Thatguy's NRL Plays

That Guy · 05-24-13, 07:39 AM

updated: NRL Season 2013 38-3-28 +8.74

Round 11 1-0

Tigers vs Cowboys OVER cashed..

aussieH · 05-24-13, 07:40 AM

Good work. Again cheers

maroona · 05-24-13, 01:31 PM

Great stuff mate, that game just looked so much like an unders game, great analysis

That Guy · 05-24-13, 11:46 PM

NRL Season 2013 38-3-28 +8.74

Round 11 1-0

Play #2
Sea Eagles vs Raiders UNDER 38 1x 1.95
No time for analysis write up unfortunately... rolling 1x UNDER for this. Strong Sea Eagles defense and Raiders desperate for another win. Should be a tight match up. GL

Play #3
Dragons vs Panthers UNDER 38.5 1x 1.95
Two offensively lacking sides and a higher total thanks to Josh Dugan - I'll take it.
No big writeup today due to work commitments. GL

Domestic · 05-25-13, 04:09 AM

Great call on the panthers game, glad things calmed down after the fast scoring start.

CaDDyy · 05-25-13, 06:47 AM

nice 2-0

hjrozay · 05-25-13, 07:34 AM

Congrats TG on your winning plays. Such great work.

Crowing Capers · 05-25-13, 09:04 AM

congrats , great calls. TG in some great form at moment

That Guy · 05-25-13, 10:04 AM

updated: NRL Season 2013 40-3-28 +10.64

Round 11 3-0
Great weekend so far with all games going to plan.. hopefully we can keep this streak alive!
More play tonight GL

swordsandtequila · 05-25-13, 10:20 AM

Great job, appreciate your analysis/picks. Missed last night, at the beach playing a little golf and having a few (a lot) drinks

. I'm US so not a lot of coverage, but it's nice to wake with more cash in the wallet.

That Guy · 05-25-13, 08:52 PM

Adding:
Play #4
Warriors vs Knights OVER 42.5 1x 1.95

No time for a write up. Have this one as a try fest - two defensively lacking sides. GL

Conrad99 · 05-25-13, 09:15 PM

Hey I'm just starting to tail you. What site do you use for your odds? I'm using 5dimes and I can only get o/u at -110 which I think is 1.91 in decimal. Is there still value tailing you with those odds?

Vinnie Paz · 05-25-13, 09:22 PM

Pretty sure he plays at pinny, 110 is still fine, don't think you can get better than 110 anywhere else really

onthefence · 05-25-13, 09:22 PM

you really need to sign up to pinnacle mate

Vinnie Paz · 05-25-13, 09:24 PM

He's probably american

Conrad99 · 05-26-13, 12:10 AM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

He's probably american

Yep American. Also my bankroll is pretty small so splitting between two accounts probably wouldn't be the best.

That Guy · 05-26-13, 09:10 PM

updated: NRL Season 2013 40-3-29 +9.64

Round 11 3-1
Despite the Warriors vs Knights game looking like it'd go WAY OVER variance was not on our side. One more play to finish the round!

Play #5
Sharks vs Rabbitohs OVER 36 1x 1.95
Too many variable to make this a tight one - the Ben Te'o factor after intense media pressure all week, Rabbitohs off the bye, Sharks off their second loss to lowly Eels. Seems like something has to give and for mine that is the pressure that normally keeps these games well UNDER 30. Inglis could well be the X factor that sends this one OVER.. Without Gallen the Sharks have lost some defensive tightness up the middle. Have this at 38pts on the model but believe there is more variables to send this one OVER tonight.
Rolling 1x OVER 36 at 1.95 GL

Crowing Capers · 05-27-13, 12:03 AM

That will do me TG
Lets cash

Tim Gerry Mander · 05-27-13, 12:15 AM

Rabbitohs off the bye????
sharks second loss to the eels????

What are you talking about?

Bunnies pumped the tigers last week and Sharkies beat the raiders.

hangtime · 05-27-13, 03:13 AM

Gallen is playing tonight.

