Boyz,
Bookmaker currently has the line for this game set at LSU -42, total set at 48. Doing the math, the oddsmakers are predicting a score of 45-3. I will be playing Western Kentucky +42 and OVER 48. Two separate bets. If the Hilltoppers score even a field goal, I cannot lose both bets. I can split and lose the vig, but that's a chance I'm willing to take.
Possible Scenarios:
Western doesn't score any points -- I can only lose both bets only if LSU scores a total of 42-48 points.
Western scores a FG only -- Worst I can do is push both bets or win one/lose on, regardless of what LSU scores.
Western scores more than a FG -- Worst I can do is split my bets, but there's a reasonable chance I'll win both plays.
If I bet a dime on each play, and they split, I lose $100. If they both hit, I win $2000. That's a 20 to 1 risk/reward payout.....with the only caveat being that dreaded scenario where LSU wins by anywhere between 42-0 and 48-0, then I can lose $1100 or $2200.....
Personally I see a lot of value in this play, particularly on a week when LSU is in a letdown spot and they will probably being playing guys who don't usually see action.
As always, best of luck.
Harry
Bookmaker currently has the line for this game set at LSU -42, total set at 48. Doing the math, the oddsmakers are predicting a score of 45-3. I will be playing Western Kentucky +42 and OVER 48. Two separate bets. If the Hilltoppers score even a field goal, I cannot lose both bets. I can split and lose the vig, but that's a chance I'm willing to take.
Possible Scenarios:
Western doesn't score any points -- I can only lose both bets only if LSU scores a total of 42-48 points.
Western scores a FG only -- Worst I can do is push both bets or win one/lose on, regardless of what LSU scores.
Western scores more than a FG -- Worst I can do is split my bets, but there's a reasonable chance I'll win both plays.
If I bet a dime on each play, and they split, I lose $100. If they both hit, I win $2000. That's a 20 to 1 risk/reward payout.....with the only caveat being that dreaded scenario where LSU wins by anywhere between 42-0 and 48-0, then I can lose $1100 or $2200.....
Personally I see a lot of value in this play, particularly on a week when LSU is in a letdown spot and they will probably being playing guys who don't usually see action.
As always, best of luck.
Harry
