Dont Think This Stanley Cup Playoff System Ever Lost...
Just bet the Home Team to win at least 1 game per series....
................... 15 Units of Pure Profit per NHL Postseason.....
terpkeg
SBR MVP
10-26-09
2364
#2
I think a series went to game 7 around 5 years back which may be enough to break the bank.
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rfr3sh
SBR Posting Legend
11-07-09
10229
#3
hes saying bet the home team to win once and then if they lose 2x your wager next home game
then when they win that series is over
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zigomanisinsider
Restricted User
07-28-09
4007
#4
you be laying over - 200 every game
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yisman
SBR Aristocracy
09-01-08
75682
#5
doesn't sound like a wise idea
[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
[/quote]
[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#6
Originally posted by yisman
doesn't sound like a wise idea
Doesnt sound like a good idea WEDNESDAY NITE.....lol
I will take the losses and put them on Detroit and Washington
to win their first round series..
But I read that the HOME TEAM has never failed to win at least ONE HOME GAME in all NHL and MLB playoff series !!!!!!!!!
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KingKolzig
SBR Hall of Famer
02-02-10
5550
#7
horrible idea, so many 1-1 splits and a few series the past few years where home teams have won like 2 out of 7 games
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Illusivecone
SBR Wise Guy
11-08-08
771
#8
Originally posted by KingKolzig
horrible idea, so many 1-1 splits and a few series the past few years where home teams have won like 2 out of 7 games
He means chasing so that a home team only needs to win 1 game of the 7 played to cash
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KingKolzig
SBR Hall of Famer
02-02-10
5550
#9
oh ok i get it. risky in hockey still. i guess if you started with 5k and wanted to risk it all to make about 500 then go for it
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DennisGreen
SBR Posting Legend
11-27-08
18369
#10
Originally posted by JW Cash
Just bet the Home Team to win at least 1 game per series.... ................... 15 Units of Pure Profit per NHL Postseason.....
Good until the series is swept 4-0 and the home team goes 0-2.
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PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#11
Originally posted by rfr3sh
hes saying bet the home team to win once and then if they lose 2x your wager next home game then when they win that series is over
I like it a lot
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yisman
SBR Aristocracy
09-01-08
75682
#12
Originally posted by JW Cash
Doesnt sound like a good idea WEDNESDAY NITE.....lol
No, I meant in general.
[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
[/quote]
[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
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Chase Blackbum
SBR High Roller
04-01-10
124
#13
Double up systems are bad..always
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forsberg21
SBR MVP
09-23-09
1851
#14
This one doesn't make much sense does it?
What about the 4-0 sweep? In these scenarios, you lock yourself into 2 losses.
While on topic, and this is just from my personal experience and I don't have the stats to back it up, but in the case where there is a Game 6 and the ROAD team wins, always bet on them to win Game 7 at home. Again, I don't have the stats to back this one up, but I'm certain that it's a long term winner.
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#15
Originally posted by DennisGreen
Good until the series is swept 4-0 and the home team goes 0-2.
If a series is swept 4-0........................then a HOME Team WON 2 of those games.......
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fjordo
SBR MVP
11-26-09
1298
#16
Originally posted by forsberg21
This one doesn't make much sense does it?
What about the 4-0 sweep? In these scenarios, you lock yourself into 2 losses.
You're only betting on a home team to win 1 game, so the only way a sweep would result in 2 losses, is if the lower seed swept, taking the first 2 on the road. The third game would be a win, resulting in a profit, and series over.
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DennisGreen
SBR Posting Legend
11-27-08
18369
#17
Originally posted by JW Cash
If a series is swept 4-0........................then a HOME Team WON 2 of those games.......
LOL wow my bad it was early and my brain wasn't turned on yet
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forsberg21
SBR MVP
09-23-09
1851
#18
Originally posted by DennisGreen
LOL wow my bad it was early and my brain wasn't turned on yet
Same here... I thought that you'd only play 1 team... gotcha... good system actually? Has anyone backtested it?
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bulichm
SBR High Roller
02-10-10
181
#19
play -1 1/2 or -2 1/2 chasing #1 & #2 seeds (parlay sj ml) home or away. check it out it wins.
