Dont Think This Stanley Cup Playoff System Ever Lost...

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  • JW Cash
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-08
    • 4453

    #1
    Dont Think This Stanley Cup Playoff System Ever Lost...
    Just bet the Home Team to win at least 1 game per series....



    ................... 15 Units of Pure Profit per NHL Postseason.....
  • terpkeg
    SBR MVP
    • 10-26-09
    • 2364

    #2
    I think a series went to game 7 around 5 years back which may be enough to break the bank.
    Comment
    • rfr3sh
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-07-09
      • 10229

      #3
      hes saying bet the home team to win once and then if they lose 2x your wager next home game
      then when they win that series is over
      Comment
      • zigomanisinsider
        Restricted User
        • 07-28-09
        • 4007

        #4
        you be laying over - 200 every game
        Comment
        • yisman
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-01-08
          • 75682

          #5
          doesn't sound like a wise idea
          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
          [/quote]

          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
          Comment
          • JW Cash
            SBR MVP
            • 12-31-08
            • 4453

            #6
            Originally posted by yisman
            doesn't sound like a wise idea


            Doesnt sound like a good idea WEDNESDAY NITE.....lol

            I will take the losses and put them on Detroit and Washington
            to win their first round series..


            But I read that the HOME TEAM has never failed to win at least ONE HOME GAME
            in all NHL and MLB playoff series !!!!!!!!!
            Comment
            • KingKolzig
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-02-10
              • 5550

              #7
              horrible idea, so many 1-1 splits and a few series the past few years where home teams have won like 2 out of 7 games
              Comment
              • Illusivecone
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-08-08
                • 771

                #8
                Originally posted by KingKolzig
                horrible idea, so many 1-1 splits and a few series the past few years where home teams have won like 2 out of 7 games
                He means chasing so that a home team only needs to win 1 game of the 7 played to cash
                Comment
                • KingKolzig
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-02-10
                  • 5550

                  #9
                  oh ok i get it. risky in hockey still. i guess if you started with 5k and wanted to risk it all to make about 500 then go for it
                  Comment
                  • DennisGreen
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-27-08
                    • 18369

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JW Cash
                    Just bet the Home Team to win at least 1 game per series.... ................... 15 Units of Pure Profit per NHL Postseason.....
                    Good until the series is swept 4-0 and the home team goes 0-2.
                    Comment
                    • PAULYPOKER
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-06-08
                      • 36581

                      #11
                      Originally posted by rfr3sh
                      hes saying bet the home team to win once and then if they lose 2x your wager next home game then when they win that series is over
                      I like it a lot
                      Comment
                      • yisman
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-01-08
                        • 75682

                        #12
                        Originally posted by JW Cash
                        Doesnt sound like a good idea WEDNESDAY NITE.....lol
                        No, I meant in general.
                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                        [/quote]

                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                        Comment
                        • Chase Blackbum
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 04-01-10
                          • 124

                          #13
                          Double up systems are bad..always
                          Comment
                          • forsberg21
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-23-09
                            • 1851

                            #14
                            This one doesn't make much sense does it?

                            What about the 4-0 sweep? In these scenarios, you lock yourself into 2 losses.

                            While on topic, and this is just from my personal experience and I don't have the stats to back it up, but in the case where there is a Game 6 and the ROAD team wins, always bet on them to win Game 7 at home. Again, I don't have the stats to back this one up, but I'm certain that it's a long term winner.
                            Comment
                            • JW Cash
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-31-08
                              • 4453

                              #15
                              Originally posted by DennisGreen
                              Good until the series is swept 4-0 and the home team goes 0-2.


                              If a series is swept 4-0........................then a HOME Team WON 2 of those games.......
                              Comment
                              • fjordo
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-26-09
                                • 1298

                                #16
                                Originally posted by forsberg21
                                This one doesn't make much sense does it?

                                What about the 4-0 sweep? In these scenarios, you lock yourself into 2 losses.
                                You're only betting on a home team to win 1 game, so the only way a sweep would result in 2 losses, is if the lower seed swept, taking the first 2 on the road. The third game would be a win, resulting in a profit, and series over.
                                Comment
                                • DennisGreen
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-27-08
                                  • 18369

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by JW Cash
                                  If a series is swept 4-0........................then a HOME Team WON 2 of those games.......
                                  LOL wow my bad it was early and my brain wasn't turned on yet
                                  Comment
                                  • forsberg21
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-23-09
                                    • 1851

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                    LOL wow my bad it was early and my brain wasn't turned on yet
                                    Same here... I thought that you'd only play 1 team... gotcha... good system actually? Has anyone backtested it?
                                    Comment
                                    • bulichm
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 02-10-10
                                      • 181

                                      #19
                                      play -1 1/2 or -2 1/2 chasing #1 & #2 seeds (parlay sj ml) home or away. check it out it wins.
                                      Comment
                                      • terpkeg
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-26-09
                                        • 2364

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by terpkeg
                                        I think a series went to game 7 around 5 years back which may be enough to break the bank.
                                        just to clarify what i was saying here... i understood he was talking about a chase system. i did this same system a few years back and one of the series in the 1st or 2nd round went to game 5 before the home team won. this made me uncomfortable enough to stop right there.

                                        i believe that same year, after I quit the system, i series went to game 7 before the home team won. i could be mistaken, does anyone remeber this?
                                        this is what led me to make the thread about home ice advantage yeterday. i feel like it doesnt exist in playoff hockey.

