Thursday 02JUl20
R1 1734
R2 3486
R3 6472
R4 2467
R5 32510
R6 81015
R7 9563
R8 39710
R9 5427
R10 101865
R1 1734
R2 3486
R3 6472
R4 2467
R5 32510
R6 81015
R7 9563
R8 39710
R9 5427
R10 101865
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How I track my plays
Example in Race 1 I have is R1 1734 in the Original Post
R1 1 $2win
R1 17 $1 exacta
R1 173 $.20 trifecta
R1 1734 $.20 superfecta
No boxing, just straight bets
I use the dollar amounts because its the minimum amount that you are allowed to bet on each race
I'm not going to tell you how much to bet for each race, because I think that will just get too complicated, so I will track my plays and money won based on the minumum too make it easy for myself to track.
If you decide to bet all my plays for the minimum on a 10 race day, it will cost $34.20
$2 win
$1 Exacta
$.20 Trifecta
$.20 Superfecta
Any questions
gl with your playsComment -
Race 10 6 scratched taking away the superfecta and hi-5 pickComment -
First day of July is going to be a loser
5 winners, no exactas trifectas or supers
Tough luck for me as five of my horses broke stride today including three first places
Race 8 was really tough luck for me as my three horse was on the final stretch, about to win the race, as it broke stride. It would have given me the Exacta
Go again tomorrowComment -
Friday 03Jul20
R1 9123
R2 6324
R3 10628
R4 85102
R5 5192
R6 3296
R7 5829
R8 5746
R9 8953
R10 4623
R11 951102
gl on your playsComment -
Why I picked what I picked:
Race 1
Long shot #9 had his driver turn down another horse. Watched his race last week, horse got stuck 2 wide for too long and me thinks that might be the correction that gets him to kick it late on the final stretch and pick off the favorites. #1 is a good horse that fell short to horses that are not here in this race. #2 is the morning line favorite and has decent pp#s(past performance numbers).#3 is a bomb that probably shouldn't be there. But it has a good ROI between the driver/trainer combination.
Race 2
#6 should dominate. However, all of the horses in this race are inexperienced. #3 finished off a half length behind this horse last week and no reason to see that will change. #2 gets third because it had an easy qualifier. #4 is in because of better pp#s
Race 3
#10 I love for a major upset. Last week, it came from behind in the back of the pack and it looked like it could have raced another mile. #6 is the favorite and has all the data to support it. #2 driver picked this over another. Gets post relief. Sometimes, the driver knows better, and going with that. #8 pressed fast last week and couldn't hang on and finished 4th-just like I think he will do here
Race 4
#8's lone qualifier crushed everybody elses best by 3 seconds. All inexperienced horses in this race. Just math for the rest of the horses.
Maybe 8 key with all if the price is right for trifectas and superfectas. Single it in pick 345's legs?
Race 5
#5 not getting respect from line makers after its impressive win last week against some of this bunch and they're getting better odds too. #1 was on #5's tail last week at the finish line and I think that happens again. #9 will show up late, but it will SHOW. #2 is slightly slower than the rest, but its always been outside. First time it will get a good post, might hit the board because of it. Line makers really liked #6, but I watched it race, and it looked terrible, so I felt I couldn't include it in my best 4 horses.
Race 6
All inexperienced horses, once again
Took #3 at a price because the driver in qualifiers is not a good driver, and now it gets a better driver for a real race. #2 dominated its qualifier, normally I would have taken this, but it will probably have a bad price. #9 lousy price. It might be lucky if it finishes. However, the rest of the field are rookies, and they don't justify much either. So I'll take it a price. #6 is a decent driver and that is all I can say about that.
Race 7
MAIN EVENT
5&8 dead heat last week for place and I think they would be good for an exacta box since last week's winner wont be there. #2 pressed too fast and gased out on the stretch last week, should be corrected this time. #9 driver likes this horse better than another, will have him complete the superfecta
Race 8
Another inexperienced field
Going with #5 as the driver and trainer combo have a good ROI and might be good for a price. #7 should dominate and outright win, and I might regret not doing that.#4 broke stride last time, but if it minds its manners, it will score with a price. #6 has good pp#s
Race #9
MAIN EVENT part 2
8&9 are gonna duke it out for top2 on the stretch-might be a good spot to exacta box. #5 was right there last week when it broke stride on the stretch. Included #3-I had the 3 finish in fourth last week in this very race and I'll do it again. If you boxed my numbers in the superfecta for this race last week, you would have won some money.
