Too much juice (-160) on the over 2.5, I'd rather push at 3 and go for 4. I'd do -130 or maybe -135 for the 2.5 but not -160. My models have Chicago getting 3.85 goals so I'm comfortable with this play.
BOL
Comment
knicksrulez
SBR Sharp
10-26-16
391
#72
Hey Flea,
Where do you find these lines (TT O3) before game time? I can only get them at Bet365 like 10 minutes before game starts.
Right now I only have O2.5
Thanks
Comment
franknikki1
SBR Hustler
12-17-16
91
#73
I'm having the same issue. My book only offers team totals over 2 or 2.5. that's it, nothing else. Maybe I need to change sportbooks.
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#74
888 and 5Dimes have them. Bet365 is annoying as hell with hockey. 888 puts out about 250 props per game before noon EST. 888 and 5Dimes are what I use for NHL. I assume Pinnacle or Heritage have the TT Over 3's. 888 has them from .5 to 10
Originally posted by franknikki1
I'm having the same issue. My book only offers team totals over 2 or 2.5. that's it, nothing else. Maybe I need to change sportbooks.
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#75
Effective tomorrow, I will use only 5Dimes for all lines, since both US and International betters can use it.
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#76
Actually, I think Americans can't use 5Dimes... Can a Yank tell me what the best book for Americans is?
Originally posted by Flea Hotel
Effective tomorrow, I will use only 5Dimes for all lines, since both US and International betters can use it.
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#77
FFS, Americans can use 5Dimes but people from the UK can't. Is there a book that everyone can use. Sheesh.
Originally posted by Flea Hotel
Actually, I think Americans can't use 5Dimes... Can a Yank tell me what the best book for Americans is?
Comment
fataliz
SBR Sharp
01-04-10
334
#78
5 dimes has it at 2.5 too. i can't find the 3 even with alternate lines expanded. Pinnacle also has it at 2.5 only.
Comment
franknikki1
SBR Hustler
12-17-16
91
#79
I couldn't tell you either Flea Hotel. The book I use is called Bettiger.net. I'll try and do some research. Either way we're still on your picks, just a lower level lol.
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#80
I'll do some more research too, I need to find a universal book that everyone can use for prices and tracking purposes, or just use the 2.5's from 5Dimes and/or Pinnacle. Maybe I'll just use the SBR Sportsbook lines, which I'm pretty sure are 5Dimes.
Originally posted by franknikki1
I couldn't tell you either Flea Hotel. The book I use is called Bettiger.net. I'll try and do some research. Either way we're still on your picks, just a lower level lol.
Comment
knicksrulez
SBR Sharp
10-26-16
391
#81
Flea, pass on NBA tonight?
Comment
knicksrulez
SBR Sharp
10-26-16
391
#82
BTW, what I'm doing about the totals is, wait till 10 minutes before game starts, on BET 365 I put 1/4 of my bet on exactly 3 and 3/4 of it on O3.5, usually the odds for exactly 3 is +300 (thus a push). The odds for the O3 is the calculated as 3/4 of the odds for the O3.5... It's a pain in the ass doing the math but it works...
Most annoying is have to wait till the game is close to bet on it
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#83
Yeah Pass on NBA due to being busy. Don't want to throw up a pick I haven't mathed out.
Interesting nick nackery abut the Bet365. I too take advantage of their live betting but never in hockey, Thanks for the heads up.
Originally posted by knicksrulez
BTW, what I'm doing about the totals is, wait till 10 minutes before game starts, on BET 365 I put 1/4 of my bet on exactly 3 and 3/4 of it on O3.5, usually the odds for exactly 3 is +300 (thus a push). The odds for the O3 is the calculated as 3/4 of the odds for the O3.5... It's a pain in the ass doing the math but it works...
Most annoying is have to wait till the game is close to bet on it
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#84
Well, if you paid the juice you're happy, if you have 888 or another book that let you play the 3, you're indifferent with a touch of happy blah since you still got credited with a bet.
Originally posted by Flea Hotel
Today's play
Chicago OVER 3 (+110) 3 is a push. Bet 1 unit to win 1.1 units
YTD (8-1, 9.28u)
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#85
YTD (8-1-1, 9.28u)
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#86
I managed to get one TT formulated while my girlfriend was at the gym. This is probably it for a bit. YTD (8-1-1, 9.28u)
Washington OVER 2.5 (-125) 1.25u to win 1u
Comment
franknikki1
SBR Hustler
12-17-16
91
#87
Thank you bro, have a great trip with your girlfriend.
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#88
Thanks, I hate Toronto but you gotta do what you gotta do...
