for a longshot to have good chance with 400 miles, and u basically cant go a lap down even during green flag pit stops




    Comment
    • RyanLeafOfBets
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-03-10
      • 8164

      #107
      It's hard for me to bet on the favorites is Nascar, especially when odds are less than 4 to 1, so I made two small plays for now:

      124112669-1 6/8/12 11:13am $12.00 $144.00 Pending 6/8/12 12:30pm Motor Racing Sprint Cup +1200 Pocono 400 - Kyle Busch
      124112669-2 6/8/12 11:13am $12.00 $180.00 Pending 6/8/12 12:30pm Motor Racing Sprint Cup +1500 Pocono 400 - Carl Edwards
      Carl's last 8 races here: 7, 37, 3, 12, 18, 2, 1, 9

      Kyle's last 8 races here: 2, 3, 23, 2, 16, 22, 36, 43. Throw out the '08 and '09 races and he looks pretty good. Good value at 12-1 IMO
      Comment
      • 5mike5
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 09-21-11
        • 51865

        #108
        i like the kyle play...been waiting to add him, but 12-1 maybe best odds and when/if i rebet him shouldnt be much of a diff i hope

        ill be routing for ya leafer

        Last edited by 5mike5; 06-08-12, 10:33 AM.
        Comment
        • 5mike5
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-21-11
          • 51865

          #109
          i pulled the trigger on the Candy Man (+1200)

          thats it for me til after sessions i guess...want to leave room for 1-2 more mid packers
          Last edited by 5mike5; 06-08-12, 11:19 AM.
          Comment
          • 5mike5
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-21-11
            • 51865

            #110
            "official" 1st practice has begun

            Qualifying lineup will be set off this 1st practice, so most will be focused purely on that, which is usually a big deal here in the past at least
            Comment
            • Optional
              Administrator
              • 06-10-10
              • 60874

              #111
              Qualifying starts at 11.00am... what's the bet some people decide it might be better to run early?
              .
              Comment
              • 5mike5
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-21-11
                • 51865

                #112
                Originally posted by Optional
                Qualifying starts at 11.00am... what's the bet some people decide it might be better to run early?
                ive heard both actually...at 11am seems like with a long qualifying session here, early would be a little better since maybe cooler but i dont know...maybe not suppose to be much of a temp. change

                some teams (and commentators) mentioned sandbag and go out a little early may be better than late in session...which is what i would think...grubb and osbourne are 2 of them but they may have lied...hahah


                shocked to hear some arent even fully focused on qualifying and are in race trim...only stat ill even look at is 10 lap-averages in next practice and even that wont shift me to bet based just on that

                so basically who the hell knows
                Last edited by 5mike5; 06-08-12, 12:33 PM.
                Comment
                • 5mike5
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-21-11
                  • 51865

                  #113
                  weekend forcast:

                  partly cloudy/ scattered T-storms

                  temp in the high 70s

                  chance of rain on sunday: 30-40%
                  Comment
                  • 5mike5
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 09-21-11
                    • 51865

                    #114
                    just heard ALOT of teams are doing race runs and not caring about qualifying order because early+cooler=better, or just think race trim is 10x as important


                    im sure every1 will make a qualifying run though, almost have to


                    *according to radio and tv
                    Last edited by 5mike5; 06-08-12, 12:40 PM.
                    Comment
                    • 5mike5
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-21-11
                      • 51865

                      #115
                      i know keslowski, harvick and hamlin are NOT focused on qualifying this session

                      im sure every1 will make 1 Q-lap, but just arent focusing on it
                      Last edited by 5mike5; 06-08-12, 12:52 PM.
                      Comment
                      • RyanLeafOfBets
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-03-10
                        • 8164

                        #116
                        McMurray didn't even have odds on 5D last night... Did he have odds before practice this AM?
                        Comment
                        • 5mike5
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 09-21-11
                          • 51865

                          #117
                          Originally posted by RyanLeafOfBets
                          McMurray didn't even have odds on 5D last night... Did he have odds before practice this AM?
                          not sure



                          he could win the pole at he wouldnt be better than 50-1(and shouldnt be that high imo)
                          Last edited by 5mike5; 06-08-12, 12:47 PM.
                          Comment
                          • 5mike5
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-21-11
                            • 51865

                            #118
                            JGR in generally seems focused on logging laps,and race runs.. and kyle 29 with logano with a practice high 33 laps already