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terpkeg
SBR MVP
10-26-09
2364
#20
Originally posted by terpkeg
I think a series went to game 7 around 5 years back which may be enough to break the bank.
just to clarify what i was saying here... i understood he was talking about a chase system. i did this same system a few years back and one of the series in the 1st or 2nd round went to game 5 before the home team won. this made me uncomfortable enough to stop right there.
i believe that same year, after I quit the system, i series went to game 7 before the home team won. i could be mistaken, does anyone remeber this?
this is what led me to make the thread about home ice advantage yeterday. i feel like it doesnt exist in playoff hockey.
just say that the home team is -150 on average every game and your one unit = 10.00 wich is 1% of your back roll at the start
Game 1 15/10 L
Game 2 37.50/25 L
Game 3 78.75/52.50 L
Game 4 196.88/131.25 L
Game 5 492.19/338.15
After Game 5, you are down approx. 820.00 or 82 units, you are bankrupt.
So the question should not be, Has an away team ever won all 7 Games of a best of 7 series,
It should be has an away team ever won the first 5 games of a series.
I think the answer is YES.
This is also based on using one unit per series, and one unit equaling 1% of your bankroll.
You could go .2 maybe, and shoot for 3 unit profit for the playoffs. But the risk, and possible stress does not seem worth the reward.
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terpkeg
SBR MVP
10-26-09
2364
#21
plus, what would happen if a -200+ fav losses the first two games? look at pitt and san jose, the could very well win game 3 on the road if they lose next game. then, you are in a huge whole, risking a large protion, if not all of your bankroll in Game 4.
imho, if you started this last night, cut your losses now. it very likely would work out, but not worth risk.
if anyone has better data then, .....i think a series went Game 5 some years ago, then please chim in with some actual numbers.
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#22
Originally posted by terpkeg
plus, what would happen if a -200+ fav losses the first two games? look at pitt and san jose, the could very well win game 3 on the road if they lose next game. then, you are in a huge whole, risking a large protion, if not all of your bankroll in Game 4.
imho, if you started this last night, cut your losses now. it very likely would work out, but not worth risk.
if anyone has better data then, .....i think a series went Game 5 some years ago, then please chim in with some actual numbers.
To limit risk...you can also wait for a HOME TEAM to lose 1 or 2 games and then start the system.....it would be a smaller chase sequence....
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#23
The System goes a FLAWLESS 8-0 in the First Round...!!!
Was there really any doubt ???
There was some juice.....
But a wise man once told me....it aint juice when you WIN !!!
Another 7 Units to go for this postseason.....
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million2one
SBR MVP
03-19-09
1290
#24
Good Job Cash
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balman
SBR Sharp
10-29-09
387
#25
so tonight under the system you would play Det and Ottawa correct? both home teams, both lost 1st home game... should both win tonight...
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#26
Originally posted by balman
so tonight under the system you would play Det and Ottawa correct? both home teams, both lost 1st home game... should both win tonight...
NO....In Game 1.....Phoenix ( Home Team ) WON !!
and in Game 2 Pittsburgh ( Home Team ) WON !!
in fact all 8 Conference Quarter-Final Series are Winners !!! 8 Units of profit
Now....we have 4 more Units of profit that are waiting for us in
the Conference Semi- Finals when they begin...
...getting EXCITED yet..
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#27
OK
We got the Semi-Finals under our belt...........money in the bank
Lets see where we are.....
We are wanting 15 units of solid profit in the playoffs.....
We have 8 Units in the bank in the Quarter Finals
We have 4 Units in the bank from the Semi-Final.....Thanks Chicago.
We have a total 12 Units of solid profit...
We will collect 2 Units in the Conference Finals and 1 more Unit in the Finals...
Pretty Exciting, I know
SALUD !!!
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#28
Ok.......
Our goal was 15 pure units of profit....
Thanks to Chicago's Win tonight.....we have 14 units of playoff profit !!
1 more unit to get and we get that in the Final
Glad I could help....
Who said sports betting was hard....
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BigDaddy
SBR Hall of Famer
02-01-06
8378
#29
what if the road team sweeps the series?
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#30
Originally posted by BigDaddy
what if the road team sweeps the series?
Thats just it Big Daddy....
it has NEVER happened....
Too much Home Ice Advantage for it to happen....
Glad I could help....
Ciao..
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avssakic
SBR MVP
12-12-07
1795
#31
Nicely done
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OTL
SBR MVP
03-08-10
2433
#32
This system is being put to the test in the Hawks/Sharks series
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#33
Originally posted by OTL
This system is being put to the test in the Hawks/Sharks series
No its Not
Chicago THE HOME TEAM Won in Game 3
System is 1 Home Win ..................equals PROFIT !!