I went 7-1 last week, and hope to have another great week. I will come back later and edit this to add write ups for each of these games...
Penn St -13 @ Purdue
Penn St.'s average margin of victory is 37 points. They have an outstanding offense and a defense that is solid as well. They did give up some points to Illinois but Illinois has a much better offense than Purdue, and Penn St. still won that game by 14 points. Not to mention that their slaughter of Oregon St. looks a tab more impressive now. Purdue on the other hand is a team that struggles at home against Western Michigan and got beat up at Notre Dame. Penn St. should win this game by at least 17, I'm a little nervous because this is their first real road test (not counting a horribly pathetic Syracuse team). But assuming they play four solid quarters of football Purdue just can't compete.
Western Michigan -5 Vs. Ohio
This team has an offense that can put up points. I'm not sure what happend to them last week against Temple only scoring 7, but it was just one of those grind em out games because they only gave up 3. Expect Western Michigan's offense to get back on track here facing a team that gave up 31 points to Virginia Military. Ohio is 0-4 against DI schools and I see them going on the road in this game and getting beat up badly.
Notre Dame -7.5 Vs. Stanford
Notre Dame has shown that they are a much improved team from last year, with their only setback coming at Michigan St. in a game they lost, Michigan St. did not win. Stanford is also improved, but not by too much. I believe Notre Dame is improving each and every week and at home they are a tough team both offensively and defensively. They are 3-0 at home winning by an average of 11 points. Stanford on the other hand has only played two real teams on the road (not counting Washington) and has lost by an average of 20.5 points Im going with my gut and with the math on this one. Notre Dame wins BIG
Illinois +2.5 @ Michigan
Illinois showed last week that they can compete on the road in hostile crowds. They played close last week in Beaver stadium against a team that would beat Michigan by at least 28 points. Illinois has an offense that will put up points, and while their defense isnt the greatest they are good enough here. Michigan is still a bad team this year regardless of what they did in the second half last week. They will not be able to put up the amount of points necessary to keep up with this Illinois team, expect Illinois to win this one straight up.
Kentucky +16.5 @ Alabama
For those of you that followed my thread last week I said all week that the play of the week was Alabama +7 and I even said that Bama would win the game straight up. For anyone that read that you may have also read that I said that would be the last favorable line we would see for Bama this year. As I predicted Alabama went from being undervalued to overvalued in one week jumping to number 2 in the polls, and having a line as ridiculous as this come out. Kentucky is a solid team and will be looking forward to playing this game against the #2 team in the country. Alabama players have been getting so much attention this week they will be riding high, this is a perfect letdown spot for them. I believe Bama wins this game (I think they will be in the National Championship) but they will not cover a spread of this size.
Homer Play Alert!!! Northern Illinois +16 @ Tennessee
Alright usually I dont bet on teams that I am a fan of but this one seems too good for me to pass. This NIU team is vastly improved from last year. They have an offense that will score points, and their defense is improving every week. They have given up a total of 3 points over the last 2 games (granted both teams were garbage but still impressive none the less. I see a tight game here as Tennessee is not going to be expecting much and will probably be looking forward a bit to a game in Athens Georgia next week. Tennessees offense is nothing to write home about. They beat UAB by 32 points and that was with only giving up 3 points. Expect NIU to score far more than 3 points, and Tennessee to score less than or equal to those 32.
Wisconsin +2 Vs. Ohio St.
So far not too many people agreeing with me on this one but the same could have been said for Memphis and Houston last week (both dogs, both won straight up). Wisconsin has a HORRIBLE taste left in their mouth after last weeks debacle. The best medicine for that? A trip back to Camp Randall Stadium and a chance to knock off Ohio St. Playing under the lights at Camp Randall Stadium is something I guarantee you OSU players are fearing. Wisconsin will win this game, not by much but they are getting 2 points so no worries.
Iowa +9 @ Michigan st.
