The public is hammering Chicago

sportsja · 03-26-08, 02:41 PM

maybe they win.

billmunny · 03-26-08, 04:39 PM

Columbus just played last night-- Chicago's on two day's rest.

Chicago still has a chance, albeit an outside one, at making the playoffs. They're six points behind the 8th and final playoff spot in the West-- Columbus, while technically still alive, is nine points behind-- and as good as out of it.

I actually think the public's right on this one. But... capping hockey is not something I have much experience in.

Dashwood Clipper · 03-26-08, 05:19 PM

Columbus has had REAL problems putting the puck in the net last few, played last night, while Chicago can score in bunches. While I think Chicago wins this one, it is a game in which Columbus may be able to snap out of their scoring drought. First period OVER 1.5 for me.

Sundram · 03-26-08, 05:21 PM

Originally posted by j$

Chicago is just getting hammered by the public and i think this could possibly be a trap. 94% of the ml on chicago and 98% of the money on the puckline is on chicago. This is never a good sign. Fade the public? The win% probability for chicago is like 52.5 %. Maybe not a trap since they're the away team. Curious to see what happens when so much moneys on one side. I think Im going to start keeping track of who wins when 90% or more the moneys on one side of a game. If u have any opinions on the game let me know.

J$, the player picks at Carib show the Blue Jackets taking most of the action, not the Hawks. Which site are you using to look at public picks here??

billmunny · 03-26-08, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by Sundram

J$, the player picks at Carib show the Blue Jackets taking most of the action, not the Hawks. Which site are you using to look at public picks here??

It's 64%/46% Chicago/Columbus at TheSpread.com

louisvillekid · 03-26-08, 06:33 PM

it was 71% Chi on the ml and 29% Clm with 3303 total bets, at sportsbookspy just now.

j$ · 03-26-08, 07:01 PM

it closed at 79% chicago 21% columbus sports.com betting trends opened at 96% chicago 4% columbus. These are percents for all action on the game ml.

j$ · 03-26-08, 07:02 PM

im still gonna stick with columbus though....better goalie

j$ · 03-26-08, 07:05 PM

Originally posted by Sundram

J$, the player picks at Carib show the Blue Jackets taking most of the action, not the Hawks. Which site are you using to look at public picks here??

I think these percents i put up are from all of Vegas not any one sportsbook

j$ · 03-26-08, 07:07 PM

Goaaaaaaallll Columbus

j$ · 03-26-08, 07:08 PM

fade the public

j$ · 03-26-08, 07:31 PM

Norrena getting the job done

billmunny · 03-26-08, 07:34 PM

Originally posted by j$

im still gonna stick with columbus though....better goalie

?

ALL of Khabibulin's stats are better on the year...

billmunny · 03-26-08, 07:35 PM

Originally posted by j$

Norrena getting the job done

Again...

?

Norrena hasn't had to do a damn thing. There have been EIGHT shots on goal.

Khabibulin has stopped TWENTY ONE.

j$ · 03-26-08, 07:37 PM

still got this parlay going........

Ticket Number: 67622600 - 1
Accepted Date: Mar 26, 2008 05:49 AM - EST
Graded Date: N/A
Wager Type: Parlay(3 team)
Wager Status: Pending
Risk: $43.00 (USD)
To Win Amount: $192.60 (USD)

Description: Baseball - 996 Oakland Athletics +105 for Game Hockey - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets -110 for Game Hockey - 8 Anaheim Ducks -250 for Game

j$ · 03-26-08, 07:45 PM

Originally posted by billmunny

Again...

?

Norrena hasn't had to do a damn thing. There have been EIGHT shots on goal.

Khabibulin has stopped TWENTY ONE.

I dont care if they have to do nothing the whole game, dont care if chicago puts up 10 or twenty shots maybe they dont have as many shots cause the other team has a better defense... as long as my team wins by 1 i dont care... as for the goalie situation khabibulin sux balls to begin with and besides i thought pascal was in goal and pascal is way better then khabibulin. Why u so mad? i never said it would come down to the goalies . Simply said columbus has a better goalie and if Pascal is in net THEY DO!

Dashwood Clipper · 03-26-08, 07:48 PM

Originally posted by j$

I dont care if they have to do nothing the whole game, dont care if chicago puts up 10 or twenty shots maybe they dont have as many shots cause the other team has a better defense... as long as my team wins by 1 i dont care... as for the goalie situation khabibulin sux balls to begin with and besides i thought pascal was in goal and pascal is way better then khabibulin. Why u so mad? i never said it would come down to the goalies . Simply said columbus has a better goalie and if Pascal is in net THEY DO!

Leclaire is concussed right now, good call on the Athletics game

j$ · 03-26-08, 07:51 PM

Originally posted by billmunny

Columbus just played last night-- Chicago's on two day's rest.

Chicago still has a chance, albeit an outside one, at making the playoffs. They're six points behind the 8th and final playoff spot in the West-- Columbus, while technically still alive, is nine points behind-- and as good as out of it.

I actually think the public's right on this one. But... capping hockey is not something I have much experience in.

