Ballsymans CFB Plays for Saturday with write-ups

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  • ballsyman
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-26-11
    • 156

    #1
    Ballsymans CFB Plays for Saturday with write-ups
    TOP PLAYS
    4 UNIT PLAY
    POWER ANGLE PLAY
    UCLA/ Illinois Under 47: WinnerBoth of these teams are a mess and i really feel that it will make for a sluggish bowl game, making the UNDER the play here. Illinois may have grad assistants running their offense today and I can't expect too many creative plays from them. No Matter what this Illinois team will look to run the ball at a UCLA defense that has allowed 101.5 ypg on the ground this year (95th). On the other side of the ball a pathetic UCLA passing offense will want no parts of the Illini's 4th ranked passing defense, so I look for them to pound away with their 29th running game (190.7 ypg) vs an Illinois run defense that is 41st in the nation (132.7 ypg). With both teams being a mess and looking to run in this one, and the fact that the last 4 games in this bowl has averaged just 36.5 ppg, i will look for this one to stay well Under the total. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play Under if a team (ILLINOIS) is an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game and are playing a team with a poor rushing defense (190-230 RY/game). This play is 40-19 the last 5 seasons.

    3 UNIT PLAYS
    Northwestern +10 over Texas A&M: Lost I really like this play. The Aggies had a good year on offense this year, but, but they blew too many leads thanks to a leaky pass defense that it lead to the firing of Mike Sherman. So the question here is will this team be up for this one after they ranked in the top 10 in the preseason and had National Championship aspirations for much of the early part of the year? I say know. Northwestern, on the other hand, is thrilled to be here and they have the extra motivation of trying to end a 62 year bowl drought in Evanston. The Aggies can and will put up points this year, but Dan Persa and the Cats have also had a fine year and they will attack the 113th ranked Aggie pass defense, which will lead to good success. The Cats have not been that bad on the road this year as they beat Nebraska, had a big lead over Illinois before losing late and they were tied with Iowa heading ointo the 4th quarter be for losing by 10, so they know how to play on the road. The Aggies offense will help them win outright here, but its their defense that will help the Cats to cover.



    7 POINT TEASER--- Utah +9 & Virginia/ Auburn Under 56 Lost


    OTHER PLAYS
    2 UNIT PLAYS
    Texas A&M/ Northwestern Over 69.5: Lost Both of these offenses have been clicking this year, while the defense have not held up their end of the bargain. The Cats can pass the ball as they r6anked 34th in passing and they should have a field day throwing vs this pathetic Texas A&M pass defense that ranks 113th in the nation. The Aggies may be without their top 2 RB's and that could have Tannehill looking to throw, although the Cats are worse vs the run (90th) than the pass (64th). Still this Aggies offense will put up their fair share off points, but their defense has allowed 38.6 ppg and 444.3 ypg on the road this year and that will have the Ctas being able to put up plenty of points. I expect this one to go down to the wire with the Cats keeping close, while the game goes over the total. Aggies 41-37.
    Utah +2 Over Georgia Tech: won With the extra prep time teams seem to really figure out this option offense of Georgia Tech as they last 3 bowls they have been in they have averaged just 8 ppg. Now a very solid Utah squad that allowed just 15.8 ppg in their last 5 games will get a crack at this Tech offense. The Utes are 31st in total defense 9344.1 ypg) and 8th vs the run (98.2 ypg) and with the extra time will have a plan to shut down the Tech Ground game that seemed to sputter during much of the second half of the year. Tech has not been that stout on defense (44th overall) and they have allowed 25.8 ppg overall, including 33 ppg in their last 3 games. I expect this average Utah defense should be able to score enough on Tech to get the win.


    3-3 today -1.5 units

    BEST OF LUCK EVERYONE
  • ballsyman
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-26-11
    • 156

    #2
    Auburn -3 over Virginia: 3 unit play This year's Chick-fil-A Bowl features an intriguing matchup between the Virginia Cavaliers of the ACC and the Auburn Tigers of the SEC. Really it has been the Cavaliers defense that have gotten them this far as they come in allowing 343.2 total ypg while surrendering 22.2 ppg to opponents. The Cavaliers are solid against the run, yielding just 3.7 yards per attempt. The pass defense has been weak, however, as opposing QBs have six more TDs than INTs and are averaging 12.5 yards per completion. Auburn has struggled at the QB position this yea, but with the extra prep time they should come up with a very offensive wrinkles to help the pass game vs a suspect Virginia pass defense. The Tigers will have to pass a bit more as they are without RB Dyer, who has been suspended. On defense the Tigers have been suspect, but this Virginia offense is nothing to write home about. Virginia has the clear advantage on defense and without Dyer the offenses are about even, but the Tigers have a huge edge in special teams and they played in the much tougher SEC, plus word out of their camp is that they are looking to use this game as a potential springboard for a National Title run next year. Tigers by at least a TD.
    Comment
    • ballsyman
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-26-11
      • 156

      #3
      I have added my play on auburn and virginia for 3 units
      Comment
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