Flea Hotel's Legendary Chalk Free Plays

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  • Flea Hotel
    Restricted User
    • 08-31-16
    • 1732
    #1
    Flea Hotel's Legendary Chalk Free Plays
    I've been betting NHL and NBA totals since I was in high school. I've been a winner most years, including last year where I almost hit 60% betting NHL and NBA totals.

    I'm a stats doctorate candidate and I cap using formulas and statistical analysis that only people wrapping up PhD's in stats, like myself, would understand. I love cash money, hot Asian girls and stats. That's how I roll.

    That being said, I'm getting massacred by NHL totals this year. Looking at my databases, I've noticed that while I'm getting trained on totals, I'm 10-10 on PL -1.5 and -2.5. I put a nice bet on Montreal last night -2.5 and that resulted in a lot of cash money. You can't date the quality of hot Asian trim that I do unless you have a lot of cash money; I'm not Brad Pitt. I'm a Stats PhD student!

    Therefore, I will use my statistical acumen, my love of hockey (I played Major Junior in the WHL. 4th line but I can play) and my legendary ability to win money to make you money by nailing PL's. I will only be posting plays when my confidence level is extremely high so I wouldn't expect more than a pick a day, at most.

    Year to Date (Documented)
    0-0 (0 units)

    First play coming soon, crunching numbers. Hate me if you must, but if you like cash money, tail and watch the trolls come and go as I end up in the black at the end of the season.

    ONLY PUCK LINE -1.5's and occasional -2.5's HERE!
    Tags: None
    • Joe'Dad
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-11-16
      • 183
      #2
      Wow, I thought you were the troll
        Comment
        • Flea Hotel
          Restricted User
          • 08-31-16
          • 1732
          #3
          Not sure what that means and couldn't care less.
          Originally posted by Joe'Dad
          Wow, I thought you were the troll
            Comment
            • Flea Hotel
              Restricted User
              • 08-31-16
              • 1732
              #4
              First play.

              Washington PL -2.5 + 190
                Comment
                • Flea Hotel
                  Restricted User
                  • 08-31-16
                  • 1732
                  #5
                  Good start. My models had it as 4-1 or 5-1 but I'll take it.

                  YTD (1-0, +1.9u)
                  Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                  First play.

                  Washington PL -2.5 + 190
                    Comment
                    • Flea Hotel
                      Restricted User
                      • 08-31-16
                      • 1732
                      #6
                      Today's play. Pretty obvious. Anyone laying -340 on the ML should apply to the Mars One program. (Most of you will have to google that.)
                      YTD (1-0, 1.9u)

                      Pittsburgh PL -1.5 - 110 (1.1 units to win 1 unit)
                        Comment
                        • Flea Hotel
                          Restricted User
                          • 08-31-16
                          • 1732
                          #7
                          Another win. I bet the -2.5 but didn't post it. It's scary how much money I'm winning lately. I truly am a PL Legend. Damn.

                          You guys chase dreams, I'll bet winners and make cash money.

                          YTD
                          (2-0, 2.9u)

                          Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                          Today's play. Pretty obvious. Anyone laying -340 on the ML should apply to the Mars One program. (Most of you will have to google that.)
                          YTD (1-0, 1.9u)

                          Pittsburgh PL -1.5 - 110 (1.1 units to win 1 unit)
                            Comment
                            • Flea Hotel
                              Restricted User
                              • 08-31-16
                              • 1732
                              #8
                              Tuesday's NHL play.

                              YTD (2-0, 2.9u)

                              Minnesota PL -1.5 +215 (1 unit to win 2.15 units)
                                Comment
                                • Flea Hotel
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 08-31-16
                                  • 1732
                                  #9
                                  Adding another.

                                  Edmonton PL -1.5 +275 (1 unit to win 2.75 units)
                                    Comment
                                    • Flea Hotel
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 08-31-16
                                      • 1732
                                      #10
                                      Golly. 3 for 3 on PL's. Good start. My Edmonton PL isn't looking good but I'm liking where this is going.

