Sweetpete's Picks/writeups 10/11

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  • sweetpete57@
    SBR MVP
    • 11-09-06
    • 1116

    #1
    Sweetpete's Picks/writeups 10/11
    Last Week 3-2-1 TD 19-16-2

    First off, congrats need to go out to some impressive cappers last week. Amazing stuff. I don't need to mention names, you know who you are. Well done.

    I won't go into any personal anecdotes this time before I make my selections, but instead I will give you some interesting ATS records of certain teams so far. Not sure how this will influence your betting:

    THE GOOD:
    Texas 5-0
    Ball St. 5-0
    Ga. Tech 4-0
    Oklahoma 4-0
    Oklahoma St. 4-0
    Tulsa 4-0
    Vandy 5-0

    THE BAD:
    Arkansas 0-4
    Idaho 0-5
    Indiana 0-4
    Washington St. 0-5
    Wyoming 0-5

    THE IRONIC:
    N. Illinos 4-0, but 2-3 SU
    Ohio St. 1-4, but 5-1 SU
    Auburn 1-5, but 4-2 SU
    Temple 4-1-1, but 2-4 SU
    Clemson 0-3, but 3-2 SU
    S. Florida 1-4, but 5-1 SU

    And now the picks (all spreads legendz.com or betonline.com)

    MISSOURI -14 vs Okla. St. BEST BET
    Nobody has been able to stop Mizzou's offense yet, so why should Okla St. be the first? OSU allowed 37 pts to Houston, 24 to Troy and 28 to Tx A&M. They won't stop Mizzou. Plain and simple. And as far the Tigers' defense--shaky at times, yes, but they did shut down a potent Nebraska offense in Lincoln. OSU will score, but not nearly enough. I just hope I don't jinx my beloved Tigers. MIZZOU 52-28

    KANSAS -14 vs Colorado
    A classic case of two teams headed in opposite directions. CU apparently peaked after the WV win, as they have tumbled mightily with two piss poor performances against Florida St. and Texas. KU, on the otherhand, finally woke up in the 2nd half of the Iowa St. game and showed their true potential. The Buff's D has zero confidence now and KU is hitting their stride and ready to explode at home. KANSAS 45-17

    TEXAS +7 vs. Oklahoma
    Let's keep it rolling in the Big 12. I'm well aware that Bob Stoops has owned this series, but these teams are fairly evenly matched this year and both teams have been equally as dominant. Colt McCoy is the #4 rated passer in the country and he will be the first true test for the impressive OU pass defense. Normally rivalry games like this are close, and even though OU has the upper hand in this series, it's been a crazy year so far and I see McCoy playing the game of his life and getting the job done. TEXAS 31-28

    BYU -23.5 vs. New Mexico
    In the last two games at home (UCLA and Wyoming), BYU has won by a combined 103-0. NM's one tough road game was @ Tulsa, and they lost 56-14. New Mexico does have a decent pass defense but they haven't seen anything like Max Hall. Let's not forget BYU's defense either. They went 11+ straight quarters without allowing a point! BYU 38-7

    LSU +6 @ Florida
    I have yet to receive an explanation on how the spread could possibly be this high. They may not look like national championship quality this year, but LSU is a darn good football team and is capable of beating anybody. Florida hasn't been that impressive L2W against inferior teams. They allowed 31 pts. to ole miss, and struggled with Arkansas' pitiful defense until the late 4th quarter. I think Tebow will turn it up a notch and get the win, but there's no way I'm laying 6 pts. against a solid, well-rounded team like LSU. Florida 28-27

    TULSA -25 @ SMU
    It may seem risky to bet on a 25pt Away Favorite in a Conference game, but, in reality, Tulsa could have this game covered in the first quarter. Tulsa has the #1 total offense in the country at 596 yds/gm. SMU is 116th of 119 teams in total defense. You don't need to use quantum physics to figure this one out. If they were to go full throttle for 60 minutes, Tulsa could score 100 pts. Tulsa wants to become a BCS buster and has no reason to let up on a dismal SMU team. TULSA 66-21

    UTEP -4 vs. Tulane
    Normally I'd stay away from a WAC game with two below average teams, but this game clearly looks like an easy cover for UTEP. After an dominant 1st half vs. SMU, Tulane has started a downward spiral the past 6 quarters. They almost blew that game, and then lost by 31 to a pitiful Army team as a 19pt. fav. UTEP on the other hand started horribly at 0-3, but rebounded with a 45 pt. win vs. UCF and a big away win @ S. Miss. If Tulane couldn't stop Army, UTEP should have a field day at home with a solid balanced offensive attack. UTEP 42-31

    Your thoughts/opinions are always welcome! GL Everyone!
    "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
  • sweetpete57@
    SBR MVP
    • 11-09-06
    • 1116

    #2
    Here's a strong opinion game (almost made the cut)--Mich St. -1.5 @ Northwestern
    Northwestern has won 5 straight, but hasn't looked impressive. Mich St.'s poor 2nd half vs. Iowa gives us line value. They are clearly the superior team.
    "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
    Comment
    • sweetpete57@
      SBR MVP
      • 11-09-06
      • 1116

      #3
      2-0 so far, y'all will regret overlooking my picks this week!
      "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
      Comment
      • hi-rez
        SBR MVP
        • 11-19-07
        • 1298

        #4
        Looking forward to the Mizzou game sweetpete. Go Big Mo!!!
        Comment
        • sweetpete57@
          SBR MVP
          • 11-09-06
          • 1116

          #5
          Right on Hi-Rez! If Mizzou dominates (like I think they will), next week's game @ Texas may be #1 vs. #2!
          "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
          Comment
          • Lout84
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-09-07
            • 580

            #6
            Yikes, started off 2-0 and ended up 2-5. I think we all had a tough time this week. We'll get em next week Pete.
            Comment
            • sweetpete57@
              SBR MVP
              • 11-09-06
              • 1116

              #7
              wow, what a disasterous night. oh well, life goes on
              "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
              Comment
              • casper
                SBR Hustler
                • 07-13-08
                • 87

                #8
                Must be getting to that time of the year where not many blowouts left....Perusing the scoreboard I saw a lot of close games, touchdown or less. (Okay, not counting what Florida and Penn State did.) But the previous weak sisters, Army, Temple, Nebraska, even Syracuse, coming around a bit. Okie State looked great--like they just wanted it more.
                Comment
                • sweetpete57@
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-09-06
                  • 1116

                  #9
                  I think I jinxed Mizzou by betting so much on them. I think Okla. St. could be the Mizzou of last year. Underrated at the beginning of the year, but LOADS of talent. They deserved to win. I think Mizzou beats Texas next week though. Looking forward to that spread. I'm up a decent amount of money (well I was) this year so I think I've been getting lazy with picks. It seemed like most cappers on here had a losing week. You're right, not so many blowouts. Tough week.
                  "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
                  Comment
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