Thatguy's NRL Plays

[That Guy]

Surprised this got down to 33.5 at some books before kick off, congrats on the winner!

Yea I SMASHED the 33.5 line at Pinnacle even though it was juiced to the max, honestly couldn't believe my eyes.

Good call TG.

Great call TG. Again

On fire TG, Love your work!

Cheers!

Wish I'd check later and seen the 33.5 - would have hammered that up to 4x. Big big value.

[That Guy]

updated: NRL Season 2013 42-3-29 +11.64

Round 12 2-0
Souths very strong even without GI, Te'o and Sam Burgess.. rain lowered the total a little but it was always going to cruise over.
Looking at plays for today and will lock in soon.

[Vinnie Paz]

Guy you're rolling lately!

[That Guy]

NRL Season 2013 42-3-29 +11.64

Round 12 2-0

Play #3
Titans vs Cowboys UNDER 38.5 1x 1.95
Cowboys lack of firepower severely limits their points scoring ability - no Scott or Tamou will hurt, they racked up some serious metres last week. Titans are also without some big names and while they have some attacking sting left, it wont be as strong as usual. The Cowboys should cop another beating in this game but with all the changes to key positions I'm predicting lots of sloppy play. Have this at 32pts on the model and rolling 1x UNDER. GL

[Domestic]

Yea I SMASHED the 33.5 line at Pinnacle even though it was juiced to the max, honestly couldn't believe my eyes.

Good call TG.

[That Guy]

updated: NRL Season 2013 42-3-30 +10.64

END Round 12 2-1
Underestimated the crapness of Cowboy's defensive efforts - shocking.
No plays for MNF. This should be an UNDER game but stats for baby Broncos are deceiving and defensive efforts could fall apart easily on this one. GL if you decide to roll on it!

[That Guy]

NRL Season 2013 42-3-30 +10.64

Round 13

Play #1
Roosters vs Eels UNDER 40.5 1x 1.95
Roosters defense has been solid and Eels line up well against the forward pack. Should see a low scoring match with the Roosters edging out the match in the second half. Weather not a massive factor but chance of showers favours the UNDER.
Rolling 1x UNDER 40.5 at 1.95. GL

[Tim Gerry Mander]

I'm with you on the under.

GL mate

[That Guy]

updated: NRL Season 2013 42-3-31 +9.64

Round 13 0-1

Play #2
Raiders vs Broncos OVER 40.5 2x 1.95
Raiders will be fresh to impress after 12 days break thanks to the bye. Meanwhile the Broncos will be keen to forget the club's worst ever defeat at the hands of the Warriors. Both these sides defensive abilities are less than spectacular and add in the motivation factor this should be a great game - looks set to be a tryfest from mine. We've also got wealth of players backing up from Origin which always makes the OVER look good. Model is at 48pts and rolling 2x 1.95 at 40.5 on this one. GL

[aussieH]

Great call. Keep killing it.

[That Guy]

Great call. Keep killing it.

[That Guy]

updated: NRL Season 2013 43-3-31 +11.54

End Round 13 1-1
Great end to the round with an OVER pick that never looked in doubt . Picked spots carefully in the post-Origin round.. seems to be more letdowns in these rounds than pre-Origin which everyone focuses on.
Hopefully more plays in the coming round. GL

[That Guy]

NRL Season 2013 43-3-31 +11.54

Round 14

Play #1
Dragons vs Cowboys UNDER 36.5 1x 1.95
Dragons are the worst attacking side in the comp and missing a plethora of players tonight - Stanley, Cooper, Goodwin, Beale. Cowboys are also affected and will be without Bowen & Tamou.. however Thurston and Graham should return. Cowboys should be fired up and the coach is looking for a "steady performance with no frills" - classic under situation and there is no doubt this game will be won up front.
Expecting a grind fest with added class from Thurston to steady the ship. No real game changers for Dragons tonight and if they keep this game within reach the UNDER will be a solid play.
Rolling 1x UNDER 36.5 at 1.95. GL

[Vinnie Paz]

Could only get 35.5 hope it doesnt cost me

[The Problem]

Love your work TG although I'm sorry to break it, your getting buried on that St George under.

