Early plays....Good teams with coaches that love to run it up, these are in order of my favorites right now.
Oklahoma State -26 Vs Iowa State - Has beat Iowa St by an avg of 33 Pts the last 2 meetings, by 42 the last time at home. Iowa State has already given up 2000 against the pass, with an average opponent passer rating of 124.6. They do run a very balanced run-based offense with 4.3 YPC, but they lack the real big play ability, especially with an avg 105 qb passing rating. The X factor is ISts running game, but these type of spread offenses play to OK state's strength. Ok State D has given up a huge 4.4 YPC rushing, and 2500 yards passing. If there were ever a reason to stay away that's it, but I would say at least 50% of these yard comes against OK Sts second string. I think getting the OK St beatdown has it's effect, and theyve proven to leave Weeden in until 30+ points ahead. This IST team also beat Texas Tech, which put them on the map big time, so OK knows this is a big game.
Wisconsin -14 @ Illinois - Wisconsin has been on fire, but they struggle in close games against big opponents. Everyone knows Wisconsin is rushing for 5.8 YPC for 2,500 yds and 36 tds, but no-one's talking about Russel Wilson. RW has thrown for 2400 TDs, 25-3 TD ratio. Last week vs Minnesota he threw 16/17(93% completions) for 170 yards, 4tds, 0 int. Compare this to Illinois' Nathan Scheelhaase who last week vs Michigan went 16/31 0 tds, 1 int. He also rushed the ball 16 times for 14 yards, 4 sacks. The Illinois D has given up only 3 YCP, but their schedule had some very vanilla teams in Arkansas State, South Dakota State, Western Michigan, Indiana, Northwestern with injured Persa....Theyve played close vs the big teams, but wisconsin is fundementaly sound and looked alot more like an unlucky team than a bad one. Wilson was a very late addition and has only gotten better as this season's progressed.
Stanford -20 vs California - 20 is a ton of points, and for a team that was just trashed by Oregon it leaves alot of us scratching our heads. The truth is that Stanford is tough and disciplined, but not fast, and Oregon did well exploiting that. That said, Cal has had some impressive wins lately vs Utah, Wash St, and Oregon St, but on offense they have not played statistically good games. Even in their last 2 wins, Maynard threw under 20 passes, so it seems they don't really know what their strength is. They do only give up 3.5 YPC, and a 116 opponent passer rating, but I think Stanford is the most balanced offense Cal has played all year. Stanford on D has been very good against the run and will try force Maynard to throw in bad situations. They're also coming out real pissed after last week's home loss so barred extra injuries they should come out real strong. If this was -21.5 I probably wouldn't play it, but I think Stanford can hold Cal to 2 or 3 Tds to cover, could be close tho
I still think the key with these 3 games is that Mike Gundy, Bret Bielema and David Shaw love to run those scores up, and I've have some serious suspicions that they bet the spreads. Were you suprised to find out coach Bielema met his fiance in Vegas? If yall have some good info please share it, betting is a war of information, not feelings.
Oklahoma State -26 Vs Iowa State - Has beat Iowa St by an avg of 33 Pts the last 2 meetings, by 42 the last time at home. Iowa State has already given up 2000 against the pass, with an average opponent passer rating of 124.6. They do run a very balanced run-based offense with 4.3 YPC, but they lack the real big play ability, especially with an avg 105 qb passing rating. The X factor is ISts running game, but these type of spread offenses play to OK state's strength. Ok State D has given up a huge 4.4 YPC rushing, and 2500 yards passing. If there were ever a reason to stay away that's it, but I would say at least 50% of these yard comes against OK Sts second string. I think getting the OK St beatdown has it's effect, and theyve proven to leave Weeden in until 30+ points ahead. This IST team also beat Texas Tech, which put them on the map big time, so OK knows this is a big game.
Wisconsin -14 @ Illinois - Wisconsin has been on fire, but they struggle in close games against big opponents. Everyone knows Wisconsin is rushing for 5.8 YPC for 2,500 yds and 36 tds, but no-one's talking about Russel Wilson. RW has thrown for 2400 TDs, 25-3 TD ratio. Last week vs Minnesota he threw 16/17(93% completions) for 170 yards, 4tds, 0 int. Compare this to Illinois' Nathan Scheelhaase who last week vs Michigan went 16/31 0 tds, 1 int. He also rushed the ball 16 times for 14 yards, 4 sacks. The Illinois D has given up only 3 YCP, but their schedule had some very vanilla teams in Arkansas State, South Dakota State, Western Michigan, Indiana, Northwestern with injured Persa....Theyve played close vs the big teams, but wisconsin is fundementaly sound and looked alot more like an unlucky team than a bad one. Wilson was a very late addition and has only gotten better as this season's progressed.
Stanford -20 vs California - 20 is a ton of points, and for a team that was just trashed by Oregon it leaves alot of us scratching our heads. The truth is that Stanford is tough and disciplined, but not fast, and Oregon did well exploiting that. That said, Cal has had some impressive wins lately vs Utah, Wash St, and Oregon St, but on offense they have not played statistically good games. Even in their last 2 wins, Maynard threw under 20 passes, so it seems they don't really know what their strength is. They do only give up 3.5 YPC, and a 116 opponent passer rating, but I think Stanford is the most balanced offense Cal has played all year. Stanford on D has been very good against the run and will try force Maynard to throw in bad situations. They're also coming out real pissed after last week's home loss so barred extra injuries they should come out real strong. If this was -21.5 I probably wouldn't play it, but I think Stanford can hold Cal to 2 or 3 Tds to cover, could be close tho
I still think the key with these 3 games is that Mike Gundy, Bret Bielema and David Shaw love to run those scores up, and I've have some serious suspicions that they bet the spreads. Were you suprised to find out coach Bielema met his fiance in Vegas? If yall have some good info please share it, betting is a war of information, not feelings.
