1. #1
    Optional
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    F1 Spanish Grand Prix - Sun 12th May

    Lewis Hamilton and Mercedes are dominant here. A merc has won the race from pole 4 of the last 5 years.

    Verstappen in a red bull broke the streak in 2016 but I don't think his car has the legs to challenge for the win this year.

    Ferrari looked best on this track during winter testing, and should give Merc a challenge but I'm expecting after 4 races now Merc are sorted and will resume normal activity.


    Odds are kind of rubbish on Lewis, around +140 to win, and only +170 for both Pole and Race win.

    So no use betting him early.

    But Merc are usually on a program that sees them run fast lap times in Practice 1, so I am going to get started with that this weekend.

    Hamilton Fastest in Practice 1 +175


    Further down the field, I think Torro Rosso should go well on this track with their high downforce happy design.

    Alexander Albon (Toro Rosso) +175 for top 10.



    With the new fastest lap rules this year, the car has to finish top 10 to have a shot at it. So the favorites should take it most races. But I still see value in the huge odds offered for cars with a good chance to finish 7th to 10th.

    They only have to have a 30 second gap behind them to make it worthwhile to pit with 3 laps to go and steal th fastest lap on new tires without losing a spot.


    Kimi Raikkonen (Alfa Romeo): Fastest Lap +8000
    Daniil Kvyat (Toro Rosso): Fastest Lap +25000
    Alexander Albon (Toro Rosso): Fastest Lap +25000


    Just small bets, to win $1200 if one of them pulls it off.
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  2. #2
    Hman
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    Where and what time does this run Opti?

  3. #3
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hman View Post
    Where and what time does this run Opti?
    The race is on at 9.00am Sunday on ESPN2

    Qualifying is 9.00am Saturday.

    And 2nd practice is coming up soon at 9.00am today.

    Unfortunately practice 1 today was cut short by a wreck and a bunch of cars did not set fast times. And my bet lost. I will be taking Hamilton again for Practice 2 though.




    P1

    Cla Driver Chassis Laps Time Gap
    1 Valtteri Bottas Mercedes 19 1'17.951
    2 Sebastian Vettel Ferrari 20 1'18.066 0.115
    3 Charles Leclerc Ferrari 20 1'18.172 0.221
    4 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes 22 1'18.575 0.624
    5 Romain Grosjean Haas 25 1'18.943 0.992
    6 Carlos Sainz Jr. McLaren 31 1'19.155 1.204
    7 Kevin Magnussen Haas 27 1'19.180 1.229
    8 Pierre Gasly Red Bull 30 1'19.285 1.334
    9 Daniil Kvyat Toro Rosso 34 1'19.364 1.413
    10 Nico Hulkenberg Renault 25 1'19.450 1.499
    11 Daniel Ricciardo Renault 24 1'19.511 1.560
    12 Max Verstappen Red Bull 14 1'19.844 1.893
    13 Lance Stroll Racing Point 28 1'19.855 1.904
    14 Antonio Giovinazzi Alfa Romeo 28 1'20.021 2.070
    15 Alex Albon Toro Rosso 25 1'20.030 2.079
    16 Lando Norris McLaren 33 1'20.066 2.115
    17 Sergio Perez Racing Point 26 1'20.459 2.508
    18 Kimi Raikkonen Alfa Romeo 22 1'20.591 2.640
    19 Robert Kubica Williams 27 1'20.889 2.938
    20 George Russell Williams 23 1'20.990 3.039
    Last edited by Optional; 05-10-19 at 06:38 AM.

  4. #4
    Optional
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    Lewis HamiltonFastest in Practice 2
    F1 Spanish Grand Prix 2019
    +188

  5. #5
    byronbb
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    With the new fastest lap rules this year, the car has to finish top 10 to have a shot at it. So the favorites should take it most races. But I still see value in the huge odds offered for cars with a good chance to finish 7th to 10th.
    are you sure this is true? I think fastest lap still counts if they arent in top 10, they just do not get a point.

  6. #6
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by byronbb View Post

    are you sure this is true? I think fastest lap still counts if they arent in top 10, they just do not get a point.
    True. But it's way less likely to happen with the point incentive now.

    And even if someone who holds it wrecks late, it will still be one of the top 10 fastest cars we are betting on I think.

    Just can't see it happening often enough to factor in.

  7. #7
    byronbb
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    Yeah I was thinking that might have been what you meant.

