Flea Hotel's Iconic Team Totals Thread

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  • Flea Hotel
    Restricted User
    • 08-31-16
    • 1732

    #1
    Flea Hotel's Iconic Team Totals Thread
    Unless you've been living under a rock, you know me from my legendary PL thread. I'm not sure why you've been living under a rock, but that's really not my business. My business is two things: Hot Asian Girls and Cash Money.

    While I'm only hitting 44% of my NHL totals this year, I've readjusted my statistical formulas to focus more on Team Totals. I'm pretty sure this will, just like my PL thread, end the season easily in the black, cash money in my pocket, and haters losing sleep over it. Life's been good to me, I'm less than a year from receiving my PhD from one of the best universities in Canada in Statistics and will probably work for the government, making good money and generally living a great life.

    You can follow my PL thread here and watch me make cash money, or you can hate on my winning picks here, or both.
    The choice is yours. BOL with life!
  • Flea Hotel
    Restricted User
    • 08-31-16
    • 1732

    #2
    First plays. YTD (0-0, u0.0)

    1. Edmonton TT o2.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u
    2. Minnesota TT o2.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u


    BOL
    Comment
    • agendaman
      SBR MVP
      • 12-01-11
      • 3727

      #3
      flea your opinion on paying the juice and betting under 6.5 goals and over 4 goals
      Comment
      • Nostradam
        SBR High Roller
        • 05-05-15
        • 161

        #4
        May the gambling gods & hot Asian girls bless you tonight.
        Comment
        • Flea Hotel
          Restricted User
          • 08-31-16
          • 1732

          #5
          I'm avoiding team totals, especially juiced ones. Somehow scoring is DOWN this season from last. I'm focusing everything on team totals and pucklines... If anyone can figure out game totals, they deserve all the spoils. It seems to me like all the value is in sides, PL's and hopefully team totals. If I didn't love hockey so much I wouldn't spend so much time trying to figure this all out.
          Originally posted by agendaman
          flea your opinion on paying the juice and betting under 6.5 goals and over 4 goals
          Comment
          • Flea Hotel
            Restricted User
            • 08-31-16
            • 1732

            #6
            Thanks, it will take God and some really hot Asian girls to make money in this messed up NHL season.
            Originally posted by Nostradam
            May the gambling gods & hot Asian girls bless you tonight.
            Comment
            • Flea Hotel
              Restricted User
              • 08-31-16
              • 1732

              #7
              So-so start. Minnesota easily came through but Edmonton didn't. Will probably have a play later. Busy correcting exams this week. Every correct 200 Intro to Stats exams? Why doesn't my university have computers to do this?!?!
              Comment
              • Flea Hotel
                Restricted User
                • 08-31-16
                • 1732

                #8
                EDMONTON LOSS
                MINNESOTA WIN
                ​YTD (1-1, 0.15u)
                Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                First plays. YTD (0-0, u0.0)

                1. Edmonton TT o2.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u
                2. Minnesota TT o2.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u


                BOL
                Comment
                • Flea Hotel
                  Restricted User
                  • 08-31-16
                  • 1732

                  #9
                  EDMONTON LOSS
                  MINNESOTA WIN
                  YTD (1-1, 0.15u)
                  Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                  First plays. YTD (0-0, u0.0)

                  1. Edmonton TT o2.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u
                  2. Minnesota TT o2.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u


                  BOL
                  Comment
                  • Flea Hotel
                    Restricted User
                    • 08-31-16
                    • 1732

                    #10
                    Two picks for today.

                    PITTSBURGH OVER 3 (+100) 1 unit to win 1 unit (3 is a push)
                    CALGARY OVER 2.5 (-120) 1.2 units to win 1 unit


                    YTD (1-1, 0.15u)
                    Comment
                    • Joe'Dad
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 08-11-16
                      • 183

                      #11
                      Sorry if I offended you. But your PL annoys the f..k out out at of me. You are a good capper for PL; being above 50% and not paying juice. You would be profitable. I do respect your picks I just wouldn't play PL; due too previous losses. Keep the picks coming.

                      PS: I'm from Toronto and my wife is Asian
                      Comment
                      • agendaman
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-01-11
                        • 3727

                        #12
                        my leafs lost ugly last nite
                        Comment
                        • Flea Hotel
                          Restricted User
                          • 08-31-16
                          • 1732

                          #13
                          I could be wrong about trying to cap for value PL's but I'm going to take a swing. The -1 bet seems to be the play but I'll agree it's high risk/high reward. I'm still betting ML on games that aren't juiced to the gills.

                          I'm from Montreal but I'm a Leaf's fan. I hate the Habs, I go to the games wearing my Doug Gilmour jersey and try not to get killed.
                          Originally posted by Joe'Dad
                          Sorry if I offended you. But your PL annoys the f..k out out at of me. You are a good capper for PL; being above 50% and not paying juice. You would be profitable. I do respect your picks I just wouldn't play PL; due too previous losses. Keep the picks coming.

                          PS: I'm from Toronto and my wife is Asian
                          Comment
                          • Flea Hotel
                            Restricted User
                            • 08-31-16
                            • 1732

                            #14
                            At least you didn't have a bet on Vancouver and have to watch that hell.
                            Originally posted by agendaman
                            my leafs lost ugly last nite
                            Comment
                            • Flea Hotel
                              Restricted User
                              • 08-31-16
                              • 1732

                              #15
                              WINNERS!
                              YTD (3-1, +1.85u)
                              Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                              Two picks for today.

                              PITTSBURGH OVER 3 (+100) 1 unit to win 1 unit (3 is a push)
                              CALGARY OVER 2.5 (-120) 1.2 units to win 1 unit


                              YTD (1-1, 0.15u)
                              Comment
                              • Flea Hotel
                                Restricted User
                                • 08-31-16
                                • 1732

                                #16
                                Today's plays (might add more later, I think there will be a lot of unders today...)