Originally posted by franknikki1
Thank you bro, have a great trip with your girlfriend.
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#89
Lost last night in a silly SO. I'm coming back strong tonight with two winners. Just waiting for 5Dimes to release the TT lines for my two picks.
YTD (8-2-1, 8.03u)
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#90
Almost had a second play but the numbers came up just a tad short.
Minnesota Wild OVER 2.5 (+110) 1unit to win 1.1units
BOL
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#91
WINNER (YTD 9-2-1, 9.13u)
Originally posted by Flea Hotel
Almost had a second play but the numbers came up just a tad short.
Minnesota Wild OVER 2.5 (+110) 1unit to win 1.1units
BOL
Comment
chabooky386
SBR MVP
05-22-12
1873
#92
Great stuff in both threads buddy!
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#93
Thanks chabooky, let's keep it rolling.
Originally posted by chabooky386
Great stuff in both threads buddy!
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#94
This one shall hit. (YTD 9-2-1, 9.13u)
Minnesota Wild OVER 2.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#95
WINNER (YTD 10-2-1, 10.13u)
Originally posted by Flea Hotel
This one shall hit. (YTD 9-2-1, 9.13u)
Minnesota Wild OVER 2.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#96
2-1 on the night, 1 unit. Goodnight, enjoy the cash! Follow my other threads. Only ONE losing night in... history.
tyvm, doing well with the totals all of a sudden. i'm hitting a lot, just posting one. may increase to two...
Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
Great job
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#99
missed this post. i'm always tinkering with the live betting on Bet365. There is a value to be found, especially live betting the NBA. If the better team is down by say 8 going into the 4th, sometimes they'll pay +500 or more. I couldn't count how many times I got in at +500 and 10 mins later the other team was +500. It's fun, because you know some dolt is over there making those lines. Cleveland on Xmas day is a good example. They were down a dozen but were playing well and were +1100 with 8 mins to go or something. You gotta make sure you're watching the game and have a feel for the tempo and momentum.
Originally posted by knicksrulez
BTW, what I'm doing about the totals is, wait till 10 minutes before game starts, on BET 365 I put 1/4 of my bet on exactly 3 and 3/4 of it on O3.5, usually the odds for exactly 3 is +300 (thus a push). The odds for the O3 is the calculated as 3/4 of the odds for the O3.5... It's a pain in the ass doing the math but it works...
Most annoying is have to wait till the game is close to bet on it
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#100
888 and I think Bookmaker are the only two books that let you bet alternate team totals pre-game, I think. 888Sport is actually at times quite cheap and usually have interesting player props that have windowed for me a lot. They also have some of the worst poker players in online poker if poker is your thing.
Originally posted by Flea Hotel
missed this post. i'm always tinkering with the live betting on Bet365. There is a value to be found, especially live betting the NBA. If the better team is down by say 8 going into the 4th, sometimes they'll pay +500 or more. I couldn't count how many times I got in at +500 and 10 mins later the other team was +500. It's fun, because you know some dolt is over there making those lines. Cleveland on Xmas day is a good example. They were down a dozen but were playing well and were +1100 with 8 mins to go or something. You gotta make sure you're watching the game and have a feel for the tempo and momentum.
Comment
franknikki1
SBR Hustler
12-17-16
91
#101
Great job on this team total bro.
Kicking some ass!!!
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#102
I'm finding it way easier to zone in on these team totals. If my PL and in reg plays start shitting the bed I might focus most of my time here..
Originally posted by franknikki1
Great job on this team total bro.
Kicking some ass!!!
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#103
Tonight's action (YTD 10-2-1, 10.13u)
LA KINGS OVER 2.5 (-135) 1.35u to win 1u
TORONTO OVER 2.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
I got Toronto scoring 3.91 and LA scoring 5.09. I hate that most books don't offer alternate team totals. I'm up so much on 888Sport betting over 3.5's at major plus money. As knicksrulez said, you can live bet the over 3.5 10 mins or so into the game but most books won't even let you do that. If you can, take the o3.5 on the Kings. 888 has it at +215. Grrr.
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#104
(11-3-1, 9.78)
Comment
Flea Hotel
Restricted User
08-31-16
1732
#105
Lots of TT action today. I anticipate a lot of overs. (11-3-1, 9.78)
Boston Bruins Ov 2.5 -125 1.25u to win 1u
Ottawa Senators Ov 2.5 -140 1.4u to win 1u
New York Rangers Ov 2.5 -150 1.5u to win 1u
Toronto Ov 2.5 -125 1.25u to win 1u
Last edited by Flea Hotel; 12-29-16, 01:56 PM.
Reason: finally got Toronto line....