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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23413

    #281
    added emerald 4 5
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23413

      #282
      Originally posted by BOA12
      Onion, the only horse to defeat Secretariat at the graveyard Of champions.

      This was B4 time too, I took interest in '76.
      probably 77-78 for me ..a little exposure to the trotters a few years earlier
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23413

        #283
        Originally posted by JBEX
        baq

        R3 #9 bertrille (15-1)
        @ 1:34


        R4 #3 reynolds channel (7-2)
        @ 2:05

        R7 #6 magical better (15-1)
        @ 3:40



        delaware


        R5 #8 atlanta's acuna (15-1)
        @ 2:30



        emerald

        R4 #8 dynamic secret (8-1) lower
        1WP @ 6:16


        R5 #1 lil miracle man (6-1)
        1WP




        .




        .



        .
        churchill

        R2 #4 goldy's lock (5-2)
        @ 6:28

        R4 #3 washington's union (15-1)
        R4 #8 york tavern (6-1)
        @ 7:26
        2 W on each..no place


        R10 #9 kiss blue (10-1)
        @ 10:42






        .






        monmouth


        R5 #5 eastern empress (3-1)
        @ 2:52

        mentioned about a week ago how infrequently you see a horse by dubawi ..2nd most expensive stallion in world..this is one of them





        R10 pegasus stakes
        @ 5:24

        prep for haskell..kingsbarns just missed in it last year

        #6 uncle heavy (12-1)





        .
        santa anita



        R6 #1 young love (4-1)
        @ 6:35









        R8 #6 canada gate (4-1)
        @ 7:37



        R10 # 7 judicious (10-1)
        @8:39


        R11 #9 bartholdy (4-1)
        @ 9:10
















        lone star

        R8 #9 don't backdown (5-2)
        @ 5:51





        .


        .
        Last edited by JBEX; 06-15-24, 02:35 PM.
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23413

          #284
          added mth 5
          Comment
          • TheMetsSuck
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-14-12
            • 6146

            #285
            Going to Santa Anita today. Not a big horse race bettor. Got any good tips on any of the races there today ?
            Comment
            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23413

              #286
              Originally posted by TheMetsSuck
              Going to Santa Anita today. Not a big horse race bettor. Got any good tips on any of the races there today ?
              I'll take a look ..maybe find a couple of plays..let you know either way





              .
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23413

                #287
                added mth 10
                Comment
                • BOA12
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-19-12
                  • 20622

                  #288
                  Originally posted by TheMetsSuck
                  Going to Santa Anita today. Not a big horse race bettor. Got any good tips on any of the races there today ?
                  Throw these out as a guide if you get stumped;

                  R1 #3 6-1

                  R2 EXBX 1-3

                  R3 #2 4-1

                  R4 #4 3-1

                  R7 EXBX 6812

                  R8 #2 12-1

                  R9 #5 4-1

                  R11 # 6 6-1

                  You mught want to check Jelly or mr g&t both known SA players

                  GL TMS.
                  Last edited by BOA12; 06-15-24, 03:34 PM.
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23413

                    #289
                    added santa anita R6 R8..possible might be on at least 1 of last 2
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23413

                      #290
                      added sa 10 11
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23413

                        #291
                        added lone star 8
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23413

                          #292
                          added churchill 10
                          Comment
                          • JBEX
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-02-12
                            • 23413

                            #293
                            5:24 mth
                            5:51 lone star
                            6:16 emerald
                            6:28 churchill
                            6:35 santa anita
                            7:06 emerald
                            7:26 churchill
                            7:37 santa
                            8:39 santa
                            9:10 santa
                            10:42 churchill
                            Comment
                            • Easy-Rider 66
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-14-12
                              • 36100

                              #294
                              6/15: Invest 44/Return 25.24

                              YTD: Thru Breeders Cup 2024:
                              Invest/Return

                              476/454.75

                              NOTES: Since I wrote JBEX with low volume but high quality in this thread JBEX has cut her loose lately. LOL. About 14 plays today.
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23413

                                #295
                                Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                6/15: Invest 44/Return 25.24