                                      WINNER
                                      YTD (3-0, 5.05u)
                                      Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                      Tuesday's NHL play.

                                      YTD (2-0, 2.9u)

                                      Minnesota PL -1.5 +215 (1 unit to win 2.15 units)
                                        Comment
                                        • Flea Hotel
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 08-31-16
                                          • 1732
                                          #11
                                          LOSS
                                          My bad. My models had this exactly at the line's IP (26.7%). I broke my own rule of posting any play that doesn't clear my model by at least 5%. Ironically, Columbus winning 3-1 came up 9% of the time, the highest final score breakdown of the lot. Oh well. I'll come back strong with another winner. All I know is all three of my threads will end up in the black, just like I always end up in something Asian.
                                          YTD (3-1, 4.05u)
                                          Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                          Adding another.

                                          Edmonton PL -1.5 +275 (1 unit to win 2.75 units)
                                            Comment
                                            • Flea Hotel
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 08-31-16
                                              • 1732
                                              #12
                                              MAJOR ANNOUNCEMENT

                                              I will be adding -1's to my PL thread. There is a lot of value on -1's this season. We pay so much juice for OT and the SO which are crap shoots, I'd rather find games that don't go to OT, then find the one's which are likely to be won by 2, 3 or more. However, last night, I personally went 2-0 on -1's and nail a lot of them so I will be adding them here so you can make more cash money and maybe more hot Asian girls. As long as you leave my Montreal and Toronto hot Asian women alone, you can enjoy the free cash money. If you live in Vegas or LA, you are living in Hot Asian girl wonder world, and for that...


                                              BOL
                                                Comment
                                                • Flea Hotel
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 08-31-16
                                                  • 1732
                                                  #13
                                                  Today's action. I'm going to try something different. I'm going to play -1's for two games. (I'm not sure about your book, but I use 5Dimes and Bet365. To find the -1, look for "3 Way Betting"

                                                  Pittsburgh -1 (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units
                                                  Calgary -1 (+240) 1 unit to win 2.4 units

                                                  YTD (3-1, 4.05u)
                                                  BOL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Nostradam
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 05-05-15
                                                      • 161
                                                      #14
                                                      Unfortunately Pinnacle does not offer -1 lines for regulation time only, just -1 with OT included.

                                                      For regulation (60 minutes only) wagers they have only ML & -/+ 1/2 a goal wagering.

                                                      Best of luck tonight!
                                                      Last edited by Nostradam; 12-14-16, 04:57 PM. Reason: my bad
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Flea Hotel
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 08-31-16
                                                          • 1732
                                                          #15
                                                          Weird, my books only offer -1 in regulation time, but not OT included. I should put some money in my Pinnacle account just in case I want to make such a play. Pit and Cal in reg time are still good non-chalk plays. I play the reg time and the -1 myself.
                                                          Originally posted by Nostradam
                                                          Unfortunately Pinnacle does not offer -1 lines for regulation time only, just -1 with OT included.

                                                          For regulation (60 minutes only) wagers they have only ML & -/+ 1/2 a goal wagering.

                                                          Best of luck tonight!
                                                          Last edited by Flea Hotel; 12-14-16, 06:18 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Flea Hotel
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 08-31-16
                                                              • 1732
                                                              #16
                                                              I knew this would happen. I'm adding .5 regulation plays to my thread. If I could rename the thread to Flea Hotel's Legendary Chalk Free Plays I would.

                                                              One more play for the night.

                                                              Philadelphia Flyers -0.5 in regulation +137 (1 unit to win 1.37 units)

                                                              BOL
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Flea Hotel
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 08-31-16
                                                                  • 1732
                                                                  #17
                                                                  I almost never play parlays but Pit, Phil and Cal ML at almost +400 seems fun. Not a thread play and not hedgeable but just throwing it out there...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2Shirts
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-11-11
                                                                      • 4402
                                                                      #18
                                                                      Just does not seem realistic that all three favorites would win.

