The JBEX Tracking Show

[JBEX]

added emerald 4 5

[JBEX]

Onion, the only horse to defeat Secretariat at the graveyard Of champions.

This was B4 time too, I took interest in '76.

probably 77-78 for me ..a little exposure to the trotters a few years earlier

[JBEX]

baq

R3 #9 bertrille (15-1)
@ 1:34

R4 #3 reynolds channel (7-2)
@ 2:05

R7 #6 magical better (15-1)
@ 3:40



delaware


R5 #8 atlanta's acuna (15-1)
@ 2:30



emerald

R4 #8 dynamic secret (8-1) lower
1WP @ 6:16


R5 #1 lil miracle man (6-1)
1WP




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churchill

R2 #4 goldy's lock (5-2)
@ 6:28

R4 #3 washington's union (15-1)
R4 #8 york tavern (6-1)
@ 7:26
2 W on each..no place


R10 #9 kiss blue (10-1)
@ 10:42






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monmouth


R5 #5 eastern empress (3-1)
@ 2:52

mentioned about a week ago how infrequently you see a horse by dubawi ..2nd most expensive stallion in world..this is one of them





R10 pegasus stakes
@ 5:24

prep for haskell..kingsbarns just missed in it last year

#6 uncle heavy (12-1)





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santa anita



R6 #1 young love (4-1)
@ 6:35









R8 #6 canada gate (4-1)
@ 7:37



R10 # 7 judicious (10-1)
@8:39


R11 #9 bartholdy (4-1)
@ 9:10
















lone star

R8 #9 don't backdown (5-2)
@ 5:51





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[JBEX]

added mth 5

[TheMetsSuck]

Going to Santa Anita today. Not a big horse race bettor. Got any good tips on any of the races there today ?

[JBEX]

Going to Santa Anita today. Not a big horse race bettor. Got any good tips on any of the races there today ?

I'll take a look ..maybe find a couple of plays..let you know either way





.

[JBEX]

added mth 10

[BOA12]

Going to Santa Anita today. Not a big horse race bettor. Got any good tips on any of the races there today ?

Throw these out as a guide if you get stumped;

R1 #3 6-1

R2 EXBX 1-3

R3 #2 4-1

R4 #4 3-1

R7 EXBX 6812

R8 #2 12-1

R9 #5 4-1

R11 # 6 6-1

You mught want to check Jelly or mr g&t both known SA players

GL TMS.

[JBEX]

added santa anita R6 R8..possible might be on at least 1 of last 2

[JBEX]

added sa 10 11

[JBEX]

added lone star 8

[JBEX]

added churchill 10

[JBEX]

5:24 mth
5:51 lone star
6:16 emerald
6:28 churchill
6:35 santa anita
7:06 emerald
7:26 churchill
7:37 santa
8:39 santa
9:10 santa
10:42 churchill

[Easy-Rider 66]

6/15: Invest 44/Return 25.24

YTD: Thru Breeders Cup 2024:
Invest/Return

476/454.75

NOTES: Since I wrote JBEX with low volume but high quality in this thread JBEX has cut her loose lately. LOL. About 14 plays today.

[JBEX]

6/15: Invest 44/Return 25.24

YTD: Thru Breeders Cup 2024:
Invest/Return

476/454.75

NOTES: Since I wrote JBEX with low volume but high quality in this thread JBEX has cut her loose lately. LOL. About 14 plays today.

yes ..polar opposites of 3-5 days back

[JBEX]

baq


R3 #5 bustin away (8-1)
R4 #9 paulas star sister (8-1)

both above anthony ferraro finger lakes shippers..long time solid trainer up there

R5 #8 coif (6-1)
@ 3:07




churchill


R3 #9 island ride (6-1)
@ 1:43

R6 #6 english chunnel (20-1)
@ 3:18


R11 #12 gun show
(3-1 ml ..7-2 @ 15 mtp




mth


R5 #6 aguas de cristal (4-1)
@ 2:52




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[JBEX]

added cd 3 6

[BOA12]

yes ..polar opposites of 3-5 days back

Odd couple roll/role reversal, I go one and out and Guru keeps the site even.

[JBEX]

Odd couple roll/role reversal, I go one and out and Guru keeps the site even.

yes .. trading places


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[JBEX]

added baq 5

[JBEX]

added mth 5

[JBEX]

added cd R11

[Easy-Rider 66]

6/16: Invest 22 /Return 13.80

YTD: Thru Breeders Cup 2024:
Invest/Return

498/468.55

[Pigpen]

6/16: Invest 22 /Return 13.80

YTD: Thru Breeders Cup 2024:
Invest/Return

498/468.55

Guru holding his own here. Tough to stay in the black.

[BOA12]

Guru holding his own here. Tough to stay in the black.