Race #10
#4 is the best horse and I expect it to dominate like it did last week. #6 should win, but I am a little shy about this horse since it got picked off on the stretch couple of weeks ago. #2 has great pp#s. #3 better hit the board or they're gonna deport it.
Race #11
#9 bombs away in the final. I like its kick. Should be in the back of the pack until the final stretch and then turbo wide to an uncontested finish. #5, see #9. #1 with the inside post will help in post relief. #10 is the favorite and I guess I should tuck him in here even though I don't like him very much. In fact, a bunch of horses in the race he was in last week are here and they have got respect from the odds makers and I don't agree. When I watched them race last week, they looked like shit. #2 has decent enough pp3s and a decent driver to get a slice of the hi-5
I had some time to kill, thought I could write a brief analysis of why I picked what I did.
Felt like typing, and got a playlist in the back ground making me feel a little more relaxed, while I hack away at the keyboard.
gl with your playsLast edited by darrell74; 07-03-20, 09:33 AM.Comment -
Comment -
Rough night so far, but with an exacta in the ninth, and race 3 horse #10 getting scratched, 2 more winners, just enough to give me my first winning day in the month of July.Comment -
Saturday 4th of July
R1 7156
R2 1537
R3 4751
R4 4283
R5 1953
R6 4872
R7 4136
R8 8127
R9 10361
R10 1756
R11 181064
Gl on your playsComment -
Gl sir
happy 4th
Let's get some winners
Got some adult beverages just now, gonna watch some races, and when that's done, the fireworks should be starting here in Las Vegas. I hope that when I go out to my balcony, i can pretend the firework are also celebrating a winning day.Comment -
Crap day
Only 2 winners
Have Monday's picks ready
But here's the thing: 6 of the races are horses that are coming out if qualifiers with very little experience
Also, I had a few of these horses last week get picked off on the stretch. Giving me a very unlucky day.
You won't be able to bet these till Monday, so i might edit these picks by then.Comment -
Monday 06Jul20
R1 9365
R2 3198
R3 5819
R4 6239
R5 7149
R6 8513
R7 31016
R8 2539
R9 2587
R10 101483Comment -
Winner in the eighth gives me a 4th winner and an official winning day
2 races left
Hi-5's cancelled till SaturdayComment -
I do what I can, man.
99% you. Your dedication to the sport is top notch, remind me of some of my friends. Think why I like the banter.
Comment -
Tuesday 07Jul20
R1 24101
R2 5372
R3 8513
R4 10273
R5 10148
R6 5617
R7 1279
R8 2356
R9 8674
R10 21107Comment -
Time to kill
Analysis of Tuesday's races
Race #1
#2 has picked off the winners in the last 2. I like the way it hangs back, widens out on the final turn, and turns on the jets when its 3 or 4 wide. #4 should be the winner if #2 doesn't respond in time on the final stretch. #10 has good pp#'s. #1 had a good trip on the inside last time and should get another get trip again
Race #2
All rookie horses
#5 has a good driver and a great pp#s. Old guy drivers with young horses sometimes get the win.
#3 has the best pp#s, even though their are not that many of them
#7 "" ""
#2 This driver has been doing pretty good lately, and even though the horse is slow, Might get a good price with a hot driver
Race #3
#8 I usually don't like taking horses when its their first time at Mohawk, but I like this horses pp#s. Also a good barn, good trainer, and decent driver.
#5 Should be the winner, but I'm going for the upset.
#1 might just go inside and dominate this race and never leave lanes. That's what it did last time in this very same post.
#3 Gets post relief and always hits the board when its the inside 4, if it doesn't break stride.
R4
Main event
#10 to get the edge over #2 I see these two battling it out within a half legth at the end. Exacta box is not a bad idea. Also, it looks like linemakers are not giving #2 too much respect, which should provide great value if it comes in.