                            along with gordon, edwards, dinger all have 20+ laps that session (only drivers to have 20+ along with gibbs crew)

                            so ome teams wanted to go out early instead of late...basically that told us nothing...whats new
                            Last edited by 5mike5; 06-08-12, 01:00 PM.
                            Comment
                            • RyanLeafOfBets
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-03-10
                              • 8164

                              #119
                              Dinger had a very good lap to get into the top 5... However, he does have pretty bad history here. Depending on where he qualifies, he might worth picking to win a group if he's fast in final practice. Just something I'll be keeping an eye on.
                              Comment
                              • 5mike5
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-21-11
                                • 51865

                                #120
                                hes been fast all week...but these sessions dont mean much of anything to me..so many teams on different agendas so not much to compare anything to

                                55-1 as a longshot was a good grab imo...glad i got him though, but he and truex are my underdogs to bet if i take any this year
                                Last edited by 5mike5; 06-08-12, 01:10 PM.
                                Comment
                                • 5mike5
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-21-11
                                  • 51865

                                  #121
                                  since no nationwide race this weekend, im going to bet something on the truck race to keep it intersesting..no CUP drivers this week

                                  got TY DILLION to win the race so far

                                  probably make 1 more play b4 it starts but no idea what yet
                                  Comment
                                  • Reno Paul
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-11-10
                                    • 1647

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by 5mike5
                                    JGR in generally seems focused on logging laps,and race runs.. and kyle 29 with logano with a practice high 33 laps already

                                    along with gordon, edwards, dinger all have 20+ laps that session (only drivers to have 20+ along with gibbs crew)

                                    so ome teams wanted to go out early instead of late...basically that told us nothing...whats new

                                    It's called sandbagging.
                                    Comment
                                    • Optional
                                      Administrator
                                      • 06-10-10
                                      • 60874

                                      #123
                                      We need odds on Junior cocking up a pitstop. Brand new slippery concrete surface boxes.

                                      Tailing you on Ty Mike
                                      .
                                      Comment
                                      • 5mike5
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-21-11
                                        • 51865

                                        #124
                                        any thoughts on anothetr play on trucks Opti?

                                        maybe a H2H play or 1 more winner since odds are long?
                                        Comment
                                        • Optional
                                          Administrator
                                          • 06-10-10
                                          • 60874

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by 5mike5
                                          any thoughts on anothetr play on trucks Opti?

                                          maybe a H2H play or 1 more winner since odds are long?
                                          Nah. I am going for a nap soon, probably before the end of cup practice. So will check back just before truck race to see if you have decided on anything else though.
                                          .
                                          Comment
                                          • 5mike5
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 09-21-11
                                            • 51865

                                            #126
                                            ok...

                                            im going to hunt something i guess
                                            Comment
                                            • Reno Paul
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-11-10
                                              • 1647

                                              #127
                                              Took Justin Lofton +750 for shits and giggles tonight.
                                              Comment
                                              • 5mike5
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 09-21-11
                                                • 51865

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by Reno Paul
                                                Took Justin Lofton +750 for shits and giggles tonight.
                                                hopefully 1 of us will win a little something...

                                                im going to take 1 more to win or maybe a H2H for fun
                                                Comment
                                                • 5mike5
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                  • 51865

                                                  #129
                                                  truck race:

                                                  Ty dillion (+825)

                                                  Ron Hornaday (+800)

                                                  those are my 2 picks to win the race....no real reasoning behind either pick, except to have a routing interest in the race tonight

                                                  since no nationwide race tomorrow, i may even go out on a limb and try a H2H parlay for fun too.
                                                  Last edited by 5mike5; 06-08-12, 03:52 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TEXAS MICKEY
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-14-10
                                                    • 1398

                                                    #130
                                                    Truck Race weather is perfect, no wind, about 80 at the start.
                                                    Headed out to the Indy race tomorrow. Will be a lot warmer, should be in the mid 90's for the start.

                                                    Hornydomer and The Onion Head run very well here. Don't count those old fuks out of your equations.

                                                    Best truck races here were when we had Jack Sprague, Hornydomer, The Onion, Brendan Gauhgn, Mike Skinner beating on one another lap after lap.

                                                    Good Luck Boys.

