I have been 4-0 ATS on my last 4 bowl writeups including Missouri, NC ST, AF, and FSU. Today I am breaking down Tulsa and BYU in the Armed Forces Bowl. Tulsa and BYU both have prolific offenses in the top 40 with Tulsa having better overall numbers. One thing that is obvious when u look at their schedules is that Tulsa had a much more difficult schedule than BYU playing 4 top 10 teams along the way while BYU played TCU in Dallas and got smoked. To me BYU is still not a proven product because of the lame schedule they have played and despite better defensive numbers statistically it means almost nothing because they played nobody and when they did they lost to Texas early and got cleaned out vs utah at home by almost 50. Having said that Tulsa is extremely difficult to defend scheme wise because they are diverse on offense and can move the ball through the air and the ground just as well. It doesnt help BYU to be missing one of their leading rushers for the game as they are missing michael alisa. Nelson has infused some confidence into the team but as TCU showed u can game plan to limit nelsons effectiveness. From having watched Tulsa play last yr in the Hawaii Bowl I was really impressed with their preparation and execution. Despite BYU thinking they have a chance in this game Im not convinced that they are able to overcome a team of Tulsas quality there are just far more factors here that favor Tulsa. Follow the heavy line movement here as it has moved almost 3.5 points since it first opened. Edge to Tulsa -1. Im looking at a 3-4K bet here myself. GL 
.............