#7 Might be the strongest horse here. However, in its last race, it jumped out like a rabbit from the outside, and tired on the final stretch.
I think it might correct that, but only good enough to show
#3 hasn't missed the board in 2020. He has the best pp#s this side of the gate.
#5
#10 does nothing but dominnate. I see no reason to not get this at 4-1.
#1 is the only horse that can beat #10. However, I think it gets picked off on the final stretch. I can see this horse dominating this race for 3/4 before being overtaken.
#4 raced against #10 last week and finished in second. But it was by nearly 4 lengths. Should be a shit show for show(no pun intended).
#8 Good barn, good trainer, good driver. However, theirs others that could beat him in this field, I'm just looking for a price with this one.
Race #6
Live long shot
All rookies
#5 is 12-1 as I write this. I am going back to what I have said about old drivers, with young horses. Sometimes they know how to get the best out of them where others might not.
#6 has a hot driver and won its qualifier and only race in its young career. good pp#s also. Probably wins in a blowout, but we'll see.
#1 has good pp#s
#7 has good pp#s also. Goes underneath #1 due to post position
#7
Another upset alert
#1 Taking a big chance here. Couldn't get his shit together and got disqualified. It ran a great race two starts back from the outside post. I'm guessing this post relief might be enough, if it minds its manners.
#2 is the horse to beat and the strongest. Should win if #1 breaks stride
#7 can compete from this far out. Its hit the board in 5 straight. I'm just skeptical of its last 100 yards as it tends to tire right before the finish line.
#9 has a tradition of hitting the board. Their's a couple of others that could possibly beat him, but I think he can find a way
Race #8
Another rookie race
#2 Again, I'll take the old driver, young horse.
#3 has the best pp#s
#5 next best pp#s
#6 has a hot driver
Race #9
Main event
#8 gets the edge. BUt, it should be a dog fight for win with horse #6
#6 came from far behind, last week, to defeat #8. However, I think #8 corrects that.
#7 faded last week, really bad in this race last week. Can't trust it. But, it should compete, nevertheless.
#4 is gonna get a good price because it totally shit the bed last week. It got the second tier, in this race last week, and it just quit trying by the 1/4 pole. With the tier change in post position, it might just jump out in front really quick. Their's gonna be a good price for this one also.
Race #10
#2 drops in class because it needs to hit the board. Its pp#s are so dominat compared to the rest, it should win. Might not though, its finished 7th or worse since January. If it doesn't win here, they gotta ship this horse to a less competitve track. I imagine their's pressure to get this horse to win.
#1 got the right driver back. It seems to do shitty with other drivers, but this driver has a history to do well. Looking for history to repeat.
#10 It's 15-1 and I might consider picking it to win outright. However, I can see this horse getting caught up in a cluster-phuck it can't get out of, since its starting from the second tier. The second tier is one of the reasons I don't pick it to win.
#7 In an unimpressive field, I'll take this one for 4th. The driver had a choice of another horse that didn't seem that bad. But it chose this one. Maybe it knows something we don't, who knows.
gl with your plays today
Last edited by darrell74; 07-07-20, 04:23 AM.Comment -
On the wrong side, all night.
last 5 races all my winners finished in second
losing day
Race 5, my horse broke stride in the lead on the final turn
2 winners and one exacta.Comment -
2-4-1 for me at FP. Would have been the day for a rolling place parlay! +34.40 on the day. I like Fairmont, Southern Illinois likes me. Also you must get in Toga/Keeneland contest.
Comment -
Thursday 09Jul20
R1 3579
R2 8512
R3 26110
R4 3542
R5 2953
R6 2751
R7 6478
R8 3628
R9 5938
R10 5239
R11 2435
I got a little bit of time to kill and will do an analysis.
Yesterday, no Mohawk or Woodbine, so I decided to stay in and enjoy my subscription of TVG on my brand new 4K 65 inch, and bet a bunch of thoroughbreds.
Turns out, I suck at it, and I don't like it.
Made another thread about it, and its full of embarrassing losers.
As a result, I lose several hundred dollars, and I need to just gtfo of the house when Mohawk isn't running, plain and simple.