                                                                      Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                                                      I almost never play parlays but Pit, Phil and Cal ML at almost +400 seems fun. Not a thread play and not hedgeable but just throwing it out there...
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        • Flea Hotel
                                                                          Restricted User
                                                                          • 08-31-16
                                                                          • 1732
                                                                          #19
                                                                          I know.. And EVERYTIME I say that, they do. That's one of the many reasons I don't do parlays. You always remember the one you didn't play or just missed, and forget the one you just lost the second you fire up another one.
                                                                          Originally posted by 2Shirts
                                                                          Just does not seem realistic that all three favorites would win.
                                                                            Comment
                                                                            • Flea Hotel
                                                                              Restricted User
                                                                              • 08-31-16
                                                                              • 1732
                                                                              #20
                                                                              Interesting night of NHL. Don't feel bad about my -1 on the Pens, the Pens should have won that by 3. Missed the Calgary game but got the total on my other thread, and nailed the Philly game. I'll focus more on just putting the best of the best plays now that school is winding down.
                                                                                Comment
                                                                                • Flea Hotel
                                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                                  • 08-31-16
                                                                                  • 1732
                                                                                  #21
                                                                                  LOSERS!
                                                                                  Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                                                                  Today's action. I'm going to try something different. I'm going to play -1's for two games. (I'm not sure about your book, but I use 5Dimes and Bet365. To find the -1, look for "3 Way Betting"

                                                                                  Pittsburgh -1 (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units
                                                                                  Calgary -1 (+240) 1 unit to win 2.4 units

                                                                                  YTD (3-1, 4.05u)
                                                                                  BOL
                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                    • Flea Hotel
                                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                                      • 08-31-16
                                                                                      • 1732
                                                                                      #22
                                                                                      WINNER!
                                                                                      YTD (4-3, +3.42u)
                                                                                      Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                                                                      I knew this would happen. I'm adding .5 regulation plays to my thread. If I could rename the thread to Flea Hotel's Legendary Chalk Free Plays I would.

                                                                                      One more play for the night.

                                                                                      Philadelphia Flyers -0.5 in regulation +137 (1 unit to win 1.37 units)

                                                                                      BOL
                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                        • Flea Hotel
                                                                                          Restricted User
                                                                                          • 08-31-16
                                                                                          • 1732
                                                                                          #23
                                                                                          Today's play. YTD (4-3, +3.42u)

                                                                                          Minnesota def Nashville in regulation +175 (1 unit to win 1.75 units)

                                                                                          BOL, I have Team Total on this game in my Iconic Team Totals Thread
                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                            • Flea Hotel
                                                                                              Restricted User
                                                                                              • 08-31-16
                                                                                              • 1732
                                                                                              #24
                                                                                              Weird. I need a scientist to tell me why anyone would tail anyone's threads other than mine. I guess loving cash is going out of style.
                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                • Flea Hotel
                                                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                                                  • 08-31-16
                                                                                                  • 1732
                                                                                                  #25
                                                                                                  C'est un WINNER
                                                                                                  CASH MONEY. If you hate making cash money, fade or pass on my picks. I'm old school, I'm all into cash money. Is that bad?
                                                                                                  YTD (5-3, +5.17u)
                                                                                                  Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                                                                                  Today's play. YTD (4-3, +3.42u)

                                                                                                  Minnesota def Nashville in regulation +175 (1 unit to win 1.75 units)

