dRavidC's AFL 2011

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  • dRavidC
    SBR MVP
    • 01-22-11
    • 2516

    #36
    AFL 24/4

    Game: North Melbourne vs Richmond

    Bet: North Melbourne -3.5 1st half WON

    2011 AFL Season Record: 8 - 7 (56.25%)
    Last edited by dRavidC; 04-24-11, 03:07 AM.
    Comment
    • dRavidC
      SBR MVP
      • 01-22-11
      • 2516

      #37
      AFL 25/4

      Game: Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs

      Bet: Western Bulldogs 1st half M/L
      PUSH

      added:

      fremantle -3.5 2nd h
      WON

      2011 AFL Season Record: 9 - 7 - 1 (56.25%)

      Last edited by dRavidC; 04-25-11, 08:31 AM.
      Comment
      • dRavidC
        SBR MVP
        • 01-22-11
        • 2516

        #38
        oh my god what a win by fremantle!!! i was sweating it big time with fremantle only 1 up with less than a minute to go. but lucky goal in the final 20 seconds seals the bet.
        Comment
        • dRavidC
          SBR MVP
          • 01-22-11
          • 2516

          #39
          AFL 28/4

          Game: West Coast vs Melbourne

          Bet: West Coast -6 1st half
          WON

          Bet 2: West Coast -7.5 2nd half WON

          2011 AFL Season Record: 11 - 7 - 1 (61.11%)
          Last edited by dRavidC; 04-28-11, 08:00 AM.
          Comment
          • dRavidC
            SBR MVP
            • 01-22-11
            • 2516

            #40
            AFL 28/4

            Game:
            North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide

            Bet: North Melbourne -9.5 1st half WON

            Game: Richmond vs Brisbane

            Bet: Richmond M/L 1st half WON

            2011 AFL Season Record: 13 - 7 - 1 (65.00%)
            Last edited by dRavidC; 04-30-11, 06:46 AM.
            Comment
            • Lookingtostart
              SBR MVP
              • 04-25-11
              • 1584

              #41
              Originally posted by dRavidC
              AFL 28/4

              Game:
              North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide

              Bet: North Melbourne -9.5 1st half
              Good call, you must have loved the umpiring in the first quater
              Comment
              • dRavidC
                SBR MVP
                • 01-22-11
                • 2516

                #42
                Originally posted by Lookingtostart
                Good call, you must have loved the umpiring in the first quater
                thanks Lookingtostart.

                haha very! they must of seen my pick on this forum before umpiring

                anyways no 2nd half play for this game due to a genuine lack of interest in following this game and I can't back a winless North Melbourne to finish this off Port Adelaide side until they give me reason to. but mainly for the first reason.
                Comment
                • Lookingtostart
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-25-11
                  • 1584

                  #43
                  As a port supporter, I had enough interest to keep watching. Port are the new Gold Coast. The good news is, Primus is more likely to get sacked sooner.
                  Comment
                  • dRavidC
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-22-11
                    • 2516

                    #44
                    AFL 9/5

                    Game: St Kilda vs Carlton

                    Bet: Carlton 1-39 WON


                    2011 AFL Season Record: 14 - 7 - 1 (66.67%)
                    Last edited by dRavidC; 05-09-11, 09:01 AM.
                    Comment
                    • dRavidC
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-22-11
                      • 2516

                      #45
                      a tense win there with the carlton play. bet was not won until the final seconds of the game. thank god i didn't take the line which i was really considering on playing in Carlton's favour. i just had a feeling that carlton would not cover the -16.5 but i also couldn't see carlton blowing st kilda away by more than 39 points. there was just too much value in that 1-39 bet to ignore. might consider playing more margin bets in the future .
                      Comment
                      • Pherst
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 01-31-11
                        • 163

                        #46
                        Yeah good win by Carlton considering they were gone for all money in the last few minutes. They looked spent but managed to produce when they needed to. I reckon the Saints will bounce back though. Might have to see what they're offering to make the 8 now...
                        Comment
                        • dRavidC
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-22-11
                          • 2516

                          #47
                          AFL 13/5


                          Game: Geelong vs Collingwood

                          Bet: U 164.5 WON

                          2011 AFL Season Record: 15 - 7 - 1 (68.18%)
                          Last edited by dRavidC; 05-14-11, 03:03 AM.
                          Comment
                          • dRavidC
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-22-11
                            • 2516

                            #48
                            AFL 14/5

                            Game: Brisbane vs Essendon

                            Bet: Essendon -28.5 WON

                            Bet 2: Essendon -15.5 2nd half WON

                            A cold team playing an extremely hot team. Think Essendon wins this by 40+

                            Game: Sydney vs Port Adelaide

                            Bet: Sydney -25 WON

                            Sydney are not a team renowned for blowing away teams, but even still they are playing a side that is playing absolutely rubbish footy. I have a scary feeling they'll win by 32 points and blow the cover so i'm taking the -25 margin instead. But who knows, maybe Sydney could blow apart this Port Adelaide side cause on paper they should win this by 40-50+ points.