                                        just say that the home team is -150 on average every game and your one unit = 10.00 wich is 1% of your back roll at the start
                                        Game 1 15/10 L
                                        Game 2 37.50/25 L
                                        Game 3 78.75/52.50 L
                                        Game 4 196.88/131.25 L
                                        Game 5 492.19/338.15

                                        After Game 5, you are down approx. 820.00 or 82 units, you are bankrupt.

                                        So the question should not be, Has an away team ever won all 7 Games of a best of 7 series,
                                        It should be has an away team ever won the first 5 games of a series.

                                        I think the answer is YES.

                                        This is also based on using one unit per series, and one unit equaling 1% of your bankroll.

                                        You could go .2 maybe, and shoot for 3 unit profit for the playoffs. But the risk, and possible stress does not seem worth the reward.
                                        Comment
                                        • terpkeg
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-26-09
                                          • 2364

                                          #21
                                          plus, what would happen if a -200+ fav losses the first two games? look at pitt and san jose, the could very well win game 3 on the road if they lose next game. then, you are in a huge whole, risking a large protion, if not all of your bankroll in Game 4.

                                          imho, if you started this last night, cut your losses now. it very likely would work out, but not worth risk.

                                          if anyone has better data then, .....i think a series went Game 5 some years ago, then please chim in with some actual numbers.
                                          Comment
                                          • JW Cash
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-31-08
                                            • 4453

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by terpkeg
                                            plus, what would happen if a -200+ fav losses the first two games? look at pitt and san jose, the could very well win game 3 on the road if they lose next game. then, you are in a huge whole, risking a large protion, if not all of your bankroll in Game 4.

                                            imho, if you started this last night, cut your losses now. it very likely would work out, but not worth risk.

                                            if anyone has better data then, .....i think a series went Game 5 some years ago, then please chim in with some actual numbers.

                                            To limit risk...you can also wait for a HOME TEAM to lose 1 or 2 games and then start the system.....it would be a smaller chase sequence....
                                            Comment
                                            • JW Cash
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-31-08
                                              • 4453

                                              #23
                                              The System goes a FLAWLESS 8-0 in the First Round...!!!

                                              Was there really any doubt ???


                                              There was some juice.....

                                              But a wise man once told me....it aint juice when you WIN !!!

                                              Another 7 Units to go for this postseason.....
                                              Comment
                                              • million2one
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-19-09
                                                • 1290

                                                #24
                                                Good Job Cash
                                                Comment
                                                • balman
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 10-29-09
                                                  • 387

                                                  #25
                                                  so tonight under the system you would play Det and Ottawa correct? both home teams, both lost 1st home game... should both win tonight...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JW Cash
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-31-08
                                                    • 4453

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by balman
                                                    so tonight under the system you would play Det and Ottawa correct? both home teams, both lost 1st home game... should both win tonight...


                                                    NO....In Game 1.....Phoenix ( Home Team ) WON !!

                                                    and in Game 2 Pittsburgh ( Home Team ) WON !!


                                                    in fact all 8 Conference Quarter-Final Series are Winners !!! 8 Units of profit


                                                    Now....we have 4 more Units of profit that are waiting for us in
                                                    the Conference Semi- Finals when they begin...


                                                    ...getting EXCITED yet..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JW Cash
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-31-08
                                                      • 4453

                                                      #27
                                                      OK

                                                      We got the Semi-Finals under our belt...........money in the bank

                                                      Lets see where we are.....

                                                      We are wanting 15 units of solid profit in the playoffs.....

                                                      We have 8 Units in the bank in the Quarter Finals

                                                      We have 4 Units in the bank from the Semi-Final.....Thanks Chicago.

                                                      We have a total 12 Units of solid profit...

                                                      We will collect 2 Units in the Conference Finals and 1 more Unit in the Finals...

                                                      Pretty Exciting, I know

                                                      SALUD !!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JW Cash
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-31-08
                                                        • 4453

                                                        #28
                                                        Ok.......

                                                        Our goal was 15 pure units of profit....


                                                        Thanks to Chicago's Win tonight.....we have 14 units of playoff profit !!

                                                        1 more unit to get and we get that in the Final

                                                        Glad I could help....

                                                        Who said sports betting was hard....
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigDaddy
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-01-06
                                                          • 8378

                                                          #29
                                                          what if the road team sweeps the series?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JW Cash
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-31-08
                                                            • 4453

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by BigDaddy
                                                            what if the road team sweeps the series?


                                                            Thats just it Big Daddy....


                                                            it has NEVER happened....


                                                            Too much Home Ice Advantage for it to happen....

                                                            Glad I could help....



                                                            Ciao..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • avssakic
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-12-07
                                                              • 1795

                                                              #31
                                                              Nicely done
                                                              Comment
                                                              • OTL
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-08-10
                                                                • 2433

                                                                #32
                                                                This system is being put to the test in the Hawks/Sharks series
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JW Cash
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-31-08
                                                                  • 4453

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by OTL
                                                                  This system is being put to the test in the Hawks/Sharks series


                                                                  No its Not


                                                                  Chicago THE HOME TEAM Won in Game 3

                                                                  System is 1 Home Win ..................equals PROFIT !!

                                                                  I know...its GREAT...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Rig
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 11-05-09
                                                                    • 458

                                                                    #34
                                                                    If the Sieries is swept a home team has won!!!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • CaptainPrice
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-29-09
                                                                      • 1064

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Too risky IMO
                                                                      Comment
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