Picks Of The Night.

[DJJimGreen]

Whats everyone think about the Rangers tomorrow?

I'm thinking of playing Rangers or Philly..

We'll see tomorrow morn.

[investor]

yah i'm getting killed in NBA today after i balled out yesterday....

[DJJimGreen]

yah i'm getting killed in NBA today after i balled out yesterday....

Last game tonight I'm on is the suns.. looking good so far. I placed a BIG bet to cover my last ones.. lets hope I don't regret that dumb move.

[Mybologne]

[DoctorX79]

Montreal/Phoenix Under 5.5

[scarecrow717]

hello hockey fans im new to the board

i like both the rangers and the montreal under.

i usually go for strong teams coming back home to play a weaker team after an away loss with time to rest. which seems to be the situation here with the rangers

[zigomanisinsider]

Philadelphia Flyers + 104

[DJJimGreen]

hello hockey fans im new to the board

i like both the rangers and the montreal under.

i usually go for strong teams coming back home to play a weaker team after an away loss with time to rest. which seems to be the situation here with the rangers

Interesting! I think you just defined one of my subconscious decision makers.

Philadelphia Flyers + 104

Where the hell did you get that good of a line? I see flyers at -165

[watertight]

Nashville +139

[keyboarding]

Interesting! I think you just defined one of my subconscious decision makers.



Where the hell did you get that good of a line? I see flyers at -165

He plays 60min bets.

[krazey47409]

I lilke montreal +120 over phoenix

[krazey47409]

MY PARLAY BEST BET FOR TONIGHT AREMontreal Canadiens +120 for Game TO WIN AND SAN JOSE TO WIN ON THE MONEY LINE AND MY OTHER NHL PARLAY IS RANGERS TO WIN RANGERS TRASHERS UNDER 6 AND MINNESOTA WILD TO WIN +115

[keyboarding]

Thursday, November 12, 2009

POTN: 3-1-0 $132.99

pimike (N/A Vegas) (12-1-0 $1061.20)
investor (13-5-0 $651.43)
DJJimGreen (6-0-0 $420.48)
watertight (15-9-0 $370.96) Nashville +139
lakerboy (6-7-0 $218.42)
DoctorX79 (12-9-0 $153.83) Montreal/Phoenix Under 5.5
zigomanisinsider (8-8-0 $137.14) Philadelphia Flyers + 104 60min
keyboarding (2-3-0 $149.44)
drfunkmaster (4-7-0 $159.09) Devils over 5
POTVINSUX (3-6-0 $181.54)
BillAccpetor (9-12-0 $349.29) St. Louis Blues -151
DennisGreen (N/A Mexico) (8-11-1 $364.52)

SBR's Pick of the Night

[Mr.Kitty]

Whats everyone think about the Rangers tomorrow?

I'm thinking of playing Rangers or Philly..

We'll see tomorrow morn.

I like Rangers today at home, they are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta. One major thing that makes me like Rangers even more is that Hedberg gets the start for Atl and Lundqvist is a far better goalie.

Still havent decided if i like that pick more then Boston today...

[BillAccpetor]

St. Louis Blues -151

[DJJimGreen]

I like Rangers today at home, they are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta. One major thing that makes me like Rangers even more is that Hedberg gets the start for Atl and Lundqvist is a far better goalie.

Still havent decided if i like that pick more then Boston today...

Great! Sweet sweet reasoning. I'm playing a few of your guys' plays but today I'm on:

Rangers -170

(dang you are right.. my picks lines are always high. )

[keyboarding]

Great! Sweet sweet reasoning. I'm playing a few of your guys' plays but today I'm on:

Rangers -170

(dang you are right.. my picks lines are always high. )

You need to go line shopping. Matchbook is great for that. But also 5Dimes has reduced lines and alternate lines, including betting on a team to win in the first 60 minutes (so no OT). NYR would be ideal for a no OT bet because I can't see them going goal for goal with ATL. They will either lose outright or win outright. No shootout needed.

To give you an idea, PIT goes from a -131 home favourite to a +131 underdog on the 60 minute bet.

Actually, on 5Dimes, NYR are -165, reduced line is -158. Matchbook has them at -153. You're getting fukked, buddy. Good thing you never lose, eh?

[VersaceNo1]

Tampa Bay over 5,5, Philadelphia ML, NYR ML, SJS ML, Devils ML

[ElCapitan]

To give you an idea, PIT goes from a -131 home favourite to a +131 underdog on the 60 minute bet.

Where are you getting that line??? At 5D right now, PIT is -125 full time, and -131 1st 60mins. Unless you are looking at the -0.5 1st 60 in which case you lose on a tie in regulation.

[DJJimGreen]

Where are you getting that line??? At 5D right now, PIT is -125 full time, and -131 1st 60mins. Unless you are looking at the -0.5 1st 60 in which case you lose on a tie in regulation.