                                YTD: Thru Breeders Cup 2024:
                                Invest/Return

                                476/454.75

                                NOTES: Since I wrote JBEX with low volume but high quality in this thread JBEX has cut her loose lately. LOL. About 14 plays today.
                                yes ..polar opposites of 3-5 days back
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23413

                                  #296
                                  baq


                                  R3 #5 bustin away (8-1)
                                  R4 #9 paulas star sister (8-1)

                                  both above anthony ferraro finger lakes shippers..long time solid trainer up there

                                  R5 #8 coif (6-1)
                                  @ 3:07




                                  churchill


                                  R3 #9 island ride (6-1)
                                  @ 1:43

                                  R6 #6 english chunnel (20-1)
                                  @ 3:18


                                  R11 #12 gun show
                                  (3-1 ml ..7-2 @ 15 mtp




                                  mth


                                  R5 #6 aguas de cristal (4-1)
                                  @ 2:52




                                  .



                                  .
                                  Last edited by JBEX; 06-16-24, 04:42 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23413

                                    #297
                                    added cd 3 6
                                    Comment
                                    • BOA12
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-19-12
                                      • 20622

                                      #298
                                      Originally posted by JBEX
                                      yes ..polar opposites of 3-5 days back
                                      Odd couple roll/role reversal, I go one and out and Guru keeps the site even.
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23413

                                        #299
                                        Originally posted by BOA12
                                        Odd couple roll/role reversal, I go one and out and Guru keeps the site even.
                                        yes .. trading places


                                        .
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23413

                                          #300
                                          added baq 5
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23413

                                            #301
                                            added mth 5
                                            Comment
                                            • JBEX
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 23413

                                              #302
                                              added cd R11
                                              Comment
                                              • Easy-Rider 66
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-14-12
                                                • 36100

                                                #303
                                                6/16: Invest 22 /Return 13.80

                                                YTD: Thru Breeders Cup 2024:
                                                Invest/Return

                                                498/468.55
                                                Comment
                                                • Pigpen
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-09-08
                                                  • 2750

                                                  #304
                                                  Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                                  6/16: Invest 22 /Return 13.80

                                                  YTD: Thru Breeders Cup 2024:
                                                  Invest/Return

                                                  498/468.55
                                                  Guru holding his own here. Tough to stay in the black.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BOA12
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-19-12
                                                    • 20622

                                                    #305
                                                    Originally posted by Pigpen
                                                    Guru holding his own here. Tough to stay in the black.
                                                    Mendoza Line- non Guru's need not apply.


                                                    Morning Line- Guru's breakfast to find Champions..

                                                    Razor a rabid fan as is his racing ham.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JBEX
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 23413

                                                      #306
                                                      just feel it's important for anyone following to know and believe many of you realize this anyway .. my primary focus is to make the right long term decisions rather than make this a profitable sample but certainly i hope it is .. when you are following someone over a period of time the logic should be that you feel he has a better,no pun,chance of winning than someone who has less skills..it would conservatively require ar minimum many 1000's of plays with the avg odds and variances involved to determine how good a handicapper someone is ..definitive conclusions should not be drawn over a 400+ race sample ..this is especially true for someone whose plays go off at higher than avg odds
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Easy-Rider 66
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 02-14-12
                                                        • 36100

                                                        #307
                                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                                        just feel it's important for anyone following to know and believe many of you realize this anyway .. my primary focus is to make the right long term decisions rather than make this a profitable sample but certainly i hope it is .. when you are following someone over a period of time the logic should be that you feel he has a better,no pun,chance of winning than someone who has less skills..it would conservatively require ar minimum many 1000's of plays with the avg odds and variances involved to determine how good a handicapper someone is ..definitive conclusions should not be drawn over a 400+ race sample ..this is especially true for someone whose plays go off at higher than avg odds
                                                        JBEX see your points. But I will take it one step further. You would need years of tracking to see how a handicapper does over the long haul. I would assume You have posted thousands of plays over your 12 year career here at SBR. If we were Tracking that we would have a good idea on how you fared long term. However this exercise is a mini tally to see how you do over about a 6 month period. A fun way to play considering most of your posted action is like mine mythical. It gives those reading a chance to see if you are hot or cold and proceed accordingly. So far you are doing well. Keep it going. THX.
                                                        Last edited by Easy-Rider 66; 06-17-24, 01:16 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BOA12
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-19-12
                                                          • 20622

