Flea Hotel's Iconic Team Totals Thread

[Flea Hotel]

I've been hot since the first month of the NHL season which was utter nonsense. I found I was getting the team totals down in that crazy first month at about 51% but the regular totals were more like 40%. Everyone got killed the first month of this season but I think I've got it tamed down now and yeah, certainly running hot too. Still a lot of weirdness in the NHL. CBJ are insane but I still really haven't figured out why and how they'll do the rest of the year because they are a major outlier in my methodology. Whatever, my picks and DoubleDime's NCAAB picks have made anyone who's been tailing a lot of cash money.

17-5 is outstanding don't no what your model is but dam you seem to keep hitting game after game

[Flea Hotel]

ty JayRow, I know I'm running hot and you'll heat up again soon.

Congrats on some serious early success!!

[Flea Hotel]

Potentially unpopular pick in my other thread coming soon..

[dblock05]

I've started failing and I very much appreciate it man. I just wanted to say thank you for posting your picks.

[Flea Hotel]

No worries. I think if you stick to DD's NCAAB totals and my NHL team totals you will end up with some cash money. My other thread is riskier and certainly more prone to variance, on both sides.

I've started failing and I very much appreciate it man. I just wanted to say thank you for posting your picks.

[Flea Hotel]

Should have at least one, maybe two or even three Team Totals tomorrow. Already have the picks, just gotta wait for lines. Gonna be lots of TT overs tomorrow.

[Flea Hotel]

Come on magic coin, keep defying the laws of probability!
(YTD 17-5-1, 13.18)

Edmonton Oilers OVER 2.5 (+100) 1u to win 1u
Nashville Predators OVER 2.5 (-130) 1.3u to win 1u

[doubledime]

Come on magic coin, keep defying the laws of probability!
(YTD 17-5-1, 13.18)

Edmonton Oilers OVER 2.5 (+100) 1u to win 1u
Nashville Predators OVER 2.5 (-130) 1.3u to win 1u

Good luck Flea and thanks for the good words

[Flea Hotel]

Good luck Flea and thanks for the good words

[Flea Hotel]

Sorry, lent my magic coin to my girlfriend so she could decide what she wanted to do with her life after she graduates university. Had to use a regular, old, 1976 Canadian quarter.

(YTD 17-7-1, 10.88)

[Flea Hotel]

Thanks DD, your good night helped offset my first 0-3 night in my history here. I got greedy and bet the 1H and the full games on your CBB totals and woke up with a lot more than I thought. Hard to watch some of those games though. I mean, really, really hard.

Good luck Flea and thanks for the good words

[Flea Hotel]

I don't like losing so I'm adding a fourth set of metrics to my system. This means plays that would have been posted before will be scrutinized a final time before they are posted here. I will possibly post my "near-misses", like doubledime does, but my official picks are only going to be ones that I have extreme confidence in. I'm only 71% right now and that's just unacceptable. Check every day by 1PM EST, that will be my cutoff time. Looking at the schedule today and my first (of four) sets of data crunching, I will probably have one play later, depending on how juiced it is.

Век живи́

[Flea Hotel]

Damn, I really was hoping 5Dimes would have a juiced OVER 2.5 in the Calgary game but they just have OVER 3.5 at +140. I might take it personally but I certainly can't endorse it to my legions of fans and haters. Luckily, I have something that should hit. I also like the total in this game to go over. (The Rangers have scored 3 or more goals in EVERY game I've picked them to thus far this season.)
(YTD 17-7, 71%, +10.88)

New York Rangers OVER 2.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u

[JayRow]

I'm going to be placing a wager on the Flyers... so a nice hedged situation I suppose.

[Flea Hotel]

4-3 Flyers works.

I'm going to be placing a wager on the Flyers... so a nice hedged situation I suppose.

[Joe'Dad]

Your doing a great job Flea. Your picks are very solid. You put Gambling God to shame.
For tonite; I think your Calgary TT over 2.5 should it. Picard has allowed 3 or more goals in the last 4 games

[Flea Hotel]

Thanks JD. 5Dimes is only offering the TT o3.5 at +140. I'll pass. I'd have paid a juiced up o2.5 tho... i haven;t checked out gambling god in weeks, i just used to love his graphics, i never tailed.

