Kentucky Derby 2022

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  • Buckandadime
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-21-15
    • 8847

    #36
    Originally posted by BOA12
    I'm going #12 Taiba. 3rd out angle.
    Great minds think a like??
    We shall see but I'm with ya here Boa12..
    Comment
    • cecil127
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-19-09
      • 7310

      #37
      3/12/15/16 tri box for me…$12 for the fifty cent play. No ten cent supers at Churchill
      Comment
      • Easy-Rider 66
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-14-12
        • 36096

        #38
        [COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.75)]1 Mo Donegal
        Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
        Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.

        9 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 10-1WAGERS $1,194,015.00
        2 Happy Jack
        Trainer: Doug F. O'Neill
        Jockey: Rafael Bejarano

        20 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 30-1WAGERS $567,329.00
        3 Epicenter
        Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
        Jockey: Joel Rosario

        5 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 7-2WAGERS $1,842,397.00
        4 Summer Is Tomorrow
        Trainer: Bhupat Seemar
        Jockey: Mickael Barzalona

        33 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 30-1WAGERS $348,028.00
        5 Smile Happy
        Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek
        Jockey: Corey J. Lanerie

        15 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 20-1WAGERS $732,967.00
        6 Messier
        Trainer: Tim Yakteen
        Jockey: John R. Velazquez

        6 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 8-1WAGERS $1,609,523.00
        7 Crown Pride (JPN)
        Trainer: Koichi Shintani
        Jockey: Christophe Patrice Lemaire

        17 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 20-1WAGERS $632,736.00
        8 Charge It
        Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
        Jockey: Luis Saez

        14 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 20-1WAGERS $785,685.00
        9 Tiz the Bomb
        Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek
        Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.

        27 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 30-1WAGERS $426,308.00
        10 Zandon
        Trainer: Chad C. Brown
        Jockey: Flavien Prat

        7 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 3-1WAGERS $1,427,871.00
        11 Pioneer of Medina
        Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
        Jockey: Joe Bravo

        52 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 30-1WAGERS $224,524.00
        12 Taiba
        Trainer: Tim Yakteen
        Jockey: Mike E. Smith

        5 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 12-1WAGERS $1,819,111.00
        13 Simplification
        Trainer: Antonio Sano
        Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz

        42 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 20-1WAGERS $277,697.00
        14 Barber Road
        Trainer: John Alexander Ortiz
        Jockey: Gutierrez Reyluis

        50 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 30-1WAGERS $231,918.00
        15 White Abarrio
        Trainer: Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.
        Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

        13 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 10-1WAGERS $837,840.00
        16 Cyberknife
        Trainer: Brad H. Cox
        Jockey: Florent Geroux

        12 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 20-1WAGERS $856,726.00
        17 Classic Causeway
        Trainer: Brian A. Lynch
        Jockey: Julien R. Leparoux

        76 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 30-1WAGERS $154,409.00
        18 Tawny Port
        Trainer: Brad H. Cox
        Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr.

        77 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 30-1WAGERS $152,040.00
        19 Zozos
        Trainer: Brad H. Cox
        Jockey: Manny Franco

        45 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 20-1WAGERS $259,768.00
        20 Ethereal Road
        Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
        Jockey: Luis Contreras

        SCRWAGERS ($2.00)
        21 Rich Strike
        Trainer: Eric R. Reed
        Jockey: Sonny Leon

        99 - 1MORNING LINE ODDS 30-1WAGERS $117,310.00
        22 Rattle N Roll
        Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek
        Jockey: James Graham

        SCRWAGERS ($2.00)
        [/COLOR]
        [COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.75)][/COLOR]
        [COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.75)]$2 Exacta Payouts

        Total Wagered: $8,130,837.00

        [/COLOR]
        Comment
        • Easy-Rider 66
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-14-12
          • 36096

          #39
          above is current odds for the big race
          Comment
          • Buckandadime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-21-15
            • 8847

            #40
            Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
            above is current odds for the big race
            Don't like.that the #12 is being hammered..

            Gonna try a $1 tri wheel..