Race 1
#3 to get the edge over the #5. All i could say is, I watched the videos of them racing in different races last week, and based on what I saw, I like #3
#7 was not too far behind #5 last week in that race, and the rest of the field doesn't look to impressive.
#9 best pp#'s of the rest.
Should be a two horse race. I recommend an exacta box. No one is gonna touch these two and it's gonna be a two horse race.
Race #2
Rookie horses
#8 is the favorite with the best pp#s. Good driver, old driver.
#5 next best pp#'s
#1 inside with a good driver
#2 lousy horse, good driver, good price
Race #3
#2 has just got to stay on the track. Last week on the opening turn, it wanted to turn right into the Canadian forest, and not left on to the track, but the driver was jerking the heck out of his head just to get it to not wander off. It picked off the horse I bet to win on the stretch. The game plan with this one is to keep it straight, and it should dominate
#6 is a really tough racer. I think we can get a price. It has hit the board in 5 of 6, top 2 last 3. In 14 2020 starts, 8 are in second.
#1 has the best pp#'s. Could out right win. PP#'s are the best, but it finishes 6th or worse in its last 3 in Mohawk.
#10 good pp#'s
Overall, a trifecta box 126 wouldn't be a bad idea
Race #4
A bunch of rookies
#3 might get a good price. Watched its qualifier and the driver spared the whip on the stretch, with a good time.
#5 has the fastest time of the field and the driver turned down another.
#4 is the favorite
#2 has a decent driver on the inside
Overall, I'm not too excited about this race
Race #5
#2 should dominate. Last week, it finished 5th, while within a half length of three other horses that aren't in this race. I see it taking the lead on the back stretch, and dominating the race after that.
#9 is a horse I really like, and it got picked off last week by the winner I got in race two(above). It's just not gonna have enough to catch the winner
#5 is here because the rest of the field sucks. Should be a good price
#3 The driver did well with this horse at another track, so I'll give him tail end of the superfecta here.
Overall, 2with 9 should be an easy exacta
Race #6
More rookies
#2 is 12-1 morning line. But, old driver, young horse seems to be the angle. Even the writers for Mohawk are catching on to that. Maybe they're reading my analysis (j/k)
#7 should win. But, I would hate myself if I didn't take the 12-1 longshot.
#5 is the favorite and he trained his own horse. That's all I got to say about that(in my Forrest Gump voice)
#1 Good driver, good horse, but this horse broke stride its last time out so I will put him fourth
Overall, if #2 gets his odds to get higher than 10-1. Go across the board with it(bet WPS Win Place Show).
#7
This will be fun
#6 is gonna kick everybody's ass, and you're gonna laugh your ass off because you bet it. Easy money!!!$$$
#4 is the tough call here. Plenty of good horses. Driver turned down another horse with a better time for this one. So, I had to watch the video, and just what I suspected, other drivers boxed him in and he couldn't get out. If he gets a good trip, should be a nice paying exacta.
#7 was a few lengths back from this winner last week, and I don't think their will be too many horses that will get into striking distance of the winner.
#8 is a bit of an unknown. He's had a nifty qualifier at another track, and maybe that translates to something. Maybe worth an across the board bet(WPS)
Overall, if you play a pick 3,4,5, #6 is a good single
Race #8
More rookies
#3 old driver young horse. Not too much brain power used here on this selection
#6 the favorite with the best pp#s
#2 is 12-1 morning line. Driver picked this over the horse I am picking to win which makes me think its worth an across the board bet.
#8 Old driver on the outside and I will put him in the fourth spot
Overall, if you see #2 or #3 get their numbers jacked up, an across the board bet might be a good idea.
Race #9
#5 can be aggravating to watch. Starts off shitty, and will probably look a little rough when the gates close in. It should win, but you'll probably scream at the T.V. to get him to move his ass on the final stretch. It will get there though.
#9 was second tier last week and got behind the #5 at the start(somebody didn't do their homework). As a result, it got stuck behind a bunch of slower horses, turned wide on the final stretch, had accelerated, but not enough track to catch the rest. Should be corrected by being in the front, this time, even though it's far outside
#3 has a tradition of hitting the board. It won't catch #5, but last week, it finished second to it in the same race.
