NHL - Monday, 2/15/16

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    NHL - Monday, 2/15/16
    2 NHL Plays Monday

    Maple Leafs +230 (5 Dimes)
    Wild / Canucks OVER 5 +105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 135-144-13, +8.16
  • Rorster
    SBR Hustler
    • 11-10-15
    • 80

    #2
    Leafs really? but they're so bad

    is this a value play or does your model have them winning?
    Comment
    • newbie64
      SBR Sharp
      • 06-08-14
      • 339

      #3
      Holy cow the Leafs to beat the Hawks on the road GOOD LUCK WITH THAT
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Model has Chicago at 65%, so I expect to lose Leafs play 65% of the time. But +230 makes 35% +EV.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          I would not categorize a 20-25-9 record as "so bad".
          Comment
          • Mike Huntertz
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-19-09
            • 11244

            #6
            Originally posted by LT Profits
            I would not categorize a 20-25-9 record as "so bad".
            Nor this record...
            YTD: 135-144-13, +8.16
            Comment
            • smitch124
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-19-08
              • 12566

              #7
              Hossa out and Hawks have been playing like caca since the break.
              Comment
              • mikefan1034
                SBR MVP
                • 08-29-12
                • 2448

                #8
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                I would not categorize a 20-25-9 record as "so bad".
                No lupal van ryemsdyk phunieff just got traded. No kadri and and bozak for Toronto. Just enough LT just stop ur bs ur absolutely horrible. I knew before coming into this forum u would be on Toronto. There is no system u follow because any good system wouldn't even have this play rated to play. U just throw darts and hope one sticks.
                Comment
                • leafs_ducks
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-22-09
                  • 3147

                  #9
                  lol
                  Comment
                  • newbie64
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 06-08-14
                    • 339

                    #10
                    4-1 hawks
                    Comment
                    • turtlejc
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-18-11
                      • 3958

                      #11
                      Originally posted by smitch124
                      Hossa out and Hawks have been playing like caca since the break.
                      hossa hasnt done a damn thing for the hawks in months

                      panarin is back, the russian kid...he came back last game but was still a bit under the weather

                      kane and anisimov looked lost without him...tonight this line will have 3 points each
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Originally posted by mikefan1034
                        No lupal van ryemsdyk phunieff just got traded. No kadri and and bozak for Toronto. Just enough LT just stop ur bs ur absolutely horrible. I knew before coming into this forum u would be on Toronto. There is no system u follow because any good system wouldn't even have this play rated to play. U just throw darts and hope one sticks.
                        +8.16 would seem to contradict that.
                        Comment
                        • funnyb25
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 07-09-09
                          • 39663

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          +8.16 would seem to contradict that.
                          LT, ive noticed when you try to prove yourself by posting these, shit hits the fan for a little...why even give this clown the time of day?
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            2 NHL Additions

                            4 NHL Plays Monday

                            Stars +103 (Heritage)
                            Stars / Predators OVER 5.5 -105 (Heritage)

                            Maple Leafs +230 (5 Dimes)
                            Wild / Canucks OVER 5 +105 (Heritage)
                            Comment
                            • POOLSIDE
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-06-14
                              • 2839

                              #15
                              Originally posted by mikefan1034
                              No lupal van ryemsdyk phunieff just got traded. No kadri and and bozak for Toronto. Just enough LT just stop ur bs ur absolutely horrible. I knew before coming into this forum u would be on Toronto. There is no system u follow because any good system wouldn't even have this play rated to play. U just throw darts and hope one sticks.
                              You're totally useless
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                And now my Leafs +230 is scalpable with Blackhawks -225 at Pinnacle.
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388208

                                  #17
                                  Good number on leafs

                                  long term not taking scalp is a huge winner on those positions
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                    Good number on leafs

                                    long term not taking scalp is a huge winner on those positions
                                    You'd think you of all people would've been around long enough to know better, but I guess not.

                                    Beating a closing number by this much is the kiss of death.
                                    Comment
                                    • mikefan1034
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-29-12
                                      • 2448

                                      #19
                                      Lmao great number 6-0 Blackhawks like I said what is the point taking the leads when they had no shot at all. U weren't on the right side. Amazing how people have no clue
                                      Comment
                                      • Rich Boy
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-01-09
                                        • 9714

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by mikefan1034
                                        Lmao great number 6-0 Blackhawks like I said what is the point taking the leads when they had no shot at all. U weren't on the right side. Amazing how people have no clue
                                        No such thing as ride sides guey, only right prices.
                                        You cant look at a wager when the games over and say it was a good bet or not, what a rookie this giey.
                                        Comment
                                        • funnyb25
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 07-09-09
                                          • 39663

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Rich Boy
                                          No such thing as ride sides guey, only right prices.
                                          You cant look at a wager when the games over and say it was a good bet or not, what a rookie this giey.
                                          guy is by far the worst thing on this forum
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Rich Boy
                                            No such thing as ride sides guey, only right prices.
                                            You cant look at a wager when the games over and say it was a good bet or not, what a rookie this giey.
                                            Exactly! It doesn't matter that I lost this one game because I said myself I expected to lose it 65% of the time. All that matters is hitting 35% of them at +230, but people can't seem to grasp that simple concept. There is a reason I entered the day +8.16 at nine games UNDER .500.
                                            Comment
                                            • lakerboy
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 94474

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                                              Exactly! It doesn't matter that I lost this one game because I said myself I expected to lose it 65% of the time. All that matters is hitting 35% of them at +230, but people can't seem to grasp that simple concept. There is a reason I entered the day +8.16 at nine games UNDER .500.

                                              I'm the same and +23 units. We are dog monsters.
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388208

                                                #24
                                                In long run you will crush books betting a line that is -230 and your on the dog +240 and eventually get chucked for most books even if bets lose ..why? They know your dangerous and your taking good numbers.

                                                Math 101
                                                Comment
                                                • cankid
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-22-08
                                                  • 7287

                                                  #25
                                                  Gl on the late Over play
                                                  Comment
                                                  • funnyb25
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 07-09-09
                                                    • 39663

                                                    #26
                                                    Late over play hit halfway through the 2nd period
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388208

                                                      #27
                                                      good call minny over
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                        Exactly! It doesn't matter that I lost this one game because I said myself I expected to lose it 65% of the time. All that matters is hitting 35% of them at +230, but people can't seem to grasp that simple concept. There is a reason I entered the day +8.16 at nine games UNDER .500.
                                                        Getting it at +230 wasn't the bad play.

                                                        Having it close at +205 was.

                                                        Too much line movement. Just like the Kansas/Oklahoma State total tonight.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                                          In long run you will crush books betting a line that is -230 and your on the dog +240 and eventually get chucked for most books even if bets lose ..why? They know your dangerous and your taking good numbers.

                                                          Math 101
                                                          Sincerely,
                                                          2007
                                                          Comment
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