            Key #12 (1st,2nd,3rd) w/
            1-3-10-15
            1-3-10-15
            $36..
            Comment
            • Easy-Rider 66
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-14-12
              • 36096

              #41
              Originally posted by Buckandadime
              Don't like.that the #12 is being hammered..

              Gonna try a $1 tri wheel..

              Key #12 (1st,2nd,3rd) w/
              1-3-10-15
              1-3-10-15
              $36..
              Good luck Buck
              Comment
              • Easy-Rider 66
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-14-12
                • 36096

                #42
                unreal longest shot on the board 80/1 wins the derby
                Comment
                • Easy-Rider 66
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 02-14-12
                  • 36096

                  #43
                  #21 Rich Strike 30/1 *AE*
                  Needs a deflection to draw in. Positive to see the COMP triggered when debuting on today's main track as a juvenile. Good developmental moves to follow-up with NPT/REV combo even though slow running lines. Has since moved to synthetic and shown a sudden uptick lately to 68/76. Can't blame connections for hoping to get in with a runner suddenly feeling great. Would figure to have a lot of horses to pass late here and unlikely he can do it with a pretty slow foundation compared to the field. Honestly though, if he does get in, he's probably worth the value to include on your deep exotics tickets thinking he could be 70/1+ and while probably too slow, is improving nonetheless.

                  Predicteforms take on the winner of KY DERBY
                  Comment
                  • Easy-Rider 66
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-14-12
                    • 36096

                    #44
                    Rich Strike: an improving horse albeit on the Tapeta at Turfway.
                    Comment
                    • mrginandtonic
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-11-09
                      • 7734

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                      unreal longest shot on the board 80/1 wins the derby
                      Unbelievable!! Mine was also 80-1, lol
                      Comment
                      • mrginandtonic
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-11-09
                        • 7734

                        #46
                        Originally posted by mrginandtonic
                        Unbelievable!! Mine was also 80-1, lol
                        He ran third to my pick last start, WTF
                        Comment
                        • ThaWoj
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-09-10
                          • 6757

                          #47
                          Did he break from post 20? If so isnt that a record? I thought nobody ever won outside of 19.

                          Boy would I have loved to have the all ball in pick 3s pick 4s pick whatevers man
                          Comment
                          • dlowilly
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-09-16
                            • 13862

                            #48
                            That was just a crazy come from behind win. He had to zigzag through the field down the stretch and the commentator didn't even mention him until the last second. You see those late pushes from big favorites but from an 80-1 alternate that's pretty insane.
                            Comment
                            • Easy-Rider 66
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-14-12
                              • 36096

                              #49
                              Originally posted by dlowilly
                              That was just a crazy come from behind win. He had to zigzag through the field down the stretch and the commentator didn't even mention him until the last second. You see those late pushes from big favorites but from an 80-1 alternate that's pretty insane.
                              yeah no doubt another thing overlooked was that Rich Strike had a dominant win by 17 lengths 9/21 on the CD Main Track. While he looked too slow on paper in retrospect there were quite a few things to like about his chances especially at 80/1
                              Comment
                              • Pigpen
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-09-08
                                • 2745

                                #50
                                Originally posted by dlowilly
                                That was just a crazy come from behind win. He had to zigzag through the field down the stretch and the commentator didn't even mention him until the last second. You see those late pushes from big favorites but from an 80-1 alternate that's pretty insane.
                                Great point. I just watched the overhead. That was an impressive ride. He was flying in between the others and down the inside. What an exciting finish. Would like to have seen Mattress Mac's expression during the last quarter mile.
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23290

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                  yeah no doubt another thing overlooked was that Rich Strike had a dominant win by 17 lengths 9/21 on the CD Main Track. While he looked too slow on paper in retrospect there were quite a few things to like about his chances especially at 80/1


                                  imo one of the best angles there was to play him at a price..understand was vs maiden claimers BUT

                                  close to a fair pace..
                                  breaking from the rail in an 11 horse field..
                                  one of the toughest distances to run (1 turn mile)..
                                  getting it as a 2yo in september in only his 2nd start and with first time blinkers
                                  Comment
                                  • Easy-Rider 66
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 02-14-12
                                    • 36096

