FINALLY a profitable day in the MAC for me, nailed my WMU +13/OVER 69 parlay and over 35.5 halftime bet. Lost small on Bowling Green +6 but still a very profitable day.
I have this game capped at Temple winning 27-9, with the way the MAC is I have trouble feeling confident in this, since the games generally defy logic and statistics. Miami has the 25th ranked passing attack in the nation, yet most of these numbers have come against bad defenses. Miami got shut out against Cincy and only managed 13 points against Mizzou. Temple's defense had a let down against Ohio but has generally been shutting MAC opponents down.
So, the lean is to take Temple -13 and UNDER 44, but it's very difficult to lay that many points in the MAC and to play any under in this conference makes me squeamish (got killed on the Temple/Ohio under last week.)
Thinking a 7 point teaser - Temple -6 and UNDER 51 may be the play.
Thoughts?
I have this game capped at Temple winning 27-9, with the way the MAC is I have trouble feeling confident in this, since the games generally defy logic and statistics. Miami has the 25th ranked passing attack in the nation, yet most of these numbers have come against bad defenses. Miami got shut out against Cincy and only managed 13 points against Mizzou. Temple's defense had a let down against Ohio but has generally been shutting MAC opponents down.
So, the lean is to take Temple -13 and UNDER 44, but it's very difficult to lay that many points in the MAC and to play any under in this conference makes me squeamish (got killed on the Temple/Ohio under last week.)
Thinking a 7 point teaser - Temple -6 and UNDER 51 may be the play.
Thoughts?