Yea this. I'm on 5d and when I had just placed my bet, it was at 170.. I've been wondering what the difference is between reduced lines and their normal lines.. *shrug*

[Aroche27]

Three team parlay to win.. flyers, rangers, sjs

[bombCanada]

Off topic: IMO the NFL should really rework their OT format. There current solution is crap, i think it was McNabb that even said, "You can tie in football?"

I like ties. They add an additional dynamic to both the emotional and statistical sides of the game.

[way off topic] I am unsurprised that McNabb, who is the most over-rated and most uneven-performing QB in history, doesn't know the rules of the game.

[keyboarding]

Unless you are looking at the -0.5 1st 60 in which case you lose on a tie in regulation.

That's what I'm looking at. It's a good bet for the NYR game.

[bombCanada]

You need to go line shopping. Matchbook is great for that. But also 5Dimes has reduced lines and alternate lines, including betting on a team to win in the first 60 minutes (so no OT). NYR would be ideal for a no OT bet because I can't see them going goal for goal with ATL. They will either lose outright or win outright. No shootout needed. To give you an idea, PIT goes from a -131 home favourite to a +131 underdog on the 60 minute bet. Actually, on 5Dimes, NYR are -165, reduced line is -158. Matchbook has them at -153. You're getting fukked, buddy. Good thing you never lose, eh?

Personally I really really like Matchbook, because rather than eating whatever the book has on the menu, you can name your price and wait for it.

For those of you who haven't used Matchbook, here's an example:

Senators/Flyers:

5dimes: +145 / -165
BookMaker: +140 / -160
Matchbook: +154 / -155

It's a nobrainer. There's effectively no vig in the Matchbook wager... it's simply a bid/ask spread, like in the stocks or futures markets.

You have to be careful, because from day to day liquidity at Matchbook can be a little iffy (this isn't all that different from books which have wagering limits, but sometimes the limit can be zero or close to it, but it's not a problem at the size I wager). But you get commission credit if you're willing to post an offer; and you pay a commission if you take an offer. With a little work, you have no excuse to settle for -110 on spreads ever again.

Another example:
A tout I follow recommended Rutgers (NCAAF) at -2 at -120 including buying 1/2 point. Because Matchbook usually displays all lines which have ever traded, I was able to get Rutgers +1 for -128... so instead of buy 1/2 point for 10 cents, I bought 3 1/2 points for 18 cents. Is this a great country or what?

Matchbook IMO is a must have tool in the wagering arsenal.

Good luck tonight, guys.

[keyboarding]

Solid post.

[palmer2712]

pitt ML
tb ML
phx ML
Det ML
pitt PL
phx PL

[Carson05]

if you only accept offers and never post them, do you still have an edge using matchbook?

[ChileCheese]

LETS GO PITTSBURGH (-120)
Hey JJIM, Im new to the NBA posts as well... been following JM. Careful on the Suns tonight. And careful how closely you follow that JM system. 90% of the basketball 'bettors' have no clue what they are talking about on that thread. I think you already had some issues with Utah. Careful with GS too... Jackson is a cancer on that team.

[ChileCheese]

pick of the night

LETS GO PITTSBURGH (-120) and MTL (+125)
Hey JJIM, Im new to the NBA posts as well... been following JM. Careful on the Suns tonight. And careful how closely you follow that JM system. 90% of the basketball 'bettors' have no clue what they are talking about on that thread. I think you already had some issues with Utah. Careful with GS too... Jackson is a cancer on that team.

[NEOHsports4life]

I got my first loss last night, now 5-1....
Rebounding tonite, Pick of the night: New York Rangers-160
They crush atlanta tonite

[sframs]

i like 3 pick, but nash will be my pick of the night.

1. nash
2. nj
3. atl
(look at my spreadsheet for the lines

[Echofox]

San Jose -168

[bombCanada]

if you only accept offers and never post them, do you still have an edge using matchbook?

A theoretical example in the Senators / Flyers situation above:

If you like the Senators at +154, you take the offer by risking 1 unit to make 1.54 units minus the commission. If you want better than +154, then you enter an offer at +155 (for example) and because there's no one offering +155, it shows up as -155 on the Flyers line. Then, if someone who likes the Flyers at -155 buys the other side, you're in business at +155 + a commission credit.

So if your unit is $1, in the first case you risk $1.00 to make $1.54 - a few cents in commission (I forget the exact %, which is different sport by sport). in the second case, you risk $1 to make $1.55 + a few cents in commission credit. There's an additional risk, which is that you either get only a partial match or you get no takers at all. In that case it costs nothing.

Does this make sense?

[investor]

pick of the night is Phoenix Coyotes over 5.5 @ +125

[bombCanada]

Solid post.

Wow, I appreciate the recognition. Thank you.