                                                    TM
                                                    Last edited by TEXAS MICKEY; 06-08-12, 05:53 PM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 5mike5
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                      • 51865

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by TEXAS MICKEY
                                                      Truck Race weather is perfect, no wind, about 80 at the start.
                                                      Headed out to the Indy race tomorrow. Will be a lot warmer, should be in the mid 90's for the start.
                                                      Good Luck Boys.

                                                      TM
                                                      have a good time TM!!

                                                      Comment
                                                      • TEXAS MICKEY
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-14-10
                                                        • 1398

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                        have a good time TM!!

                                                        Thanks Mike,

                                                        This is always the cultural shock race weekend, tonight you have the Bubba and Betty Jo, drinking Budweiser, sagging crowd, and tomorrow night you have the Biff and Bethany, cocaine snorting, silicone valley crowd.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 51865

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by TEXAS MICKEY
                                                          Thanks Mike,

                                                          This is always the cultural shock race weekend, tonight you have the Bubba and Betty Jo, drinking Budweiser, sagging crowd, and tomorrow night you have the Biff and Bethany, cocaine snorting, silicone valley crowd.
                                                          Last edited by 5mike5; 06-08-12, 06:46 PM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 5mike5
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-21-11
                                                            • 51865

                                                            #134
                                                            added a H2H parlay:

                                                            Gaughan over peters (+100)
                                                            Klingerman over Piquet Jr. (-120)
                                                            Crafton over Bodine (-105)

                                                            TY DILLION (+825) to win the race

                                                            Ron Hornaday (+800) to win the race


                                                            *no reasoning for any of these bets really, except i want action since no nationwide this week...


                                                            definatley fade material, i stink at H2Hs in cup, much less trucks
                                                            Last edited by 5mike5; 06-08-12, 06:46 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Optional
                                                              Administrator
                                                              • 06-10-10
                                                              • 60874

                                                              #135
                                                              Just stuck with Ty Dillon and added this parlay for +500

                                                              Ty Dillon* -125 vs James Beuscher
                                                              Ron Hornaday* -125 vs Matt Crafton
                                                              Parker Kligerman* -125 vs Nelson Piquet Jr
                                                              .
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 5mike5
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-21-11
                                                                • 51865

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by Optional
                                                                Just stuck with Ty Dillon and added this parlay for +500

                                                                Ty Dillon* -125 vs James Beuscher
                                                                Ron Hornaday* -125 vs Matt Crafton
                                                                Parker Kligerman* -125 vs Nelson Piquet Jr
                                                                well we dont have any H2H against each other..my parlay is +500 or so as well

                                                                ill be routing for ya buddy...hope its a good race..GL

                                                                Comment
                                                                • MatI
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-17-11
                                                                  • 5200

                                                                  #137
                                                                  GL boys! I'm laying off the race, just woke up.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 5mike5
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                                    • 51865

                                                                    #138
                                                                    this cup race going to be flat out wide open alot more than i thought...crew chiefs switching chassis from testing tues/wed to what they are using in the race, and not even telling if they did switch it or not..hahah...sandbagging and different agaends in session...new pavement..odds are all jumbled up mostly in the same 8-16 to 1 range..good grief i have no idea who to fill out my roster with at this point...lol...win or lose im never really stumped on who i want to take..im very happy with my early bets though

                                                                    this could be a week for a big cash in on long odds...

                                                                    .i have absolutley no idea what to expect from these guys when the green flag drops...im not too sure they do either, but it makes me anticipate it more than ever!
                                                                    Last edited by 5mike5; 06-08-12, 08:20 PM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Optional
                                                                      Administrator
                                                                      • 06-10-10
                                                                      • 60874

                                                                      #139
                                                                      They keep talking about Piquet as a chance on the box.

                                                                      Will kick myself if I miss backing him for his first win... been thinking for last few races 'this will be it', but have laid off him this week. (someone needs to take advantage of that personal jinx I just made)
                                                                      .
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 5mike5
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 09-21-11
                                                                        • 51865

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by Optional
                                                                        They keep talking about Piquet as a chance on the box.

                                                                        Will kick myself if I miss backing him for his first win... been thinking for last few races 'this will be it', but have laid off him this week. (someone needs to take advantage of that personal jinx I just made)
                                                                        im routing against him just cause u back him almost every race u bet...

                                                                        be awful if he wins tonight without ur backing him
                                                                        Comment
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