Mendoza Line- non Guru's need not apply.


Morning Line- Guru's breakfast to find Champions..

Razor a rabid fan as is his racing ham.

[JBEX]

just feel it's important for anyone following to know and believe many of you realize this anyway .. my primary focus is to make the right long term decisions rather than make this a profitable sample but certainly i hope it is .. when you are following someone over a period of time the logic should be that you feel he has a better,no pun,chance of winning than someone who has less skills..it would conservatively require ar minimum many 1000's of plays with the avg odds and variances involved to determine how good a handicapper someone is ..definitive conclusions should not be drawn over a 400+ race sample ..this is especially true for someone whose plays go off at higher than avg odds

[Easy-Rider 66]

just feel it's important for anyone following to know and believe many of you realize this anyway .. my primary focus is to make the right long term decisions rather than make this a profitable sample but certainly i hope it is .. when you are following someone over a period of time the logic should be that you feel he has a better,no pun,chance of winning than someone who has less skills..it would conservatively require ar minimum many 1000's of plays with the avg odds and variances involved to determine how good a handicapper someone is ..definitive conclusions should not be drawn over a 400+ race sample ..this is especially true for someone whose plays go off at higher than avg odds

JBEX see your points. But I will take it one step further. You would need years of tracking to see how a handicapper does over the long haul. I would assume You have posted thousands of plays over your 12 year career here at SBR. If we were Tracking that we would have a good idea on how you fared long term. However this exercise is a mini tally to see how you do over about a 6 month period. A fun way to play considering most of your posted action is like mine mythical. It gives those reading a chance to see if you are hot or cold and proceed accordingly. So far you are doing well. Keep it going. THX.

[BOA12]

just feel it's important for anyone following to know and believe many of you realize this anyway .. my primary focus is to make the right long term decisions rather than make this a profitable sample but certainly i hope it is .. when you are following someone over a period of time the logic should be that you feel he has a better,no pun,chance of winning than someone who has less skills..it would conservatively require ar minimum many 1000's of plays with the avg odds and variances involved to determine how good a handicapper someone is ..definitive conclusions should not be drawn over a 400+ race sample ..this is especially true for someone whose plays go off at higher than avg odds

Guru plays 3 dimensional chess VS the computer, his horse playing strategy seems to prove this.

SBR Nation salutes A favorite son in the sun.

[JBEX]

JBEX see your points. But I will take it one step further. You would need years of tracking to see how a handicapper does over the long haul. I would assume You have posted thousands of plays over your 12 year career here at SBR. If we were Tracking that we would have a good idea on how you fared long term. However this exercise is a mini tally to see how you do over about a 6 month period. A fun way to play considering most of your posted action is like mine mythical. It gives those reading a chance to see if you are hot or cold and proceed accordingly. So far you are doing well. Keep it going. THX.

yes that's basically what it is ..a 6 month sample ..but how I do over the course of it is secondary to me ..not gearing things to give myself a better chance to show a profit by playing lower avg odds horses


I feel over a large sample I am not profitable..too many plays,not able to see how horses are bet a large majority of the time..no observation of biases and trips etc (doesn't end there) ..too many things to leave out to be profitable not to mention the ridiculous take

[Easy-Rider 66]

yes that's basically what it is ..a 6 month sample ..but how I do over the course of it is secondary to me ..not gearing things to give myself a better chance to show a profit by playing lower avg odds horses


I feel over a large sample I am not profitable..too many plays,not able to see how horses are bet a large majority of the time..no observation of biases and trips etc (doesn't end there) ..too many things to leave out to be profitable not to mention the ridiculous take

agreed. THX.

[JBEX]

louisiana


R6 #5 midnight bella (12-1)
@ 7:10

I'll go by odds ..goes off single digits I'll take 2WP


very conservative ml imo




mountaineer

R5 #5 pareto's principle (20-1) 1WP
@ 8:40



R8 #1 r b's big moment (6-1) 1WP
@ 9:55






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[Easy-Rider 66]

louisiana


R6 #5 midnight bella (12-1)
@ 7:10

I'll go by odds ..goes off single digits I'll take 2WP


very conservative ml imo





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any horse that goes OFF <10/1 I grade at $2w/p. Any pony equal to or > than 10/1 $1w/p. Unless otherwise specified by you.

[JBEX]

any horse that goes OFF <10/1 I grade at $2w/p. Any pony equal to or > than 10/1 $1w/p. Unless otherwise specified by you.

I said that so you know I didn't forget to put the 1WP which is usually an automatic for these small tracks

[JBEX]

I said that so you know I didn't forget to put the 1WP which is usually an automatic for these small tracks

should have been clearer about that in the post ..sorry

[Easy-Rider 66]

should have been clearer about that in the post ..sorry

all good. THX for the clarification.