The JBEX Tracking Show
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JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#246Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#247baq
R2 #6 bossy pants (6-1)
@ 1:34
R3 #9 copernicus (6-1)
@ 2:03
R5 #9 king freud (8-1)
@ 3:07
.
R6 #4 being betty (5-1)
@ 3:39
R7 #1 yo banana boy (12-1)
@ 4:11
R9 #9 laurana (4-1)
@ 5:13
keep an eye on weather ..latter part of the card might be bad and R6 and 9 are turf races..no play if offLast edited by JBEX; 06-14-24, 10:35 AM.Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#248good time to point out an alternate opportunity
7 .. horse field
odds top four ..9-5/3/7-2/4..big gap
mine 30-1 (finished 4th)
if you're trying to take advantage of she's more likely to come 3rd or 4th then a 10 cent super costs $1.20 each spot and paid an outrageous $41 ..possible you just could've went for 4th ( which is not ridiculous with this odds scenario ) making the roi even higher
not 2nd guessing here ..just pointing out something that's realistic and you might consider doing if you were playing in real timeComment -
BOA12SBR Posting Legend
- 02-19-12
- 20622
-
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#251
think one of the big lessons here is if you bury the ego aspect of winning ..having to show your $38.60 winner to everyone..more times than not he's finishing 3rd or 4th..that's good capping to get that happening more than it should and then structuring tickets around that..if you don't cash those 3rd and 4ths you're missing more opportunities than hitting that occasional one that does win ..plus my casual experience with this is these triples and supers often (not always of course) pay more than they should ..large majority of the time focusing on the top 3-5 horses to fill the 1st ,2nd and 3rd (supers) ..think it might be an edge for as a said ,players are more concerned with ego vs what might actually make them money..when that $38 horse does win ,you don't have it but feel good that you had the right idea and many more times than not you'll have a triple or super that most won't because of ego or/and just not thinking about the strategy in the first place
never applied it officially over time but I do believe in the approach ..speaking about it for the casual player to possibly make some of those hits they may otherwise leave on the table by doing it the traditional, obvious shoot for the win with bombs way
.Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#253didn't mean that b o a ..nothing wrong with a 16-1 return
think one of the big lessons here is if you bury the ego aspect of winning ..having to show your $38.60 winner to everyone..more times than not he's finishing 3rd or 4th..that's good capping to get that happening more than it should and then structuring tickets around that..if you don't cash those 3rd and 4ths you're missing more opportunities than hitting that occasional one that does win ..plus my casual experience with this is these triples and supers often (not always of course) pay more than they should ..large majority of the time focusing on the top 3-5 horses to fill the 1st ,2nd and 3rd (supers) ..think it might be an edge for as a said ,players are more concerned with ego vs what might actually make them money..when that $38 horse does win ,you don't have it but feel good that you had the right idea and many more times than not you'll have a triple or super that most won't because of ego or/and just not thinking about the strategy in the first place
never applied it officially over time but I do believe in the approach ..speaking about it for the casual player to possibly make some of those hits they may otherwise leave on the table by doing it the traditional, obvious shoot for the win with bombs way
.Comment -
BOA12SBR Posting Legend
- 02-19-12
- 20622
#254didn't mean that b o a ..nothing wrong with a 16-1 return
think one of the big lessons here is if you bury the ego aspect of winning ..having to show your $38.60 winner to everyone..more times than not he's finishing 3rd or 4th..that's good capping to get that happening more than it should and then structuring tickets around that..if you don't cash those 3rd and 4ths you're missing more opportunities than hitting that occasional one that does win ..plus my casual experience with this is these triples and supers often (not always of course) pay more than they should ..large majority of the time focusing on the top 3-5 horses to fill the 1st ,2nd and 3rd (supers) ..think it might be an edge for as a said ,players are more concerned with ego vs what might actually make them money..when that $38 horse does win ,you don't have it but feel good that you had the right idea and many more times than not you'll have a triple or super that most won't because of ego or/and just not thinking about the strategy in the first place
never applied it officially over time but I do believe in the approach ..speaking about it for the casual player to possibly make some of those hits they may otherwise leave on the table by doing it the traditional, obvious shoot for the win with bombs way
My favorite bets were $20 Quinella Boxe on the turf at Arlington, $1 Tri Key 1/23456 at Hawthorne and $20Win $60PLace anywhere on the One or Two days on the weekend I played live.
