Thatguy's NRL Plays

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  • That Guy
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-13-12
    • 973

    #1331
    updated: NRL Season 2013 38-3-28 +8.74

    Round 11 1-0

    Tigers vs Cowboys OVER cashed..
    Comment
    • aussieH
      SBR MVP
      • 02-04-11
      • 1188

      #1332
      Good work. Again cheers
      Comment
      • maroona
        SBR Sharp
        • 07-13-10
        • 493

        #1333
        Great stuff mate, that game just looked so much like an unders game, great analysis
        Comment
        • That Guy
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-13-12
          • 973

          #1334
          NRL Season 2013 38-3-28 +8.74

          Round 11 1-0

          Play #2
          Sea Eagles vs Raiders UNDER 38 1x 1.95
          No time for analysis write up unfortunately... rolling 1x UNDER for this. Strong Sea Eagles defense and Raiders desperate for another win. Should be a tight match up. GL


          Play #3
          Dragons vs Panthers UNDER 38.5 1x 1.95
          Two offensively lacking sides and a higher total thanks to Josh Dugan - I'll take it.
          No big writeup today due to work commitments. GL
          Comment
          • Domestic
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-10-09
            • 6323

            #1335
            Great call on the panthers game, glad things calmed down after the fast scoring start.
            Comment
            • CaDDyy
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-30-08
              • 407

              #1336
              nice 2-0
              Comment
              • hjrozay
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-28-11
                • 103

                #1337
                Congrats TG on your winning plays. Such great work.
                Comment
                • Crowing Capers
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 03-30-12
                  • 295

                  #1338
                  congrats , great calls. TG in some great form at moment
                  Comment
                  • That Guy
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-13-12
                    • 973

                    #1339
                    updated: NRL Season 2013 40-3-28 +10.64

                    Round 11 3-0
                    Great weekend so far with all games going to plan.. hopefully we can keep this streak alive!
                    More play tonight GL
                    Comment
                    • swordsandtequila
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-23-12
                      • 9757

                      #1340
                      Great job, appreciate your analysis/picks. Missed last night, at the beach playing a little golf and having a few (a lot) drinks . I'm US so not a lot of coverage, but it's nice to wake with more cash in the wallet.
                      Comment
                      • That Guy
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-13-12
                        • 973

                        #1341
                        Adding:
                        Play #4
                        Warriors vs Knights OVER 42.5 1x 1.95

                        No time for a write up. Have this one as a try fest - two defensively lacking sides. GL
                        Comment
                        • Conrad99
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 04-24-13
                          • 40

                          #1342
                          Hey I'm just starting to tail you. What site do you use for your odds? I'm using 5dimes and I can only get o/u at -110 which I think is 1.91 in decimal. Is there still value tailing you with those odds?
                          Comment
                          • Vinnie Paz
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-27-12
                            • 12177

                            #1343
                            Pretty sure he plays at pinny, 110 is still fine, don't think you can get better than 110 anywhere else really
                            Comment
                            • onthefence
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 05-17-13
                              • 10

                              #1344
                              you really need to sign up to pinnacle mate
                              Comment
                              • Vinnie Paz
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-27-12
                                • 12177

                                #1345
                                He's probably american
                                Comment
                                • Conrad99
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 04-24-13
                                  • 40

                                  #1346
                                  Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                                  He's probably american
                                  Yep American. Also my bankroll is pretty small so splitting between two accounts probably wouldn't be the best.
                                  Comment
                                  • That Guy
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-13-12
                                    • 973

                                    #1347
                                    updated: NRL Season 2013 40-3-29 +9.64

                                    Round 11 3-1
                                    Despite the Warriors vs Knights game looking like it'd go WAY OVER variance was not on our side. One more play to finish the round!

                                    Play #5
                                    Sharks vs Rabbitohs OVER 36 1x 1.95
                                    Too many variable to make this a tight one - the Ben Te'o factor after intense media pressure all week, Rabbitohs off the bye, Sharks off their second loss to lowly Eels. Seems like something has to give and for mine that is the pressure that normally keeps these games well UNDER 30. Inglis could well be the X factor that sends this one OVER.. Without Gallen the Sharks have lost some defensive tightness up the middle. Have this at 38pts on the model but believe there is more variables to send this one OVER tonight.
                                    Rolling 1x OVER 36 at 1.95 GL
                                    Comment
                                    • Crowing Capers
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 03-30-12
                                      • 295

                                      #1348
                                      That will do me TG
                                      Lets cash
                                      Comment
                                      • Tim Gerry Mander
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-14-12
                                        • 869

                                        #1349
                                        Rabbitohs off the bye????
                                        sharks second loss to the eels????

                                        What are you talking about?