Basically like last weeks Northwestern Iowa game I just think this line is way too high for what will be a knock em down drag em out Big10 game
Penn St -13 @ Purdue
Penn St.'s average margin of victory is 37 points. They have an outstanding offense and a defense that is solid as well. They did give up some points to Illinois but Illinois has a much better offense than Purdue, and Penn St. still won that game by 14 points. Not to mention that their slaughter of Oregon St. looks a tab more impressive now. Purdue on the other hand is a team that struggles at home against Western Michigan and got beat up at Notre Dame. Penn St. should win this game by at least 17, I'm a little nervous because this is their first real road test (not counting a horribly pathetic Syracuse team). But assuming they play four solid quarters of football Purdue just can't compete.
Western Michigan -5 Vs. Ohio
This team has an offense that can put up points. I'm not sure what happend to them last week against Temple only scoring 7, but it was just one of those grind em out games because they only gave up 3. Expect Western Michigan's offense to get back on track here facing a team that gave up 31 points to Virginia Military. Ohio is 0-4 against DI schools and I see them going on the road in this game and getting beat up badly.
Notre Dame -7.5 Vs. Stanford
Notre Dame has shown that they are a much improved team from last year, with their only setback coming at Michigan St. in a game they lost, Michigan St. did not win. Stanford is also improved, but not by too much. I believe Notre Dame is improving each and every week and at home they are a tough team both offensively and defensively. They are 3-0 at home winning by an average of 11 points. Stanford on the other hand has only played two real teams on the road (not counting Washington) and has lost by an average of 20.5 points Im going with my gut and with the math on this one. Notre Dame wins BIG
Illinois +2.5 @ Michigan
Illinois showed last week that they can compete on the road in hostile crowds. They played close last week in Beaver stadium against a team that would beat Michigan by at least 28 points. Illinois has an offense that will put up points, and while their defense isnt the greatest they are good enough here. Michigan is still a bad team this year regardless of what they did in the second half last week. They will not be able to put up the amount of points necessary to keep up with this Illinois team, expect Illinois to win this one straight up.
Kentucky +16.5 @ Alabama
For those of you that followed my thread last week I said all week that the play of the week was Alabama +7 and I even said that Bama would win the game straight up. For anyone that read that you may have also read that I said that would be the last favorable line we would see for Bama this year. As I predicted Alabama went from being undervalued to overvalued in one week jumping to number 2 in the polls, and having a line as ridiculous as this come out. Kentucky is a solid team and will be looking forward to playing this game against the #2 team in the country. Alabama players have been getting so much attention this week they will be riding high, this is a perfect letdown spot for them. I believe Bama wins this game (I think they will be in the National Championship) but they will not cover a spread of this size.
Homer Play Alert!!! Northern Illinois +16 @ Tennessee
Alright usually I dont bet on teams that I am a fan of but this one seems too good for me to pass. This NIU team is vastly improved from last year. They have an offense that will score points, and their defense is improving every week. They have given up a total of 3 points over the last 2 games (granted both teams were garbage but still impressive none the less. I see a tight game here as Tennessee is not going to be expecting much and will probably be looking forward a bit to a game in Athens Georgia next week. Tennessees offense is nothing to write home about. They beat UAB by 32 points and that was with only giving up 3 points. Expect NIU to score far more than 3 points, and Tennessee to score less than or equal to those 32.
Wisconsin +2 Vs. Ohio St.
So far not too many people agreeing with me on this one but the same could have been said for Memphis and Houston last week (both dogs, both won straight up). Wisconsin has a HORRIBLE taste left in their mouth after last weeks debacle. The best medicine for that? A trip back to Camp Randall Stadium and a chance to knock off Ohio St. Playing under the lights at Camp Randall Stadium is something I guarantee you OSU players are fearing. Wisconsin will win this game, not by much but they are getting 2 points so no worries.
Iowa +9 @ Michigan st.
Basically like last weeks Northwestern Iowa game I just think this line is way too high for what will be a knock em down drag em out Big10 game
