Auburn @ West Virginia -3.5
ATS record
Both teams have been terrible with Auburn going 1-6 and West Virginia going 1-4.
Offense
Neither team has been good with Auburn averaging 19.1 ppg and West Virginia averaging 22.2 ppg (average skewed by the 48 points they put on Villanova on their first game).
Deffense
Both defenses look good with Auburn ranked 9th. allowing 13.1 ppg and West Virginia ranked 15th. allowing 14.7 ppg.
Conference
Here is where the edge starts to go Auburn's way.
Auburn plays in the SEC, a conference that averages 25 ppg and allows 18 ppg.
West Virginia plays in the Big East, a conference that averages 25 ppg and allows 21 ppg.
The SEC has 4 teams in the to 25, Big East has 1.
The last team in the SEC (West) is Mississippi St. they are 2-5, average 14.4 ppg. and allow 22.1 ppg.
The last team in the Big East is Syracuse. They are 1-6, average 17.7 ppg. and allow 34.8 ppg.
The SEC is a much better conference than the Big East. The SEC has teams with a really powerful offense and some great deffense. West Virginia has not seen a defense like Auburn and tonight they will struggle.
Trends
Auburn is 6-1 ATS as road dogs under Tommy Tuberville.
Auburn has not lost 3 in a row since 2001.
Motivation
Auburn had extra time to prepare, a win here will give them a much needed boost and since letting go of their offensive coordinator they have a "fresh start" sort of feeling on offense. I am not saying they will go crazy tonight and put 27 on West Virginia, but the chance to start fresh on what's been their achilles' heel will have them pumped tonight.
They are coming back from back-to-back losses at Vanderbilt and home to Arkansas, so they will be fired up for this game.
I believe Auburn wins this one outright thanks to their defense in a field position game, but since points will probably come at a premium, this game will probably be decided by 3 points. In case West Virginia actually wins it, then the 3.5 will come in handy.
Auburn +3.5 for 10 units
A note on the units:
1 is my minimum play and 10 the max.
A note on the total:
Some people have asked how come the under is not a solid play tonight since Auburn's D is so good and their offense so bad. With the total around 38, I believe the under is a risky bet because of the posibility of a turnover or even a punt or kickoff return for a TD. An unexpected TD in this game is almost 20% of the total and the under is a little risky, if you want to play the total play the over.
Check out my latest threads.
Good luck.
YTD
NFL
15-4-1 67.95
CFB
14-14 4.75
ATS record
Both teams have been terrible with Auburn going 1-6 and West Virginia going 1-4.
Offense
Neither team has been good with Auburn averaging 19.1 ppg and West Virginia averaging 22.2 ppg (average skewed by the 48 points they put on Villanova on their first game).
Deffense
Both defenses look good with Auburn ranked 9th. allowing 13.1 ppg and West Virginia ranked 15th. allowing 14.7 ppg.
Conference
Here is where the edge starts to go Auburn's way.
Auburn plays in the SEC, a conference that averages 25 ppg and allows 18 ppg.
West Virginia plays in the Big East, a conference that averages 25 ppg and allows 21 ppg.
The SEC has 4 teams in the to 25, Big East has 1.
The last team in the SEC (West) is Mississippi St. they are 2-5, average 14.4 ppg. and allow 22.1 ppg.
The last team in the Big East is Syracuse. They are 1-6, average 17.7 ppg. and allow 34.8 ppg.
The SEC is a much better conference than the Big East. The SEC has teams with a really powerful offense and some great deffense. West Virginia has not seen a defense like Auburn and tonight they will struggle.
Trends
Auburn is 6-1 ATS as road dogs under Tommy Tuberville.
Auburn has not lost 3 in a row since 2001.
Motivation
Auburn had extra time to prepare, a win here will give them a much needed boost and since letting go of their offensive coordinator they have a "fresh start" sort of feeling on offense. I am not saying they will go crazy tonight and put 27 on West Virginia, but the chance to start fresh on what's been their achilles' heel will have them pumped tonight.
They are coming back from back-to-back losses at Vanderbilt and home to Arkansas, so they will be fired up for this game.
I believe Auburn wins this one outright thanks to their defense in a field position game, but since points will probably come at a premium, this game will probably be decided by 3 points. In case West Virginia actually wins it, then the 3.5 will come in handy.
Auburn +3.5 for 10 units
A note on the units:
1 is my minimum play and 10 the max.
A note on the total:
Some people have asked how come the under is not a solid play tonight since Auburn's D is so good and their offense so bad. With the total around 38, I believe the under is a risky bet because of the posibility of a turnover or even a punt or kickoff return for a TD. An unexpected TD in this game is almost 20% of the total and the under is a little risky, if you want to play the total play the over.
Check out my latest threads.
Good luck.
YTD
NFL
15-4-1 67.95
CFB
14-14 4.75
) this loss is all on their pathetic offense. You can't do that to your defense, I don't care how good they are if the offense goes in and does nothing time and time again the defense just collapses. The first half was the chance Auburn had to put the game away thanks to turnovers, good returns, and even an onside kick that gave them great field position but even with all that they couldn't put them away. Absolutely pathetic.