  8. #8
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Lewis HamiltonFastest in Practice 2
    F1 Spanish Grand Prix 2019
    +188
    Bottas gets me again.

    has put me in a bad mood about it all now.

  9. #9
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Bottas gets me again.

    has put me in a bad mood about it all now.
    You can get it back, Opti.

  10. #10
    unlearn
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    Opti I'm backing Ham to win the pole. Do you have the courage to 3 barrel him?

  11. #11
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by unlearn View Post
    Opti I'm backing Ham to win the pole. Do you have the courage to 3 barrel him?
    Nope. He will just fuk us both if I bet him again. But think your bet is probably a winner.


    Took Albon +900 to be fastest qualifier, without the big three teams.

  12. #12
    unlearn
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    Bottas 3 straight poles jfc

  13. #13
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by unlearn View Post
    Bottas 3 straight poles jfc
    F1 sucks. Stupid sport.

  14. #14
    QuangX
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    Opti, need you to shake it off and give us some bangers

  15. #15
    milwaukee mike
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    i like kyvat over albon in the matchup -140

  16. #16
    5mike5
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    Opti anwser the phone!!

    Need race morning preview

    Only played a couple FLs as usual since no opti yet to help. Hams and Kimi. GL

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    jjgold
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  18. #18
    Optional
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    Had a huge mothers day family event here today. Only just got back before race start.


    Only bets I added to those posted up top were for Magnussen and Grosjean to set fastest lap 50/1 each.

    Liking the early Albon and Kvyat fastest lap bets at 250/1 right now too.

    Albon Top 10 +175 my main bet also looking good for now.


    Good luck anyone else who played this.

  19. #19
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    Opti anwser the phone!!

    Need race morning preview

    Only played a couple FLs as usual since no opti yet to help. Hams and Kimi. GL
    Another FL winner!!! Just Crushing them again this season.

    Hamilition FL +300--Winner


  20. #20
    5mike5
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    So much for FLs not having any value now with new rules.

    Thats 3 already in 5 races. +1000, +1000, and +300

    And just taking 2 per race. And 1 always being huge longshot kimi

  21. #21
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    i like kyvat over albon in the matchup -140
    i got a winner too

    good stuff 5mike5... sorry that your albon got 11th opti
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  22. #22
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post

    Another FL winner!!! Just Crushing them again this season.

    Hamilition FL +300--Winner

    I need to start tailing you for these. 60% hit rate on fastest lap bets is 5mike5 level.


    Ugly end for me. Albon could not snatch 10th an save trhe day for me.

    And none of the longshot fast lap scenarios came to pass. The late safety car wrecked any chances for the longshots this time :\



    Glad I did not risk much more money after the ugly start on Friday at least.

    We'll get them in monaco in 2 weeks time.


    Biggest racing weekend of the year! Monaco, Indy 500 and Coke 600

  23. #23
    5mike5
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    Nice win mike

    Thanks, but tailing Opti was the only reason hit the 10-1 FLs. Those i cant take credit for picking myself. Just guessed this time cause didnt want Hams at +125 to win so thght that was better value.

  24. #24
    milwaukee mike
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    opti have you ever been to the monte carlo race?

    i've been there but not for the race... what a place

    crazy that 5 races in a row it's been hamilton/bottas

  25. #25
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    Nice win mike

    Thanks, but tailing Opti was the only reason hit the 10-1 FLs. Those i cant take credit for picking myself. Just guessed this time cause didnt want Hams at +125 to win so thght that was better value.
    It was a smart move.

    I could not bring myself to think about bettign Lewis again and having Bottas beat him lol

  26. #26
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    opti have you ever been to the monte carlo race?

    i've been there but not for the race... what a place

    crazy that 5 races in a row it's been hamilton/bottas
    No, the only race I have seen live is the Australian GP.

    Plan to do a Europe trip next year to line up with a race though. Probably Silverstone.


    And yeah, it is crazy they have dominated every race like that. Casual fans think Lewis and Merc have been unbeatable for years. But they have never dominated first 5 races like this (results wise) and really Ferrari have looked stronger on 2 or 3 of those tracks but manage to stuff something up every race.

  27. #27
    tucks
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    Try real hard to get into F1. Respect the drivers and the culture.... but penetrate me, when one guy leads the entire race after turn 1 I find it hard to keep interest.

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