AFL opening spreads

[Ace_of_Spades]

Bombers beat the Cats and rock up against Adelaide and look like shitt. My over is scarewwwwwwed!

[donkson]

Head up gee

[Ace_of_Spades]

Gee

[donkson]

haha told you, amazing.

[brettels]

more betting scandals coming. strange footy this this year!

[donkson]

Yeah I've got no idea anymore, but I took Essendon Behinds>Goals. Away teams don't kick very well at AAMI even in good conditions.

Fairly shattered about this, moreso because they were 2.8.

At least I got the push instead of a loss.

[Alt75]

Well I think we all know now why I don't run a sportsbook for a living

Stupid footywire, they have the final scores Adelaide 71 - Essendon 59. I usually check that first as there's no f up's like that and it's not so bloaty. Just realised from the Age and AFL sites Essendon did actually win.

bet365 opening totals on todays games.

Carlton v Collingwood @ MCG - 183.5

Forecast for Melbourne
Partly cloudy. Areas of frost and patchy fog this morning. Winds northerly averaging up to 25 km/h. Max 15

Richmong v Gold Coast @ Cazalys Stadium - Cairns - 199.5

Forecast for Cairns

Cloudy areas with isolated showers, more scattered coast and ranges south of Cairns. Moderate to fresh SE winds. Max 26

St Kilda v West Coast @ Etihad - 177.5
Forecast N/A

Melbourne v Port Adelaide @ TIO Stadium - Darwin - 200.5

Forecast for Darwin
Partly cloudy. Moderate easterly winds before an afternoon sea breeze.

Precis: Partly cloudy.
Darwin: Max 32

[donkson]

Richmond and Melbourne games both look like unders to me, hot humid conditions make the ball very slippery.

[Alt75]

I was thinking the same for the Melbourne v Port game. Richmond v Suns I'm not so sure about, if Richmond fire and kick straight, have it basically won by half/3Q time Suns can fade late and have late goals piled up against em which I could see blowing it out to a 140-80 type scoreline.

All are dropping, looks like they've been adjusted to centrebets opening totals. Missed out today

Demons Port 193.5

Saints Eagles 173.5

Carlton Collingwood 178.5

Richmond Gold Coast 191.5

[aunty jack]

hi alt: the tigers/suns game is being played in cairns this afternoon, as the afl tries to preach the gospel in the deep, deep north.

gee: keep on keeping on. that was a handy bombers pick in spite of some wacky line movements.

[Alt75]

Oh I though Cazaly's was Gold Coast

Cheers I will edit in the correct forecast.

[GroundnPound]

Gents Richmond -39.5 or what ever it is looks like cash money to me today

[Gee]

I agree GnP.

Going to steer clear of the pies with the off field issues, but they should win.

Tigers -37.5 for 2.5x here.

What a fantastic fight back last night. Watching the replay now. I'd given up on it. My post before wasn't intended as a jinx. Went from -70 to +350 on the night. bit of a turn around Seems like we all cashed. Lets keep it going today!

[brettels]

tigers QT line -9.5

[GroundnPound]

Have 1.5x on Tigers -38.5// Lets get it.

[GroundnPound]

So Richmond are up 36-1 if they don't cover from here I will never gamble again

[GroundnPound]

Um is West Coast +5.5 the play tonight lads?

[Gee]

nice hit brettels!

lol gnp. i'm waiting until i see how the tigers go into the wind before getting too confident on this one. But, things are looking good

I think eagles are the play tonight, but I do like how the saints match up. it won't be a huge play, but i suspect i will have something on it.

[brettels]

So Richmond are up 36-1 if they don't cover from here I will never gamble again

It is richmond, anything could happen and at any time.

[brettels]

tigers QT line -9.5

about time! wind in favour of GC 2nd Q.

[Duff85]

Hard game to read - Looks like it was all breeze for the Tigs in the 1st. Still think they win but feeling better about my GC+39.5 right now.

[rumple]

Gold coast 32 point run!

[bowtakwah]

Did someone shrink Gold Coast's goal posts?

[brettels]

lol.....as i said, its richmond. anything could happen at any time! glad i put $20 on GC for shits and giggles.

[bowtakwah]

Considering how each quarter has been one sided, I have u180.5

[donkson]

love GC this week. taken 2u straight up and will most likely reload on the line.

Good call, hope you took the line as well.

[Alt75]

Drinks are on brettels!
Well done guys chancing the Suns!

[brettels]

I just put $20 on GC suns at 7.5 to return $150. Its great odds and this is no certainty for richmond. As much as i want the tigers to win im fine risking $20 if the worse happens. Really see it as a 50/50 game, pretty insulting for the tigers actually.

c

[brettels]

westcoast/st.kilda under 170.5
melb/port under 190.5

west coast win
melbourne win

[Gee]

Nice hit brettels.

I guess gnp isn't gambling for a while :/

I am now leaning saints... its now moved to a PK, but i know the public are pounding the eagles so thats fine.

Saints ML for 1x. Will take it just before bounce.

[brettels]

don't know if its any indication but the under 170 in the eagles game was suspended for a while today and came back with lower odds.

[Gee]

Looks like an under game.

Saints start well too.

Playing Port +25.5 for 1.5x.

[donkson]

Really annoyed I got on the Eagles, Kerr out and huge money coming for them. Saints definitely were the play, gw.

[Alt75]

Same donkson. This is atrocious

[Ben Franklin]

yep, i looked at the eagles price and just went for it without thinking too much about it. looking like a real bad move now.

I like the Port Adelaide play myself. Reminds me of earlier in the season when Richmond were playing them in Darwin and everyone expected them to win with ease but port showed up and had other ideas. Good value in the ML as well.