                            2011 AFL Season Record: 18 - 7 - 1 (72.00%)
                            Last edited by dRavidC; 05-14-11, 07:04 AM.
                            Comment
                            • amac38
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 04-24-11
                              • 26

                              #49
                              great wins today mate, awesome!

                              will stay tuned for your picks tomorrow.

                              cheers!
                              Comment
                              • dRavidC
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-22-11
                                • 2516

                                #50
                                Originally posted by amac38
                                great wins today mate, awesome!

                                will stay tuned for your picks tomorrow.

                                cheers!
                                thanks amac38 sorry i didn't post my picks today was out all day.

                                put i did have plays on warriors M/L, richmond M/L, richmond +5.5 2nd half (on my mobile) + west coast +4.5 2nd half
                                Comment
                                • amac38
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 04-24-11
                                  • 26

                                  #51
                                  ahh sweet, how'd you put an in-game bet on the tigers?

                                  cheers!
                                  Comment
                                  • dRavidC
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-22-11
                                    • 2516

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by amac38
                                    ahh sweet, how'd you put an in-game bet on the tigers?

                                    cheers!
                                    mobile betting my bookie has a mobile site that lets me bet using my phone.
                                    Comment
                                    • amac38
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 04-24-11
                                      • 26

                                      #53
                                      sweet what bookie are you with? betfair don't have many markets...
                                      Comment
                                      • dRavidC
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-22-11
                                        • 2516

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by amac38
                                        sweet what bookie are you with? betfair don't have many markets...
                                        well for the mobile betting the bookie i use is sportingbet
                                        Comment
                                        • dRavidC
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-22-11
                                          • 2516

                                          #55
                                          AFL 21/5

                                          Game: St Kilda vs Melbourne

                                          Bet: St Kilda -10.5 1st half 1st quarter M/L WON

                                          UPDATE: Decided to give 1st quarter M/L a go.


                                          Melbourne absolutely tore North Melbourne apart in the 1st half but the only reason they did was because North Melbourne were playing close to no defence and their attack was sloppy. But once North Melbourne picked up their attack and started playing defence, they just destroyed Melbourne. The loss was made even worse for Melbourne when one of the defenders admitted giving up in the game. But on the other end, we don't exactly have a team that's firing either in St Kilda. St Kilda had a 30 point lead bat the end of the 1st quarter yet found a way to lose the game by 30!!!! That is just unforgivable so who knows which St Kilda team is going to turn up. But I feel that this is a season defining game for St Kilda and I think they'll play with a fire-up mentality knowing that if they lose here then they can kiss their season goodbye (if they lose today they can still make the finals but really if you can't beat a depleted melbourne side at home, then you don't really deserve to have a shot at finals footy). The fact that Melbourne give up if they trailing by a big margin immediately put me off on the St Kila 1-39 margin and the fact that their average losing margin is 40+ is a bit of a concern. But at the same time, Melbourne could easily surprise us as well as themselves and keep the game close combined with the fact that St Kilda haven't been able to finish anyone off this season (not even the Brown-less Lions). Verdict: St Kilda by 20 at half time.

                                          Game: Brisbane vs North Melbourne

                                          Bet: Brisbane M/L WON

                                          Brown is back for Brisbane and that should be a massive lift for the Brisbane side that is still winless after 8 rounds of footy. He might not kick a bag of goals but I think his presence will lift the younger guys as well as the veterans. But they have no better chance of breaking the duck than a North Melbourne side that just stink on the road. Kangaroos are slight favorites in this game but this is only because Brisbane haven't won a game yet, so I think there's a value in backing the Lions tonight. The Brisbane side haven't been playing as poorly as their W/L record suggests. They've had patches of brilliance combined with school boy errors and their bad patches of play occur in game-defining moments. Betting a winless side is hard enough let alone thinking about the margin of victory. So I think i'll be content with playing the M/L here.

                                          2011 AFL Season Record: 20 - 7 - 1 (74.07%)
                                          Last edited by dRavidC; 05-21-11, 07:26 AM.
                                          Comment
                                          • dRavidC
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-22-11
                                            • 2516

                                            #56
                                            AFL 22/5

                                            Game: Sydney vs Hawthorn

                                            Bet: Sydney 1-39

                                            Game: West Coast vs Western Bulldogs

                                            Bet: West Coast 1-39
                                            Comment
                                            • dRavidC
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-22-11
                                              • 2516

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by dRavidC
                                              AFL 22/5

                                              Game: Sydney vs Hawthorn

                                              Bet: Sydney 1-39 LOSS

                                              Game: West Coast vs Western Bulldogs

                                              Bet: West Coast 1-39 LOSS

                                              2011 AFL Season Record: 20 - 9 - 1 (68.97%)
                                              Comment
                                              • dRavidC
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-22-11
                                                • 2516

                                                #58
                                                AFL 28/5

                                                Game: North Melbourne vs Sydney

                                                Bet: Sydney 1-39 WON

                                                added

                                                Bet 2: Sydney -1.5 2nd half WON

                                                Game: Fremantle vs St Kilda

                                                Bet: Fremantle 1-39 LOSS

                                                2011 AFL Season Record: 22 - 10 - 1 (68.75%)
                                                Last edited by dRavidC; 05-28-11, 05:49 AM.
                                                Comment
                                                • dRavidC
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-22-11
                                                  • 2516

                                                  #59
                                                  small 0.5 unit fun play added:

                                                  Game: Gold Coast vs Geelong

                                                  Bet: Gold Coast +30.5 2nd half LOSS

                                                  Money is coming in like crazy for geelong raising the number from -27.5 to -30.5!!! but the same thing happened for that carlton geelong game think it was -9.5 or something and carlton covered it. Think Geelong will sneak out a win (which has kept me off the gold coast m/l) here but I doubt they will do a Collingwood and kick like 10 goals in 5 minutes.