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                    imo one of the best angles there was to play him at a price..understand was vs maiden claimers BUT

                                    close to a fair pace..
                                    breaking from the rail in an 11 horse field..
                                    one of the toughest distances to run (1 turn mile)..
                                    getting it as a 2yo in september in only his 2nd start and with first time blinkers
                                    Yeah valid points JBEX. Have to say that because Strike Rich was an A/E horse, and last in I overlooked his PP's and the things that Predicteform said about him. Plus he did look slow on paper even though his last race was his best figure albeit on the Tapeta at Turfway. Mo Donegal was my main play as I thought the race had the potential to fall apart. According to the BRIS Mo had the best late pace ratings in the field. But I read on Twitter today that Timeform had Strike Rich with the best late pacing at 110. Anyway you live and learn. On to the Preakness. Interested to see if Strike Rich runs and what his ML is?
                                    Comment
                                    • Easy-Rider 66
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 02-14-12
                                      • 36096

                                      #53
                                      not saying I would have for sure played Strike Rich if I had given proper time to the pertinent info. But maybe I would have thrown $5 or so on him to w/p.
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23290

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                        Yeah valid points JBEX. Have to say that because Strike Rich was an A/E horse, and last in I overlooked his PP's and the things that Predicteform said about him. Plus he did look slow on paper even though his last race was his best figure albeit on the Tapeta at Turfway. Mo Donegal was my main play as I thought the race had the potential to fall apart. According to the BRIS Mo had the best late pace ratings in the field. But I read on Twitter today that Timeform had Strike Rich with the best late pacing at 110. Anyway you live and learn. On to the Preakness. Interested to see if Strike Rich runs and what his ML is?
                                        Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                        not saying I would have for sure played Strike Rich if I had given proper time to the pertinent info. But maybe I would have thrown $5 or so on him to w/p.
                                        I was less focused on him also because of that (A.E)
                                        ..I wasn't even aware of that churchill performance because I didn't even give him much of a look which was careless on my part..not saying I would've played as my primary but certainly would have made him an interesting longshot..to make him interesting though I needed all or most of those other factors figured in .. if he won at 6f (churchill of course) with a mediocre figure at the same level that wouldn't have been enough for me..he did make steady progress figure wise off the layoffand by his running line the distance didn't figure to be an issue..and the obvious that those races were on tapeta and he's going back to churchill where he ran a huge race..the fact it was a mcl doesn't take away from my opinion
                                        of his performance ..but of course you have to see these things before the race .. I've always felt it's never a bad idea to review a race (not only replay but pp's) to see if maybe you missed something..can only keep you sharper and more focused next time

                                        rich strike preakness ml..depends who shows up of course but I'll throw 5-1 out there as the median..it'll be interesting if chad decides to run jack christopher which could have a big influence on it
                                        Comment
                                        • Easy-Rider 66
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 02-14-12
                                          • 36096

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by JBEX
                                          I was less focused on him also because of that (A.E)
                                          ..I wasn't even aware of that churchill performance because I didn't even give him much of a look which was careless on my part..not saying I would've played as my primary but certainly would have made him an interesting longshot..to make him interesting though I needed all or most of those other factors figured in .. if he won at 6f (churchill of course) with a mediocre figure at the same level that wouldn't have been enough for me..he did make steady progress figure wise off the layoffand by his running line the distance didn't figure to be an issue..and the obvious that those races were on tapeta and he's going back to churchill where he ran a huge race..the fact it was a mcl doesn't take away from my opinion
                                          of his performance ..but of course you have to see these things before the race .. I've always felt it's never a bad idea to review a race (not only replay but pp's) to see if maybe you missed something..can only keep you sharper and more focused next time

                                          rich strike preakness ml..depends who shows up of course but I'll throw 5-1 out there as the median..it'll be interesting if chad decides to run jack christopher which could have a big influence on it
                                          OK solid take Jbex. Yeah I would guess around 5/1 as well. Really hope Strike Rich runs.
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23290