#8 kicked some ass in a race, a couple of weeks ago. It beat the #2 horse of this race, and somehow the #2 gets better odds? I don't think so.
Overall key 5 w 3,9 exacta. My concern is #9 has the speed, but the post might have him fall short of #3 taking place
Race #10
upset alert
#5 last week was bunched up and behind a bunch of horses and couldn't get loose. It also had a lousy start off the gate. But, it showed incredible speed on the stretch, and if the race was any longer, it would have caught them all.
#2 is the favorite and should dominate and win the race-and then it will watch #5 fly right by it.
#3 has good pp#'s
#9 tends to finish in this spot. Not that good, not that bad, just average. the rest of the field just doesn't look that good though.
Overall, #235 should be keyed in any multi-leg races with
Race 11
#2 in my opinion, last week, got the second tier and it killed him. He was behind some very slow horses and the outside horses sprinted out and took the early lead, Then they leaped frog each other on the back stretch, and couldn't get any momentum going. The post relief, I believe will correct that, this time.
#4 had a bad race last week. It's getting 10-1 morning line, which should go down. Maybe it bounces back this week.
#3 will compete and if it doesn't win, it will be within a length or two of the winner.
#5 didn't get along with it's driver last week, and just quit. Well, the good doctor will give it a 'good talking to', a different driver, and maybe it will get back on the board.
Good luck on your plays today
Last edited by darrell74; 07-09-20, 07:26 AM.Comment -
#74 wish I was around yesterday, would have tried to help U limit your losses.Thursday 09Jul20
R1 3579
R2 8512
R3 26110
R4 3542
R5 2953
R6 2751
R7 6478
R8 3628
R9 5938
R10 5239
R11 2435
I got a little bit of time to kill and will do an analysis.
Yesterday, no Mohawk or Woodbine, so I decided to stay in and enjoy my subscription of TVG on my brand new 4K 65 inch, and bet a bunch of thoroughbreds.
Turns out, I suck at it, and I don't like it.
Made another thread about it, and its full of embarrassing losers.
As a result, I lose several hundred dollars, and I need to just gtfo of the house when Mohawk isn't running, plain and simple.
Race 1
#3 to get the edge over the #5. All i could say is, I watched the videos of them racing in different races last week, and based on what I saw, I like #3
#7 was not too far behind #5 last week in that race, and the rest of the field doesn't look to impressive.
#9 best pp#'s of the rest.
Should be a two horse race. I recommend an exacta box. No one is gonna touch these two and it's gonna be a two horse race.
Race #2
Rookie horses
#8 is the favorite with the best pp#s. Good driver, old driver.
#5 next best pp#'s
#1 inside with a good driver
#2 lousy horse, good driver, good price
Race #3
#2 has just got to stay on the track. Last week on the opening turn, it wanted to turn right into the Canadian forest, and not left on to the track, but the driver was jerking the heck out of his head just to get it to not wander off. It picked off the horse I bet to win on the stretch. The game plan with this one is to keep it straight, and it should dominate
#6 is a really tough racer. I think we can get a price. It has hit the board in 5 of 6, top 2 last 3. In 14 2020 starts, 8 are in second.
#1 has the best pp#'s. Could out right win. PP#'s are the best, but it finishes 6th or worse in its last 3 in Mohawk.
#10 good pp#'s
Overall, a trifecta box 126 wouldn't be a bad idea
Race #4
A bunch of rookies
#3 might get a good price. Watched its qualifier and the driver spared the whip on the stretch, with a good time.
#5 has the fastest time of the field and the driver turned down another.
#4 is the favorite
#2 has a decent driver on the inside
Overall, I'm not too excited about this race
Race #5
#2 should dominate. Last week, it finished 5th, while within a half length of three other horses that aren't in this race. I see it taking the lead on the back stretch, and dominating the race after that.
#9 is a horse I really like, and it got picked off last week by the winner I got in race two(above). It's just not gonna have enough to catch the winner
#5 is here because the rest of the field sucks. Should be a good price
#3 The driver did well with this horse at another track, so I'll give him tail end of the superfecta here.