Your doing a great job Flea. Your picks are very solid. You put Gambling God to shame.
For tonite; I think your Calgary TT over 2.5 should it. Picard has allowed 3 or more goals in the last 4 games

[sedwards86]

It's just that same damn song about dancing

[Bombers78]

Just the Rangers over 2.5 then today Flea?

[Flea Hotel]

Yeah, for some reason I was loving it. Especially when he'd be in the negative and then win a game to go to 51% and then say "unless you've been living under a rock, you must know i'm a gambling god" or whatever. Pretty funny. Too bad his numbers don't match his confidence. As I've said, I would pay 2 bitcoin to meet everyone on this forum in person.

It's just that same damn song about dancing

[cooperman]

GG has a good schtick. I laugh when trolls come in calling him a clown when he does his thing. Like the trolls are saving the forum members for falling for his spell...lol... 99% of people lose at gambling. get over it and have some fun... Of course I like the making benjamins schtick better. Rangers light the lamp GL

[doubledime]

BOL tonight Flea

[Flea Hotel]

You too (and us, I've been tailing all season)

BOL tonight Flea

[Flea Hotel]

Yup. Calgary is +120 at over 3.5. No thanks. I've got a massive straight bet with someone on the Canada vs Sweden game so I didn't really have as much time as usual. Hopefully 1 or 2 more tomorrow.

Just the Rangers over 2.5 then today Flea?

[Flea Hotel]

EXACTLY! The idea of trolls trolling people giving free picks in a hilarious way makes it even funner. Alimony/child support/alcoholism/tax and gambling debt, etc is the root of most troll's hate. I know for a fact that most "pro" gamblers are in serious debt and you shouldn't get in debt with Russians. I digress. GG is the man, I don't care if he can cap for shit.

GG has a good schtick. I laugh when trolls come in calling him a clown when he does his thing. Like the trolls are saving the forum members for falling for his spell...lol... 99% of people lose at gambling. get over it and have some fun... Of course I like the making benjamins schtick better. Rangers light the lamp GL

[Flea Hotel]

Winner. Yawn. You're welcome.
(YTD 18-7, 72%, +11.88)

Damn, I really was hoping 5Dimes would have a juiced OVER 2.5 in the Calgary game but they just have OVER 3.5 at +140. I might take it personally but I certainly can't endorse it to my legions of fans and haters. Luckily, I have something that should hit. I also like the total in this game to go over. (The Rangers have scored 3 or more goals in EVERY game I've picked them to thus far this season.)
(YTD 17-7, 71%, +10.88)

New York Rangers OVER 2.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u

[Bombers78]

nice!

[Flea Hotel]

LOL. Still not even a month capping hockey here and I'm up almost 22 units on 1 unit plays. And the the Häxa from Hägersten's crappy junior team got spanked by my Canadians, making me a whole lot of kronas. Flip that coin fitta.

[ATOMICPUNK]

Good job

[Flea Hotel]

TY. Let's get more.

Good job

[Flea Hotel]

Should have a TT on the CBJ/Was game, depending on the prices. Same with the STL game. Picks will be up by 1PM EST.

[knicksrulez]

Hey Flea, what does your model, your coin, and yourself think about the RPL in the BJ's game tonight?

[Flea Hotel]

I gave my coin to some poor, alcoholic gambler who owes pretty much every dime bettor money. Luckily, the booze and "painkillers" helps him forget about the bookies, back taxes, alimony and child support. I'll use skill, talent, discipline and common sense to win and let them use the magic coin.

One thing we should all know by now: fading CBJ without real data and just on a gut feeling or my favourite, "they're due for a loss" is fukt. I do like this game for a team total though, still number crunching..

Washington has a real chance because they're, get ready pros, a good team, but I'd take the ML if I were to take a side, which I'm not. I'll just nail a team total instead and keep stacking bitcoins. I'm either tailing or passing on CBJ until they lose two in a row, if they lose two in a row.

BTW, has a single one of the cappers on this site checked to see who the refs are for tonight's game? Don't you think that would be pertinent information given the CBJ power play?

Hey Flea, what does your model, your coin, and yourself think about the RPL in the BJ's game tonight?

[Flea Hotel]

My picks will come later than usual today. I'm swamped with school work and I need more information about the refs and a few other variables before I can post anything. As I said, I'm being even more selective with the plays I post here. If I have nothing by 2PM EST than I'll be passing. I should have more time tomorrow and on the weekend.

I will try to get something, check back at 2PM EST.

[knicksrulez]

Will sure do, chief!