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                            OK solid take Jbex. Yeah I would guess around 5/1 as well. Really hope Strike Rich runs.
                                            sure he will as long as he came out if it well..funny aside I bought my mother a scratchoff ticket on thursday called "strike it rich" ..see how that goes lol
                                            Comment
                                            • JBEX
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 23290

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by JBEX
                                              sure he will as long as he came out if it well..funny aside I bought my mother a scratchoff ticket on thursday called "strike it rich" ..see how that goes lol
                                              for mother's day with her card so I doubt it'll be touched before weds
                                              Comment
                                              • Easy-Rider 66
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-14-12
                                                • 36096

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by JBEX
                                                sure he will as long as he came out if it well..funny aside I bought my mother a scratchoff ticket on thursday called "strike it rich" ..see how that goes lol
                                                Comment
                                                • dlowilly
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-09-16
                                                  • 13862

                                                  #59
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Easy-Rider 66
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 02-14-12
                                                    • 36096

                                                    #60
                                                    Rich Strike Exits Derby With Vigor, On to Preakness
                                                    Rich Strike will stay at trainer Eric Reed's farm near Lexington, Mercury Equine Center, until the week of the Preakness Stakes (G1) and then be sent to Pimlico Race Course.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JBEX
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 23290

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by JBEX
                                                      I was less focused on him also because of that (A.E)
                                                      ..I wasn't even aware of that churchill performance because I didn't even give him much of a look which was careless on my part..not saying I would've played as my primary but certainly would have made him an interesting longshot..to make him interesting though I needed all or most of those other factors figured in .. if he won at 6f (churchill of course) with a mediocre figure at the same level that wouldn't have been enough for me..he did make steady progress figure wise off the layoffand by his running line the distance didn't figure to be an issue..and the obvious that those races were on tapeta and he's going back to churchill where he ran a huge race..the fact it was a mcl doesn't take away from my opinion
                                                      of his performance ..but of course you have to see these things before the race .. I've always felt it's never a bad idea to review a race (not only replay but pp's) to see if maybe you missed something..can only keep you sharper and more focused next time

                                                      rich strike preakness ml..depends who shows up of course but I'll throw 5-1 out there as the median..it'll be interesting if chad decides to run jack christopher which could have a big influence on it


                                                      he's going to be running in the woody stephens at 7f on the belmont stakes undercard and then be pointed for the haskell at mth
                                                      Comment
                                                      • str
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-12-09
                                                        • 11683

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                                        he's going to be running in the woody stephens at 7f on the belmont stakes undercard and then be pointed for the haskell at mth
                                                        That would make sense. I watched him run last Saturday and he ran Great ! Gotta say that Chad does an incredible job in general and certainly did on Christopher Jack. But when I saw him come back to the winners circle, he displayed all the signs of a " tired horse" off a HUGE effort. Big crease down his hindquarters and he had that look in his face as well. I don't know that horse at all but it seemed obvious to me.
                                                        When they interviewed Chad right after the race and pressed him, he left the door open. Smart move. But in my mind I was saying I would be very surprised.
                                                        Cutting him back to 7/8ths also makes perfect sense.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23290

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by str
                                                          That would make sense. I watched him run last Saturday and he ran Great ! Gotta say that Chad does an incredible job in general and certainly did on Christopher Jack. But when I saw him come back to the winners circle, he displayed all the signs of a " tired horse" off a HUGE effort. Big crease down his hindquarters and he had that look in his face as well. I don't know that horse at all but it seemed obvious to me.
                                                          When they interviewed Chad right after the race and pressed him, he left the door open. Smart move. But in my mind I was saying I would be very surprised.
                                                          Cutting him back to 7/8ths also makes perfect sense.
                                                          he was 2/2 as a 2yo breaking his maiden impressively at saratoga and then winning the champagne at belmont in the same manor..they wanted to point him for the derby of course but he had shin issues I believe and they had to change plans

                                                          I think the woody stephens distance makes sense also and good timing to run in the haskell 5 weeks after that..if he can win both he will be undefeated with a win a furlong apart from 6f to 1 1/8 (twice at a 1 turn mile which is even better)..guessing these races might be just as important to his starting stallion fees than the actual purses themselves
                                                          Comment
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