                                Nashville UNDER 2.5 (-105) 1.05 units to win 1 unit
                                Chicago OVER 2.5 (-125) 1.25 units to win 1 unit
                                Last edited by Flea Hotel; 12-15-16, 11:22 AM.
                                Comment
                                • Flea Hotel
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 08-31-16
                                  • 1732

                                  #17
                                  Early, easy money cash on Chicago. Let's see how my second pick goes. Why are people tailing anyone but me? me me.
                                  Last edited by Flea Hotel; 12-15-16, 08:56 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • Flea Hotel
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 08-31-16
                                    • 1732

                                    #18
                                    Comment
                                    • Nostradam
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 05-05-15
                                      • 161

                                      #19
                                      Quite the 1st period score fest at the Islanders!
                                      Comment
                                      • Flea Hotel
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 08-31-16
                                        • 1732

                                        #20
                                        Yeah, another silly night of huge overs, tiny unders and nothing in the middle.
                                        Originally posted by Nostradam
                                        Quite the 1st period score fest at the Islanders!
                                        Comment
                                        • Flea Hotel
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 08-31-16
                                          • 1732

                                          #21
                                          WINNERS CASH MONEY. If you hate making cash money, fade or pass on my picks. I'm old school, I'm all into cash money. Is that bad?
                                          YTD (5-1, 3.85u)
                                          Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                          Today's plays (might add more later, I think there will be a lot of unders today...)

                                          Nashville UNDER 2.5 (-105) 1.05 units to win 1 unit
                                          Chicago OVER 2.5 (-125) 1.25 units to win 1 unit
                                          Comment
                                          • Flea Hotel
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 08-31-16
                                            • 1732

                                            #22
                                            If CASH MONEY isn't what people are into here, I'm sorry, I guess I'm a nerd. I'm trying to make them Ms, y'all trying to make them ones.
                                            Comment
                                            • knicksrulez
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 10-26-16
                                              • 391

                                              #23
                                              Man, I'm tailing you since the beginning, thanks for the picks, this is super impressive

                                              Never doubt you, you made me not give up on betting NHL, and your other thread is probably making not give up betting on NBA

                                              thanks brotha
                                              Comment
                                              • Flea Hotel
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 08-31-16
                                                • 1732

                                                #24
                                                No worries mate. Myself and the other good cappers are figuring it out... just took longer this year, especially with the NHL. I'm just getting started.
                                                Originally posted by knicksrulez
                                                Man, I'm tailing you since the beginning, thanks for the picks, this is super impressive

                                                Never doubt you, you made me not give up on betting NHL, and your other thread is probably making not give up betting on NBA

                                                thanks brotha
                                                Comment
                                                • Flea Hotel
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 08-31-16
                                                  • 1732

                                                  #25
                                                  Today's play (maybe more later)
                                                  YTD (5-1, 3.85u)

                                                  I got this game hitting the over, my models have it as 5.94 to 4.01 in favour of CBJ so 4 is the play. Thought about 3.5 @ +215 but, nah...

                                                  Columbus OVER 3 (+148) Bet 1 unit to win 1.48 units. 3 GOALS IS A PUSH
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JTrain
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-29-13
                                                    • 551

                                                    #26
                                                    Don't believe this is possible on Heritage
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Flea Hotel
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 08-31-16
                                                      • 1732

                                                      #27
                                                      What team total options do you have on Heritage?
                                                      Originally posted by JTrain
                                                      Don't believe this is possible on Heritage
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Nostradam
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 05-05-15
                                                        • 161

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by JTrain
                                                        Don't believe this is possible on Heritage
                                                        It isn't on Pinnacle that has only over 2.5 -140. Which is statisticly just as good, i guess.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JTrain
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-29-13
                                                          • 551

                                                          #29
                                                          Columbus over 2.5 -155
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Nostradam
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 05-05-15
                                                            • 161

                                                            #30
                                                            Some books allow parlays on these?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Flea Hotel
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 08-31-16
                                                              • 1732

                                                              #31
                                                              JTrain what do they have for 3.5?
                                                              Originally posted by JTrain
                                                              Columbus over 2.5 -155
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Nostradam
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 05-05-15
                                                                • 161

                                                                #32
                                                                The BJ's bet to win in 60 minutes is somewhat a co-related play.

                                                                If they score 3, 4 or more goals it's quite likely they win in regulation.

                                                                If they win in regulation they'll probably need at least 3 goals.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Flea Hotel
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 08-31-16
                                                                  • 1732

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Mostly not with team totals. 888 let's you parlay the total and the ML side sometimes, but not always. They have o3 at +145 and o3.5 at +215. 888 is funky, usually over juiced but they sure have some tasty props and strange "specials". They also have the best player bonuses I've ever seen. I get a 100 dollar free bet every Friday just for betting there.
                                                                  Originally posted by Nostradam
                                                                  Some books allow parlays on these?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Flea Hotel
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 08-31-16
                                                                    • 1732

                                                                    #34
                                                                    It's certainly co-related. I expect them to win 5-3, 5-4, 5-2, 6-4, etc..
                                                                    Originally posted by Nostradam
                                                                    The BJ's bet to win in 60 minutes is somewhat a co-related play.

                                                                    If they score 3, 4 or more goals it's quite likely they win in regulation.

                                                                    If they win in regulation they'll probably need at least 3 goals.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Nostradam
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 05-05-15
                                                                      • 161

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                                                      It's certainly co-related. I expect them to win 5-3, 5-4, 5-2, 6-4, etc..
                                                                      Over 5 is also co-related to BJ's TT over 3.

                                                                      Both goalies have been smoking hot recently.
                                                                      Comment
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