                                                  UPDATE: damn would of been better off playing the cowboys 2nd half than gold coast.

                                                  2011 AFL Season Record: 22 - 11 - 1 (66.67%)
                                                  Last edited by dRavidC; 05-28-11, 06:37 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dRavidC
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-22-11
                                                    • 2516

                                                    #60
                                                    AFL 29/5

                                                    Game: Adelaide vs Brisbane

                                                    Bet: Adelaide M/L LOSS

                                                    Game: Collingwood vs West Coast

                                                    Bet: Collingwood M/L WON

                                                    2011 AFL Season Record: 23 - 12 - 1 (65.71%)
                                                    Last edited by dRavidC; 05-29-11, 03:02 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dRavidC
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-22-11
                                                      • 2516

                                                      #61
                                                      AFL 3/6

                                                      Game: Essendon vs Melbourne

                                                      Bet: Under 185.5 WON

                                                      011 AFL Season Record: 24 - 12 - 1 (66.67%)
                                                      Last edited by dRavidC; 06-03-11, 08:00 PM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Bic
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-02-10
                                                        • 1000

                                                        #62
                                                        Nice work! Really liked the under last night too, good to see a few people cashed on it.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dRavidC
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-22-11
                                                          • 2516

                                                          #63
                                                          AFL 5/6

                                                          Game: Port Adelaide vs Carlton

                                                          Bet: Port Adelaide +15.5 2nd half LOSS

                                                          2011 AFL Season Record: 23 - 13 - 1 (63.89%)
                                                          Last edited by dRavidC; 06-05-11, 04:00 AM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Brian891
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-28-10
                                                            • 2049

                                                            #64
                                                            port crumbling. hope they pull it off for u.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Brian891
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-28-10
                                                              • 2049

                                                              #65
                                                              28-9 in 3rd. wouldnt be shocked if blues cover -25. port is just awful.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dRavidC
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-22-11
                                                                • 2516

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by Brian891
                                                                28-9 in 3rd. wouldnt be shocked if blues cover -25. port is just awful.
                                                                yeah i thought port adelaide's win against richmond actually was a sign that they would actually "try." aparently not
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dRavidC
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-22-11
                                                                  • 2516

                                                                  #67
                                                                  AFL 10/6

                                                                  Game: St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs

                                                                  Bet: St Kilda -11.5 WON

                                                                  Bet 2: St Kilda -9.5 2nd half WON


                                                                  2011 AFL Season Record: 25 - 13 - 1 (65.79%)
                                                                  Last edited by dRavidC; 06-10-11, 07:12 AM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Brian891
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-28-10
                                                                    • 2049

                                                                    #68
                                                                    nice win to open round 12! any thoughts on todays games? im on west coast and nervous. line keeps going down and i can hedge decently by taking adelaide +7.5
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dRavidC
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-22-11
                                                                      • 2516

                                                                      #69
                                                                      AFL 11/6

                                                                      Game: Adelaide vs West Coast

                                                                      Bet: Adelaide +9.5 2nd half WON

                                                                      West Coast haven't blown out any team away from home and also have a tendency to let teams back into the game a bit. West Coast currently lead by 34 and the bookies are predicting them to win by 44?? As crap as the crows are, I still can't see that happening. Their biggest and only win on the road so far was 18 and that was against Port Adelaide! Call me crazy but I don't think Adelaide will embarrass themselves in two consecutive home games, especially when their last home game was a loss by a humiliating 40 points at home against the bottom-of-the-table Lions!

                                                                      Game: Geelong vs Hawthorn

                                                                      Bet: Geelong 1-39 WON

                                                                      Geelong undefeated. Hawthorn in super form and have buddy back from injury. Will not bet against Geelong until they give me a reason to.

                                                                      Bet 2: Geelong -7.5 2nd half LOSS

                                                                      Game: Gold Coast vs North Melbourne

                                                                      Bet: Gold Coast 1-39 LOSS

                                                                      North Melbourne haven't won a game away from home all season and they are playing a rapidly improving Gold Coast Suns side. The fact that Gold Coast still can't play four good quarters means we'll see a tight game with gold coast prevailing at the very end.

                                                                      2011 AFL Season Record: 27 - 15 - 1 (64.29%)
                                                                      Last edited by dRavidC; 06-11-11, 06:49 AM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Brian891
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-28-10
                                                                        • 2049

                                                                        #70
                                                                        adelaide looking to prove your faith unfounded it seems. they have folded faster than a tent in a tornado.
                                                                        Comment
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