Phoenix/Detroit Play
This year’s Phoenix Coyotes team is shaping up to be one of the best ‘under’ teams in recent NHL history. The overnight line on this game was 5′, and most books are now dealing a 5. Typically (and this is something we’ll go into detail with down the road) if I’m presented with an option between playing ‘under’ 5 at +110 or ‘over’ 5′ at -145 or higher I take the lower goal total. There’s some theoretical reasons for this dealing with the actual ‘value’ of a half goal, but since on a practical level the bigger moneyline investment just gives you a win instead of a ‘push’ if the game lands on five. If the teams combine for six goals you’re screwed either way, and I’d rather have the lower theoretical breakeven of the underdog moneyline working for me knowing that there will be a few games along the way where we’ll have a ‘push’.
We’ve talked about the Coyotes at length this year–they’re a solid defensive team that lacks playmakers on offense. Oddly enough, a team that is frequently considered the New York Yankees of hockey, the Detroit Red Wings, are in the same boat right now. Detroit has gone ‘under’ in 20 of 31 games this year including 13 of 16 at home. Phoenix has gone ‘under’ in 24 of 31 games this year, including 11 of 14 on the road. Detroit has gone ‘under’ in four straight and 12 of 14, while Phoenix has gone ‘under’ in six straight and nine of ten. 3 of the last 4 head to head matchups at Detroit have also gone ‘under’.
Much of sports betting success is ‘gettin’ while the gettin’ is good’. Phoenix’s defensive intensity could suffer from external factors related to their off ice financial problems, or on ice conditions like injuries. For now, there’s no reason to not keep playing them ‘under’ against another low scoring/solid defensive team in Detroit.
Under 5
We’ve talked about the Coyotes at length this year–they’re a solid defensive team that lacks playmakers on offense. Oddly enough, a team that is frequently considered the New York Yankees of hockey, the Detroit Red Wings, are in the same boat right now. Detroit has gone ‘under’ in 20 of 31 games this year including 13 of 16 at home. Phoenix has gone ‘under’ in 24 of 31 games this year, including 11 of 14 on the road. Detroit has gone ‘under’ in four straight and 12 of 14, while Phoenix has gone ‘under’ in six straight and nine of ten. 3 of the last 4 head to head matchups at Detroit have also gone ‘under’.
Much of sports betting success is ‘gettin’ while the gettin’ is good’. Phoenix’s defensive intensity could suffer from external factors related to their off ice financial problems, or on ice conditions like injuries. For now, there’s no reason to not keep playing them ‘under’ against another low scoring/solid defensive team in Detroit.
Under 5