                                                                                                  BOL, I have Team Total on this game in my Iconic Team Totals Thread
                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                    • JayRow
                                                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                                                      • 02-13-09
                                                                                                      • 871
                                                                                                      #26
                                                                                                      Nice work my friend! We might take over the world with our hockey picks
                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                        • BankrollMafia
                                                                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                                                                          • 08-30-15
                                                                                                          • 654
                                                                                                          #27
                                                                                                          just started reading through your thread, quite hilarious. anyway how early do you usually post before game time?
                                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                                            • Flea Hotel
                                                                                                              Restricted User
                                                                                                              • 08-31-16
                                                                                                              • 1732
                                                                                                              #28
                                                                                                              I think we're figuring it out!
                                                                                                              Originally posted by JayRow
                                                                                                              Nice work my friend! We might take over the world with our hockey picks
                                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                                • Flea Hotel
                                                                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                                                                  • 08-31-16
                                                                                                                  • 1732
                                                                                                                  #29
                                                                                                                  I try to get them on there no later than 2PM EST. It usually depends on school and my insanely whiny girlfriend but usually, 2PM EST or earlier. Luckily, there isn't too much line movement in the NHL, though enough for me to aim for earlier than later.
                                                                                                                  Originally posted by BankrollMafia
                                                                                                                  just started reading through your thread, quite hilarious. anyway how early do you usually post before game time?
                                                                                                                  Last edited by Flea Hotel; 12-17-16, 12:06 AM.
                                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                                    • Flea Hotel
                                                                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                                                                      • 08-31-16
                                                                                                                      • 1732
                                                                                                                      #30
                                                                                                                      I think just one play today, swamped with marking papers so I didn't have as much time as I usually do to do calculations...
                                                                                                                      YTD (5-3, +5.17u)

                                                                                                                      Columbus def Calgary in regulation (+133) 1 unit to win 1.33 units

                                                                                                                      This was so close to being a -1 play but not close enough. I'm also on this game in my team total thread.
                                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                                        • Nostradam
                                                                                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                                                                                          • 05-05-15
                                                                                                                          • 161
                                                                                                                          #31
                                                                                                                          Both teams very hot lately. I'm not sure why the BJs are even favored at Calgary, although the Flames
                                                                                                                          have been only average at home & the BJ's strong on the road with the better overall record. The BJ's
                                                                                                                          wins on their present 7 game streak have been almost all against cupcakes. The Flames also beat
                                                                                                                          them at Columbus recently 2-0.
                                                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                                                            • Flea Hotel
                                                                                                                              Restricted User
                                                                                                                              • 08-31-16
                                                                                                                              • 1732
                                                                                                                              #32
                                                                                                                              Bet the Flames then, BOL!
                                                                                                                              Originally posted by Nostradam
                                                                                                                              Both teams very hot lately. I'm not sure why the BJs are even favored at Calgary, although the Flames
                                                                                                                              have been only average at home & the BJ's strong on the road with the better overall record. The BJ's
                                                                                                                              wins on their present 7 game streak have been almost all against cupcakes. The Flames also beat
                                                                                                                              them at Columbus recently 2-0.
                                                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                                                • Nostradam
                                                                                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                                                                                  • 05-05-15
                                                                                                                                  • 161
                                                                                                                                  #33
                                                                                                                                  Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                                                                                                                  Bet the Flames then, BOL!
                                                                                                                                  GL to you 2.

                                                                                                                                  I have no opinion on a side.
                                                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                                                    • Flea Hotel
                                                                                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                                                                                      • 08-31-16
                                                                                                                                      • 1732
                                                                                                                                      #34
                                                                                                                                      WINNER
                                                                                                                                      (YTD 6-3, 6.5u)

                                                                                                                                      Really? Another chalk free win? How do I do it? You'd probably need at least a MsC in Stats to figure it out. I love mixing school with cash money. Also been known to like hot Asian girls too.
                                                                                                                                      Last edited by Flea Hotel; 12-16-16, 11:35 PM.
                                                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                                                        • Flea Hotel
                                                                                                                                          Restricted User
                                                                                                                                          • 08-31-16
                                                                                                                                          • 1732
                                                                                                                                          #35
                                                                                                                                          FLEA HOTEL OVERALL STATS

                                                                                                                                          My Legendary Chalk Free Plays Thread: 6-3, 6.5u
                                                                                                                                          My Iconic NHL Team Totals Thread: 6-1, 5.33u
                                                                                                                                          My Life Redefining NBA Totals Thread: 2-1, 1.72u

                                                                                                                                          OVERALL
                                                                                                                                          14-5, 13.55u
                                                                                                                                          Last edited by Flea Hotel; 12-16-16, 11:44 PM.
                                                                                                                                            Comment
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