                                        Bunnies pumped the tigers last week and Sharkies beat the raiders.
                                        Comment
                                        • hangtime
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 10-26-11
                                          • 343

                                          #1350
                                          Gallen is playing tonight.
                                          Comment
                                          • MrXYZ
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-18-11
                                            • 2342

                                            #1351
                                            It's raining TG. Good luck tonight.
                                            Comment
                                            • That Guy
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-13-12
                                              • 973

                                              #1352
                                              Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
                                              Rabbitohs off the bye????
                                              sharks second loss to the eels????

                                              What are you talking about?

                                              Bunnies pumped the tigers last week and Sharkies beat the raiders.
                                              And this is why you don't write analysis after getting off a 15hr flight!
                                              Apologies. Jetlagged as hell.. but did have the correct model data..
                                              Comment
                                              • That Guy
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-13-12
                                                • 973

                                                #1353
                                                updated: NRL Season 2013 40-3-29 +8.64

                                                END Round 11 3-2
                                                Sharks vs Rabbitohs finish up with the same score as Round 2 but a different winner.
                                                Apologies for the bad read on my behalf - was on a flight just before the game started / boarded another flight and missed some crucial weather info. Model had it as chance of rain, which was upgraded to 'heavy rain'. This changed when I was in flight but obviously too late to call a NO PLAY.
                                                Rest assured next time I'm on a flight I'll leave out the NRL plays!

                                                Still.. finished the weekend positive which is all we need. GL till Friday
                                                Comment
                                                • That Guy
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-13-12
                                                  • 973

                                                  #1354
                                                  NRL Season 2013 40-3-29 +8.64

                                                  Round 12

                                                  Play #1
                                                  Bulldogs vs Dragons UNDER 38 2x 1.95
                                                  This number fast disappearing from most books. Both teams struggling to put points on the board but defense holding up relatively well. Attacking guns missing include Morris, Merrin, Cooper and Reynolds.. points should be harder to come by. This match up looks like it'll be played in the forwards which is great news for the UNDER. Dragons have had some tough beats the last few weeks but still managed to hit UNDERS despite this. Model has this one at 26pts and with players missing due to origin a low scoring game looks the goods. Rolling 2x UNDER 38. GL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hanamichi23
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 09-08-12
                                                    • 16

                                                    #1355
                                                    I'm gettin 37.5, should I go with only one unit?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ExodusNZ
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-02-11
                                                      • 605

                                                      #1356
                                                      Originally posted by Hanamichi23
                                                      I'm gettin 37.5, should I go with only one unit?
                                                      From his write up it seems he would say yes

                                                      Originally posted by That Guy
                                                      NRL Season 2013 40-3-29 +8.64

                                                      Round 12

                                                      Play #1
                                                      Bulldogs vs Dragons UNDER 38 2x 1.95
                                                      This number fast disappearing from most books. Both teams struggling to put points on the board but defense holding up relatively well. Attacking guns missing include Morris, Merrin, Cooper and Reynolds.. points should be harder to come by. This match up looks like it'll be played in the forwards which is great news for the UNDER. Dragons have had some tough beats the last few weeks but still managed to hit UNDERS despite this. Model has this one at 26pts and with players missing due to origin a low scoring game looks the goods. Rolling 2x UNDER 38. GL
                                                      Comment
                                                      • aussieH
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-04-11
                                                        • 1188

                                                        #1357
                                                        Good luck. Missed tonight's play but hope it cashes
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Domestic
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-10-09
                                                          • 6323

                                                          #1358
                                                          Nice pick once again mate, it was rude of these two teams to scare us before halftime with some points but all is well that ends well.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Coopertrooper
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-20-12
                                                            • 925

                                                            #1359
                                                            Excellent work as usual TG!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • That Guy
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-13-12
                                                              • 973

                                                              #1360
                                                              updated: NRL Season 2013 41-3-29 +10.54

                                                              Round 12 1-0
                                                              Great when things go to plan!
                                                              Dragons continuing their toothless attack and the Bulldogs scraping over the line in another low scoring game.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • That Guy
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-13-12
                                                                • 973

                                                                #1361
                                                                Adding:
                                                                Play #2
                                                                Knights vs Rabbitohs OVER 38 1x 2.10
                                                                No time for a big write up. Rabbitohs side still very strong and Sutton / Merritt will be out to prove selectors wrong.
                                                                Knights great at leaking points. Have this at 44pts on the model.
                                                                GL
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Domestic
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-10-09
                                                                  • 6323

                                                                  #1362
                                                                  Surprised this got down to 33.5 at some books before kick off, congrats on the winner!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • benrama
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-19-11
                                                                    • 1499

                                                                    #1363
                                                                    Yea I SMASHED the 33.5 line at Pinnacle even though it was juiced to the max, honestly couldn't believe my eyes.

                                                                    Good call TG.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • aussieH
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-04-11
                                                                      • 1188

                                                                      #1364
                                                                      Great call TG. Again
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • rohan22no
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 07-20-11
                                                                        • 365

                                                                        #1365
                                                                        On fire TG, Love your work!
                                                                        Comment
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