MrXYZ · 05-27-13, 03:31 AM

It's raining TG. Good luck tonight.

That Guy · 05-27-13, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander

Rabbitohs off the bye????
sharks second loss to the eels????

What are you talking about?

Bunnies pumped the tigers last week and Sharkies beat the raiders.

And this is why you don't write analysis after getting off a 15hr flight!

Apologies. Jetlagged as hell.. but did have the correct model data..

That Guy · 05-27-13, 10:30 AM

updated: NRL Season 2013 40-3-29 +8.64

END Round 11 3-2
Sharks vs Rabbitohs finish up with the same score as Round 2 but a different winner.
Apologies for the bad read on my behalf - was on a flight just before the game started / boarded another flight and missed some crucial weather info. Model had it as chance of rain, which was upgraded to 'heavy rain'. This changed when I was in flight but obviously too late to call a NO PLAY.
Rest assured next time I'm on a flight I'll leave out the NRL plays!

Still.. finished the weekend positive which is all we need. GL till Friday

That Guy · 05-30-13, 10:26 PM

NRL Season 2013 40-3-29 +8.64

Round 12

Play #1
Bulldogs vs Dragons UNDER 38 2x 1.95
This number fast disappearing from most books. Both teams struggling to put points on the board but defense holding up relatively well. Attacking guns missing include Morris, Merrin, Cooper and Reynolds.. points should be harder to come by. This match up looks like it'll be played in the forwards which is great news for the UNDER. Dragons have had some tough beats the last few weeks but still managed to hit UNDERS despite this. Model has this one at 26pts and with players missing due to origin a low scoring game looks the goods. Rolling 2x UNDER 38. GL

Hanamichi23 · 05-31-13, 01:28 AM

I'm gettin 37.5, should I go with only one unit?

ExodusNZ · 05-31-13, 01:45 AM

Originally posted by Hanamichi23

I'm gettin 37.5, should I go with only one unit?

From his write up it seems he would say yes

Originally posted by That Guy

NRL Season 2013 40-3-29 +8.64

Round 12

Play #1
Bulldogs vs Dragons UNDER 38 2x 1.95
This number fast disappearing from most books. Both teams struggling to put points on the board but defense holding up relatively well. Attacking guns missing include Morris, Merrin, Cooper and Reynolds.. points should be harder to come by. This match up looks like it'll be played in the forwards which is great news for the UNDER. Dragons have had some tough beats the last few weeks but still managed to hit UNDERS despite this. Model has this one at 26pts and with players missing due to origin a low scoring game looks the goods. Rolling 2x UNDER 38. GL

aussieH · 05-31-13, 05:02 AM

Good luck. Missed tonight's play but hope it cashes

Domestic · 05-31-13, 06:52 AM

Nice pick once again mate, it was rude of these two teams to scare us before halftime with some points but all is well that ends well.

Coopertrooper · 05-31-13, 07:46 AM

Excellent work as usual TG!

That Guy · 05-31-13, 10:55 AM

updated: NRL Season 2013 41-3-29 +10.54

Round 12 1-0
Great when things go to plan!

Dragons continuing their toothless attack and the Bulldogs scraping over the line in another low scoring game.

That Guy · 05-31-13, 06:51 PM

Adding:
Play #2
Knights vs Rabbitohs OVER 38 1x 2.10
No time for a big write up. Rabbitohs side still very strong and Sutton / Merritt will be out to prove selectors wrong.
Knights great at leaking points. Have this at 44pts on the model.
GL

Domestic · 06-01-13, 06:12 AM

Surprised this got down to 33.5 at some books before kick off, congrats on the winner!

benrama · 06-01-13, 06:21 AM

Yea I SMASHED the 33.5 line at Pinnacle even though it was juiced to the max, honestly couldn't believe my eyes.

Good call TG.

aussieH · 06-01-13, 07:43 AM

Great call TG. Again

rohan22no · 06-01-13, 07:55 AM

On fire TG, Love your work!