0 days rest vs 2 days rest doesn't equal victory.. Columbus is as good as out of it u say,well they have nothing to lose and will want to knock Chicago a team they think is worst then them out of the playoffs.

j$ · 03-26-08, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by Dashwood Clipper

Leclaire is concussed right now, good call on the Athletics game

funny thing i actually posted on baseball best bets bosox but LT helped me to go with Athletics

Dashwood Clipper · 03-26-08, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by j$

funny thing i actually posted on baseball best bets bosox but LT helped me to go with Athletics

I liked the A's with Harden on the mound, he is there best starter if he can stay healthy, but shied away from it because my decision making has been poor thus far today

j$ · 03-26-08, 08:05 PM

GOAAAALLLLLLL Jackets 3-0

I tried to warn u guys it was fishy soo many people on one side. Sometimes u do have to fade the public. I wouldn't attribute it to a trap though.... I think people just freaked out when they saw Pascal Leclaire wasnt going to be in goal...
cheers hopefully anaheim wins and we can cash this parlay in!!

j$ · 03-26-08, 08:12 PM

maybe ill get a shred more of credibility from this...4-0 Jackets

element1286 · 03-26-08, 08:20 PM

The two teams are pretty even, both are close on the year and in the last 10 games. If one team is getting a large portion of the action, the best play is to fade the public team.

j$ · 03-26-08, 08:24 PM

That was my feelings to a tee element. Damn it my soda exploded in the freezer...no..my last Dr. Pepper

j$ · 03-26-08, 08:28 PM

i know this is off subject but my godd the suns suck ball sack
they were so much better with marion

raivo21 · 03-27-08, 12:19 AM

i didnt know who to bet on in that game, but i really expected the books to have chicago favored like -140 or -160 in that game... i think thats why so many people took it. it was just an overreaction to a favorable line...

cobra_king · 03-27-08, 01:48 AM

The day the 2007-2008 Chicago Blackhawks are favored by -140 to -160 on the road is the day the books will go broke. The line opened about where it should with Chicago at +105......afterwards, the only value in this game was on Columbus as the line kept moving in one direction. Betting on bad teams because they "need to win" and overpaying for the priveledge to do so is a complete and total recipe for disaster!

billmunny · 03-27-08, 02:13 PM

Originally posted by j$

0 days rest vs 2 days rest doesn't equal victory.. Columbus is as good as out of it u say,well they have nothing to lose and will want to knock Chicago a team they think is worst then them out of the playoffs.

Ha. Clearly... Ending up with more points=victory. Thanks for filling me in on this fact 6 hours after the fact and after your team was up by two goals.

Before the game it seemed like a factor that might influence the game.

Regardless, congrats on the win.

raivo21 · 03-27-08, 02:39 PM

Originally posted by cobra_king

The day the 2007-2008 Chicago Blackhawks are favored by -140 to -160 on the road is the day the books will go broke. The line opened about where it should with Chicago at +105......afterwards, the only value in this game was on Columbus as the line kept moving in one direction. Betting on bad teams because they "need to win" and overpaying for the priveledge to do so is a complete and total recipe for disaster!

why wouldnt chicago be favored by -140 to -160? there's a lot more hype around them with all their young stars, whereas columbus is just blah... which is why people jumped on that...

i bet columbus anyway so its cool, but i'm just saying...

cobra_king · 03-27-08, 03:11 PM

Hype is just that, it's hype, it's not reality. For arguments sake lets use -150 as the number. That would mean that Chicago would have a 60% chance of winning the game and Columbus would have a 40% chance of winning. If a book offered this number the amount of money bet on Columbus would be overwhelming. Books don't stay in business by offering bad lines. And betting on, or offering a line that says Chicago will win any road game 60% of the time is absurd.

You were on the right side of the game last nite, though not for the right reasons, but congratulations to you on the win! Needless to say you didn't have to sweat this one out.

j$ · 03-27-08, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by billmunny

Ha. Clearly... Ending up with more points=victory. Thanks for filling me in on this fact 6 hours after the fact and after your team was up by two goals.

Before the game it seemed like a factor that might influence the game.

Regardless, congrats on the win.

uhh it was posted before u phucking clown!!! Don't come to my thread and try to fade my pick while im fading the public. your a dumb ass. Who did I say would win? who won easily? shut the **** up with that whiney shit. U tried to fade me and ended up looking like a dumb ass.

SexyMit · 03-27-08, 04:06 PM

I wish I would have saw this last night... I would have jumped on with you. I took Toronto in the Nba over Detroit. Same theory all the money was on Detroit and the line went from -2 Detroit to -2 Toronto so I jumped on it and cashed that one also. Good job man I wish I would have seen this before today

billmunny · 03-28-08, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by j$

uhh it was posted before u phucking clown!!! Don't come to my thread and try to fade my pick while im fading the public. your a dumb ass. Who did I say would win? who won easily? shut the **** up with that whiney shit. U tried to fade me and ended up looking like a dumb ass.

Um... I was referring to the post I quoted-- the one where you told me that two extra days of rest didn't equal winning-- which was posted at 03-26-2008 08:51 PM.

I didn't get all aggressive with you, but if you want to curse at me because you misread what I'm saying, go right ahead. I really don't see the need for it...

Had I had money on this game, I would have lost it. I'm pretty sure that we all already knew that.

raivo21 · 03-28-08, 02:19 PM

Originally posted by cobra_king

Hype is just that, it's hype, it's not reality. For arguments sake lets use -150 as the number. That would mean that Chicago would have a 60% chance of winning the game and Columbus would have a 40% chance of winning. If a book offered this number the amount of money bet on Columbus would be overwhelming. Books don't stay in business by offering bad lines. And betting on, or offering a line that says Chicago will win any road game 60% of the time is absurd.

You were on the right side of the game last nite, though not for the right reasons, but congratulations to you on the win! Needless to say you didn't have to sweat this one out.

agreed, hype is just hype. but books dont predict winners, they predict what the public is thinking. so, while chicago's young talent may be overhyped, they ARE overhyped, so the books would want a line that would entice just as much betting on the less hyped team... i'm not saying chicago had a 60 percent chance of winning. i'm saying that the public is stupid and apparently thought they had a 60 percent chance of winning....