Lewis Hamilton and Mercedes are dominant here. A merc has won the race from pole 4 of the last 5 years.
Verstappen in a red bull broke the streak in 2016 but I don't think his car has the legs to challenge for the win this year.
Ferrari looked best on this track during winter testing, and should give Merc a challenge but I'm expecting after 4 races now Merc are sorted and will resume normal activity.
Odds are kind of rubbish on Lewis, around +140 to win, and only +170 for both Pole and Race win.
So no use betting him early.
But Merc are usually on a program that sees them run fast lap times in Practice 1, so I am going to get started with that this weekend.
Hamilton Fastest in Practice 1 +175
Further down the field, I think Torro Rosso should go well on this track with their high downforce happy design.
Alexander Albon (Toro Rosso) +175 for top 10.
With the new fastest lap rules this year, the car has to finish top 10 to have a shot at it. So the favorites should take it most races. But I still see value in the huge odds offered for cars with a good chance to finish 7th to 10th.
They only have to have a 30 second gap behind them to make it worthwhile to pit with 3 laps to go and steal th fastest lap on new tires without losing a spot.
Kimi Raikkonen (Alfa Romeo): Fastest Lap +8000
Daniil Kvyat (Toro Rosso): Fastest Lap +25000
Alexander Albon (Toro Rosso): Fastest Lap +25000
Just small bets, to win $1200 if one of them pulls it off.