Found another to play but I think your pick in race 4 is a very good play. #7 Gran Chemin ran 5th in a turf route in first start here last August. The top 3 finishers in that maiden race all ran in stakes races next time out with 3rd place finisher(Micheline)winning. So that was a very strong race. By Constitution, out of a Point Given mare, the switch to dirt and cut back to a sprint shouldn’t be a problem. Bullet work over main track Saturday says she is ready for a big effort.
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saratoga
R1 #4 sargent drive (8-1)
R2 #8 mutakaamil (5-2)
R4 #1 escape fund (10-1) 4WP
R5 #8 the caretaker (3-1)
hopefully be the beneficiary of a speed duel..loves the track
R6 #2 mr everything (7-2)
entry irad named on both..only if this one goes
R7 #5 marquet legacy (6-1)
ran a very similar race here last year off a long layoff.. returned to belmont (understand this is saratoga) in her next start with just about the same amount of time in between to run a solid 2nd.. this trainer very good with this move and not that great overall.. am concerned that #1 astoria kitten (2-1) may wire this field so I'd put half a unit on him..i'd be happy to get back half or break even if he does that
R8 #7 dayoutoftheoffice (12-1)
going with pedigree moving forward off the maiden win.. sire and dam sire tremendous class and speed
R9 #2 country grammer (7-2)
cost a bunch for the pedigree and I still like to factor this in early in their careers.. won at this distance as a 2yo..upgrade to irad.. not ideal circumstances last 2 races but still ran well
R10 #4 grudge (15-1) 4WPLast edited by JBEX; 07-16-20, 11:11 AM.Comment -
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we've both been doing this a long time.. if you don't struggle for a month or two you're not human.. and when you can only play 30 picks in a little over a month that's ripe picking for a slump imo.. I like the format though of putting up your best play or two of the day.. it makes you think a little more about what really sticks out and what's just ok and its often not an easy decision for me...bol today b o a
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Like minded friends never lose. Love the format, less is more, more or less, in trying to beat the favorite, THE NAME OF THE GAME. Even 2nd could B bestwe've both been doing this a long time.. if you don't struggle for a month or two you're not human.. and when you can only play 30 picks in a little over a month that's ripe picking for a slump imo.. I like the format though of putting up your best play or two of the day.. it makes you think a little more about what really sticks out and what's just ok and its often not an easy decision for me...bol today b o a
. Feel a big day 4ALL who Play, The Name of Any Game. Horse's is the toughest game in town, OUR Format frightens even me!
4Horsemen Fearless
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Last edited by BOA12; 07-17-20, 09:32 AM.Comment -
R2 #7 fridaybeers (6-1) 4WP
R3 #1 universal payday (6-1) 4WP
same trainer (michael trombetta) who popped the $71 firster yesterday but I think this horse stands on her own merits.. the race at penn last out produced solid #'s.. been training steadily at fair hill training center leading up which supposedly good for getting them very fit.. rail an edge at saratoga going two turnsComment -
(12) 96/93.60 0.98 (avg odds 7.2)
Race 6...#4 Giant Shoes $4WPComment -
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R8 #5 holiday bonus (30-1) 3W
stumbled at the start and did nothing last race running off about a 4.5 month layoff..possible he's just a hurtin'horse.. also worth mentioning he's lost at least 19 races in a row... but he's been running against better and his last 2 figures around 2 turns could win this race (although his last one was hugely pace aided). rosario jumps on to ride for the first time .. hmmm?
R8 #6 musical heart (9-2) 5W
even turf effort last out and drops with a switch to dirt.. 2 of last 3 dirt route efforts bury this field and jose ortiz not staying on for no reason.. hey if you're going to drop and win why not do it at saratoga and really looks like what this horse needs anywayComment -
(14) 112/47.60 [0.42] Race7 #4 $8win.// Race10 #8 $4win $4Place. Bol To All.
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(13) 104/93.60 0.90 (avg odds 7.0)
Race 9...#1 Speaktomeofsummer $4WPComment -
R5 #1 or 1a ...6W 2P
different jocks named so probably both go.. like em both.. tip my cap to the 1a a bit
neither scrathed..either go it's a play
R7 #3 baba (20-1) 3WP
gonna go little lighter at those odds
an absolutely loaded field of maiden 2yo's (all firsters) and to be honest mine has the best class, speed win early pedigree..also a homebred so you know wasn't solid cheap at an auction or privately...but the trainer is way below avg in this category which is a good part of the reason for the ml ..this is the situation I like to find... side note #6 peachy queen (8-1) is by run happy.. connections get a $100k bonus if a rh breaks there maiden at a major track.. if you've never seen him break his maiden first out it's truly amazing (you tube)
above write up in my thread.. another reason high ml probably is slow works.. Of course it's possible he is just that but works are always a neutral factor for me.. I don't take away for them.. if a horse has an extreme speed class pedigree as this one does top and bottom he may not need the quick moves.. just enhances the price
Last edited by JBEX; 07-19-20, 02:03 PM.Comment -
added another playComment -
(16) 128/47.60 [0.37]Comment -
R7 #4 two cent tootsie (6-1) 3WP
R7 #11 mia bea star (30-1) 2W
R9 #5 central perk (4-1)6W 2PComment -
just a reminder races scheduled for turf only count if they are run on it and it can be specified "fast or good only" if you don't want your plays to count on a muddy or sloppy trackComment
, hope we run 1, 2.