Originally Posted by
Pricetopher
I began keeping records of it a few seasons back simply on an Excel spreadsheet, knowing people are more visual in learning - also the reason I put together a full presentation a few seasons ago, even if it was going to only be for my closest friends who also sports bet.
As far as the lines go, it is based off of the opening line ONLY and regardless of deviation due to public movement, it doesn't change your play. That said, I always try to get the opening line simply due to the fact that its the truest line.
You set the limits you want and feel comfortable with for each game, it's all relative - but do not change them once the season begins. Like I said, it's strictly math and in order to capitalize, every play needs to be for the same risked amount for the entirety of the season, there is no weight on given plays, all are equal.
For the past few seasons the ROI has steadied just under 164% with last season being one of the 'worst' (I use that term loosely) finishing at 146% ROI. As far as records go, I had only kept them for myself loosely but wouldn't be opposed to starting something public for everyone to access and use until the results from the past 8-10 years start to rear their head, which I have no doubt they will. I would be more than happy and willing to show proven results before anything else.