Intra-Race only. Morphed into DD & P3s. Mostly avoid P4's and P6's. Inter-Races.
I've morphed back /down to mostly WP, EXBX and inter racing DD and P3's.
.
Not bad mouthing any wager Guru , only the toughness in the toughest sport going in.
Guru's have survived economic depressions and short losing streaks throughout History.Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#255
3rd where your most likely to get the price so makes sense to cover more there
basis of my bet is getting the price horse in 3rd or 4th so I only have him to key him underneath ..going to miss a lot more but will also save bank along the way with fewer combos ..can be frustrating when the key happens and top 2 or 3 spots don't but that's all part of itComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
-
BOA12SBR Posting Legend
- 02-19-12
- 20622
#257so 123/123/123456
3rd where your most likely to get the price so makes sense to cover more there
basis of my bet is getting the price horse in 3rd or 4th so I only have him to key him underneath ..going to miss a lot more but will also save bank along the way with fewer combos ..can be frustrating when the key happens and top 2 or 3 spots don't but that's all part of it
Observation of a wagering philosophy for amusement or educational purposes only.
Guru's use the odds and gambling god's to get even. Right On.Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#259
do you mean "123/123/123456" ?
I was just giving an example of what you meant with your triple strategy if that's correctComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#261added aqu 6 7 9 to post 247Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#262baq
R2 #6 bossy pants (6-1)
@ 1:34
R3 #9 copernicus (6-1)
@ 2:03
R5 #9 king freud (8-1)
@ 3:07
.
R6 #4 being betty (5-1)
@ 3:39
R7 #1 yo banana boy (12-1)
@ 4:11
R9 #9 laurana (4-1)
@ 5:13
keep an eye on weather ..latter part of the card might be bad and R6 and 9 are turf races..no play if off
R2 #9 the toner (7-2)
@1:14
R4 #6 kimchi cat (8-1)
@ 2:13
R5 #8 El matador (6-1)
@ 2:45
R6 #7 boutwell time (7-2)
@3:18
R9 #7 unstable princess (10-1)
@ 4:55
.Last edited by JBEX; 06-14-24, 12:05 PM.Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#263added cd 5 6Comment -
BOA12SBR Posting Legend
- 02-19-12
- 20622
#264
I meant DD P3 P4,.,.. multiple leg wagers between different races as you indicated above..
Let's go At BAQ.Last edited by BOA12; 06-14-24, 12:13 PM.Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#265added cd 9Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#266
ok that's what I thought second time around..after a few days of "1-a -days" have 11 today lol..liked what I saw and wouldn't force it ..bol todayComment -
Easy-Rider 66BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 02-14-12
- 36098
#2696/14: Invest 36/Return 37.72
YTD: Thru Breeders Cup 2024:
Invest/Return
432/429.51
NOTES: JBEX with his highest volume yet for a specific day . broke about even for today and overall YTD.Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#270being betty would've made the difference..3rd half length @ 13-1Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#272thanks jelly ..saw you liked yo banana boy and being betty also..was amazed on the fox broadcast that kinchen didn't like the latter (one of the reasons) because she'd be
far back early ..I was expecting her to run close-up (as she did) like the time she just missed doing this in her 2nd start..understand not showing speed in her last 2 routes was his reason for thinking thisComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#273baq
R3 #9 bertrille (15-1)
@ 1:34
R4 #3 reynolds channel (7-2)
@ 2:05
R7 #6 magical better (15-1)
@ 3:40
delaware
R5 #8 atlanta's acuna (15-1)
@ 2:30
emerald
R4 #8 dynamic secret (8-1) lower
1WP @ 6:16
R5 #1 lil miracle man (6-1)
1WP
.
.
.Last edited by JBEX; 06-15-24, 12:29 PM.Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#274just for reference bets are either 2 (1WP) or 4 (2WP) so at an avg of about 3/race (w/o counting) # of plays probably around 140Comment -
BOA12SBR Posting Legend
- 02-19-12
- 20622
#275
Works for me.
Update R3 Off Turf #9 Scratched.
Start with R4 #3.//
3rd X- X-$2.60 on life support +5.20
R7 #6 - $1Win $2Place $2Show//
3rd X-X-$4.20Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
-
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23396
#279added del 5 .. post 273Comment -
BOA12SBR Posting Legend
- 02-19-12
- 20622
#280
This was B4 my time too, I took interest in '76.Last edited by BOA12; 06-15-24, 12:42 PM.Comment
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