Overall, 2with 9 should be an easy exacta
Race #6
More rookies
#2 is a 12-1 morning line. But, old driver, young horse seems to the angle. Even the writers for Mohawk are catching on to that. Maybe they're reading my analysis (j/k)
#7 should win. But, I would hate myself if I didn't take the 12-1 longshot.
#5 is the favorite and he trained his own horse. That's all I got to say about that(in my Forrest Gump voice)
#1 Good driver, good horse, but this horse broke stride its last time out so I will put him fourth
Overall, if #2 gets his odds to get higher than 10-1. Go cross the board with it(bet WPS Win Place Show).
#7
This will be fun
#6 is gonna kick everybody's ass, and you're gonna laugh your ass off because you bet it. Easy money!!!$$$
#4 is the tough call here. Plenty of good horses. Driver turned down another horse with a better time for this one. So, I had to watch the video, and just what I suspected, other drivers boxed him in and he couldn't get out. If he gets a good trip, should be a nice paying exacta.
#7 was a few lengths back from this winner last week, and I don't think their will be too many horses that will get into striking distance of the winner.
#8 is a bit of an unknown. He's had a nifty qualifier at another track, and maybe that translates to something. Maybe worth an across the board bet(WPS)
Overall, if you play a pick 3,4,5, #6 is a good single
Race #8
More rookies
#3 old driver young horse. Not too much brain power used here on this selection
#6 the favorite with the best pp#s
#2 is 12-1 morning line. Driver picked this over the horse I am picking to win which makes me think its worth an across the board bet.
#8 Old driver on the outside and I will put him in the fourth spot
Overall, if you see #2 or #3 get their numbers jacked up, an across the board bet might be a good idea.
Race #9
#5 can be aggravating to watch. Starts off shitty, and will probably look a little rough when the gates close in. It should win, but you'll probably scream at the T.V. to get him to move his ass on the final stretch. It will get there though.
#9 was second tier last week and got behind the #5 at the start(somebody didn't do their homework). As a result, it got stuck behind a bunch of slower horses, turned wide on the final stretch, had accelerated, but not enough track to catch the rest. Should be corrected by being in the front, this time, even though it's far outside
#3 has a tradition of hitting the board. It won't catch #5, but last week, it finished second to it in the same race.
#8 kicked some ass in a race, a couple of weeks ago. It beat the #2 horse of this race, and somehow the #2 gets better odds? I don't think so.
Overall key 5 w 3,9 exacta. My concern is #9 has the speed, but the post might have him fall short of #3 taking place
Race #10
upset alert
#5 last week was bunched up and behind a bunch of horses and couldn't get loose. It also had a lousy start off the gate. But, it showed incredible speed on the stretch, and if the race was any longer, it would have caught them all.
#2 is the favorite and should dominate and win the race-and then it will watch #5 fly right by it.
#3 has good pp#'s
#9 tends to finish in this spot. Not that good, not that bad, just average. the rest of the field just doesn't look that good though.
Overall, #235 should be keyed in any multi-leg races with
Race 11
#2 in my opinion, last week, got the second tier and it killed him. He was behind some very slow horses and the outside horses sprinted out and took the early lead, Then they leaped frog each other on the back stretch, and couldn't get any momentum going. The post relief, I believe will correct that, this time.
#4 had a bad race last week. It's getting 10-1 morning line, which should go down. Maybe it bounces back this week.
#3 will compete and if it doesn't win, it will be within a length or two of the winner.
#5 didn't get along with it's driver last week, and just quit. Well, the good doctor will give it a 'good talking to', a different driver, and maybe it will get back on the board.
Good luck on your plays today
Sunday playing Keeneland, not losing. Will recommend a $20 Place Parlay to get back $248 debacle.
Comment -
Friday 10Jul20
R1 2351
R2 3714
R3 5314
R4 8452
R5 6951
R6 5729
R7 3284
R8 4267
R9 6148
R10 2751
R11 1324Comment -
Saturday 11Jul20
R1 17910
R2 1379
R3 36101
R4 5681
R5 3147
R6 47108
R7 1239
R8 21014
R9 3714
R10 1326
R11 58231Comment
world is waiting &watching, rooting 4U.
