Dbldown's final 6 plays for Saturday with write ups

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  • Dbldown11
    SBR MVP
    • 08-17-06
    • 3605

    #1
    Dbldown's final 6 plays for Saturday with write ups
    Hawaii -7 @ Utah St.:

    Hawaii has a record of 4-4 this year. Their losses have come to Florida, Oregon St. Boise St. and San Jose St. All very respectable teams. They have beaten Nevada and Fresno St. this year. Utah St. is not a respectable team. They are 1-7 with their one win coming against Idaho (A team that many Div. II schools would beat). Of their 7 losses only one has come by less than 7 points and that was a 2 point loss to Fresno St. last weekend. Fresno St. is a team that enjoys playing really tight games this year so that's not surprising.

    Notre Dame -4.5 @ Pittsburgh:

    For starters Notre Dame is 4-0 at home this year with their smallest margin of victory being 7 points (against a good stanford team and they were up much more until late in the fourth). This is a good team they people are still uncertain of because of last year. Their defense is solid, and their offense is improving week in and week out. Pittsburghs defense has struggled lately, and they gave up 54 points at home to a rough Rutgers team last week. This Notre Dame team is probably the toughest team theyve played all year (including an overrated South Florida team), and their starting quarterback is questionable with a concussion. get on this line now as it is the play even if their starting QB plays, and if it is announced that he is out the line is gonna jump.

    Air Force -8.5 @ Army:

    Army has put together a few wins lately, but dont let that fool you, it has been against Eastern Mich, Tulane, and Louisiana Tech all very bad football teams. They are still a bad team (they lost to new hampshire at home this year by 18 and Akron by 19). Air Force is the best team they have faced up to this point. Air Force has 2 losses this year. A hard back and forth battle with Navy, and a 7 point loss to Utah. Expect this one to get ugly quickly.

    Kentucky +3 @ Mississippi St.:

    Kentucky is a solid team that people are starting to write off becaus of recent struggles. They were embarrassed last week granted, but their recent struggles have come against Alabama, South Carolina, and Florida...three very tough teams. They will right this ship this week and get back on the winning track. I love when a team I'm almost sure will win is getting points. Mississippi St. is a bad football team. They beat an overrated vanderbilt team and thats about it. Mississippi St. got blown out by Tennessee 34-3...anyone that knows CFB this year knows that tennessee cannot score so when they put up 34 you know the team is bad, Tennessee only scored 13 at home against Northern Illinois for god sakes and NIU put up at least 9 points with their 3rd string QB. What's all that mean? There is a chance this could be ugly for both teams. However Mississippi is gonna have a hard time scoring and they are gonna give up some points, so Kentucky getting points is the easy pick here.

    San Jose St. -16.5 @ Idaho:

    This line is puzzling to me. San Jose St. has proven to be a decent team this year. And when you put a decent team against Idaho that team should be at least a 3 touchdown favorite....Idaho has two wins this year against Idaho St, and New Mexico St...Two piss poor teams. Their 7 losses come at an average of 32.28 points per. Only one loss was by less that 17 and that was a 13 point loss to that same Fresno St team mentioned above that likes playing close games to bad teams. This team lost to Utah st by 25 and San Diego St. by 28 and both of those teams are just horrible. San Jose St. is the easy play here.

    and last but not least....

    TCU -14 @ UNLV:

    TCU is for real. They have one of the best defenses in the nation and an offense that has found it's groove. They have a scoring margin of +25.3 and thats including their 25 point loss to Oklahoma. If you take that game out they have won all their games by an average of 31.6 games. They have only played one game where they won by less than 14 and that was a 6 point victory at CSU in which they only allowed 7 points and for whatever reason only scored 13. UNLV does not have the offense or the defense to cover this spread.
  • CaptainFurFace
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-06-08
    • 163

    #2
    Good luck DD11. I am on ND with you....
    Comment
    • pags11
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-18-05
      • 12264

      #3
      GL dbldown...
      Comment
      • Dbldown11
        SBR MVP
        • 08-17-06
        • 3605

        #4
        Thanks Captainfurface and pags.....

        I deffinately think that ND is one of the stronger plays on my board....Although I am really confident with all 6
        Comment
        • Franchise2
          SBR Hustler
          • 10-31-08
          • 91

          #5
          Im made a play ND, Hawaii and TCU. Thanks for the info
          Comment
          • Dbldown11
            SBR MVP
            • 08-17-06
            • 3605

            #6
            no problem franchise.....Lets cash those games!
            Comment
            • laxdjock
              SBR MVP
              • 09-15-07
              • 4074

              #7
              I'm with you on TCU -14, though I'm not sure about your AF bet....because it is an academy game. When any two academies come together, it is a No Play for me.
              Comment
              • WannabeWilly
                SBR Rookie
                • 10-27-08
                • 36

                #8
                FYI on the Ky-Miss St game: UK switched QB's this week & will start a true freshman. Cobb got some snaps early but has been hurt. He's also Ky's best receiver (since their top 2 were injured 2 weeks ago)...so the passing game will be extra0weak. Add to that UK's best tailback, linebacker & DT are still out.

                I suggest you re-think this one. Good luck to all.
                Comment
                • Dbldown11
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-17-06
                  • 3605

                  #9
                  thanks for the input wannabewilly.....I will look into it, however I think Miss. St. is really really bad, but I'll deffinately take a look at it. Thanks again
                  Comment
                  • Dbldown11
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-17-06
                    • 3605

                    #10
                    After looking at the game a little more, I still see Kentucky as the play even with their injuries. Mississippi St. lost to Louisiana Tech to start the year, and you can't say it was a look ahead game cause it was the first game of the year, and teams just dont look past the first game of the year regardless of who it is. On top of that Mississippi St. has a horrible offense and their defense is much worse than last years strong D. I still believe Kentucky is the play here getting points.
                    Comment
                    • WannabeWilly
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 10-27-08
                      • 36

                      #11
                      I'm not totally disagreeing. I'm a Kentucky fan & will bet on the Blue myself. I just wanted you to have the facts.

                      Kentucky's offense has been horrid lately. Only Arkansas's stupidity kept the season alive. UK needs one more W to be Bowl eligible...and in their mind tomorrow is it. That's why they pulled the plug on Hartline & switched to Cobb. Coach Brooks pretty much admitted it's an act of desperation.

                      About 1/3 of the Playbook is out the window w/ the Freshman at QB. And Ky has no recievers...literally. The ONLY reason I give UK a shot is Miss St's offense sucks too.

                      Hope we both have a fun day tomorrow!!
                      Comment
                      • Rixsaw
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-23-08
                        • 4532

                        #12
                        I'll be on all those picks except AF and Kentucky. I don't know enough about Kentucky to make the call of whether then can win on the road against Miss State. As for AF, my calculation magic number is 7 pts. Good luck.
                        Comment
                        • SoonerGreg
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-16-08
                          • 825

                          #13
                          With you on ND, San Jose St., and TCU. No plays on the others for me.
                          Comment
                          • Dbldown11
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-17-06
                            • 3605

                            #14
                            well air force was closer than I thought....but a win is a win. Notre Dame is dominating like I suspected. Kentucky is moving the ball when but their offense keeps stalling, hopefully they'll finish drives in the second half, and Hawaii I think will start domintating from here out
                            Comment
                            • Dbldown11
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-17-06
                              • 3605

                              #15
                              there's a finished drive for Kentucky!
                              Comment
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