[s2230011]

Love your work TG although I'm sorry to break it, your getting buried on that St George under.

Well thats insightful !

[The Problem]

Well thats insightful !

Yea I know. At work. Long story short, players out can sometimes result in a more open game rather than the logic which suggests the lack of attacking players result in less points. Plus recent encounters play in favour to the over. 22-32/30-6
I got the over 35.5. So for everyone's sake i hope it lands on 36.
GL!

[fitguy67]

any leans on the side from you experienced people...

+175ish on the Cowboys looks attractive to my uneducated eye

[That Guy]

Yea I know. At work. Long story short, players out can sometimes result in a more open game rather than the logic which suggests the lack of attacking players result in less points. Plus recent encounters play in favour to the over. 22-32/30-6
I got the over 35.5. So for everyone's sake i hope it lands on 36.
GL!

Disagree - there is no one to do the running for the Dragons. There are no game changers in that side. Potential for Cowboys to lay on points but the Dragons defensively at home haven't been too bad.
GL either way

[Mase of Base]

Had the same thoughts as you. Dragons can't score but can defend especially at home.

They look hopeless tonight though. Kicking myself now!

[Mase of Base]

Frustrating game.

Those two tries in the second half were so soft, I felt like the bet was toast already but to lose to those tries was very annoying.

[Sol]

Under was looking quite possible untill Tate slipped and let Dugan go on that massive run. Better luck tonight TG.

[That Guy]

Under was looking quite possible untill Tate slipped and let Dugan go on that massive run. Better luck tonight TG.

cheers mate... just a bad beat last night

[That Guy]

updated: NRL Season 2013 43-3-32 +10.54

Round 14 0-1

Play #2
Raiders vs Panthers OVER 44 1x 1.95
Raiders are ready to roll again after another 5 day turnaround and have no fresh injury concerns. They will be fired up for this match after being rolled badly by the Sea Eagles last time they had 5 day turnaround. Both teams will be full of confidence - Panthers after smashing Warriors 2 weeks ago and Raiders after upsetting the baby Broncos. Expecting Raiders to pull away towards the end of this match but Panthers have been a different side the last few weeks and should match the intensity level.This game should be full of points and have it at 54 on the model. Rolling the OVER 44 at 1x 1.95. GL

[rohan22no]

Raiders beat the Broncos 30-18 last week TG, Eagles game (16-10?) was the week before. Still rolling with the over?

[That Guy]

double post

[That Guy]

Raiders beat the Broncos 30-18 last week TG, Eagles game (16-10?) was the week before. Still rolling with the over?

Hey mate.. posted the writeup before it was done. Manly stat was referring to their 5 day turnaround record. GL!

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Panthers lost at home to the Tigers last week

[That Guy]

Panthers lost at home to the Tigers last week

Yep. Poorly edited write up - apologies. Rushing to get it online before a work commitment.
GL mate

[That Guy]

updated: NRL Season 2013 43-3-33 +9.54
Round 14 0-2
Not cool. Haven't lost a round in a long lomg time... Looking at some big plays to come. Stand by!

[Crowing Capers]

Fire up TG
Hit the fukkers hard tomorrow

[That Guy]

NRL Season 2013 43-3-32 +10.54

Round 14 0-1

Play #3
Rabbitohs vs Titans OVER 44 1x 1.95

Play #4
Storm vs Knights UNDER 38.5 3x 1.95
No time for writeups - apologies. Away O/S on business with bad net connection. Lots of value in Storm vs Knights UNDER. GL

[angelo63]

Pinny currently has the Storm total under 41.5.

[Domestic]

With you on the Titans Over, best of luck today.

[aussieH]

Damn. Got busy today and missed your plays. Well done on the 3 unit play.