[moses millsap]

Tennis bettors, who do you guys like in the opening round. I haven't finalized anything yet, but these are my leans. I'll be parlaying the favorites to get prices above +100/$2.00:

The Dogs:
Pavel +361 (Would be small if I play, Moya despite the final last week, not worthy of this chalk, imho)
Guccione +747 (Ljub is a choker on the big stage, CG was impressive in taking out JCF last week)
Mello +303 (Longshot again, but Muller is about as inconsistent as they come)
Youzhny +105 (more aggressive player, matches up well against Malisse)
Garcia-Lopez +505 (depending on heat conditions, roof/no roof, etc. Always worth fading the consistently unfit Dent when the situation is right and GGL is decent enough player to overcome TD's S&V game)
Behrend +720 (Feli's serve should get him past TB easily, but he is such a headcase and quite possibly has one of the worst BHs I've ever seen, so worth a small shot at these odds)
Hanescu +320 (much closer than odds indicate. The weasel is pretty decent at the GS's, but VH's big serve could cause him some probs. Basic rule of thumb with me is I fade nobody more than Coria and I usually come out ahead, so if he makes it past, I'll fade him until he bows out)

The Faves
Monaco -160 (battle of the scrubs, I'll take JM over that waste Lisnard)
Haas -200 (Not sure of RG's fitness at this point and TH has been in terrific form coming into the AO)
Ferrer -112 (Serra great coming in, but DF at a pickem price is something I'll bite at, great match last year in rd1 against Bandy and always a consistent fighter)
Wawrinka -665 (He's playing Montanes, nuff said)
Mirnyi -308 (I'll rely on Max to win in 3 TBs, lol )
O. Rochus -418 (too solid from the baseline for Llodra)
Djovokic -188 (one of my faves, but will he have enough stamina to make it through. Goldstein can be solid, but Nole is a class above)

[bigboydan]

Pavel +360 looks good to me bud.

[moses millsap]

The biggest dog, Guccione, is my favorite play among the dogs.

[bigboydan]

i still need to cap that matchup more in depth bud.

[moses millsap]

He's got a good serve and can volley pretty well. Of course, if Ljub plays up to form, he'll be hard to break, but Ivan continually chokes on the big stage and to get odds of $8.47, I gotta take a decent shot.

On a side note, if you like fading the general consensus, I think Santoro will be a huge public play over Vinny Ice, but I don't know if I can trust Spadea to beat FS and his crafty game. I must admit that the odds on that one did have me scratching my head; would've figured Santoro would have been a larger favorite than the -120ish he's at.

[bigboydan]

i agree with you on Ferrer -112 too bud.

[bigboydan]

look like Pavel quit on us tonight bud

the match is still going on, but it's not looking too good right now


A. Pavel 6 7 4 2

C. Moya 4 6 6 4

[moses millsap]

Dent flames out as expected. GGL +505

Pavel up 3-1 40*-0 in the 5th, so he should pull it out barring a miracle collapse.

[bigboydan]

damn, pavel came to win it for us bro,and Ferrer won as well

[moses millsap]

Solid day indeed, too bad Mello couldn't close out his match for another +300 winner.

[bigboydan]

did you catch the serna williams match this morning, she looks slow and out of shape bigtime. i can't see her winning the Aussie Open this year.

[moses millsap]

did you catch the serna williams match this morning, she looks slow and out of shape bigtime. i can't see her winning the Aussie Open this year.

No, but that was already common knowledge coming in. Lots of people had Li taking her out. And I hate watching the ESPN2 coverage, I think it's the only time I cheer for the "stars" to get knocked out so I don't have to turn on the TV and see a Roddick, Williams sister, Sharapova replay while there is a 10-9 5th set going on in another court live.

[bigboydan]

you like anything yet in round 2 yet bud ?

[moses millsap]

you like anything yet in round 2 yet bud ?

3 of my dogs today choked big time.

Hanescu up 2-1 sets, +320
Marach up 2-0 sets, +750

and Karlovic in the process of blowing a 2-1 lead.

Not to mention, Nole got owned by Goldstein. Don't see too many high value dogs in round 2, the two that stick out straight up are Muller +165 and Baghdatis +144. I won't go into explaining as there is really no point amongst people who watch the game and players. I'm not funded at 5dimes, but I think a HC bet on Wawa over Bandy might be a good one depending if it is +6 or so (too tired to check). He plays close, as you know, his serve would be the weakest if the weasel wasn't on the tour, so you never know, plus looks like he had quite a battle with Udomchoke in round 1.

In terms of faves, kinda wish I saw Turnsunov play against Timmy, but no coverage, but at that price, he should be able to handle the usually game Robredo on this surface.