                                                          #308
                                                          Originally posted by JBEX
                                                          just feel it's important for anyone following to know and believe many of you realize this anyway .. my primary focus is to make the right long term decisions rather than make this a profitable sample but certainly i hope it is .. when you are following someone over a period of time the logic should be that you feel he has a better,no pun,chance of winning than someone who has less skills..it would conservatively require ar minimum many 1000's of plays with the avg odds and variances involved to determine how good a handicapper someone is ..definitive conclusions should not be drawn over a 400+ race sample ..this is especially true for someone whose plays go off at higher than avg odds

                                                          Guru plays 3 dimensional chess VS the computer, his horse playing strategy seems to prove this.

                                                          SBR Nation salutes A favorite son in the sun.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JBEX
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-02-12
                                                            • 23413

                                                            #309
                                                            Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                                            JBEX see your points. But I will take it one step further. You would need years of tracking to see how a handicapper does over the long haul. I would assume You have posted thousands of plays over your 12 year career here at SBR. If we were Tracking that we would have a good idea on how you fared long term. However this exercise is a mini tally to see how you do over about a 6 month period. A fun way to play considering most of your posted action is like mine mythical. It gives those reading a chance to see if you are hot or cold and proceed accordingly. So far you are doing well. Keep it going. THX.
                                                            yes that's basically what it is ..a 6 month sample ..but how I do over the course of it is secondary to me ..not gearing things to give myself a better chance to show a profit by playing lower avg odds horses


                                                            I feel over a large sample I am not profitable..too many plays,not able to see how horses are bet a large majority of the time..no observation of biases and trips etc (doesn't end there) ..too many things to leave out to be profitable not to mention the ridiculous take
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Easy-Rider 66
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-14-12
                                                              • 36100

                                                              #310
                                                              Originally posted by JBEX
                                                              yes that's basically what it is ..a 6 month sample ..but how I do over the course of it is secondary to me ..not gearing things to give myself a better chance to show a profit by playing lower avg odds horses


                                                              I feel over a large sample I am not profitable..too many plays,not able to see how horses are bet a large majority of the time..no observation of biases and trips etc (doesn't end there) ..too many things to leave out to be profitable not to mention the ridiculous take
                                                              agreed. THX.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23413

                                                                #311
                                                                louisiana


                                                                R6 #5 midnight bella (12-1)
                                                                @ 7:10

                                                                I'll go by odds ..goes off single digits I'll take 2WP


                                                                very conservative ml imo




                                                                mountaineer

                                                                R5 #5 pareto's principle (20-1) 1WP
                                                                @ 8:40



                                                                R8 #1 r b's big moment (6-1) 1WP
                                                                @ 9:55






                                                                .





                                                                .
                                                                Last edited by JBEX; 06-17-24, 07:53 PM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Easy-Rider 66
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 02-14-12
                                                                  • 36100

                                                                  #312
                                                                  Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                  louisiana


                                                                  R6 #5 midnight bella (12-1)
                                                                  @ 7:10

                                                                  I'll go by odds ..goes off single digits I'll take 2WP


                                                                  very conservative ml imo





                                                                  .
                                                                  any horse that goes OFF <10/1 I grade at $2w/p. Any pony equal to or > than 10/1 $1w/p. Unless otherwise specified by you.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JBEX
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 23413

                                                                    #313
                                                                    Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                                                    any horse that goes OFF <10/1 I grade at $2w/p. Any pony equal to or > than 10/1 $1w/p. Unless otherwise specified by you.
                                                                    I said that so you know I didn't forget to put the 1WP which is usually an automatic for these small tracks
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23413

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                      I said that so you know I didn't forget to put the 1WP which is usually an automatic for these small tracks
                                                                      should have been clearer about that in the post ..sorry
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Easy-Rider 66
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 02-14-12
                                                                        • 36100

                                                                        #315
                                                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                        should have been clearer about that in the post ..sorry
                                                                        all good. THX for the clarification.
                                                                        Comment
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