Whatcha looking at?

[moses millsap]

BTW, almost pulled the trigger on Adaktusson, but couldn't do it. Still, why the fuc.k is Sanguinetti -400? Granted he finished the year solid last year, but -400 for the grey haired master?

[bigboydan]

i still gotta cap the 2nd round matches. today just threw me off with the daytime hoops.

[moses millsap]

Did you catch the matches last night? I was pretty wired, so saw the last two sets of Hewitt's match, then Hingis' match (she played great), time to get some sleep though otherwise I'll end up sleeping through all the matches this evening, lol.

[bigboydan]

i missed them all last night bud

[moses millsap]

Here's my lock parlay for this evening boys. Crack is NOT wack.

[onlooker]

Nice investment of 10 bucks if you can pull that one out your azz.

[Illusion]

Good luck OWNED, that would be a pretty sweet one if you hit.

[moses millsap]

Gotta love tennis, went 2-5 yesterday and came out with a profit

The dogs I like for today:

Sanchez-Lorenzo +132
Vinci +269
Vliegen +124
Sanguinetti +121
Chela +186
Kim +705 (small)

[bigboydan]

Gotta love tennis, went 2-5 yesterday and came out with a profit

The dogs I like for today:

Sanchez-Lorenzo +132
Vinci +269
Vliegen +124
Sanguinetti +121
Chela +186
Kim +705 (small)

don't you though bro, theres nothing like having a losing record, and showing a profit from it.


good luck with your plays today bud

[moses millsap]

Added:

Arvidsson +445
Horna/PHM +123

Sanchez Lorenzo and Vliegen came thru Sanguinetti lost 4th set TB 10-8 and Kim got killed after winning first set, but that was a small play at +705.

[moses millsap]

Day 4 in Melbourne was an awesome day with 4 nice dogs coming in and only 1 regular play losing. Got PHM and Chela pending for today.

For tomorrow, I like these dogs:

Ferrer +192
Lopez +265
Simon +296
Kirilenko +775
Hantuchova +239

Parlay Blake/Nalbandian/Baghdatis for a payout that will be around +170

[moses millsap]

PHM takes the 2nd set in a TB

Hope the Chela/Hewitt match isn't a marathon, lol, it'll totally throw off my sleeping hours if it does, lol.

[bigboydan]

owned, i was thinking about taking chela +225, but i just can't pull the trigger on it

[Illusion]

Day 4 in Melbourne was an awesome day with 4 nice dogs coming in and only 1 regular play losing. Got PHM and Chela pending for today.

For tomorrow, I like these dogs:

Ferrer +192
Lopez +265
Simon +296
Kirilenko +775
Hantuchova +239

Parlay Blake/Nalbandian/Baghdatis for a payout that will be around +170

I like that card, good luck.

[bigboydan]

owned, i was thinking about taking chela +225, but i just can't pull the trigger on it

hey owned, please shoot me for not pulling the trigger on chela last night

that match wasn't even close, and i'm suprised that hewitt just didn't retire, when he hurt his ankle in the 3 set.

[moses millsap]

hey owned, please shoot me for not pulling the trigger on chela last night

that match wasn't even close, and i'm suprised that hewitt just didn't retire, when he hurt his ankle in the 3 set.

I watched Lleyton's first rounder with Vik and was convinced he was losing after seeing that display. What a day

Winners:
Sanchez Lorenzo +132
Vinci +269
Arvidsson +445
Kliegen +124
Chela +186
Horna/PHM +123

Losers:
Sanguinetti +121
Kim (small) +705

[moses millsap]

Parlay Blake/Nalbandian/Baghdatis for a payout that will be around +170

I'm going to parlay Nalbandian/Baghdatis first at CRIS and if it wins, take the result from that and roll it over on a Blake single at Pinny where the odds where be better, since Blake is playing the late match (2am Pacific on Friday) and no need to throw him into the initial parlay.

All 3 have dangerous opponents (Nieminen in terrific form, Gremelmayr plays a pretty aggressive game, and Robredo is always solid), but taking a shot at +170ish with 3 players I feel should come through in their matches.

[bigboydan]

i still need to cap the afternoon action bud. i'll let you know if i come up with anything.

good luck with your plays

[moses millsap]

i still need to cap the afternoon action bud. i'll let you know if i come up with anything.

good luck with your plays

Good luck with your plays, BBD. Heading out of town for most of the day...

[bigboydan]

thanks bro, have a safe trip

[bigboydan]

owned, not sure if you will get back in time or not to see this one, but here goes anyways.

J. C. Ferrero -116 (1 unit)